analisis teknikal usd / jpy

[MarCO]

My Daily Support & Resistance for USDJPY

20th April 2007

R6 - 119.63
R5 - 119.49
R4 - 119.34
R3 - 119.03
R2 - 118.88
R1 - 118.74

S1 - 118.42
S2 - 118.28
S3 - 118.14
S4 - 117.82
S5 - 117.68
S6 - 117.54

saya berpendapat price bole drop ke s5...

 

[GM67]

Salam menyampuk lagi, otai2 Cari Gold ini ada gambaran Dollar Index pada hari jumaat kalau dilihat pada DI berdasarkan EW ini masih dalam wave iv yang mana berlaku triangle disitu so dalam ertikata lain DI masih mencari entry door untuk wave v DT dan apa yang berlaku pada GU dan UJ kejutan belum berakhir....
(Carta disumbangkan oleh Elliot Wave International)

 

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://i.turboimagehost.com/p/306012/1.jpg.html

Current Trading Positions for USDJPY240 (USDJPY240) Daily on 20-Apr-2007

* An Intermediate degree trader (hold positions from months to quarters), would currently be shorting this market. The probability of this Target Area being correct is 88.0%. However, the random probability of this Target Area being correct is 65.0%. So the true probability of this Target Area being correct is 35.4% better than random.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDJPY240 (Daily) on 20-Apr-2007 with two incomplete patterns:

Wave (X) of the Intermediate degree inverted Double Zigzag with a rating of 100 is expected to complete in the price range 115.18 to 118.96, but more probably between 116.11 and 118.02. This wave is most likely to complete sometime between 12-May-2007 and 11-Jul-2007 Note that it cannot complete until 24-Apr-2007 but must complete by 19-Oct-2007.

After wave (X) is complete, expect the market to continue up into wave (Y), which should be a three wave Zigzag pattern. Expect wave (Y) to retrace wave (X) by 172% - 374%. Wave (Y) can also be expected to be 103% - 374% of the price length of wave (W). The expected time for wave (Y) to complete is 68% - 260% of the time taken for wave (X) to complete and 93% - 292% of the time taken for wave (W) to complete.

Wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 92.2 is expected to complete in the price range 119.91 to 134.04, but more probably between 121.02 and 126.38. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 28-Dec-2007, but is most likely to complete before 28-Jun-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 93% - 176%. Wave C can also be expected to be 109% - 176% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 59% - 248% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 117% - 379% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

 

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/3850/clipboard01kl3.jpg

Current Trading Positions for USDJPY240 (USDJPY240) Daily on 04-May-2007

* An Intermediate degree trader (hold positions from months to quarters), would currently be shorting this market. The probability of this Target Area being correct is 79.2%. However, the random probability of this Target Area being correct is 65.0%. So the true probability of this Target Area being correct is 21.8% better than random.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDJPY240 (Daily) on 04-May-2007 with three incomplete patterns:

Wave B of the Minor degree Flat with a rating of 98.4 is expected to complete in the price range 119.13 to 123.83, but more probably between 119.49 and 121.24. This wave was expected to complete before 27-Apr-2007, and must complete by 10-May-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 93% - 176%. Wave C can also be expected to be 110% - 176% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 60% - 248% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 119% - 393% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

Wave (X) of the Intermediate degree inverted Double Zigzag with a rating of 83.2 is expected to complete in the price range 115.18 to 118.96, but more probably between 116.11 and 118.02. This wave could complete anytime between now and 20-Oct-2007, but is most likely to complete sometime between 15-May-2007 and 13-Jul-2007.

After wave (X) is complete, expect the market to continue up into wave (Y), which should be a three wave Zigzag pattern. Expect wave (Y) to retrace wave (X) by 172% - 374%. Wave (Y) can also be expected to be 103% - 374% of the price length of wave (W). The expected time for wave (Y) to complete is 68% - 260% of the time taken for wave (X) to complete and 93% - 292% of the time taken for wave (W) to complete.

Wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 85.2 is expected to complete in the price range 119.91 to 134.04, but more probably between 121.02 and 126.38. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 29-Dec-2007, but is most likely to complete before 30-Jun-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 93% - 176%. Wave C can also be expected to be 109% - 176% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 59% - 248% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 117% - 379% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

 

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://img214.imageshack.us/img214/9084/clipboard01sv9.jpg

Current Trading Positions for USDJPY240 (USDJPY240) Daily on 11-May-2007

* An Intermediate degree trader (hold positions from months to quarters), would currently be shorting this market. The probability of this Target Area being correct is 79.2%. However, the random probability of this Target Area being correct is 65.0%. So the true probability of this Target Area being correct is 21.8% better than random.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDJPY240 (Daily) on 11-May-2007 with three incomplete patterns:

Wave B of the Minor degree Flat with a rating of 98.1 is expected to complete in the price range 119.13 to 123.83, but more probably between 119.49 and 121.24.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 93% - 176%. Wave C can also be expected to be 110% - 176% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 60% - 248% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 119% - 393% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

Wave (X) of the Intermediate degree inverted Double Zigzag with a rating of 83.7 is expected to complete in the price range 115.18 to 118.96, but more probably between 116.11 and 118.02. This wave could complete anytime between now and 23-Oct-2007, but is most likely to complete sometime between 15-May-2007 and 14-Jul-2007.

