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Syazfirul Enterprise

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Market Analytics
Trading plan for Nov. 18
Monday, November 17, 2014 - 14:40

Hello, dear traders! The new week has started, so we are once again here for you with the daily trading plans.

EUR/USD: The pair pushed higher on the wave of short-covering, but failed to fix above 1.2550 for now (38.2% Fibo). We expect the upside to be limited by the 1.2600 figure – this is where the medium-term trend resistance lies. On Tuesday watch German and euro zone’s economic sentiment data at 10:00 GMT (forecasts – upbeat).

GBP/USD: The pair started Monday on the positive note, but was viciously rejected at 1.5730. Support is at 1.5600. There may be some consolidation above this point, but then the downtrend will resume. A close below here will make us target 1.5500. On the upside further resistance is at 1.5789 and 1.5875. On Tuesday watch British inflation data (09:30 GMT) – the figures will likely keep GBP under pressure.

USD/JPY: The pair stays above 115.50. PM Abe is widely expected to call a snap election and delay sales tax hike. There’s a talk that Abe he give a press conference tomorrow. USD/JPY may test 107.90 (Oct. 2007 high) on the announcement. Until then the pair will likely remain consolidative with more support at 115.00.

AUD/USD: Bullish demand for the Aussie dollar remains limited by the 0.8800 mark for now.The price is unlikely to overcome this area, at least from the first attempt. Next support to watch lies at 0.8700 and 0.8640. Australia is scheduled to release RBA meeting minutes tonight (00:30 GMT). Later in the day RBA Governor Stevens will deliver a speech in Melbourne (8:25 GMT).
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2014-11-17/26196-trading-plan-nov-18#sthash.4DyFrq45.dpuf
 
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Syazfirul Enterprise

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Credit Agricole: EUR/USD targets 1.3100

Credit Agricole sees upside risks for EUR/USD as we approach the year-end. Demand for the euro is expected to revive amid stabilizing ECB monetary policy expectations, elevated short positioning and as the risk asset related capital flow situation may turn more positive again.

This week analysts recommend watching November PMI figures. Further stabilizing business activity will likely keep the risk of further falling inflation expectations low. If so, analysts expect profit taking to trigger a further EUR correction higher.

Credit Agricole EUR/USD positioning: Hold LONG from 1.2660, Take Profit 1.3100, Stop Loss 1.2350

 

Syazfirul Enterprise

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GBP/USD: bears pressure not easing

Tatiana Norlina, FBS analyst

Yesterday's trading has again proved that the bears are still disposed towards further decline of the currency pair rate. After a short testing of the Tenkan-Sen line, prices continued falling and returned to the last week's lows of 1.5600. The Ichimoku indicator negative trend is strengthening once again: Senkou Span A cloud is extending downwards; Tenkan-Sen is fixing the current dead cross.

However, there is a slight difference in prices with the MACD Histogram - there has formed a divergence warning of a possible consolidation at the current levels before updating the lows.

Apart from that, formation of a reversal Morning Star candlestick, with due acknowledgment, can provoke bulls to short-term buying. Therefore, total attention of market participants will be drawn to the 1.5600 figure. If consolidating above - we will be on the bulls side, which is yet quite a risky venture. Otherwise, let us expect the pair in the 1.5500 area.

Technical levels: support – 1.5500, 1.5600; resistance – 1.56350.

Trade recommendations:

1. Sell – 1.5630; SL – 1.5650; TP1 – 1.5500; TP2 – 1.5410.

http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/2895
 

haziq06

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Ini salah satu analisis yang saya dapat dari FXBazooka untuk hari ini..saya kongsikan untuk kawan2 semua manalah tahu leh buat tunjuk arah :)

GBP/USD: will the 1.5600 figure hold?

The 1.5600 figure remains a strong support: last week the bears failed to pull lower. In the coming days we forecast the recovery towards the upper border of the Cloud. Watch the resistance at 1.5760.

Oscillators could also signal a corrective recovery. However, the major bearish trend still remains active.

Technical levels: support – 1.5600; resistance – 1.5700, 1.5760, 1.5875.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 1.5700; SL — 1.5680; TP1 — 1.5760; TP2 — 1.5875.

