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The euro weakened against the dollar during the Asian trade, while Asian share markets dropped in reaction to an unproductive European finance ministers’ meeting in Poland on Saturday. The Nikkei was closed on Monday, however, other regional bourses fell by 1.5% on average.

The euro declined more than 1 percent to 1.3646 versus the dollar in Asia, last quoted at 1.3660, 30 pips below its opening price.

From a technical standpoint, “EUR/USD (last at 1.3665) is likely to trade in a lower range this week as the daily MACD indicator is bearish and the spot rate this morning violated support at Thursday’s low of 1.3703,” writes Jerry Tan in his column at Dow Jones Newswires.

Mr. Tan expects buying interest to come in at Tuesday’s low of 1.3557, where a breach would then expose the downside to 1.3495. To the upside, “a rise above Thursday’s high of 1.3937 would temper the near-term negative outlook, targeting the 200-day moving average, coming now at 1.4037,” he explains.
 
Opening calls were lower for all three key European indices Monday as the euro debt crisis continued to drag on market sentiment.

The FTSE was called lower by 47 points, the DAX by 53 points and the CAC-40 by 48 points.

The lack of any decisive action from EU finance ministers who met in Poland last Friday on Greece and preventing contagion within the euro zone is concerning the markets.
 




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Trading Point > All > Forex News – Greek default hangs in the balance

Posted on September 19, 2011 by Trading Point Investment Research Desk at 6:43 am GMT

The euro got off to a bad start this week after European policy makers failed to introduce a plan to stem the region’s debt crisis. Greece’s ability to avoid default hangs in the balance this week as international monitors will assess whether Prime Minister George Papandreou can meet the conditions of rescue loans.

EU finance ministers made clear to Greece over the weekend meeting in Wroclaw, Poland, that it must meet targets to get fresh funds but broke no new ground in dealing with the debt crisis shaking the euro.

In an effort to take a tough stance to avoid default, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou cancelled a visit to the United States to chair a cabinet meeting on Sunday, a day before European Union and International Monetary Fund inspectors hold a conference call with Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos to hear how Greece will plug this year’s budget shortfall.

Greece is at risk of not receiving its next aid trance due in October before it runs out of money. At stake is an 8 billion euro ($11 billion) loan tranche from a 110 billion euro bailout secured last year. European Union and International Monetary Fund inspectors will speak today with Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos to judge whether the government is eligible for its next aid payment due next month.

International lenders are also concerned with the lack of political consensus within Greece on the measures needed to emerge from the crisis. The conservative New Democracy opposition has criticised the government for overtaxing the economy and driving it into a tail spin and called for snap elections saying the policy mix was wrong and was not yielding any results despite peoples’ sacrifices.

Finance chiefs from the euro region said that the 18-month debt crisis leaves no room for tax cuts or extra spending to spur an economy on the brink of stagnation.

Meanwhile, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, under fire for her hesitant leadership in the euro zone crisis, suffered a heavy defeat in a regional Berlin election on Sunday, weakening her hand before a crucial euro zone vote in parliament at the end of the month.

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Trading Point > All > Forex News – Greek default hangs in the balance

Posted on September 19, 2011 by Trading Point Investment Research Desk at 6:43 am GMT

The euro got off to a bad start this week after European policy makers failed to introduce a plan to stem the region’s debt crisis. Greece’s ability to avoid default hangs in the balance this week as international monitors will assess whether Prime Minister George Papandreou can meet the conditions of rescue loans.

EU finance ministers made clear to Greece over the weekend meeting in Wroclaw, Poland, that it must meet targets to get fresh funds but broke no new ground in dealing with the debt crisis shaking the euro.

In an effort to take a tough stance to avoid default, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou cancelled a visit to the United States to chair a cabinet meeting on Sunday, a day before European Union and International Monetary Fund inspectors hold a conference call with Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos to hear how Greece will plug this year’s budget shortfall.

Greece is at risk of not receiving its next aid trance due in October before it runs out of money. At stake is an 8 billion euro ($11 billion) loan tranche from a 110 billion euro bailout secured last year. European Union and International Monetary Fund inspectors will speak today with Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos to judge whether the government is eligible for its next aid payment due next month.

International lenders are also concerned with the lack of political consensus within Greece on the measures needed to emerge from the crisis. The conservative New Democracy opposition has criticised the government for overtaxing the economy and driving it into a tail spin and called for snap elections saying the policy mix was wrong and was not yielding any results despite peoples’ sacrifices.

Finance chiefs from the euro region said that the 18-month debt crisis leaves no room for tax cuts or extra spending to spur an economy on the brink of stagnation.

Meanwhile, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, under fire for her hesitant leadership in the euro zone crisis, suffered a heavy defeat in a regional Berlin election on Sunday, weakening her hand before a crucial euro zone vote in parliament at the end of the month.

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Sterling retreat from 1.5870 on Thursday extended to fresh multi-month lows at 1.5685 on Monday's Asian session, and the pair bounced on early London session to be capped at 1.5755, and retrace gains, dipping to fresh 8-month lows below 1.5685 level.

On the downside, below 1.5685/05 (Sept 14 low/day low), next resistance levels lie at 1.5665 (Jan 2 high) and 1.5610 (weekly pivot point S2). On the upside, resistance levels are 1.5755 (day highs), the pair might find resistance at 1.5840 (Sept 16 high) and 1.5870/85 (Sept 12/13 high).

Below 1.5650, the pair will increase bearish momentum, aiming to 1.5590/80, says Carol Harmer, technical analyst at CharmerCharts: "Now if we lose 1.5650 we will abandon longs as we would then be in a good position to trade lower with 1.5590/80 the short term objective."
 


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