BTC USD 85,806.1 Gold USD 4,140.79
Time now: Jun 1, 12:00 AM

Technical Analysis from www.Instaforex.com





Here is an important intraday level area for this pair today:

Resistance. 3 : 86.20.
Resistance. 2 : 86.03.
Resistance. 1 : 85.87.
Support. 1 : 85.66.
Support. 2 : 85.49.
Support. 3 : 85.32.
Please, pay attention to Support. 3 and Resistance. 3 levels; usually when this pair hits these two levels, it will make this pair bounce from 10 Pips to 20 Pips; but if after USD/JPY breaks those levels (Support. 3 or Resistance. 3) and still goes to 50 Pips from those levels (Support. 3 or Resistance. 3); this pair seems to continue its movement towards.
The screenshot is below:




Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 



Here is a significant intraday level area for this pair today:

Breakout Buy level : 1.3281.
Strong Resistance : 1.3273.
Original Resistance : 1.3260.
Inner Sell Area : 1.3247.
Target Inner Area : 1.3216.
Inner Buy Area : 1.3185.
Original Support : 1.3172.
Strong Support : 1.3159.
Breakout Sell level : 1.3151.
Here is the screenshot below:





Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 



Dear traders,

For the EUR/JPY, the main targets remained unchanged and here the downward structure from July 28 is considered as initial points. For GBP/JPY, despite that the upward structure from July 30 is still of interest here there is good potential for the descendant motion from August 3.

In this analytical review, we will analyze the development of the structure for today for such pairs as EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY. Having read it, you should realize more clearly possible prospects of the currencies development. In this method, for a simpler representation we use the standard notions of the technical analysis, such as support and resistance levels, though the method itself is based on the properties of the fractal function and has a deep meaning of the current and the future situation understanding. All the calculations are made from the initial conditions of the cycle development. The direction of the price movement from the current initial conditions are shown with a black arrow line. The alternative movement is shown with a red arrow line, in case of breaking through the key levels for cancellation of the uprising or downfalling cycle. As a rule, the red line also indicates the correctional movement and a short-term exit through the level. Do not use only the images; study the text in order to understand the progress of the event.

Forecast for August 10:




The important levels for EUR/JPY are 115.84, 115.54, 114.79, 114.39, 113.87, 112.69, 112.51, 112.08, 111.61 and 111.31. Here, the key levels left without changes and for now we are following the falling tendency from July 28 as major initial conditions in H1. The further downward motion is awaited after the price going through the noise range of 112.69 - 112.51. In this case a target is at 112.08. Before this level potential initial conditions for the further development of the descendant structure should have formed. In general, the potential downward value is 111.61, the movement to which is possible after he breakout of the level of 112.08. In the corridor of 111.61 – 111.31 the price consolidation is due. Concerning the upward movement, the breach of 113.87 will be favorable for its development. In this case the first target will be 114.39. Further, the main levels for the high remained unchanged.

Trading recommendations:
Buy: 114.39 Take profit: 114.75
Buy: 114.85 Take profit: 115.54
Sell: 112.51 Take profit: 112.08
Sell: 112.05 Take profit: 111.61




The major levels for GBP/JPY are 137.80, 137.26, 137.01, 136.26, 135.89, 135.24, 134.61, 134.31, 133.71 and 133.38. Here we are following further the development of the downward structure from August 3. The continuation of the falling movement is expected after the breakout of 135.24 level, in this case the target is at 134.61. In the range of 134.61 – 134.31 the price consolidation is due. The breach of the level of 134.31 will allow the further development of the descendant tendency; here the target is 133.71. A potential value for the bottom is considered 133.38 level, after reaching of which consolidation in the corridor of 133.71 – 133.38 is awaited. A correctional rising movement is possible to take place in the diapason of 135.89 – 136.26, the breach of the last reading will affect negatively the downward structure development; here a potential target is 137.01. However, the level will not probably be reached by the price. The diapason of 137.01 – 137.26 is a key support for the low, the breach of it will be favorable for the upward development; here the target is 137.80. Also, it is necessary to consider that the rising structure from July 30 is still of interest.

Trading recommendation:
Buy: 138.00 Take profit: 139.81
Buy: 139.90 Take profit: 141.20
Sell: 135.20 Take profit: 134.61
Sell: 134.30 Take profit: 133.71

Please, note that making this trading recommendations we take into account not all potential of the structure development, but only the major levels.



