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EUR/USD: wave analysis on 09/08/2017

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair is in correction.

On the 4-hour chart the upward trend is developing as a third wave of the higher level 3. At the moment the formation of the local correction as a fourth wave (iv) of v of 3 of the lower level is ending. If the assumption is correct, the pair will grow to the level of 1.2000. The level of 1.1680 is critical for this scenario.

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Main scenario

Long positions can be opened during the correction, above the level of 1.1680 with the target at 1.2000.

Alternative scenario

The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 1.1680 will let the pair go down to the levels of 1.1610–1.1540.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

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Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
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USD/CHF: general analysis on 14/08/2017

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Last week there was lack of key issues from Switzerland: only Consumer Price Index was published on Monday, which met the market’s expectations.

CHF was growing against the USD for the whole week. The main reasons of it were the geopolitical tense between USA and North Korea, which attracted the traders’ attention and investments from the risk assets to more stable ones, such as Swiss currency. The other reason is the poor USA inflation data publication on Friday, which effect was strengthened by Fed’s representative Neel Kashkari’s speech. The zone of 0.9650–0.9750 became too strong resistance for the pair, which it couldn’t break and reversed into consolidation.

This week there is lack of issues from Switzerland: only the Producer Price Index will be published on Tuesday. On Tuesday the nearest key release from the USA will be published: the Retail Sales index is due at 14:30 (GMT+2), which is expected to grow by 0.5%.

The weakening of the USD/CHF pair is expected today and tomorrow.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 0.9640, 0.9550, 0.9490, 0.9450.

Resistance levels: 0.9700, 0.9780, 0.9850.

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Trading tips

Long positions can be opened at the level of 0.9700 with the target at 0.9780, stop loss is 0.9675.

Short positions can be opened below the level of 0.9620 with the target at around 0.9550 and stop loss at 0.9640.

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USD/CHF: general review on 17.08.2017

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair USD/CHF was growing during the first part of the week in view of the strengthening US dollar that received support after the release of the data on retail sales that were better than expected, export prices, and political decisions of the heads of the USA and North Korea which led to the release of tension between the two states. But yesterday's statement by the head of FRB Atlanta Raphael Bostic who doubts Trump's economic growth rate outlooks and the release of FOMC minutes containing concerns about the situation with inflation led to resumed weakening of the pair. Once again in the recent 2.5 months the pair failed to break through the resistance zone 0.9780-0.9700 and the lower border of 2-year D1 channel (olive).

No important data from Switzerland are due this week. Today the market will be waiting for US releases: industrial PMI by FRB Philadelphia with expected decrease by 1 point and initial and continuous jobless claims (the former are to decrease by 4K, and the latter increase by 3K) at 14:30 (GMT+2), the volume of industrial output with expected decrease at 15:15 (GMT+2) and the statement by the Fed's representative Kaplan at 18:30 (GMT+2).
The main scenario for today and tomorrow is the weakening of the pair.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 0.9640, 0.9550, 0.9490, 0.9450.

Resistance levels: 0.9700, 0.9780, 0.9850.

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Trading tips

Short positions may be opened at the market price with target at 0.9550 and stop-loss at 0.9720.

Alternatively, buy positions may be opened from the level of 0.9700 with target at 0.9780 and stop-loss at 0.9630.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CHF and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
XAU/USD: general review on 21.08.2017

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the XAU/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

In view of continuing geopolitical risks gold together with other precious metals and safe haven assets was strengthening for almost the whole previous week.

Gold showed the best results among all other safe haven assets updating its 10-month maximum and reaching a key resistance level of $1300.00. However, on the last day of the previous week all safe haven assets, having reached important levels, moved back. This looked like locking in profits in the end of the week and indicates possible continuation of the trend with the beginning of the current week. Therefore, the main scenario for today and tomorrow is the continuation of growth of gold.

Today's fundamental news include only PMI by FRB Chicago at 14:30 (GMT + 2) and geopolitical news.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 1280.00, 1265.00, 1250.00.

Resistance levels: 1300.00, 1315.00, 1340.00.

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Trading tips

Long positions may be opened at the market price with targets at 1315.00, 1340.00 and stop-loss at 1260.00.

Alternatively sell positions may be opened from the level of 1280.00 with targets at 1265.00, 1250.00 and stop-loss at 1300.00.

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USD/JPY: general analysis on 24.08.2017

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Yesterday the pair was under the pressure of US New Home Sales statistics fall. In addition, the PMI Markit decreased to 52.5 basis points, which is by 0.8 points lower than expected. Today in Japan Foreign bond investment data were published. The volume of investments into debt obligations decreased, which let USD restore part of yesterday’s loss.

