Technical Analisis Dari FBS.com

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Danske Bank: trade signals for August 5
5 August 2015, 07:29 Comments: 0

Open positions:

EUR/USD: Hold SHORT at 1.0949, TAKE PROFIT 1.0809, STOP LOSS 1.0965 (revised)

USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 124.10, TAKE PROFIT 125.38, STOP LOSS 123.49

GBP/USD: Hold LONG at 1.5510, TAKE PROFIT 1.5701, STOP LOSS 1.5515

USD/CHF: Hold LONG at 0.9665, TAKE PROFIT 0.9863, STOP LOSS 0.9680 (revised)

EUR/CHF: Hold LONG at 1.0635, TAKE PROFIT 1.0732, STOP LOSS 1.0588

GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 193.85, TAKE PROFIT 196.55, STOP LOSS 192.48

NZD/USD: Hold SHORT at 0.6605, TAKE PROFIT 0.6459, STOP LOSS 0.6675

Trade ideas:

USD/CAD: BUY at 1.3062, TAKE PROFIT 1.3337, STOP LOSS 1.2972

EUR/JPY: Possibly SELL

EUR/GBP: Possibly SELL

EUR/CAD: Possibly BUY

AUD/USD: Possibly BUY

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Large banks: trading USD/JPY
6 August 2015, 09:20 Comments: 0
Open positions

Citi: Hold LONG from 124.80, TAKE PROFIT 128.50, STOP LOSS 122.95 (entered on August 5).

JP Morgan: Hold LONG from 124.37, TAKE PROFIT 129.00, STOP LOSS 121.35 (entered on August 5).

Danske Bank: Hold LONG from 123.86, TAKE PROFIT 125.86, STOP LOSS 123.78 (entered on August 3).
Limit orders

Morgan Stanley: BUY at 123.80, TAKE PROFIT 126.00, STOP LOSS 123.40 (entered on August 5).

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Forex trading plan for August 7


By Elizabeth Belugina


US dollar remains strong vs. other major currencies. Traders are rather positive about the upcoming release of the American Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) figures on Friday, at 12:30 GMT. Consensus forecast is that American economy has gained 220-225K jobs in July, while unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.3%. If the reading comes between 200K and 220K, US dollar will be OK, though there may be a negative short-term reaction. A reading below 200K will provoke USD selloff, while NFP around 250K will make the greenback broadly strengthen.

EUR/USD remained above 1.0900. The pair is trading between 1.0950 and 1.0850. Good NFP will make the euro decline towards 1.0800/1.0750, but if US data disappoint we will see a spike towards 1.1050/1.1100. There will be some figures in the euro area, but America will remain in the center of market’s attention.

The super Thursday for British pound did not leave up to expectations. GBP/USD slid below 1.5550, but found support in the 1.5460 area (July 24 low). Only one MPC (Monetary Policy Committee) member voted for the rate hike vs. at least two expected. In addition, the Bank of England’s Governor Carney has mentioned low commodity prices and said that higher sterling affects inflation. However, fundamentally the central bank’s position did not change much. Rate hikes around the beginning of the next year is still on the table. Cable fell because the expectations of the market fueled by the previous Bank of England’s comments were too elevated. There are some positive technical signs like the 100-day MA turning up, so the battle is not lost for the pound in the longer-term. On Friday, however, it will all depend on the US NFP. A strong reading will send GBP/USD to 1.5300, while a weak one will allow it to test levels above 1.5700 with potential target at 1.5800. There is also support in the 1.5400 area (200-day MA).

USD/JPY remains just below the psychological level of 125.00. The Bank of Japan will meet early on Friday. The central bank will likely maintain its monetary stimulus program and upbeat assessment of national economy. Note that the central bank would not like to see the pair above 125.00. Still, in case of strong NFP USD/JPY will surge to 125.75/126.00. The disappointment, however, may provoke a decline down to 123.50 (top of the daily Cloud).

AUD/USD declined after data showed increase in unemployment level. Support is at 0.7315, but strong NFP will provoke a decline to 0.7260/0.7200. Strong resistance is located in the 0.7400 area.

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Danske Bank: trade signals for August 10
10 August 2015, 08:46 Comments: 0
Open positions:

USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 124.10, TAKE PROFIT 125.86 (revised), STOP LOSS 123.99

USD/CHF: Hold LONG at 0.9665, TAKE PROFIT 0.9884, STOP LOSS 0.9755

EUR/CHF: Hold LONG at 1.0635, TAKE PROFIT 1.0900 (revised), STOP LOSS 1.0669

USD/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.3062, TAKE PROFIT 1.3337, STOP LOSS 1.2940

Trade ideas:

EUR/USD: Possibly BUY

GBP/USD: BUY lower

AUD/USD: BUY at 0.7360, TAKE PROFIT 0.7533, STOP at 0.7310

NZD/USD: Possibly buy

EUR/GBP: SELL at 0.7122, TAKE PROFIT 0.6894, STOP at 0.7181

EUR/JPY: Possibly BUY

GBP/JPY: Look for the opportunities to BUY on the dips

EUR/CAD: Possibly BUY

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Dollar strengthening against Yen
11 August 2015, 07:12 Comments: 0

Tatiana Norkina, FBS analyst

The USD/JPY currency pair consolidated above the four-hour Tenkan and Kijun lines support, 124.60, yesterday. Today, the pair is showing positive movement, recovering into the previous-week resistance area - 125.00.

