Tokyo stocks at 8-month high on weak yen
By David Pilling in Tokyo
Published: January 4 2007 04:15 | Last updated: January 4 2007 04:15
Japanese markets started off the year in confident mood, with a weak yen underpinning a 0.74 per cent rise in the Nikkei 225 index in a half-day session that ended on an eight-month high.
In the first session of the year since Friday, carmakers and electronics makers - both of which make most of their profits abroad - rose strongly on hopes that the yen might remain weak for some time.
The Bank of Japan left interest rates at 0.25 per cent in its December policy board meeting, preserving the wide interest rate differential with the US and Europe. Even though there is speculation of another ¼ point rise, the central bank has made clear it will raise rates only very gradually over the coming year, a policy that could keep the yen relatively weak for much of 2007.
The Japanese currency remained above Y119 to the dollar, slightly stronger than the two-and-half month low of Y119.68 it reached in New York on the previous day.
The Nikkei 225 rose 127.84 points on Thursday to 17,353.67, while the broader Topix index added 17.88 points, or 1.06 per cent, to close at 1,698.
Japanese markets performed poorly compared with their international peers last year after a very strong 2005,
raising expectations among some traders of healthy gains in 2007. This year, the economy is expected to grow for the sixth straight year.
Masaaki Kanno, chief economist of JPMorgan in Tokyo, said: “Markets seem to underestimate the strength of corporate profits, especially for 2006.”
He said he expected an upward revision of second-half profits, plus a continued strong performance of exporters based on a relatively weak yen, would be “very positive for markets”.
Eventually, he said, higher profits would spill over into wages and stronger household spending, a benign economic scenario that has so far proved elusive.
Jepang Steady