After wave (X) is complete, expect the market to continue up into wave (Y), which should be a three wave Zigzag pattern. Expect wave (Y) to retrace wave (X) by 172% - 374%. Wave (Y) can also be expected to be 103% - 374% of the price length of wave (W). The expected time for wave (Y) to complete is 68% - 260% of the time taken for wave (X) to complete and 93% - 292% of the time taken for wave (W) to complete.

Wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 83.8 is expected to complete in the price range 119.91 to 134.04, but more probably between 121.02 and 126.38. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 01-Jan-2001, but is most likely to complete before 30-Jun-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 93% - 176%. Wave C can also be expected to be 109% - 176% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 59% - 248% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 117% - 379% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

 

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://img246.imageshack.us/img246/1781/clipboard01ah3.jpg

There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDJPY240 (Daily) on 18-May-2007 with three incomplete patterns:

Wave B of the Minor degree Flat with a rating of 100 is expected to complete in the price range 118.91 to 122.83, but more probably between 119.22 and 120.7. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 10-Jul-2007, but is most likely to complete before 22-May-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 93% - 176%. Wave C can also be expected to be 109% - 176% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 59% - 248% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 117% - 379% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

Wave (B) of the Intermediate degree inverted Flat with a rating of 85.5 is expected to complete in the price range 104.6 to 116.57, but more probably between 112.65 and 115.78. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 09-Feb-2008, but is most likely to complete before 25-Jul-2007.

After wave (B) is complete, expect the market to continue up into wave (C), which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave (C) to retrace wave (B) by 86% - 173%. Wave (C) can also be expected to be 101% - 173% of the price length of wave (A). The expected time for wave (C) to complete is 65% - 296% of the time taken for wave (B) to complete and 120% - 413% of the time taken for wave (A) to complete.

Wave B of the Primary degree Flat with a rating of 80 is expected to complete in the price range 119.91 to 134.04, but more probably between 121.02 and 126.38. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 01-Jan-2008, but is most likely to complete before 03-Jul-2007.

After wave B is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave C, which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave C to retrace wave B by 93% - 176%. Wave C can also be expected to be 109% - 176% of the price length of wave A. The expected time for wave C to complete is 59% - 248% of the time taken for wave B to complete and 117% - 379% of the time taken for wave A to complete.

Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 01-Jan-2007 to 18-May-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 30, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

 

[bijak_sinner]

tf h4

http://img246.imageshack.us/img246/4268/clipboard01jy3.jpg

There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDJPY240 (Daily) on 25-May-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave Y of the Primary degree inverted Double Zigzag with a rating of 104.3 is expected to complete in the price range 120.5 to 127.21, but more probably between 120.95 and 124.22. This wave was expected to complete before 24-May-2007, and must complete by 02-Jun-2007.

Wave Y will probably complete this Double Sharp pattern, although it could possibly extend into a Triple Sharp pattern.


Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 01-Jan-2007 to 25-May-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 30, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

 

[bijak_sinner]

http://img237.imageshack.us/img237/1558/clipboard01ew4.jpg

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDJPY240 (Hourly) at 08:00 18-Jun-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave Y of the Primary degree inverted Double Zigzag with a rating of 95 is expected to complete in the price range 125.76 to 127.54, but more probably between 126.19 and 126.74. This wave is most likely to complete sometime between 08:00 04-Jul-2007 and 00:00 07-Jul-2007 Note that it cannot complete until 00:00 22-Jun-2007 but must complete by 16:00 14-Jul-2007.

Wave Y will probably complete this Double Sharp pattern, although it could possibly extend into a Triple Sharp pattern.


Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 02-Jan-2007 to 18-Jun-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 26, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern

 

[zanlin]

mengikut my projection target, pair ni akan terus bullish at least leh sampai ke 129, sebarang penurunan pun cuma retracement...so kalau sape2 buat buy elok simpan sebagai position trading...

i based on weekly chart...

 

[bijak_sinner]

tf daily

Current Trading Positions for USDJPY (USDJPY) Daily on 02-Jul-2007

* A Primary degree trader (hold positions from months to years), would currently be shorting this market. The probability of this Target Area being correct is 66.8%. However, the random probability of this Target Area being correct is 53.0%. So the true probability of this Target Area being correct is 26.0% better than random.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for USDJPY (Daily) on 02-Jul-2007 with one incomplete pattern:

Wave X of the Primary degree inverted Double 3 with a rating of 102.2 is expected to complete in the price range 98.95 to 119.75, but more probably between 115.31 and 118.96. This wave could complete anytime between now and 17-May-2008, but is most likely to complete sometime between 14-Jul-2007 and 05-Sep-2007.

After wave X is complete, expect the market to continue up into wave Y, which will probably be a three wave corrective pattern. Expect wave Y to retrace wave X by 96% - 228%. Wave Y can also be expected to be 86% - 228% of the price length of wave W. The expected time for wave Y to complete is 81% - 317% of the time taken for wave X to complete and 55% - 234% of the time taken for wave W to complete.


Current Analysis Settings:
Analysis Date Range: 02-Jan-2007 to 02-Jul-2007, Label Range: 7 - 30, Preferred Count Labels: 22, Min Rating: 75, Stocks toggle OFF, Bias Towards Beginning of Data: 8, Bias Towards Major High/Low: 8, Largest Degree Wave Filter: Any Pattern