The overall situation looks welcoming for purchases. Indeed, the Tenkan and Kijun lines have kept the positive influence of the golden cross. The Ichimoku cloud has also retained its bullish character, despite the Senkou Span A and B lines lateral movement.

Technical levels: support – 124.60; resistance – 125.00.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 124.80; SL — 124.60; TP1 — 125.60; TP2 — 126.00.

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Danske Bank: trade signals for August 12
12 August 2015, 09:05 Comments: 0

Open positions:

USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 124.10, TAKE PROFIT 125.86, STOP LOSS 124.678 (revised)

USD/CHF: Hold LONG at 0.9665, TAKE PROFIT 1.0010 (revised), STOP LOSS 0.9790

EUR/CHF: Hold LONG at 1.0635, TAKE PROFIT 1.1002 (revised), STOP LOSS 1.0749

Trade ideas:

EUR/USD: Look to BUY at 1.0990/85

GBP/USD: BUY at 1.5515, TAKE PROFIT 1.5701, STOP LOSS 1.5453

AUD/USD: Look to SELL

USD/CAD: Look to BUY dips

EUR/JPY: BUY at 137.81, TAKE PROFIT 139.17, STOP LOSS 137.32

EUR/GBP: SELL at 0.7122, TAKE PROFIT 0.6894, STOP LOSS 0.7181

EUR/CAD: Look to BUY

NZD/USD: SELL at 0.6550, TAKE PROFIT 0.6357, STOP LOSS 0.6645

GBP/JPY: BUY at 193.19, TAKE PROFIT 195.88, STOP LOSS 192.19

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*Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price)

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Forex trading plan for August 13
12 August 2015, 14:20 Comments: 0

By Eizabeth Belugina

China’s devaluation of the yuan, which acted as the bullish factor for the greenback in the first two days of the week, is now creating doubts on whether the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates soon. In addition, the number of job openings in the United States came out lower than expected.

On Thursday the market’s attention will be focused on the release of the US retail sales figures (12:30 GMT). The economists expect a 0.5% growth in both the headline and core indicators in July after a decline in June. Any disappointment will increase pressure on American currency, while its growth in case of positive figures should be limited.

EUR/USD rose above 1.1150 and is moving to 1.1200. The main driver of the pair is the dollar’s weakness, so euro may spike up more before the US data releases. Resistance is at 1.1215 (July 10 high) and 1.1245 (June 30 high). Support is at 1.1100/1088 and 1.1035. On Thursday Greek Parliament will vote to decide if the measures in the third bailout program will be implemented.

GBP/USD sipped to 1.5530 before recovering to 1.5615. UK labor market data came out mixed: the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits during the previous month declined (GBP positive), though earnings growth has slowed down more than expected (GBP negative). The unemployment rate remained at 5.6% where it rose in the previous month. There will be no more important news from Britain this week. Resistance is at 1.5640 and 1.5690/5700. Below 1.5615 the pound will slide to 1.5400/5380.

USD/JPY managed to close above 125.00 on Tuesday, but was then still rejected down to 124.20. Support is at 123.65 guarding the way to 123.00.

AUD/USD spiked down to 0.7215 before recovering to 0.7387. Initially Aussie was affected by the news that China has once again set official yuan rate significantly lower. Still, the possibility of Aussie’s advance isn’t high. The psychological resistance is at 0.7400 and then at 0.7440. Support is at 0.7260 and 0.7215/00.

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

CAD/JPY: sell target - 94.50
14 August 2015, 08:17 Comments: 0

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

CAD/JPY reversed from resistance level 96.00
Next sell target - 94.50

CAD/JPY recently reversed down strongly – after the pair reached the resistance level 96.00, which was set in our earlier forecast as the buy target for this currency pair. This resistance level is also the upper boundary of the sideways price range inside which the pair has been trading from the middle of July. The resistance zone near 96.00 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the 61.8% Fibonacci Correction f the previous impulse 1.

CAD/JPY is likely to fall further inside the active impulse 3 toward the next sell target at the support level 94.50. Strong resistance remains at 96.00.

 

[Syazfirul Enterprise]

Danske Bank: trade signals for August 17
17 August 2015, 10:23 Comments: 0

Open positions:

USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 124.30, TAKE PROFIT 125.86, STOP LOSS 123.75

USD/CHF: Hold LONG at 0.9750, TAKE PROFIT 0.9984, STOP LOSS 0.9639

USD/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.3055, TAKE PROFIT 1.3303, STOP LOSS 1.2938

EUR/JPY: Hold LONG at 138.20, TAKE PROFIT 140.03, STOP LOSS 137.32

EUR/GBP: Hold SHORT at 0.7122, TAKE PROFIT 0.6894, STOP LOSS 0.7181

EUR/CHF: Hold LONG at 1.0635, TAKE PROFIT 1.1002 (revised), STOP LOSS 1.0749

GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 194.20, TAKE PROFIT 197.45, STOP LOSS 192.99

Trade ideas:

GBP/USD: BUY at 1.5565, TAKE PROFIT 1.5701, STOP LOSS 1.5498

EUR/CAD: Possibly BUY

NZD/USD: Possibly SELL

AUD/USD: Possibly BUY

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*Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price)

 

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