Daily Technical Analysis by FxGrow

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 14th July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Futures Technical Overview Ahead of U.S Data Release

U.S is set to release multi inflation figure with CPI and Core CPI in focus. Yesterday, market reaction to Yellen speech was mostly neutral, but what make today's data vital is that Yellen couldn't deliver clear signs about two main issues driving the market. First coming rate hikes and U.S Federal balance sheet. Both, will be subject to economic cycle performance and data should be watched in case the U.S Fed could take a decision regarding them.

Hence, today's data will be watched closely by markets and based on results, traders will take action with expectation for high volatility than the previous days. The main focus will be on CPI and Core CPI as they have more impact on the interest rates in case a decision to be taken.

The Fed chair is not speaking Friday, but Yellen's surprising comments on inflation in congressional testimony this week make Friday's CPI an even hotter topic for markets than it normally would be. CPI is expected to rise by a slight 0.1 percent on headline inflation. (CNBC).

Technical levels for future currencies:

SEP B-POUND

Currently: 12971

Target: None

Resistance: 12977*, 13047+ 12933,

Support: 12894-90, 12849

Trend: Sdwys/Up

Trend Reversal: 1.2802

Comment The market remains short term bullish and yesterday's rally alerts for a preliminary upturn from recent corrections. Trade is poised to launch secondary rallies and a close over 12977* will spark a run to attack over the 13092 high. Any further dips should hold over Wednesday's low to keep a bull alignment. A drop under 12839 targets a drop to 12802* support.

SEP EURO

Currently: 114435

Target: 11580

Resistance: 11490, 11515+, 11580

Support: 11413-12, 11391*

Trend: Up

Trend Reversal: 113.085

Comment The market is bullish, still signaling for a run to 11580+. A pop over Wednesday's reversal high will spark the extension to 11580. Be prepared for additional near term corrective action today, but only a close under 11391* marks a near term peak and signals for retracements to attack 113085* for a larger downturn.

SEP J-YEN

Currently: 88545

Target: None

Resistance: 8879-8885, 8959*

Support: 8838, 8805, 8760-

Trend: Down

Trend Reversal: 8959

Comment: Overall the market is short term bearish. A roll off back through 8800- is negative. A close under the 8760 May low alerts for a larger bear wave near 8700. Wednesday's corrective action hints for near rebounds. A push over 8885 will boost rallies. A close over 8959* is needed to trigger a reversing turn and we should suspect a setback from 8959* on the first test.

SEP SWISS

Currently (10381)

Target: None

Resistance: 10411, 10444-57*,

Support: 10483 10380*-, 10326-

Trend: Sdwys

Trend Reversal Point: 103.80

Comment The market is still bullish and climb over last week's 10483 high or close over 10457* are needed to recapture bull forces and renew the projection to 10700+. However, note yesterday's close is against 10380* support which must hold to maintain bull trend forces. A close under 10380* is bearish, alerting for a selling wave under 10300-.

SEP US DOLLAR

Currently: (95508)

Target: 9507

Resistance: 95915, 9614, 96645*

Support: 9530-, 9507

Trend: Down

Trend Reversal: 96.645

Comment The market is bearish, still suggesting selloffs to reach for 9507. Last week's flagging action leaves trade ready to initiate the flagging downturn. A close under 9507 could add washouts to 9450-9400. Minor recovery action trapped inside this week's range will maintain bear forces. A rebound over 9596 is near term positive, but only a close over 96645* signals a lasting turn to higher prices.

SEP AUSSIE$

Currently: (7725)

Target: 7818

Resistance: 7818

Support:7699, 7685, 7668*

Trend: Up

Trend Reversal: 7627

Comment Yesterday's rally highlights a significant upside breakout and opens up potential for rallies to 7818. Trade is poised for aggressive rallies. Any corrective dips that hold within yesterday's range will maintain strong bull forces and create a staging level for rallies. Only a close under 7668* warns for a multi-day correction phase back down to 7627*.

AUG GOLD

Currently 121640

Target: 118920

Resistance: 122350-122420, 122830*

Support: 121460-00, 1208-, 119940

Trend: Down

Trend Reversal: 1238.60

Comment The market remains in a downturn and holds potential below 1200-. A flagging downturn from current corrections calls for aggressive selloffs. Near term corrections that stall in the 1220's will reinforce the bear pattern. A close over 122830* is needed to stop the downturn and send rallies to 123860*.


