Technical Analisis Dari FBS.com

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

AUD/USD ahead of RBA Meeting: Can we see surprises?

Today at 03:30GMT we’ll have one of the first central banks to hold their meetings during this week, as the RBA is expected to leave unchanged its cash rate at 1.50%, which had been untouched since August. Because of current forecasts, it’s likely that the markets will be watching closely the Chinese data, such as the Manufacturing PMI (50.4 vs. 50.4) and Non-Manufacturing PMI (53.7); both for October. If data comes above the expectations, then we can expect a bullish reaction by the Australian Dollar across the board.

Our technical view for AUD/USD at H1 chart is calling for a bearish continuation, as the pair has been trading in that bias since October 26th, but currently, we’re seeing some corrective moves taking place. As of our Fibonacci retracement’s projection, eventually, it can cling towards the 61.8% level around 0.7650, which could be a strong resistance. However, if RBA statement and/or Chinese data brings some dovish hints for the Aussie economy, then a breakout below the 0.7560 is expected to happen.

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Gold extends its surge on American election jitters

On Wednesday, gold prices extended their overnight revenues during Europe's trading, getting to a fresh one-month peak as demand for safe-haven assets was driven amid surging jitters over the American presidential election.

In New York, December delivery gold futures hit an intraday high of $1,295.85 per troy ounce, the most impressive result since October 4.

On Tuesday, prices of the most popular yellow metal added 1.17%, as traders were rattled by indications that the American presidential election race was tightening less than a week before the scheduled November 8 vote.

Two separate surveys demonstrated Donald Trump moving moderately ahead of Hillary Clinton, because enthusiasm for the Democratic candidate has dropped since the renewal of the FBI’s email investigation late the previous week.

The market is also monitoring the outcome of the Federal Reserve's policy gathering later in the day. The US number one financial institution isn’t expected to increase interest rates, though could signal its intention to raise in December amid clues that the US economy is picking up steam.

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

GBP/USD: downtrend going to act as resistance

The price has been consolidating in a range of the “Rectangle” pattern. The 55 Moving Average acted as a resistance. Therefore, bulls are likely going to test the next resistance near the local downward trend. If we see a pullback from here, there’ll be an opportunity to have another decline towards a support at 1.2081.

As we can see on the one-hour chart, the “Rectangle’s” upper side acted as a resistance, so the market is likely going to decline towards a support area at 1.2297 – 1.2271. If we have a pullback from these levels, the current consolidation is likely going to be continued.

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

USD/JPY: oversold Dollar

Technical levels: support – 103.05; resistance – 103.35, 103.90.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 103.20; SL — 103.00; TP1 — 103.90; TP2 — 104.30.

Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud and falling Senkou Span A, but the oversold market; dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are on the strong support.

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

“What if analysis” of markets after presidential election

As the most acrimonious US election is drawing to a close, financial markets keep fingers crossed for Hillary Clinton as she could maintain the status quo, whereas Trump’s victory would resemble the aftermath of the UK’s vote to leave the European Union. Controversy over Hillary Clinton’s e-mails could cause a fundamental shift in the presidential race and spread panic among investors. So, we decided to give you some prompts ahead of November 8 on what could happen with markets after the election.

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

US election prep: trading strategies from banks​

Take a nap and stock up with coffee ahead of the US Election Day, as it is going to be a real marathon. There some prompts from banks on how to trade the US election.

Here is the schedule for the key state poll closings

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

EUR/USD: huge candles

There’re a support on the 55 Moving Average and a resistance on the upper “Window”. So, if the lower “Window” acts as a support, bulls will probably try to deliver another upward price movement. As we can see on the Daily chart, here’s an “Inverted Hammer”, but this pattern hasn’t been confirmed yet. So, bears are likely going to test the last low once again.

We’ve got a “Doji”, which has been confirmed enough. However, the pair is likely going to test the 55 Moving Average again. If we see a pullback from this line, there'll be an opportunity to have a bullish movement.

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

AUD/USD: on the Cloud support

Technical levels: support – 0.7665; resistance – 0.7730.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 0.7660; SL — 0.7640; TP1 — 0.7730; TP2 — 0.7780.

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span B; cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are on the strong support formed by Cloud.

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

EUR/USD: wave started

The market has plunged because of a zigzag in wave D. So, we’ve got a bearish impulse in wave [a]. In this case, there’s an opportunity to have an upward correction soon. The main intraday target is 3/8 Murrey Math Level (P=200).

As we can see on the M15 chart, there’s an ended impulse in wave [a], so bulls are likely going to deliver wave (a) of shortly. If a pullback from 4/8 MM Level happens afterwards, there’ll be time for wave (b).

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[Syazfirul Enterprise]

USD/JPY: bulls are on the attack

Technical levels: support – 106.90, 106.60; resistance – 107.70, 108.80.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 106.60; SL — 106.40; TP1 — 107.70; TP2 — 108.80.

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud and rising lines of Ichimoku Indicator; a new golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen over the Clouds; but there is an overbought market.

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