BTC USD 81,505.5 Gold USD 4,378.12
Time now: Jun 1, 12:00 AM

Market Commentary

WTI / CL terlihat membentuk triangle di TF H4 dengan penghalang bullish adalah area SnD D1
Rekomendasi : menunggu breakout
Tickmill WTI]
wti-h4-tickmill-ltd-2.png


pelajari chart pattern lebih lanjut di artikel edukasi ini
 
AUDJPY D1
Terlihat pattern "W" telah terbentuk sempurna di TF Daily
Harga sekarang berada di Neckline W pattern dan berada dalam tahap konsolidasi
Tickmill AUDJPY D1
audjpy-d1-tickmill-ltd-2.png

Di Neckline W Pattern, AUDJPY membentuk triangle (wedges) ,
Pattern (triangle) Wedges ini bisa menjadi konfirmasi bahwa harga akan meneruskan bullish trend jika berhasil break out dari Triangle

Pattern ini gagal jika harga menembus support triangle

Kode Diskon : SocialVPS10% | Tickmill - Kondisi Trading ECN - Swap Free | BrokerArena
 
Now is the right time to buy AUS200

AUS200

AUS200 has formed a dodji and a mallet, which have pressed against the ascending channel and the broken symmetrical triangle. We will be buying this asset at current prices:
aus200-d1-tickmill-ltd.png


GBP/USD

The GBP has formed a shooting star at point 3 of the daily descending channel:

gbpusd-d1-tickmill-ltd.png


The price has also pressed against the 1.4435 level, so as the daily candle closes with a shooting star, we shall sell the pair at current prices. As an alternative, we can put a pending order from the middle of the shooting star:

gbpusd-h4-tickmill-ltd.png


Source : Blog.Tickmill : Now is the right time to buy AUS200
Best Regrads
 
USD/CHF declines towards 0.9535, but reversal is likely


•The USD/CHF has slipped back towards 0.9525 levels, after failing to break résistance level at 0.9566. The pair has been trading in a narrow range lately, and strong rebound is expected to take place sooner from around 0.9500 levels as this level has been strong recovery zone for the bulls.

•The pair earlier tested resistance level at 0.9566, however after failing to break, it is declined back trade around 0.9536 levels in the US session.

•To the upside, the immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9548, a break above this level would take the pair towards next resistance level at 0.9566.

•To the downside immediate support can be seen 0.9530, a break below this level will take the pair towards next level at 0.9522 levels.

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.9548 (50% Retracement level)

R2: 0.9566 (61.8% Retracement level)

R3: 0.9582 (Daily high)

Support Levels

S1: 0.9530 (38.2% Retracement level)

S2: 0.9522 (April 7th lows)

S3: 0.9500 (Psychological level)

Best Regrads
Tickmill
Forex-CFD-Metals
 
Dollar rallies on upbeat news from China, Oil retreat from peaks as Al-Naimi says no to output cap

Its only few days left before output talks are starting in Doha and traders are extremely concerned about the outcome of the meeting.

The most likely scenario is a “soft freeze”, which does not imply any obligation on the part of the participating players, said Jeff Curry, strategist at Goldman Sachs, in an interview with Bloomberg TV. According to his words, “no one is interested” in serious steps to limit the supply that could reduce the glut on Oil market now.

Meanwhile, today at a conference in Lausanne, the heads of major energy market traders companies (Trafigura, Gunvor, Mercuria, Castleton, Glencore and Vitol) almost unanimously declared that the world oil market can return to balance by the end of 2016. Information on this matter appeared in Financial Times newspaper.

The fall of oil prices occurred after the oil minister of Saudi Arabia, Ali al-Naimi has lowered the probability of freezing production on following meeting on Sunday.

According to Reuters, which cites the commentary of the local newspaper in Saudi Arabia, where oil minister Al-Naimi was asked about the reduction of production in the country, he said that should “forget about this”

The comments came a day after it became know that Russia and Saudi Arabia have reached a consensus to limit production on the eve of the meeting on Sunday.

