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Crude Palm Oil Futures (FCPO) 27/12/2016
Technical
Crude palm oil futures traded at Bursa Malaysia Derivatives closed lower before the extended weekend tracking weaker soybean oil price. The benchmark March 2017 contract drop RM16 to settle on Friday at 3,060 ringgit per metric ton after touching day low 3,013. Total volume traded recorded at 28,151 lots while open interest rose to 197,124 contracts from 196,571 contracts the prior trading day.
Market action saw the contract price went below the Lower Bollinger band standing at 3,019 which could form support in immediate term. – neutral
A candlestick chart pattern formation also noted was formed Bullish Belt Hold signaling possible reversal from recent slides though more confirmation is needed where a strong closing today could provide – neutral to positive
Market price remains below the 10 and 20 days moving average line as market remains weak since hitting the day peak 3,202 on 16th December
RSI momentum continues to slide to 51.7 as buying strength continues to weaken – neutral to negative
Slight weakness is expected for todays opening with Soybean Oil returning from Christmas break on a weaker note at time of writing. Support for further weakness at hourly Lower Bollinger 3,032 and 3,019 with further down at 2,950 while Resistance on any rebound from recent decline at 22nd Dec day low 3,070 and 3,105.
Fundamental
Palm futures drop recording its lowest for active month contract since Nov 29th tracking losses in soybean oil and Dalian markets – negative
Malaysia Dec 1-25th Palm Oil exports fell 5.6% to 945,441 metric tons from 895,625 tons from Nov 1-25th according to Intertek Testing Services (ITS) – neutral to negative
Soybean prices fall to five-week low as rain set to aid Argentina crop – Soybean Oil futures for March delivery drop 0.6% to USD 34.88 cents per pound – tumbles 5.8% for the week – neutral to negative
Oil extends longest run of gains since August before OPEC cuts – neutral