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Fundamental Analisis By InstaForex

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Overbought/Oversold

The Detrended Oscillator is oscillating around the zero level. The indicator gives the nearest overbought some 60-80 pips above the current level. Assuming that the major trend is still down, it's good to seek topping signals to enter short.


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According to wave count, this currency pair is moving within wave 5 of the med term downtrend - the waves are colored magenta on the chart. Within this wave there's a set of 3 waves - ABC (colored red). The targets of the downside movement are Fibonacci expansions off 137.75-135.46-136.97, 136.97-132.78-134.80, 134.80-133.08-133.98, 133.98-133.13-133.53, and retracements of 130.80-137.75:

- 132.44 = .764 retracement
- 132.26-21-15 = confluence area of objective point (OP), contracted objective point (COP) and expanded objective point (XOP)
- 131.30 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 131.20 = XOP

In case the price reverses to the upside the nearest resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the downwave starting from 134.80.




Overbought/Oversold

The Detrended Oscillator is moving to the zero level. The neares overbought area is some 40-60 pips above. Assuming that the major trend is down, it's good to seek for reversal down from the overbought.

Performed by Denis Strelkov, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 



According to wave count this currency pair is developing a corrective wave to med term downside impulse 0.9221-0.8861. On smaller timeframes the pair is beginning a downwave, which has the potential to become subwave A of the impulse C (A and B colored magenta on the chart). The targets of the downside movement are Fibonacci expansions off 0.9221-0.8861-0.9078 and retracements of 0.8861-0.9078:

- 0.8970 = .50 retracement
- 0.8944 = .618 retracement
- 0.8856 = contracted objective point (COP)

In case the price reverses to the upside the nearest target is still:

- 0.9083 = .618 retracement of the downside movement from 0.9221-0.8861.




Overbought/Oversold

The Detrended Oscillator is greatly oversold. Assuming that the med term trend is down, it's good to look for topping signals around the oversold area, which according to the indicator is some 40-60 pips above the current price.

Performed by Denis Strelkov, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 
Ifo: World Economic Climate Clouded In Q3

The world economic climate looks slightly clouded in the third quarter of 2010, latest survey results from the Ifo Institute for Economic Research showed Wednesday.

The think tank said its world economic climate indicator fell to 103.2 in the third quarter from 104.1 in the second quarter. It suggests that the recovery of world economic activity will continue at a slower pace in the second half of the year, the Munich-based Ifo said.

The world economic climate indicator fell in North America and in Asia, but rose in Western Europe. In North America, the assessments of the current economic situation were more favorable than in the previous survey and expectations for the coming six months were less optimistic. In Asia, the favorable economic situation has improved further, but the optimism for the next half year has declined somewhat.

In Western Europe, the assessments of the current economic situation have improved more clearly than the worldwide average. Since the six-month economic outlook has not clouded so strongly, the climate indicator as a whole rose marginally, the think tank said.

Although the surveyed experts have given better assessments of the current economic situation than in the first half of 2010, the economic expectations for the coming six months have been revised downwards. The corresponding indicator declined to 112.3 from 126.3.

In contrast to the previous surveys, the euro was assessed as slightly undervalued against the U.S. dollar. Overall, in the coming six months, after adjustments have occurred, the experts foresee largely stable exchange rates for the four major world currencies, the euro, the U.S. dollar, the Japanese yen and the British pound, Ifo said.

News are provided by InstaForex.
 



GBP/JPY, according to wave count, has developed 5 waves of the med term downtrend - colored magenta on the chart. The current upwave is considered the beginning of a corrective cycle. However nothing stops the price from falling below 132.43 - then we'll have an extension.

The targets of the upside movement are Fibonacci retracements of 137.75-132.43 and expansions off 132.43-133.72-132.82:

- 133.62 = contracted objective point (COP), reached already
- 134.11 = objective point (OP)
- 134.46 = .382 retracement
- 134.91 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 135.09 = .50 ret
- etc.

In case we have an extension of the med term downtrend, the prices remain basically the same:

- 130.97 = super expanded objective point (SXOP) off waves 1-2
- 130.61 = objective point (OP) off waves 3-4 (see previous reports)




Overbought/Oversold

The Detrended Oscillator is slightly above the zero level. Nearest overbought area - 20-40 pips above, nearest oversold - 30-50 pips below. Assuming that the major downtrend may be reversing, it's better to stand aside until the situation clears.