Performed by Aleksey Almazov, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 




After the strong Downtrend Momentum (Closing and opening below the SELL Breakout Level Area) this pair now at the 1.2883 levels; and this is an important intraday level area for this pair today:
Breakout Buy level : 1.2913.
Strong Resistance : 1.2905.
Original Resistance : 1.2893.
Inner Sell Area : 1.2881.
Target Inner Area : 1.2849.
Inner Buy Area : 1.2819.
Original Support : 1.2807.
Strong Support : 1.2795.
Breakout Sell level : 1.2786.
Here is the screenshot below:






Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 




This pair yesterday hit the Support. 3 at 85.32. After that this pair in m15 chart (14:00) made a shooting star formation and quickly hit the target (between 10 Pips to 20 Pips above the Support. 3 level area). Anyway here is the intraday important levels for this pair today:
Resistance. 3 : 85.52.
Resistance. 2 : 85.35.
Resistance. 1 : 85.19.
Support. 1 : 84.98.
Support. 2 : 84.81.
Support. 3 : 84.64.
Please, pay attention to Support. 3 and Resistance. 3 levels; usually when this pair hits these two levels, it will make this pair bounce from 10 Pips to 20 Pips; but if after USD/JPY breaks those levels (Support. 3 or Resistance. 3) and still goes to 50 Pips from those levels (Support. 3 or Resistance. 3); this pair seems to continue its movement towards.
The screenshot is below:





Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 




On Wednesday, the US stock market fell amid the Chinese demand weakening, which strengthened worries about the global economic recovery.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 265.42 points or 2.49% to 10,378.83, posting the biggest one-day drop since June 29. Thus, in this year it was the 11th decline of the index by more than 200 points. In the result of the last drop the DJIA showed the decline of 0.47% compared to the beginning of the year. The Nasdaq Composite was down 68.54 points or 3.01% at 2208.63. Standard & Poor’s 500 edged down 31.59 points or 2.82% to 1089.47.
On Wednesday, Alcoa, Boeing and Caterpillar equities were affected most of all. Shares in Alcoa tumbled 69 cents or 6.1% to at $10.66. Boeing shares became cheaper $3.02 or 4.4% to $65.60, and stocks in Caterpillar decreased by $2.71 or 3.8% to $68.71.
Only several securities ended trades in the positive territory. Shares in Macy’s rose $1.14 or 5.9% to $20.52. The company reported second-quarter profit that exceeded analysts’ estimates and raised its annual earnings forecast.
Other companies’ shares fell as China offered a series of disappointing economic reports about retail sales and industrial output. China is a large source of demand for the American companies, especially in the material sector. In this connection, investors concern about an effect of the Chinese growth slowdown to the US economy, especially after the FRS said on Tuesday that the US recovery is more moderate than-was-expected.
After a strong recovery in the US stock market from March 2009 lows, now investors begin to worry about the second wave of recession.
The strongest fears are about that probably the world recovery will slow down more-than-expected and that the US economy stagnates and goes to zero economic growth again.




Performed by Vladimir Donin, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 




4-hour timeframe



Overview:
A new sales signal has formed with the target level of 1.3040. The target level has been already reached. The sale signal is strong and confirmed by the fixation of Chinkou Span below the price curve as well as the price fixed below Ishimoku cloud. Having overcome the second support level, the price stopped nearly the third support level of 1.2830. This makes us think about correction. Therefore, bearish trading is not recommended now. In case the downward tendency renews, which will be signaled by MACD down-reversal, the targets will be at 1.2830 and 1.2650. If the price fixates above Kijun-sen (1.3070), the current ‘sell’ signal will weaken and short positions are better to close. Chinkou Span is placed below the price curve, which confirms the present sale signal. Bollinger bands indicate a descendant movement; the bands are diverging and down-directed. MACD is decreasing testifying to possible continuation of the downtrend.
Trading recommendations:
Waiting for the end of correction is advisable in such situation. After that, it will be allowed to bear with targets at 1.2830 and 1.2650. Stop loss to place above 1.3070.
Besides the technical picture, it is important to consider the fundamental reports and time of their release.
The chart annotation:
Ishimoku indicator:
Tenkan-sen — red line
Kijun-sen — blue line
Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
Chinkou Span — green line
Bollinger Bands indicator:
3 yellow lines
MACD indicator:
The red line and the histogram with the white bars in the indicators window.


Performed by Stanislav Polyanskiy, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 



Review :

Yesterday after the Strong Downtrend couple days ago, this pair entering in Sideways period. After London Market opened EUR/USD has got a bearish pressure especially when this pair entering Inner Selling Area at 1.2881; this pair with easy hits the Inner Target Area at 1.2850. But after this pair hit the Strong Support at 1.2795 this pair gain a little bit momentum especially when this pair starting hit the Inner Buying Area this pair directly goes to Inner Area Target again at 1.2850. Before it starts ranging until now (Asian market Session). However the bias for this pair is still in a Bearish Mode.






Technical Trading Level Area:

Breakout Buy level : 1.2904.
Strong Resistance : 1.2896.
Original Resistance : 1.2884
Inner Sell Area : 1.2871.
Target Inner Area : 1.2841.
Inner Buy Area : 1.2810.
Original Support : 1.2798.
Strong Support : 1.2785.
Breakout Sell level : 1.2778.