2. Sell — 1.5640; SL — 1.5660; TP1 — 1.5500; TP2 — 1.5410
 

Syazfirul Enterprise

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EUR/USD: picture turned bearish
Monday, November 24, 2014 - 12:59

Tatyana Norkina, FBS

Bulls capitulated on Friday: unsuccessful test of the H4 cloud upper border has supported the sellers. As a result, trading moved to the negative territory and lowered the currency exchange rate towards the recent lows - 1.2360. On Monday the price attempted to recover, but the medium-term picture is now bearish. Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are forming a dead-cross. Negative Cloud is now once again widening into the negative zone.

Oscilators are also pointing to further dowside.

We'll keep on looking for selling opportunities. Retest of the Tenkan-sen would become a good moment to go short.

Technical levels: support – 1.2370/80; resistance – 1.2430, 1.2465.

Trade recommendations:

1. Sell — 1.2440; SL — 1.2460; TP1 — 1.2360; TP2 — 1.2260.
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2014-11-24/26198-eurusd-picture-turned-bearish#sthash.q4A48Ec4.dpuf

 

Syazfirul Enterprise

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A.Weber: comments on EUR/USD
Tuesday, November 25, 2014 - 13:34

Alex Weber

The recent inability of EUR/USD to break above the 1.2600 mark lowered the near-term bullish expectations. However, the sellers should be careful these days: on Monday the price managed to recover from the November lows.

I see a risk of a double bottom formation in case of a break above the 1.2500 mark. Next resistance lies at 1.2600 – these are the November highs. In the long-term I still stay bearish, but at the end of the year we can’t exclude a recovery towards the 1.2900 area.

Break below the 1.2350 support will open the way for further EUR/USD weakness.
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2014-11-25/26204-aweber-comments-eurusd#sthash.Yx5tda9q.dpuf

 

haziq06

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saya juga sedang SELL EU sehingga 1.22 sebelum trade saya juga membuka dulu fxbazooka untuk melihat analisis yang di sediakan oleh FBS.INi amat membantu saya dalam trading untuk melihat arah market
 

Syazfirul Enterprise

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RBS: double bottom in EUR/USD

Analysts at RBS believe that the double inability of EUR/USD to break below 1.2360 indicates a possibility of a double-bottom formation. They forecast a bounce towards 1.2600 and then – to 1.2750 and 1.2840 should the pattern materialize.

"However, a break below 1.2358 would cancel the view for a bounce and target 1.2043," RBS adds.

 

Syazfirul Enterprise

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EUR/USD: what to expect on the new week?​

EUR/USD attempted to recover on the past week, bringing many analysts to the idea of a “double bottom” formation at 1.2350. However, the price failed to fix above the 1.2500 mark and holds below the key trend resistance line. We maintain a bearish view, targeting 1.2360 and lower.

Euro remains pressured by the expectations of the full-scale ECB quantitative easing. Low energy prices increase disinflationary expectations. Next meeting is scheduled for the coming Thursday, December 4.

However, there is a high chance that the ECB officials will wait until the second round of the TLTRO program to come on December 11. Low demand for the cheap ECB loans would be a strong argument for launching aggressive stimulus in early 2015.

On the new week you should also pay attention to the November PMI indices on Monday and on Wednesday. What’s more, October retail sales data will also be released on Wednesday.

http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/2966
 

Syazfirul Enterprise

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Teknikal Analisis Dari FBS

Danske Bank: trade signals for Dec. 3
Open positions:*

EUR/USD: Hold SHORT at 1.2460, Take Profit 1.2289, Stop Loss 1.2510

USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 118.15, Take Profit 120.00, Stop Loss 118.01

GBP/USD: Hold LONG at 1.5690, Take Profit 1.5826, Stop Loss 1.5600

USD/CHF: Hold LONG at 0.9635, Take Profit 0.9790, Stop Loss 0.9614 (revised)

EUR/JPY: Hold LONG at 147.00, Take Profit 149.56, Stop Loss 147.05 (revised)

EUR/GBP: Hold SHORT at 0.7955, Take Profit 0.7799, Stop Loss 0.8010

EUR/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.4135, Take Profit 1.4340, Stop Loss 1.4015

GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 185.50, Take Profit 188.50, Stop Loss 185.00 (revised)

NZD/USD: Hold SHORT at 0.7855, Take Profit 0.7712, Stop Loss 0.7930
Trade ideas:

USD/CAD: BUY at 1.1360, Take Profit 1.1531, Stop Loss 1.1309

EUR/CHF: BUY at 1.2029, Take Profit 1.2082, Stop Loss 1.2007
 
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