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FxGrow Fundamental Analysis – 12th April, 2017
By FxGrow Investment Research Desk
Crude Oil Rallies Over Geopolitical Tension, Awaiting U.S Inventories
Fundamentals:
Crude oil prices added +1.28 profit bp this week +2.44% with 53.58 April-2017-fresh-highs. On March 2017, oil prices fell to the lowest at 47.07 over concerns of market glut driven by intensive U.S shale drilling and overloaded storage. Last week, U.S attack on Al-Shaayrat airfield sparked fears in market with possible consequences that yet might come in coming days and this week, tension aroused further more as U.S battleships approaches North Korean offshore, and the Koreans responded with a sharper ascending tone, threatening to use Nuclear muscle power, in case they are provoked.
On the other hand, Saudi Arabia told OPEC cartel that they have the good intention of extending OPEC-deal that was constructed in Vienna, late 2016. Add to that, troubles with Libyan oil filed still continues. Last week, there were also concerns about a supply outage at a field in the United Kingdom's North Sea that feeds into an international benchmark price.
According to OPEC's sources quoted by Reuters, OPEC's 11 states with oil output targets comply 104% with curbs in March. Also, OPEC oil output data from secondary sources may be revised before publication on Wednesday. On Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute said U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 1.3 million barrels last week, following a 1.8 million drop seen in the previous report. The weekly inventory report from the Energy Information Administration due to be released today during the NA session now has the potential to record a drop as well.
Summary: Given the geopolitical tension in the middle eat and the ugly flirting between U.S and North Korea, crude levels has the potential to break higher. Add to that, Saudi Arabia message of six months extension desire which is a clear message for April 22th 2017 OPEC next-meeting, will support oil bullish forces more. We look forward for U.S Crude Inventories today at 2:30 PM GMT.
Technical Overview:
Trend: Bullish/sideways
Resistance levels: R1 54.11, R2 54.79, R3 55.63
Support levels: S1 52.52, S2 51.67, R3 50.71
Remark: The market has turned short term bullish. A close over 53.65 is needed to continue pressing advances. Be guard for a back off from 53.65 into a short term swing high. Corrections should fight to hold along 51.00. A close Below S3 level is an indication for shifting course trend to bearish.
For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.http://fxgrow.com/analysis-educatio...cal-analysis-fxgrow-free-forex-analysis-tools
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
By FxGrow Investment Research Desk
Crude Oil Rallies Over Geopolitical Tension, Awaiting U.S Inventories
Fundamentals:
Crude oil prices added +1.28 profit bp this week +2.44% with 53.58 April-2017-fresh-highs. On March 2017, oil prices fell to the lowest at 47.07 over concerns of market glut driven by intensive U.S shale drilling and overloaded storage. Last week, U.S attack on Al-Shaayrat airfield sparked fears in market with possible consequences that yet might come in coming days and this week, tension aroused further more as U.S battleships approaches North Korean offshore, and the Koreans responded with a sharper ascending tone, threatening to use Nuclear muscle power, in case they are provoked.
On the other hand, Saudi Arabia told OPEC cartel that they have the good intention of extending OPEC-deal that was constructed in Vienna, late 2016. Add to that, troubles with Libyan oil filed still continues. Last week, there were also concerns about a supply outage at a field in the United Kingdom's North Sea that feeds into an international benchmark price.
According to OPEC's sources quoted by Reuters, OPEC's 11 states with oil output targets comply 104% with curbs in March. Also, OPEC oil output data from secondary sources may be revised before publication on Wednesday. On Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute said U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 1.3 million barrels last week, following a 1.8 million drop seen in the previous report. The weekly inventory report from the Energy Information Administration due to be released today during the NA session now has the potential to record a drop as well.
Summary: Given the geopolitical tension in the middle eat and the ugly flirting between U.S and North Korea, crude levels has the potential to break higher. Add to that, Saudi Arabia message of six months extension desire which is a clear message for April 22th 2017 OPEC next-meeting, will support oil bullish forces more. We look forward for U.S Crude Inventories today at 2:30 PM GMT.
Technical Overview:
Trend: Bullish/sideways
Resistance levels: R1 54.11, R2 54.79, R3 55.63
Support levels: S1 52.52, S2 51.67, R3 50.71
Remark: The market has turned short term bullish. A close over 53.65 is needed to continue pressing advances. Be guard for a back off from 53.65 into a short term swing high. Corrections should fight to hold along 51.00. A close Below S3 level is an indication for shifting course trend to bearish.
For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.http://fxgrow.com/analysis-educatio...cal-analysis-fxgrow-free-forex-analysis-tools
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.