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Skill Merdeka oleh 9W2WHJ

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magic number??? aku rasa magic number tak membawa apa2 kesan dalam trade. If i'm not mistaken, magic number is intended to be used for trade identification only. :-?:-?:-?:-? ke koorang cakap pasal magic number lain nih :)):)):)):)):)) .... sorry aku main terjah jek...:eek::eek::eek:

magic no xder memberi apa2 makna sebenarnya. Cuba letak indi Sweetspot tu kt chart, dn cuba kaji betul2..

USD base :
normally every 50 pips mesti stall kejap, lepas tu either reverse, retrace atau gathering momentum for breakout
cth : current price = 1.3550, next target = 1.3600 / 1.3500

JPY base :
normally every 100pis mesti stall kejap, lepas tu either reverse, retrace atau gathering momentum for breakout

* kejap tu universal, either sideway seketika ( few pips ) atau 1hour candle stall, then long candle breakout.
* kene confirm dgn SnR and MA jgak. ( kalau xder SnR/MA dkt sweetspot tu, then sweetspot tu can be ignore )

thanks :D:D
 
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no ajaib telah di cipta oleh trader indonesia pada tahun 2007 dan benda ni telah dikongsi dalam forexfactory. Perkataan 'magic no' mengelirukan orang padahal ianya hanyalah SnR(psycological point).hanya pendapat 1sen saya..

yg ini kot....:-?
jogjatrader
Member

GBPUSD Magic Number
Hey all, nice to be back here

After reading most of the post in FF, i think we all missed on one point, its the price itself.
there arent any thread discussing the price behaviour. well, ok, price go up and go down but
the path are the same,
its kind a personality of the pair.

Here are some thought that i have been using repeatedly, there are magic numbers in price
especially in GBPUSD or
some other currency pairs (never got the time to test it, yet) :

the magic number is lies there in the last two digit of the pair :

2.xx50
2.xx20
2.xx00
2.xx80
2.xx50
2.xx20
2.xx00

yes, it looks like a support and resisstant price but it happends everyday. bounce back and forth.
it depends on how you use it: well, here is my way to use it:

1. Downtrend
if price want to go down it have to break xx50 price level if it breaks it will find support on
xx.20,
if the price breaks again it will find support xx00. but if it fails to break xx50 it will bounce
back and
find resistant on xx80 if it breaks it will find second resisstant on xx00 level

2. Uptrend
usually if price want to go up first it have to break xx00 level after the break it will find
another
Resistant
on xx20 it this breaks again it will find second resistant on xx50, but if it fails to break xx20
it will
bounce back again to xx00 level and again if it breaks xx00 it will find support on xx80 and so on

confused???

now lets put the theory in action :

on last friday, cable starts opens at 2.0636 its beetween xx20 and xx50 so its too early to trade,
it starts to rally to xx50 up to 2.0663 (fails to break xx80 , on 15M chart we saw a reversal
candlestick,
so we put pending order sell stop at 2.0650 ( a little bit risky ) set stop on the highest swing,
set take profit to 2.0640 (conservative) or 2.0620 (agressive) or 2.0600 (extreem:surprised)
almost everytime it hits 10 pips profit, 20 pips profit (sometimes) and 50 pips (rarely).
so after you got that 10 pips just wait
again the price didnt even touched 2.0600 after we saw reversal candlestick we set buy stop at
2.0620
and tp on 2.0630 or 2.0640 or 2.0650
this time the extreem guy get the biggest profit.

BANG!! the price just passed away and breaks 2.0680. Again it fails to break 2.0700 so we place
sell stop
at 2.0080 (lil bit risky) or sell stop at 2.0050 and so on.

the magic number can act like stop loss level : sell on 2.xx20 sl at 2.xx50 and so on...so on
and if you like you can use "cut and reverse" strategy, many improvement can be made....
Test it to filter your system

i have my own system to work with this magic numbers and it works well,
great for scalping. but it restricted on GBPUSD pair only

Try it, you'll love it, any comments will be great

see you all on my next post, tomorrow


hope this useful.........
______________
nice to come back
 
hehehe macam2 perangai ada. Ada yg nyokong. Ada yg membantah. Teringin lak aku nak baca buku tue, tngk apa yg best nyer. :-?:-? (mahal la pulak beli) hehehe.

apa2 pon hati2 bila beri pendapat , kalo betul wha ada tabung dan duit tue dimasukkan dalam tabung tue , yg cakap bukan2 dah kira jatuh fitnah tue. Kalo betul dia makan duit tue, tue antara dia dgn tuhan.

p/s sekadar teguran dari newbee tangkai jering :)cgrock:)cgrock
 
Ni..siapa yang panas dan siapa yang kepanasan....saya betul betul teringin nak beli buku bro dulu...tapi tidak lagi sekarang...kerana cara bro main hedging adalah menghalalkan hukum..macam main judi lak saya rasa...tak ada ilmu...dah tu lak bagi makan anak bini lagi tu...jangan pulak kat SANA nanti lagi panas bro....


Apa hukum hedging tu? Jangan sedap tulis je....bagilah sumber rujukan. Setakat cakap takde sumber semua orang boleh buat. Ramai trader yang nak tau nie sebab ada banyak pendapat tentang hedging.
 
kalau nak trade hanya bergantung kpd magic number ( round number ) memang mustahil...

mesti guna indi lain untuk confirm trend, kalau tak guna indi mesti tengok chart pattern.

untuk rujukan tambahan

http://www.kabonline.com/futures/eng/learningresource/tradingskills/200907/1543.htm

OK.... dah mula nak nampak dah :D ... so adakah ini bermakna bahawa teknik nih bukanlah sebenarnya bergantung kepada magic No tuh tetapi bergantung kepada teknik hedging ???? ....

Sapa leh jawab???
 
Apa hukum hedging tu? Jangan sedap tulis je....bagilah sumber rujukan. Setakat cakap takde sumber semua orang boleh buat. Ramai trader yang nak tau nie sebab ada banyak pendapat tentang hedging.

yg aku paham kalo ko buy n sell pada masa yg sama x bole. Kalo dah buy n market against bole hedging. Kalo salah harap di perbetulkan :D:D
 
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pemerhati mtopd.....
 
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