Today 3-day Economic Policy Symposium starts in Jackson Hole. Tomorrow Janet Yellen speech is expected. Her commentaries upon inflation, terms and volumes of balance-sheet reduction of the US regulator will greatly affect the dynamics of the price in the short term. Today the Initial Jobless Claims publication is worth traders’ attention. The expected growth of index will let the USD/JPY pair fall further.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart the pair began to grow from the support level of 108.85. Bollinger Bands are pointed downwards; the price range is stable, which reflects the development of the current trend. MACD histogram is in the negative zone; its volumes are decreasing, keeping a strong signal to open short positions. Stochastic doesn’t give clear signals to enter the market.

Support levels: 108.85, 108.60, 108.20.

Resistance levels: 109.40, 109.90, 110.35, 111.10.

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Trading tips

Long positions can be opened above the level of 109.40 with the target around 110.30 and stop loss at 109.10. Implementation period: 1–2 days.

Short positions can be opened below the level of 109.00 with the target around 108.60, 108.40 and stop loss at 109.20. Implementation period: 1–2 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

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If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
USD/CHF: general analysis on 28.08.2017

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The US dollar has significantly weakened against Swiss franc and is now trading at the level of 0.9566.

The nearest support level is at 0.9521. The fall is due to investors’ doubts if the head of Fed Janet Yellen will be re-elected for the second term, which means that the regulator’s policy can change fundamentally. According to preliminary data, her main successors can become Gary Cohn, chief economic advisor to President Donald Trump, and John Taylor, Professor of Economics at Stanford University. One of the contentious issue between Yellen and Trump was the economy regulation approach: the Presidents believes that they need to reduce the control and abolish some of the laws, such as Volcker Rule, while the head of Fed is more conservative and advises not to forget about the crisis of 2008 year, one of the reasons of which was the deregulation of the financial sector.

Support and resistance

Stochastic is at the level of 20 points and reflects the possibility of USD correction, so short positions can be opened only after the breakdown of the support level 2/8 or 0.9521.

The nearest resistance level is around 0.9581.

The support level is at 0.9521.

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Trading tips

Short positions can be opened at the level of 0.9521 with target at 0.9470 and stop loss around 0.9560.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CHF and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
Extract profit from CFD trading on oil and gas with the NPBFX broker on profitable terms!

Good afternoon, dear forumers!

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Table 1

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WTI Crude Oil: the pair resumed growth 31.08.2017

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the WTI for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Oil prices continue to decrease moving back to local minimums of late July. The catalyst of the "bearish" trend is concerns about rapid decrease of oil consumption in the USA due to the influence of Harvey storm. Moreover, the instrument is under pressure from growing USD that managed to get support from strong US statistics.

In turn, oil is supported by the data on the dynamics of stocks in the USA that keep reducing. Yesterday the US Department of Energy published a report according to which oil stocks reduced by 5.392 mln barrels within the week that ended on August 25 after a fall by 3.327 mln barrels in the previous period. Analysts expected a decrease only by 1.908 mln barrels. At the same time, gas reserves grew by 35K barrels to 229.9 mln barrels.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands on H4 chart demonstrate stable decrease. MACD indicator tries to reverse to growth and to form a buy signal (the histogram has to consolidate above the signal line). Stochastic is reversing upwards, moving avay from the oversold area.

Resistance levels: 46.16, 46.48, 46.98, 47.42, 47.98.

Support levels: 45.72, 45.30, 45.00.

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Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the outbreak of the levels 46.16 or 46.48 with targets at 47.00, 47.50 and top-loss at 45.72. The period of implementation is 2 days.

Short positions may be opened after the level of 45.72 is broken down with target at 45.00 and stop-loss 46.20. The period of implementation is 2-3 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: trading signals for commodities

How can a trader determine if it’s worth buying or selling WTI now or better waiting for a more favorable period? Use trading signals for commodities from the top 10 technical indicators on the NPBFX portal and make the right decisions! All registered users have free and unlimited access to the minutely updated trading signals (MA10, BBands, Ichimoku, Stochastic, ZigZag, etc.) for Gold, Silver, Brent and WTI Crude oil.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on WTI and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
Service Schedule September 4, 2017 (Labor Day in the US)

Dear Clients! Company NPBFX notifies about changes in the schedule of trades on September 4, 2017 (Labor Day, a holiday in the US).

• FOREX (currency): no change;
• XAUUSD, XAGUSD (gold and silver): a break in trading 17:00-22:00 GMT;
• XBRUSD, XTIUSD, XNGUSD (Brent crude, WTI, natural gas): a break in trading 16:45-22:00 GMT.

Please consider this information when making trade decisions.
 

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