GBPUSD needs a driver: the correction is over, but no new ideas have appeared
The GBPUSD pair is holding at 1.3535, with political scandals and the oil situation setting the terms. Find out more in our analysis for 13 May 2026.
GBPUSD forecast: key takeaways
The GBPUSD pair remains in a broad range, while politics is preventing the market from choosing a direction
The market does not rule out three rate hikes by the end of the year
GBPUSD forecast for 13 May 2026: 1.3500 or 1.3580
Fundamental analysis
The GBPUSD rate stood at 1.3535 midweek. This week, the pound pulled back from almost two-month highs as political uncertainty in the UK and the lack of progress in negotiations between the US and Iran are putting pressure on GBP.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that he does not intend to resign. This comes despite demands from more than 70 Labour Party MPs to step down following the party’s poor performance in the local elections.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
JP 225 forecast: the index is correcting after reaching a new all-time high
The JP 225 stock index has completed its correction and is poised for a new all-time high. The JP 225 forecast for today is positive.
JP 225 forecast: key takeaways
Recent data: Japan’s services PMI came in at 51.0 in April
Market impact: the effect on the Japanese stock market is moderately negative
Fundamental analysis
The S&P Global Japan services PMI reading of 51.0 is a moderately cautious signal for the JP 225 index. The figure remains above the 50.0 level, indicating continued expansion in the services sector, but the actual result was below the forecast of 51.2 and noticeably lower than the previous reading of 53.4.
For the JP 225 index, the impact could be mixed, but with a moderately negative bias. On the one hand, the fact that the PMI remains above 50.0 suggests Japan’s services sector has not contracted, meaning the economy retains some resilience.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
US Tech forecast: the index hits a new all-time high
The US Tech index has reached another all-time high, marking one of the strongest streaks of trading sessions this year. The US Tech forecast for next week is positive.
US Tech forecast: key takeaways
Recent data: US inflation rate rose to 3.8% year-on-year in April
Market impact: the effect on the technology sector is mixed
Fundamental analysis
The US CPI release at 3.8% year-on-year, above the forecast of 3.7% and the previous reading of 3.3%, is a negative signal for the US Tech index. Official BLS data shows headline inflation accelerating, with core inflation excluding food and energy also up to 2.8% year-on-year from 2.6% the month before.
For the US Tech, such news is typically perceived as particularly sensitive, as technology stocks rely heavily on expectations for future earnings growth. When the inflation rate comes in above forecast, investors are more likely to revise their rate and bond yield expectations.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
DE 40 forecast: the index is trading in a range amid increased volatility
The uptrend in the DE 40 stock index is unstable, and prices are more inclined to trade within a sideways range. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.
DE 40 forecast: key takeaways
Recent data: Germany’s preliminary ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for May came in at -10.2
Market impact: the data creates a negative backdrop for the German stock market
Fundamental analysis
Germany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment reading was better than expected: the actual figure came in at -10.2 versus the forecast of -19.2 and the previous value of -17.2. Even though the indicator remains in negative territory, the improvement itself may be interpreted by the market as a sign of stabilizing sentiment among investors and analysts.
For the German equity market, this may act as a supportive factor, especially if investors begin to anticipate that the economy is gradually emerging from its weakest phase. An improvement in the ZEW index can increase interest in cyclical stocks, since the market often reacts in advance to shifts in expectations.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
US 500 forecast: the index has started a correction
After reaching a new all-time high, the US 500 index has started a correction, which may develop into a downtrend. The US 500 forecast for today is negative.
US 500 forecast: key takeaways
Recent data: US CPI rose to 3.8% year-on-year in April
Market impact: the data has a moderately negative effect on the US stock market
Fundamental analysis
The increase in US annual inflation to 3.8%, above the forecast of 3.7% and the previous 3.3%, may have a moderately negative impact on the US 500 index. The data shows that inflationary pressures in the US economy are strengthening faster than expected, reducing the likelihood of imminent monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.
