Technical Analisis Dari FBS.com

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Danske Bank: signals for April 28
28 April 2015, 08:54 Comments: 0
Open positions:*

EUR/USD: Hold LONG at 1.0734, TAKE PROFIT 1.0988 (revised), STOP LOSS 1.0783 (revised)

USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 119.00, TAKE PROFIT 120.17, STOP LOSS 118.45

USD/CHF: Hold LONG at 0.9555, TAKE PROFIT 0.9718, STOP LOSS 0.9485

AUD/USD: Hold LONG at 0.7793, TAKE PROFIT 0.7939, STOP LOSS 0.7703

USD/CAD: Hold SHORT at 1.2180, TAKE PROFIT 1.1934, STOP LOSS 1.2210 (revised)

EUR/GBP: Hold SHORT at 0.7170, TAKE PROFIT 0.6990, STOP LOSS 0.7250

EUR/CHF: Hold LONG at 1.0350, TAKE PROFIT 1.0495 (revised), STOP LOSS 1.0299

GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 180.30, TAKE PROFIT 181.80, STOP LOSS 179.60

NZD/USD: Hold SHORT at 0.7600, TAKE PROFIT 0.7422, STOP LOSS 0.7670
Trade ideas:

GBP/USD: Look to BUY

EUR/JPY: BUY at 129.20, TAKE PROFIT 130.79, STOP LOSS 128.68

EUR/CAD: SELL at 1.3255, TAKE PROFIT 1.2850, STOP LOSS 1.3375

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

AUD/USD: buy target - 0.8000


By: Dima Chernovolov

AUD/USD broke resistance level 0.7850
Next buy target - 0.8000

AUD/USD continues to rise inside the C-wave of the intermediate ABC correction (4), which started earlier this month when the pair reversed from the strong support level 0.7570 (which also reversed the price in the middle of March and also, previously this month - thereby completing the earlier B-wave). The active C-wave recently broke the resistance level 0.7850 (which has been repeatedly reversing this currency pair from the start of February, as you can see from the daily AUD/USD chart below).

AUD/USD is likely to rise further toward the next buy target at the round resistance level 0.8000 (forecast price for the completion of the active C-wave). Buy stop-loss can be placed below 0.7850.

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

US dollar awaits GDP and the Fed
29 April 2015, 09:46 Comments: 0

US are scheduled to release their advance Q1 GDP at 12:30 GMT today. Acoording to the consensus forecast, the US economy added only 1% over this period - this is more than two times less than in Q4. Weak data can be partly explained by an extremly cold weather and an expensive US currency. Later in the day the Fed will announce its monetary polcy deciosn (18:00 GMT). There will be no press-conference and no economic projection release this time. That's why most economists expect the meeting to be a non-event.

According to analysts at JP Morgan, the most important thing is the Fed’s view on the US economy: although the statement will mention the Q1 slowdown, it will be discounted due to transitory factors. The statement should repeat that an interest rate hike will be data dependent. The scenario of the first increase in rates in June will be discounted by the market, but the specialists still expect action later this year. UBS and BNP Paribas share the view.

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

CAD/JPY: buy target – 100.00


By: Dima Chernovolov

CAD/JPY approaches buy target 99.00
Next buy target – 100.00

CAD/JPY has been rising sharply in the last few trading sessions inside the intermediate (C)-wave – which belongs to the primary ABC correction ② from the end of January. The pair is currently approaching the resistance level 99.00 (top of the previous intermediate correction (4) from January and also the buy target set in our previous report for this currency pair). The price earlier broke the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from January - which has enclosed the active primary ABC correction.

If CAD/JPY breaks the resistance level 99.00, the pair can then rise to the next buy target at the round resistance level 100.00 (forecast price for the termination of the active minor impulse 3).

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

USD/JPY: breakthrough is coming
30 April 2015, 12:45 Comments: 0

Elizaveta Belugina

On Monday USD/JPY fell below the 100-day MA and spent the rest of the week below this line. Although the bulls probably want to see some moves up, the pair lacks drivers for growth. The tone of the US Federal Reserve was very balanced. The markets worry about the recent stream of weak data and don’t expect the rate hike in June. The Bank of Japan has also left its policy unchanged refraining from additional monetary stimulus. Although Japanese regulator cut inflation forecast for this fiscal year, it wasn’t by much. As a result, nothing provoked big moves of the market.

USD/JPY is trapped between 119.30 and 118.50. Technically we see several patterns on the chart: 2 descending triangles – one smaller with resistance drawn through April highs and one bigger with resistance connecting March and April maximums. As for support area, it’s the same for 2: in the 118.50/30 area. The fall below this zone will cause a decline to 117.20/00 – the bottom of the 2-months descending channel and previous lows. Resistance is at 119.75 and 120.00.