Performed by Denis Strelkov, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 



AUD/USD, according to wave count, is developing corrective wave B to the med term downtrend 0.9221-0.8861. The targets of the upside movement are retracements of this wave:

- 0.9083 = .618 retracement, is still intact

The targets of the downside movement are Fibonacci retracements of 0.8861-0.9078, and expansions off 0.9078-0.8972-0.9021:

- 0.8944 = .618 ret, the price reversed within 3 pips of that level
- 0.8915 = objective point (OP)
- 0.8849 = expanded objective point (XOP)

In case the price breaks under 0.8861, the strategic targets will be Fibonacci expansions off waves AB - 0.9221-0.8861-0.9078 (see the magenta waves):

- 0.8856 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 0.8718 = OP




Overbought/Oversold

The Detrended Oscillator is moving into the overbought area which is still some 10-20 pips above the current price. The nearest oversold area is 30-40 pips under as of now. Assuming that the major thrend is down but the pair is trading in a flat - it's good to wait until the situation clears out.

Performed by Denis Strelkov, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 






During yesterday’s trading, GBP/USD pair developed a 5-wave structure on the downward trend from August 6. At the same time, after reaching the lower limit of the ascendant channel, the price bounced quite dynamically from the level of 1.5500. It seems that in the result of these movements yesterday’s low can be either wave a of continuing correctional structure or wave 1 of new downward segment of the trend against the British currency. In case it is true, continuation of moving quotations upwards started yesterday to the levels of 1.5750 – 1.5800 can be expected, but only after the end of repeated testing try of the lower line of the increasing corridor, mentioned above.


Performed by Alexander Dneprovskiy, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 
GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels, August 20, 2010 2010-08-20



Wave count shows that this currency pair is now moving within potential corrective wave A to the med term downtrend - colored magenta on the chart. The targets of the corrective wave are Fibonacci retracements of 137.75-132.43 and of 134.80-132.43:

- 134.24 = .764 retracement
- 134.46 = .382 ret
- 135.09 = .50 ret
- 135.72 = .618 ret

In case the price breaks through 132.43 we'll have an extension. And the targets of the downside movement will be Fibonacci expansions off 134.80-132.43-134.08 and 134.03-132.65-133.37:

- 131.99 = objective point (OP)
- 131.66 = OP
- 131.14 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 130.20 = XOP




Overbought/Oversold

The Detrended Oscillator is in the oversold area. The nearest overbought area lies within 50 to 70 pips above the current price. Assuming that the prevailing trend is still down, it's good to seek for topping signals in the oversold area stated above to enter short.

Performed by Denis Strelkov, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 



Wave count shows that this currency pair is trading within potential impulse wave C of the med term downtrend - colored magenta on the chart. The targets of this downside movement are Fibonacci expansions off wave AB 0.9221-0.8861-0.9078, subwaves AB (colored red) 0.9078-0.8947-0.9019, and also retracements of 0.8314-0.9221:

- 0.8856 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 0.8807 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 0.8768 = .50 retracement
- 0.8718 = objective point (OP)
- 0.8676 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 0.8660 = .618 retracement

In case the price reverses to the upside, the nearest targets will be Fibonacci retracements of the downwave starting from 0.9078.




Overbought/Oversold

The Detrended Oscillator is around the zero level. Assuming that the major trend is down, it's good to wait for topping signals around the overbought area some 20-30 pips above the current price and enter short.

Performed by Denis Strelkov, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 






Rather disappointing data from the USA did not influence the market attitude to the US dollar. On the contrary, an attempt of the euro growth during the Asian and European sessions was compensated by further rate decline of the EUR_USD pair almost to the level of the 24-hour starting point. Thus, the price again stopped at the bottom line of the rising corridor of the correctional structure since June-July. Regarding the waves, it is possible to talk about the continuation of the expected correctional wave 2 or B formation. Meanwhile, the correctional levels hitting looks uncertain, thus we can still wait for the price uprise at least to the level of 38,2% (1,2965).

Performed by Alexander Dneprovskiy, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010
 

Live Forex Chart

Currency
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EUR / USD
1.12305
USD / JPY
158.091
GBP / USD
1.33290
USD / CHF
0.82425
USD / CAD
1.41224
EUR / JPY
177.538
AUD / USD
0.69773
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