For the US stock market overall, this news is a restraining factor. Higher inflation reduces consumers’ real purchasing power, increases companies’ costs, and worsens expectations for future profits.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
US 30 index forecast: the index has moved very close to its all-time high
The US 30 index approached its all-time high and entered a correction; the trend is highly unstable. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.
US 30 forecast: key takeaways
Recent data: US CPI for April came in at 3.8% year-on-year
Market impact: the data is positive for the stock market
Fundamental analysis
The acceleration of US annual inflation to 3.8% versus the forecast of 3.7% and the previous 3.3% is a negative macroeconomic signal for the market. Higher inflation increases concerns that price pressures will remain elevated longer than expected, meaning the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer.
For the US 30 index, this news may have a moderately negative impact. The index includes large industrial, financial, consumer, and technology companies that are sensitive to changes in interest rates and expectations for economic growth.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
The JP 225 stock index broke below the support level and entered a downtrend. The JP 225 forecast for today is negative.
JP 225 forecast: key takeaways
Recent data: Japan’s Q1 GDP rose by 0.5%
Market impact: the effect on the Japanese stock market is moderately positive
Fundamental analysis
Japan’s GDP growth of 0.5%, above the forecast of 0.4% and the previous 0.2%, is, overall, a moderately positive signal for the JP 225. The data indicates that Japan’s economy is expanding faster than expected, meaning corporate revenue, domestic demand, and business activity may receive additional support.
For the JP 225, such data could become a growth driver, since stronger-than-expected macroeconomic releases typically improve investor sentiment towards cyclical stocks. However, the market reaction may be mixed.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
After reaching a new all-time high, the US Tech index started to decline, but the global trend remains bullish. The US Tech forecast for next week is positive.
US Tech forecast: key takeaways
Recent data: the preliminary US services PMI came in at 50.9 in May
Market impact: the current data has a mixed effect on the technology sector
Fundamental analysis
A drop in the US services PMI to 50.9 points, compared to the forecast of 51.1 and the previous 51.0, is a moderately negative signal for the market. The indicator remains above the 50-point threshold, indicating continued growth in business activity, but a weaker-than-expected figure suggests the pace of expansion is slowing.
For the US Tech, the short-term reaction may be moderately negative or mixed. If investors interpret the data as a sign of weakening demand in the economy, pressure could increase on stocks of companies involved in corporate IT spending, cloud services, advertising, and software.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
DE 40 forecast: the index continues to trade within a sideways trend
The upward trend in the DE 40 stock index has shifted into a sideways movement, although the tendency towards growth remains intact. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.
DE 40 forecast: key takeaways
Recent data: Germany’s GDP for Q1 2026 increased by 0.3%
Market impact: the data creates a positive backdrop for the German equity market
Fundamental analysis
Germany’s GDP growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, in line with forecasts of 0.3% and above the previous reading of 0.2%, represents a moderately positive signal for the DE 40 index. The fact that the figure matched expectations means the market is unlikely to receive a strong surprise-driven impulse.
For the German equity market, such statistics appear generally favourable, although the effect will likely remain restrained. Since the actual figure matched forecasts, a significant portion of positive expectations may already have been priced in.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
The US 500 index surged to a record high following news of a possible end to the conflict between the US and Iran. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.
US 500 forecast: key takeaways
Recent data: the preliminary US manufacturing PMI came in at 55.3 in May
Market impact: this data has a moderately positive impact on the stock market
Fundamental analysis
The US manufacturing PMI reading of 55.3 points, above the forecast of 53.8 and the previous reading of 54.5, indicates a more robust expansion of business activity in the industrial sector. For the US 500 index, this news may generally prove moderately positive, as it confirms the resilience of the US economy and shows that the corporate sector continues to maintain demand, production orders, and business activity.
For the broad US equity market, the effect may prove mixed, but with a positive bias. On the one hand, a strong PMI supports demand for equities, especially in cyclical sectors, as investors see signs of healthy economic momentum.
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