Fundamental News release:

This day seems to be a busy day and a little bit volataile for EUR/USD because many news release will come out from Eurozone and United States, Eurozone at 13:00 WIB will start with German Prelim GDP q/q and continue with French Prelim Non-Farm Payrolls q/q, French Prelim GDP q/q, and French CPI m/m at 13:45 WIB and at 16:00 WIB. Afternoon there will be the release of 2 news: Trade Balance and Flash GDP q/q. After Market US open there will be more news data release from them: Core CPI m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, and CPI m/m at 19:30 WIB; and at 20:55 WIB 2 news data will be release as well: Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations and 5 minutes after that at 21:00 WIB: Business Inventories m/m.

Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 



Yesterday's review:

At 11:30 (Candlestick/bar) on a M15 chart; this pair already back to turn around into Support. 3 at 85.52 and hit the profit target at 10 pips to 20 pips before this pair starting to go upwards again. The reason of the US dollar sharp increase against its rivals as worries emerge about the global economy, which makes the market move to safe-haven assets. Skepticism on Federal Reserve policy, economic data plus China, Japan, and England's disappointing economic projections, a series of factors that trigger anxiety. Market doubts the Federal Reserve announced steps limited the purchase of assets in order to push the U.S. economy. However, the market also saw a negative growth of other countries.






Technical Levels:

Resistance. 3 : 86.49.

Resistance. 2 : 86.32.

Resistance. 1 : 86.15.

Support. 1 : 85.94.

Support. 2 : 85.77.

Support. 3 : 85.60.



Suggestion:

Taking Scalp for 10 pips to 20 Pips at near Support. 3 for BUY and Resistance. 3 for SELL; but please consider if this pair after the break Support. 3 or Resistance. 3 still goes to 47 pips - 50 pips it seems this pair will continue that movement, so please change the position before.






Fundamental News release:

From Japan, only one news data will be release at 06:50 WIB early morning: Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes; but after US market open, it seems there is a lot of data will be release such Core CPI m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, CPI m/m at 19:30 WIB afternoon, and at 20:55 WIB there will be 2 data will be release by United States: Prelim UoM Inflation Expectation, and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, and at last at 21:00 WIB: Business Inventory m/m.





Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 



Dear traders,


For EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY, the key levels remained unchanged. We do not see evident initial conditions for the ascendant correction development here.


In this analytical review, we will analyze the development of the structure for today for such pairs as EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY. Having read it, you should realize more clearly possible prospects of the currencies development. In this method, for a simpler representation we use the standard notions of the technical analysis, such as support and resistance levels, though the method itself is based on the properties of the fractal function and has a deep meaning of the current and the future situation understanding. All the calculations are made from the initial conditions of the cycle development. The direction of the price movement from the current initial conditions are shown with a black arrow line. The alternative movement is shown with a red arrow line, in case of breaking through the key levels for cancellation of the uprising or downfalling cycle. As a rule, the red line also indicates the correctional movement and a short-term exit through the level. Do not use only the images; study the text in order to understand the progress of the event.


Forecast for August 13:




The important levels for EUR/JPY are 113.99, 112.30, 111.60, 111.01, 109.12, 108.66 and 107.69. Here, we are following the falling tendency from July 28. A short-term downward motion is possible in the range of 109.12 – 108.66. From here, there is a high probability of reversal to correction. In general, the potential level for the low is considered 107.69, after reaching which an upward retrace is expected. There are no any initial conditions for the uprising tendency. A correctional ascending movement is possible in the range of 111.01 – 111.60, break of the last figure will cause the deepening to the level of 112.30, where from a key bounce back downwards is awaited. The breach of this level will affect negatively the further upward structure in H1 scale. The level of 113.99 is a key resistance for the high and is interesting in a mid-term outlook.


Trading recommendations:
Buy: 111.01 Take profit: 111.60
Buy: 111.65 Take profit: 112.30
Sell: 109.12 Take profit: 108.67
Sell: 108.60 Take profit: 107.69





The major levels for GBP/JPY are 135.47, 134.90, 134.40, 132.70, 132.47 and 131.77. Here we are following further the development of the downward structure from August 3. The continuation of the falling movement is expected after the price passing the noisy range of 132.70 – 132.47, in this case the potential target is at 131.77, after reaching which a upward pullback is expected. For an increasing tendency, no initial conditions have been created yet. The development of the ascendant correction is awaited after the breakout of 134.40; here the target is 134.90. the price consolidation is due in this diapason. As a whole, the potential value for the top is considered 135.47 level for now. Form this level a key downward reversal is expected as well as the formation of potential initial conditions for the development of rising cycle.


Trading recommendation:
Buy: 134.93 Take profit: 135.47
Sell: 132.47 Take profit: 131.77




Please, note that making this trading recommendations we take into account not all potential of the structure development, but only the major levels.




Performed by Aleksey Almazov, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 

Live Forex Chart

Currency
Rates
EUR / USD
1.12583
USD / JPY
157.777
GBP / USD
1.32435
USD / CHF
0.82863
USD / CAD
1.42550
EUR / JPY
177.583
AUD / USD
0.69569
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