Analysts have warned that the planned meeting of major Oil producing nations will have only a limited impact on the capping of global overproduction.

There has been strong volatility on Oil market recent days. Daily swings widened as much as $3/bbl per day.

Hedge funds are building up bullish wagers in anticipation of further recovery of oil prices after the forthcoming meeting in Doha. However, from a technical point of view, Brent has risen too sharply, so the short-term growth potential is exhausted.

Today, the focus of the attention of traders are also Energy Information Administration data on stocks in US storage tanks, which will be released today.

EIA report released today showed U.S. commercial crude oil inventories rose 6.6 million barrels for the week ending April 8. At 536.5 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are at historically high levels for this time of year. Oil prices extended declines after the release. As at 10:37 ET on the WTI crude oil for May delivery was down 79 cents, or 1.87%, to trade at $ 41.44 a barrel. Brent crude fell 62 cents to $ 44.05.

Greenback reached a two-week peak against the euro on Wednesday on the strengthening of global stock markets and upbeat data from China which made risky bets attractive to investors compared with the low-yielding currencies in Europe and Japan.

US advanced Retails sales data missed expectations (-0.3% vs 0.1% projected), managed to bar the Dollar rally, but US currency continues to show a positive trend breaking 1.13 level, finding resistance at 1.1270. USD rose 0.64 percent against the yen to 109.23 yen from Monday’s low at 107.61 yen. Euro was as low as $ 1.1272.

“It is obvious that under the best of moods and speculation (in respect of interest), the euro and the yen should weaken,” – said the chief investment officer Sun Global Investments Sanjeev Shah.

Source : http://brokerarena.com/news/dollar-...from-peaks-as-al-naimi-says-no-to-output-cap/
 
March industrial production in the US fell more than expected, battering the optimism about the health of the US economy, official data showed on Friday.

The Fed report showed that in the past month, the volume of industrial production decreased by 0.6% with a seasonal adjustments, more than the expected drop of 0.1%.

In February, industrial production fell by 0.6%, the figure was revised down from a preliminary estimate of 0.5%.

Processing industries production decreased 0.3% last month with taking into account seasonal adjustments, missing forecasts for growth of 0.1%, after declining by 0.1% in February, the figure was revised down from the initial estimate of growth at 0,1%.

The report also showed that the capacity utilization rate fell to 74.8% in March, compared with 75.3% a month earlier. The February figure was revised down from the original estimate of 76.7%.

Analysts had expected a smaller decline to 75.4%.

The EUR/USD was trading at 1.1282, up from 1.1273 in anticipation of the release of the data, the pair GBP/USD was trading at 1.4174, up from 1.4155, while the pair USD/JPY was trading at 108.90, bounced from 108.84 support earlier in the session.

USD index, which shows the value of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies, was held at 94.79, down from 94.86 the day before the report.

Futures on US stock indexes pointed to a lower Wall Street opening. Futures on the Dow fell 0.10%, futures on the S & P 500 fell by 0.16%, while the Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.24%.

On the commodities market, gold futures were trading at $ 1230.70 an ounce, compared with $ 1233.00 before the release of the data, while crude oil futures were trading at $ 40.51 per barrel, up from $ 40.38.

The greenback weakened in Friday against its major peers due to falling oil prices ahead of a meeting of producer countries in Doha, as well as the weak data on consumer sentiment in the US which have reduced risk appetite, causing investors to buy safe currencies such as the Japanese yen .

The dollar index, which tracks the value of US currency against a basket of six major rivals, unwind gains after the growth over the past two days. The decrease of US currency against the yen on Friday was the largest one-day decline in more than a week.

“Perhaps there is some concern about the Doha negotiations”, – said a senior currency strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto Sean Osborne.

Producers of oil, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia are scheduled to meet in the Qatari capital on Sunday, April 17 to discuss the freeze of production close to current levels and solve the problem of oversupply on world markets.


