Gold Analysis featuring Osborne Adams

[Osborne Adams]

Hello Carigold members,

I am Osborne Adams. I have spent 25 years in investment banking in Hong Kong and Germany, and I want to share my view on the massive move we are seeing in Gold (XAU/USD) today.

What is happening?As of today (Friday, Dec 12), Gold has broken the resistance and is trading around $4,330 - $4,340.Many of you might be asking: Is it too high? Should I short?

My Advice: Do NOT Short this trend.

The Reason:

1. US Data: The US Jobless Claims report today (220k) shows the US economy is getting weaker. This means the US Dollar (DXY) will likely get weaker, and Gold will get stronger.
2. Asian Demand: We are seeing huge buying pressure from Central Banks in Asia.
3. Crypto Correlation: Even Bitcoin has recovered to $92,500, showing that investors want "hard assets," not paper money.

My Strategy at Blue Ocean Wealth:We are looking for buy dips. If XAU/USD pulls back to $4,300, that is a support level.In my experience, when Gold breaks an All-Time High on a Friday, the momentum usually carries over to Monday morning in Asia.

Happy trading and Selamat Maju Jaya!

 

[Osborne Adams]

Hello Carigold traders, Osborne Adams here.

Happy Monday. I want to share a quick institutional perspective on the XAU/USD movement we are seeing today (Dec 15).

The Setup:As we open the week, Gold has pushed up to $4,345 - $4,346. This is significant because it marks a 7-week high.Many retail traders are asking: "Is it time to short?"

My Answer: Be very careful with shorts right now.

Why? The Institutional Flow:

1. Divergence: While Bitcoin ($89,825) and Ethereum ($3,140) are consolidating after the weekend, Gold is pushing higher. This tells me that "Smart Money" is prioritizing safety and liquidity first.
2. Macro Backdrop: The market is still pricing in the softer US labor data from last week. A weaker dollar naturally lifts Gold.
3. The "Monday Rule": In my 25 years of trading, when Gold breaks a multi-week high on a Monday Asian/European session, it often sets the trend for the whole week.

My Strategy:I am holding my Spot Gold positions. I am not chasing shorts here.For Crypto traders, do not panic about the red candles on BTC. It is simply waiting for Gold to finish its move. The correlation usually kicks in later.

Trade safe, and watch the $4,350 resistance level.

 

[Osborne Adams]

Hello Carigold traders, Osborne Adams here.

Happy Friday. What a week it has been.Yesterday, the US CPI data dropped at 2.7%, significantly lower than the expected 3.1%.In the old days, low inflation was "bad" for Gold because you buy Gold to hedge against rising prices.But look at the chart today: XAU/USD is trading firmly around $4,324.

Why didn't Gold crash?This is the institutional perspective I want to share with you today.In 2025, Gold is not just an inflation hedge; it is a Rate Cut Proxy.A "Cooling CPI" (2.7%) means the Federal Reserve has the green light to cut interest rates aggressively to save the economy.Lower rates = Weaker Dollar (DXY) = Stronger Gold.

The Bitcoin CorrelationWe saw a massive "Bear Trap" on Bitcoin yesterday. It flushed down to $84,461, grabbed liquidity, and V-shaped back to $88,087.This confirms that the "Smart Money" used the CPI volatility to buy cheap coins. They know the same thing Gold traders know: Liquidity is coming.

My Weekend Strategy:I am entering the weekend with a Risk-On bias.

• Gold: Holding spot. As long as we stay above $4,300, the trend is bullish.
• Oil (WTI): Sitting at ~$55.9. It's weak, which actually helps the "low inflation" narrative.
• Crypto: Accumulating on dips. The recovery to $88k is a strong signal.

Do not get shaken out by Friday profit-taking. The macro environment just got a lot friendlier for us.

Trade safe and enjoy the weekend.