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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 17th July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

EUR/USD Pushes Higher As The Buck Reaches Lower, CPI Eyed

EUR/USD bullish trend is sustained supported by U.S Negative released on Friday, with disappointing CPI as Yellen mentioned that any tapering with Rates and U.S Federal balance sheet will be subject to economic data (U.S Data on Friday). As a result, the pair rallied from 1.1391 low on Friday, extended weaker gains this week with a higher high by 5-pips and 1.1475 peak for today.

Currently, the pair is trading 1.1448, awaiting vital data as EU releases Final CPI y/y. ECB will release a statement this Thursday along with Interest Rates decision which makes today's data articular. Draghi has mentioned for a potential change or increasing rates, if not, Quantitative Easing program edition which is currently attracting EUR/USD fever buyers, hence the pair dwelling high above. As for the buck, the U.S Index looks helpless with a yearly low at 94.83 for today.

Fundamentals:

1- EUR - Findal CPI and Core CPI today at 9:00 AM GMT.

Technical Overview:

Trend: Up

Target: 1.1580

Resistance levels: R1 1.1485+ , R2 1.1528, R3 1.1560+/- (D1)

Support levels: S1 1.1459, S2 1.1440, S3 1.1391 (D1)

Comment EUR Future: The market is bullish, still signalling for a run to 1.1580+. A pop over last week's reversal high will spark the extension to 1.1580. Be prepared for additional near term corrective action along 1.1450 to continue developing a staging level for rallies. Only a close under 1.1391* marks a near term peak and signals for retracement to attack 1.1308* for a larger downturn.

Daily RSI is at 62 , Hourly RSI at 51, which gives the pair space to push higher than Friday's high.

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.https://goo.gl/9a4k9k

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 18th July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Sterling Inches Higher Ahead of Multi Inflation Figures

GBP/USD extended the bullish momentum today after a remarkable home-run on Friday with 1.3113 2017 news-highs. Yesterday, the pair made a correction plunging to 1.3046, resting daily RSI to 60 level, then rewarded losses clocking 1.3099 high ahead of major inflation data to be released today which could fuel GBP/USD for a newer high record in case of a positive UK CPI associated with previous hawkish speech by Carney, head of BOE.

Add to that, U.S Dollar continues digging lower with 94.49 2017 fresh-low. Expectations of further tumbling for the U.S Index in the coming days as Reuters reported a setback yesterday for health care program and a major conflict among Republicans regarding the system.

UK Data, after a release, will be followed by Gov. Carney in the afternoon with expectation for a hawkish tone supporting Sterling sharp tone facing pace buck, but still UK CPI will set the tone for Carney.

Analysts at Nomura Securities - the global financial services giant - say the Bank of England will raise interest rates by ...

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.https://goo.gl/v6hAKu

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 19th July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

FxGrow: Forex Market Technical Overview

EUR/USD: Potential For 1.1585 high

Pivot: 1.1510
Our preference: long positions above 1.1510 with targets at 1.1565 & 1.1585 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.1510 look for further downside with 1.1485 & 1.1470 as targets.
Comment: even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

GBP/USD Remains Under Pressure By Yesterday's Negative CPI

Pivot: 1.3060
Our preference: short positions below 1.3060 with targets at 1.3000 & 1.2950 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1.3060 look for further upside with 1.3085 & 1.3115 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is mixed to bearish.

USD/JPY Intraday: key resistance at 112.40

Pivot: 112.40
Our preference: short positions below 112.40 with targets at 111.75 & 111.50 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 112.40 look for further upside with 112.85 & 113.15 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is mixed to bearish.

AUD/USD: The Upside Prevails With 2017 New Highs

Pivot: 0.7865
Our preference: long positions above 0.7865 with targets at 0.7950 & 0.7990 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 0.7865 look for further downside with 0.7835 & 0.7785 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is mixed to bullish.

