Syazfirul Enterprise
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Morning brief for March 16
The euro climbed to 1.0745 from 1.0600 against USD overnight thanks to the absence of any overt hawkish guidance in the Fed’s statement and EU-positive early results of the Dutch elections. The recent returns showed that far-right Wilders’ party won fewer seats than it was expected (19 instead of 22). This means that the shift towards populism may be slowing, or reversing. You may heave a sigh of relief. But the downward pressure on the euro is still in place; the prices are about to slide towards the nearest support at 1.0680/1.0600 levels.
USD/JPY fell to 113.05 in the Asian session. The Bank of Japan held its meeting today and left the monetary policy unchanged as it had been forecasted. The recent decline might be extended to 112.85. The level 111.65 is likely out of reach, however.
GBP/USD spiked to 1.2307 overnight, but in the early hours of Asian session eased off a bit having slid to 1.2265. The Bank of England is due to deliver its rate announcement at 2:00 pm MT time. It’s expected to be non-event. There won’t be Mark Carney’s press conference to put on steam to the BoE’s interest rate announcement.
Aussie erased all the March selling overnight having jumped to 0.7720 from 0.7555. In the Asian session, it failed to advance higher as we got a really disappointing February employment report. The headlines paint not a good picture for Australia’s labor market. There are sturdy support levels at 0.7650/0.7600 levels.
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Loonie gained lots of strength from the recent USD depreciation. USD/CAD dropped to the strong support at 1.3280 (the upper border of Ichimoku cloud on the daily timeframe). A further decline can be extended no further than 1.3200. Most likely the USD manages to win back its earlier losses and tick towards the resistance at 1.3333 (100 H4 MA). Brent oil futures hopped to $52.15 on the USD weakness.
The euro climbed to 1.0745 from 1.0600 against USD overnight thanks to the absence of any overt hawkish guidance in the Fed’s statement and EU-positive early results of the Dutch elections. The recent returns showed that far-right Wilders’ party won fewer seats than it was expected (19 instead of 22). This means that the shift towards populism may be slowing, or reversing. You may heave a sigh of relief. But the downward pressure on the euro is still in place; the prices are about to slide towards the nearest support at 1.0680/1.0600 levels.
USD/JPY fell to 113.05 in the Asian session. The Bank of Japan held its meeting today and left the monetary policy unchanged as it had been forecasted. The recent decline might be extended to 112.85. The level 111.65 is likely out of reach, however.
GBP/USD spiked to 1.2307 overnight, but in the early hours of Asian session eased off a bit having slid to 1.2265. The Bank of England is due to deliver its rate announcement at 2:00 pm MT time. It’s expected to be non-event. There won’t be Mark Carney’s press conference to put on steam to the BoE’s interest rate announcement.
Aussie erased all the March selling overnight having jumped to 0.7720 from 0.7555. In the Asian session, it failed to advance higher as we got a really disappointing February employment report. The headlines paint not a good picture for Australia’s labor market. There are sturdy support levels at 0.7650/0.7600 levels.
Loonie gained lots of strength from the recent USD depreciation. USD/CAD dropped to the strong support at 1.3280 (the upper border of Ichimoku cloud on the daily timeframe). A further decline can be extended no further than 1.3200. Most likely the USD manages to win back its earlier losses and tick towards the resistance at 1.3333 (100 H4 MA). Brent oil futures hopped to $52.15 on the USD weakness.
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