Osborne Adams | Global Investment Strategist

Osborne Adams - Global Investment Strategist with 25+ years of experience in international markets

www.osborneadamsblog.com

 

[Osborne Adams]

Hello Carigold members, Osborne Adams here.

What a way to end the year! If you followed my analysis on the DXY (Dollar Index) weakness yesterday, you are likely smiling today.

The Setup (Dec 23):The US Dollar Index has dropped to 98.05. This is a critical breakdown.The market reaction was instant: Gold (XAU/USD) shattered the ceiling and printed a new All-Time High of $4,445 in the Asian session.

Why is this happening?

1. Consumer Confidence: Data came in hot at 91.7 (vs 88.7 prev). This means the US economy is handling the "soft landing" well, allowing the Fed to keep liquidity flowing without panic.
2. The Trend: Funds are parking cash in Gold over the holidays to hedge against currency debasement.

Crypto Connection:For those watching Bitcoin, it's doing the same thing but lagging slightly. BTC is at $89,866, knocking on the $90k door. But notice ETH is weak at $2,957.My advice: Gold is the leader right now. It broke out first. Bitcoin usually follows.

Trading Plan:Do NOT try to pick a top on Gold here. "The trend is your friend."With the DXY looking this sick, $4,500 is not far away. I am holding my spot positions through Christmas.

Happy Hunting and Merry Christmas!

Osborne Adams | Global Investment Strategist

Osborne Adams - Global Investment Strategist with 25+ years of experience in international markets

www.osborneadamsblog.com

 

[Osborne Adams]

Hello Carigold traders, Osborne Adams here.

I see a lot of chatter today about the Gold drop. We went from breaking records ($4,500+) to trading down at $4,365 today (Dec 30).

Is the bull run over?In my institutional view: No.

Here is why I am not selling:

1. The Calendar: It is Dec 30. This is classic "Profit Taking." Big funds need to show cash on their books for year-end reporting. They are selling winners to lock in bonuses.
2. The Dollar (DXY): Look at the DXY chart. It is sitting at 98.02. It is NOT rallying. If Gold was crashing for real, the Dollar would be shooting up to 100. It isn't.

What is happening?This is a "Liquidity Flush." The market is thin because everyone is on holiday. The algorithms pushed the price down to trigger stop-losses below $4,400.

My Plan:I am holding my spot positions.I am watching the $4,350 support level. If that holds today, we are set up for a massive January.Don't let a low-volume Tuesday shake you out of a macro trend. The US Dollar is still weak, which means Gold is still King.

Stay disciplined. Happy New Year in advance.

Osborne Adams | Global Investment Strategist

Osborne Adams - Global Investment Strategist with 25+ years of experience in international markets

www.osborneadamsblog.com

 

[Osborne Adams]

Salam & Hi everyone,

Just wanted to share a quick observation on the market movements today (Jan 21, 2026). We are seeing a massive divergence that is crucial for anyone trading XAUUSD or Crypto.

1. The Gold Run (XAUUSD)Gold just touched a new All-Time High around $4,737.This is a classic "Flight to Safety." With all the headlines coming out of Davos about global risks, big money is parking cash in Gold. If you are long, the trend is super strong.

2. The Bitcoin DropUsually, BTC moves with Gold against the Dollar. But today, they split.BTC broke the psychological $90,000 support level and is trading around $89,300.This tells me that traders are treating Crypto as a "Risk Asset" right now, not a safe haven.

My take for the rest of the week:

• Gold: I wouldn't short this trend yet. The momentum is too strong.
• BTC: Be careful buying the dip immediately. I'm watching the $88k level to see if it holds.
• News: Even decent earnings from Netflix didn't lift the tech sector, which confirms sentiment is fearful.

What are you guys watching? Are you taking profit on Gold here or holding for $4,800?

Trade safe.

Osborne Adams | Global Investment Strategist

Osborne Adams - Global Investment Strategist with 25+ years of experience in international markets

www.osborneadamsblog.com