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Technical Analysis from www.Instaforex.com

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for December 09, 2015 2015-12-09 0/5




USD/JPY is expected to trade with bearish bias. Overnight, US stock indices extended losses, weighed down by declining metal and mining shares. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped another 0.9% to 17,568, the S&P 500 fell 0.7% to 2,063, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.1% to 5,098. Nymex crude oil slid a further 0.4% to $37.51 a barrel, gold gained 0.4% to $1,074 an ounce, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury edged down to 2.227% from 2.236% in the previous session. Meanwhile, the greenback showed mixed trading yesterday. USD/CAD gained 0.7% to 1.3583, AUD/USD dropped 0.7% to 0.7214, GBP/USD fell 0.3% to 1.5006, while EUR/USD rebounded 0.5% to 1.0893 and USD/JPY was down 0.5% to 122.90. The pair is trading on the downside below both the 20-period (30-minute chart) and 50-period intraday moving averages. And the relative strength index badly directed below the neutrality level at 50. As long as such a bearish intraday outlook persists, the pair should return to the first downside target at 122.50 (around yesterday's low) before falling further to 122.25 (the low of December 4). Trading recommendations: The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 122.50. A break of that target will move the pair further downwards to 122.25. The pivot point stands at 123.20. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. According to that scenario, long positions are recommended with the first target at 123.50 and the second target at 123.75. Resistance levels: 123.50 123.75 124 Support levels: 122.50 122.25 121.85 Performed by Ahsan Aslam, Analytical expert InstaForex Group © 2007-2015

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EUR/USD:





This pair has moved upwards by 200 pips this week. Since the bullish breakout that happened last week, the price has moved upwards by 500 pips. This means the breakout is not false one. The price is now above the support line at 1.1000 going towards the resistance line at 1.1050. It should be noted that the support line at 1.1000 is important; therefore it would not be easy for the price to breach it to the downside anytime soon.

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USD/CHF:







The USD/CHF pair has dropped by 170 pips this week. Since the bearish breakout of the last week, the price has nosedived by 470 pips. The price is below the resistance level of 0.9850 going towards the support level of 0.9800. Apart from the natural negative correlation with the EUR/USD pair, another reason for weakness in the USD/CHF pair is the fact that the CHF is also strong.

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GBP/USD:





The cable has given out a bullish signal. The price is now above the EMA 11, which in its turn is above the EMA 56. The RSI period 14 is above the level of 50. Furthermore, some fundamental figures are expected today and they might have an impact on the market.

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USD/JPY:







The USD/JPY pair has left the recent neutral zone owing to the bearish breakout, which happened on Wednesday. The price dropped by 200 pips this week. There is now a bearish bias in the market. Further southward journey is possible until there may be occasional bounces.

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EUR/JPY:






This cross traded sideways on Wednesday without any serious breakout. Since there is still a clear Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, the price can easily continue journeying northwards. One reason for this expectation is the bright outlook for the market.

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EUR/USD:
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After moving upwards by 200 pips, the EUR/USD pair got corrected downwards. But it must be noted that the correction is just as it is a mere bearish correction in the context of an uptrend. What happened this week showed that the bullish breakout we had seen last week was not a bogus one.

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USD/CHF:




After ramming into the support level at 0.9850, this pair has bounced upwards. However, the upward bounce pales into insignificance when compared with the dominant bearish bias on the pair. Bearish potential targets are seen at the support levels of 0.9800 and 0.9750, which could be broken to the downside.

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GBP/USD:




The cable has generated a bullish signal. The price is now above the EMA 11, which in its turn is above the EMA 56. The RSI period 14 is above the level of 50. It is expected that the price could reach the distribution territories of 1.5250 and 1.5300; proving that the buying pressure in the market is intense.

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USD/JPY:





There is a clean Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the USD/JPY chart, which shows that long trades are irrational in the market now. After dropping by 200 pips this week, the market has become quite choppy. Further southward movement is anticipated because of the ongoing weakness in the market.

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Live Forex Chart

Currency
Rates
EUR / USD
1.12030
USD / JPY
158.285
GBP / USD
1.32415
USD / CHF
0.82966
USD / CAD
1.42645
EUR / JPY
177.327
AUD / USD
0.69840
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