Source : BrokerArena
 
Kuwait Strike props up Oil market, Iran tries hard to catch up with other oil producers


Iran could reach pre-sanctions production levels within two months, said the country’s deputy minister of oil on Tuesday, confirming Tehran’s intention to ramp up production.

Iranian IRNA reported citing Deputy Oil Rokneddin Javad, Iran will be able to enter the pre-sanctions production levels by the end of the Iranian month of Khordad, or by June 20.Iran has refused to freeze production at January levels, which OPEC estimated at 2.93 million barrels per day, and wants to return to the level of 4 million barrels per day. According to the words of Javad last week production exceeded 3.5 million barrels per day.

Oil production in Kuwait dropped to 1.5 million barrels per day, despite the indefinite strike of trade unions, said a spokesman of the industry to KUNA newspaper on Tuesday.Thousands of workers of oil and gas industry of Kuwait went on strike on Sunday to protest against the planned reforms related to salaries in the public sector.The strike lasted for three days, and the trade unions did not report the timing of its completion.On the first day of the strike, oil production in Kuwait dropped to 1.1 million barrels per day from 2.8 million barrels per day in March.The strike in Kuwait raised world oil prices, sagging after unsuccessful negotiations black gold producers about production freeze.

Japanese yen tumbles on Tuesday while commodity currencies are rising due to the recovery in oil prices after the sharp fall in the previous session, stimulating the growth of investor sentiment.

Pair USD / JPY rose 0.49% to 109.33 with a one-week low on Monday 107.82.

On Tuesday, oil prices are seeing an increase as oil strike in Kuwait has reduced the level of production in the country by 60%, overlapping market frustration over unsuccessful negotiations between the major exporters to freeze production to support prices.Recovery in oil prices has strongly contributed to the growth of equity markets, resulting in a jump of European indices to three-month highs.

The fears of Japanese intervention to weaken the yen, force investors to remain cautious on increasing bullish pressure on Japanese currency.Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso said on Tuesday that he will take “various measures” against further Yen strengthening and added that the sharp fluctuations in exchange rates are undesirable.

The US dollar fell in tandem with the Canadian dollar to a minimum 1.2740, its lowest level since July, and the pair is now trading at 1.2762.The Australian dollar peaked at 0.7803 and is now trading at 0.7777, up 0.37% today, while the pair NZD / USD grew by 0.91% to 0.7011.Euro shows an increase against the dollar, the EUR / USD strengthened by 0.24% to 1.1338.The euro was also up against the yen, with EUR / JPY rose 0.71% to 123.97.

The single currency found support after data showed the continued growth of economic sentiment in Germany this month.ZEW index of economic sentiment in Germany rose to 11.2 in April from 4.3 in March, beating the forecast of 8.0.USD Index, which tracks the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major rivals, was down 0.13% to 94.33.Prospects for an early rise in US interest rates remains uncertain after the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren warned on Monday that rates may be raised sooner than investors expect that at the moment.Low interest rates make the dollar less attractive to investors looking for profit.

Meanwhile, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York William Dudley warned that the US central bank is likely to stick to a cautious approach to tightening monetary policy.
 


Kuwait has restored oil production to 2.9 million barrels a few days after the stoppage of oilmen was settled, reports Saudi business newspaper “Al-Iktisadiya”.

Production of crude fell in Kuwait from 3 million b / d before the strike began last Sunday to 1.6-1.8 (according to various sources) b / d on Wednesday, when it was suddenly halted.
The country is currently refining 830 thousand B / d compared to 930 thousand B / d In the period preceding the action of the workers.

The newspaper reports that the leaders of oil and petrochemical industry trade unions are back for negotiations with authorities of the country to discuss reservation of privileges and benefits for oil workers in the country’s overhauled payroll system.

Modernization of the payroll system, according to the country’s leadership, would make it possible to create more equitable working conditions and reduce public costs.