Japanese economic calendar is almost empty. The nation’s banks will be closed in the first 3 days of the week because of the various holidays. On Thursday there will be some comments from the Bank of Japan, but the real market mover will be the US data releases, especially labor market figures on Wednesday and Friday.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MF0PUkglBt4&feature=youtu.be

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

EUR/USD: will growth continue?

Elizaveta Belugina

EUR/USD showed another week of growth rising above 1.1200. The euro went above the late March – early April highs and closed above January low at 1.1097 on Wednesday.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uLN8t_rZqo&feature=youtu.be

The pair got strength from the general weakness of the US dollar. In addition, the single currency was driven up by the rising German bund yields as the fears of deflation is the euro area receded. Moreover, the prospects of Greece getting bailout money improved. The nation reshuffled its negotiating team decreasing the role of Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis. As you might remember, Varoufakis failed to achieve progress in the talks with the European creditors. Greek government hopes that now when Varoufakis is pushed aside, lenders will be more compliant.

The next meeting of the Euro group will take place on May 11. Until then major developments of the Greek situation are unlikely, though occasional comments from various officials will stir the euro. The first week of May will be rather light in terms of economic data from the euro area. Pay some attention to the release of the EU economic forecasts on Tuesday.

The area of 1.1215/50 offers rather strong resistance. However, market participants will be very cautious with selling the single currency. Next target on the upside is the 100-day MA at 1.1311. EUR/USD is expected to find strong support at 1.1100 and 1.1000. We may see some consolidation between 1.12 and 1.10.

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

AUD/USD: sell target - 0.7700


By: Dima Chernovolov

AUD/USD reached buy target 0.8000
Next sell target - 0.7700

AUD/USD recently reversed down sharply after the pair reached the round resistance level 0.8000, which was set as the buy target in our previous forecast for this currency pair. The resistance zone near 0.8000 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the 61.8% Fibonacci Correction of the previous downward impulse from the middle of January (as you can see from the daily AUD/USD chart below).

The downward reversal from 0.8000 created the strong Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern – Evening Star Doji – thereby completing the previous intermediate ABC correction (4). AUD/USD is likely to fall to the next sell target at 0.7700.

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

USD/SGD: buy target – 1.3200
4 May 2015, 08:14 Comments: 0

By: Dima Chernovolov

USD/SGD completed intermediate ABC correction (2)
Next buy target – 1.3200

USD/SGD recently reversed up sharply from the strong support zone lying between the support level 1.3200 (former resistance which reversed the pair in last December, as you can see from the daily USD/SGD chart below), the lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci Correction of the previous extended upward impulse from August of 2014. The upward reversal from this support zone completed the preceding sharp intermediate ABC correction (2) from the middle of March.

USD/SGD is likely to rise further – in line with the strong uptrend visible on the daily charts – toward the next buy target at 1.3390. Strong support remains at 1.3200.

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Forex trading plan for May 6

Market players expect improvement in the US labor market data due on Wednesday and Friday. This should keep the greenback supported, though to see big moves up of the American currency we’ll still need to see more positive news from the United States. Note that if NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) disappoint on Friday, the US dollar will resume declining as the market would see bad data as the sign that weak economic effects are less transitory than the Fed said at its meeting last week. In addition, on Wednesday don’t miss the speech of the Fed’s Chair Janet Yellen at 13:15 GMT.

EUR/USD retraced 38.2% of the December/March decline and met resistance at the 100-day MA just below 1.13. The pair finds support at the daily Ichimoku Cloud at 1.1066. Nearby there’s also support of March/April highs in the 1.1050/35 zone.

GBP/USD is trading just above 1.5100 supported by the daily Ichimoku Cloud (1.5093) and 55-day MA (1.5045). Next support is at 1.4970. The upside will remain limited ahead of the UK election on Thursday. Resistance is at 1.5155 (100-day MA). Britain’s construction P<I on Tuesday was weaker than expected. On Wednesday watch UK services PMI.

USD/JPY returned above the 55-day MA and the psychological level of 120.00 as well as above the resistance line connecting March and April highs. This makes the bulls stronger. Resistance is at 120.84 ahead of 121.50. Support is at 119.80 and 119.30.

AUD/USD rose to 0.7918 as traders covered short positions after the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its benchmark interest rate to the record low of 2%. Aussie faces resistance provided by the top of the daily Ichimoku Cloud (0.7910). Next resistance is at 0.7950/75. Australia will release retail sales data on Wednesday.