Gold Extends Bullish Momentum Supported by Rising Trendline

Pivot: 1238.00
Our preference: long positions above 1238.00 with targets at 1247.00 & 1250.00 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1238.00 look for further downside with 1232.50 & 1227.00 as targets.
Comment: even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.https://goo.gl/9a4k9k

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 19th July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Global Glut Output Still Pressure Oil Levels Despite OPEC Efforts, Eyes on U.S Inventories

Crude Oil still fails to close above $47 level, developing a habit with a sharp slip as a phobia. Through out July, crude oil was seen flirting with $47.00+, and yesterday, oil peaked to $47.12, giving potential for further advance, then failed to guard gains and closed at $46.41. Currently oil is trading at 50-EMA level at $46.46 intraday, and in case market closes above it, we could see some further gains in the coming days.

Fundamentally, market is still receiving mix signals between OPEC pledging for further actions to curb global output and U.S increasing inventories that was reported yesterday.

Libya and Nigeria has exceeded previous June levels with a report showing that both countries recorded a 3M bpd yesterday. Saudi Arabia, along with other OPEC countries still ...

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.https://goo.gl/J3rqjs

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 19th July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Aussie: Chances For Further Gains Ahead of Unemployment Rate

Australian Dollar extended the intensive inclines, searching for newer highs as AUD/USD clocks multi years 0.7947 today. The pair uptrend found support by recent hawish RBA statement, positive Chinese GDP on Monday opening session, and continuous collapsing U.S Dollar as the Index with 94.26 low yesterday.

The pair awaits vital data as Australia releases Unemployment Rate on Tuesday opening session. Expectations are at ...

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.https://goo.gl/Ywn8My

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 20th July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

USD/JPY Testing 50-EMA, Awaiting U.S Unemployment Data

USD/JPY digested yesterday losses and surged 40-pips on Thursday's Asian session with 1.1217 high for today. Currently the pair is trading 112.10, hovering at 50-EMA at 112.05 preferring sideways trend and awaiting cautiously for further intake as U.S releases data on NY opening sessions.

BOJ, as expected kept rates at current minus 0.1%, pushing back inflation target for sixth time and keeping policy steady with a bit hawkish stance contaminating USD/JPY spikes. Kuroda, BOJ Gov. will cross wires shortly with expectations that answers will be consistent with earlier statement but still, traders has to decipher words in case Kuroda got market off-guard.

On the other hand, the pair price action will undergo ...

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.https://goo.gl/hnqoEj

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 20th July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

GBP/USD Trading Flat Ahead of UK Retails Sales

GBP/USD has traded 18-pips on Thursday with 1.3014 low. The pair was on selloff wave on Tuesday after receiving negative UK CPI, but still the pair is bullish as dips still fight 1.3000 level with a constant re-bounce and calling for further pressings if we still consider recent daily candles as a correction phase. The pair is still trading above 10-EMA (1.2990), currently 1.3034 intraday.

Sterling bullish momentum awaits UK Retail Sales to be released shortly (8:30 AM GMT) which justifies low price action today. Carney precious statements regarding BOE interest rates tapering was tackled on Tuesday as data and statement were opposed, but Retails Sales today will give a better view on how BOE is ...

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.https://goo.gl/1sE9di

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 21st July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Daily Technical Market Overview

EUR/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 1.1585

Our preference: long positions above 1.1585 with targets at 1.1660 & 1.1685 in extension.

Alternative scenario: below 1.1585 look for further downside with 1.1535 & 1.1495 as targets.

Comment: even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.


GBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.

Pivot: 1.3000

Our preference: short positions below 1.3000 with targets at 1.2930 & 1.2900 in extension.

Alternative scenario: above 1.3000 look for further upside with 1.3030 & 1.3055 as targets.

Comment: as long as 1.3000 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.


USD/JPY Intraday: key resistance at 112.10.

...

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.https://goo.gl/MhwofQ

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 24th July, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

EUR/USD Inching Higher Ahead of Multi Local PMI Data

EUR/USD extended the uptrend momentum supported by Draghi's Thursday hawkish QE comments. The pair rallied from 1.1479 low on Thursday and clocked 1.1682 high on Friday with extra +2-pips today, 1.1684 high. On the other hand, uncertainties still revolves around the greenback with absence of health care bill accelerating scandals about Russia meddling in Trump's election pushing U.S Index into 93.63 yearly low.

Technically, the pair is trading 1.1674, testing 10-EMA hourly at 1.1670 ahead of multi local flash Manufacturing and Services PMI which will give ...

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.https://goo.gl/R2YCMA

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.