The newspaper writes that the Kuwaiti leadership stood pat in the negotiations with trade unions, saying that it won’t meet the strikers’ demands “under pressure”.Unions did not achieve its goals, the negotiations began in fact “from a scratch”, and observers do not rule out compromise solutions, provided no industrial actions are launched during the dialogue.

China’s stock market rose in Friday session due to the pick-up of consumer and technology sectors, offsetting declines in commodity companies, but major indices showed the biggest weekly drop in three months.

Reacting to initial losses, “blue chips” index CSI300, which tracks the value of securities of the largest companies traded in Shanghai and Shenzhen, rose 0.5 percent to 3.174,90 points by the end of the session. The index of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Shanghai Composite added 0.2 percent and closed trading at around 2.959,24 points.

Last week the CSI300 fell by 3 per cent, while the SSEC lost 3.9 percent, showing the worst result since the end of week of January. The index, which tracks the shares of the commodity sector, fell 2.7 percent on Friday after the shares of steel companies, gold and copper producers.

Hong Kong stock market closed Friday in the red, responding to yesterday’s decline in the US stock market for the first time in four sessions due to disappointing quarterly results of US “blue chips”. The index of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hang Seng fell 0.7 percent to 21.467,04 points. Index of Chinese companies traded in Hong Kong, lost 1.4 percent, closing at 9.120,91 points.Week Hang Seng rose 0.7 percent, and HSCI dropped 1 percent.

The Bank of Japan, which introduced a negative interest rate in January 2016 on deposits of financial companies in the Central Bank, is considering the possibility of supporting the banks by providing them with loans at a negative rate, reports Bloomberg, citing informed sources.

According to the sources, this step can be taken simultaneously with a significant reduction in central bank interest rates on deposits in the Central Bank, which now stands at minus 0.1% per annum.

It is most likely that the loans at a negative rate will be issued under the program known as Stimulating Bank Lending Facility, the sources noted. Currently, banks receive loans under the program under the zero rate.

Experts believe that the addition of such a tool in the arsenal of the Bank of Japan will reflect positively on the national economy. At the same time, banks have already suffered from the introduction of negative rates, may be faced with the requirements of the borrowers to reduce the markup to the agreed interest rates on loans, the sources noted.
 
Gold surges to January 2015 high, Apple declines 8 days in a row as Icahn sells his stake.

Gold futures fluctuate around the key level of $1,300 during the morning US trading, as investors track the movement of currency market in anticipation of the comments of officials of the Federal Reserve System.
Gold for June delivery traded on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose to a session high of $ 1303.85 per troy ounce, then retreated to $ 1299.70, up $ 3.90, or 0 3%.

On Monday, gold rose in price to $ 1,306.00, the highest since January 2015.

Weak US dollar usually supports gold as it boosts interest to the commodity as a safe heaven asset and decrease prices of dollar-denominated commodities for holders of other currencies.
Today US dollar was down against a basket of currencies to a minimum 91.98, the lowest level since January 2015, and is now trading at 92.73, +0.22% today.
In early trading session Japanese yen rose to a fresh 18-month high against the dollar trading in tandem with the US currency at 105.57, while the euro reached its peak in August last year, $ 1.1600.

This year the USD index fell more than 6% due to lower expectations that the Fed will normalize interest rates due to concerns about the global economic downturn.
Traders will focus on the performances of officials of the Federal Reserve System, to get an idea about the balance of opinions in the Central Bank on further rate hikes.
At 14:30 GMT the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester led a discussion on the impact of monetary policy on market liquidity.
At 23:00 GMT the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Dennis Lockhart will speak about the economic outlook and monetary policy of the USA.

Gold prices have risen nearly 22% this year. The delay in raising interest rates tends to encourage demand for gold, as the costs of holding the asset are staying low, guaranteeing investors a higher profit.
In addition, silver futures for May delivery fell 6.6 cents, or 0.37%, to a price of $17.59 per troy ounce.
Copper fell 2.6 cents, or 1.17%, to $2,240 per pound increased against the background of concerns about the health of the Chinese economy after the country’s manufacturing activity declined in April, the 14th straight month.
Earlier, data showed that manufacturing in China by Caixin index dropped to 49.4 in April from 49.7 in the previous month, although expected to rise to 49.9 points.



Apple closed the eighth straight session with declines which was anti-record for the company since 1998, but premarket action points to weak growth.

Californian technology giant’s shares were down four sessions in a row, before the company reported on April 26 on the first decline in iPhone sales in the company’s history.
Apple’s stock continued to decline when investor Carl Icahn said the CNBC on April 28 he sold his entire stake in the company because of risk concerns about China.

Falling stock prices last week was the worst for the company since 2013 and the company closed Monday session decline by 0.11%, extending decline for eight sessions in a row what was the worst reading since July 1998 and was the fourth time in history the of the company. According to Bloomberg, Apple lost $79 billion market capitalization over the past eight sessions.
However, the fall may be coming to an end, as the company’s shares indicate 0.37% rise in premarket trading.
 
Iran reaches pre-sanctions level of production, Canada outage in supply boost oil prices

Oil production in Iran will reach 3.8 million barrels per day over the next few days said to Bloomberg Roknoddin Javadi, deputy oil minister and managing director of state-owned National Iranian Oil Company. It is obvious that Iran’s intention to return to pre-sanctions levels of oil production at a rate of about 4 million barrels per day remain quite serious.

After regaining market share, which the country controlled before the introduction of international sanctions, Iran is ready to discuss joint actions in the oil market with other OPEC members added Rokneddin Javadi. As reported by Bloomberg, Iran may join OPEC quota in one or two months after increasing output to pre-sanctions level of oil production and exports.

In April Iran exported an average of 2.1 million barrels of oil per day the deputy minister noted.
Crude futures of Brent and WTI sorts are trading in positive territory on the background of disruption in oil supplies due to forest fires in Canada and the escalation of military clashes in Libya but is moved away from session highs.
The boost of production in Iran is a matter for worries for one of its major export competitors in the Middle East – Saudi Arabia. As it became known yesterday crude output in Saudi Arabia has already reached 10.15 million barrels per day.

The fire which led to the evacuation of all 88,000 dwellers of the oil center – Fort McMurray in Canada and destroyed 1,600 buildings, now threatens local airport and southern part of the city, officials said on Wednesday.
Some areas of the city in the southeast of Alberta, in the heart of Canada’s oil sands region, already lay in ruins.
As we move to the south of the fire, authorities announced a mandatory evacuation of the settlements, located 50 kilometers south of Fort McMurray.

According to officials, there is no victims of the calamity, but it is known of at least one car accident in the course of the evacuation.
A huge cloud of black smoke can be seen at a distance of more than 60 kilometers from the city, the fire can not stop the fire.
“We may lose a significant part of the city”, – said Scott Long, a spokesman for Emergency Management Agency Alberta.
The main oil facilities are located outside the fire spread, however, companies are trying to help and evacuate employees and protect conduits, which led to a cut in production.

Premier of Alberta Rachel Notley said that the Fort McMurray destroyed about 1,600 buildings. The province declared a state of emergency. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said that the military could send planes into the city, if necessary. International Airport Fort McMurray suspended all commercial flights.
The consequences for oil production are still unclear, but the Canadian company Suncor Energy said on Wednesday the suspension of work on its core deposit on oil sands may result in a cut of 350,000 barrels/day in output. Production on the rest of oil fields was decreased as well.Oil futures gained about three percents on supply outages from Canada, WTI rose to $45/barrel, while Brent floats near $45.50/barrel.

Source
 

Live Forex Chart

Currency
Rates
EUR / USD
1.14790
USD / JPY
156.877
GBP / USD
1.33950
USD / CHF
0.82250
USD / CAD
1.39965
EUR / JPY
180.080
AUD / USD
0.71320
Back
Top
Log in Register