World Signal analysis

[World-Signals]

What to do the week America votes?
The dollar and the Euro depending on the future president of the USA.
The most important week, both for the United States and the rest of the world, and also for the currency markets.
The choice between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is key for the future of the United States, as well as for the development of economies around the world.
On November 5, 2024, Tuesday is the election in the USA.
The election of Kamala will definitely not affect the dollar well, while the election of Trump would have a positive effect. But there is one very big BUT. In both elections, unrest is very likely to follow, which would adversely affect the United States.
Thus, the "elections 2024" drama will not end with the final decision of the voters.
Betting on Gold is much safer in these absolutely uncertain times.
Even more so with the news that more and more millionaires are trying to leave the United States.
After the employment data, this week, fundamentals will generally be left for later trading when the passions surrounding the election die down.
Our advice is to choose gold instead of the dollar or euro. You can't go wrong with gold for medium to long term trading.
This week, trading will start neutral in anticipation of the news surrounding the elections, but it is possible that individual players will be quite aggressive in the markets. The probability of very large trade turnovers is very high.
In addition to the US election, on Tuesday you can watch the ECB's President Lagarde speech, as well as data on the ISM Services PMI (Oct).
On Thursday after the election, pay attention to the Fed Interest Rate Decision, where a 25 basis point cut is expected.
If everything around the election goes smoothly (although it is unlikely), then the expected lowering of interest rates in the United States will be the main driving event for the week.

 

[World-Signals]

Will we witness parity in EURUSD?
EURUSD - Daily analysis and trading strategy.
The new week begins with the G20 meeting in Brazil. It is possible to outline new directions for the development of the world, especially in the hotspots Ukraine and Israel.
On Monday, the ECB's President Lagarde speech is expected, where it should become clear whether there will be a change in interest rate policy in Europe after the election of Trump. Lagarde is likely to hint at a cut in the key interest rate.
The tariffs that the new team in the White House is expected to introduce to Europe and especially to its industrial part, such as Germany, are already having an impact. Factories will not be able to compete with Chinese and American goods. In addition, the market for goods from Europe is constantly shrinking, and the quality is falling.
Currently, 41.5% of German companies report a lack of orders. This percentage will increase significantly in early 2025.
A number of manufacturers from Europe are thinking about where to go. Possible locations are the United States, China, and possibly other countries such as Turkey and Southeast Asian countries.
The euro has no chance in the near term. The probability of Euro/Dollar parity is very likely even before January 20, 2025 (Donald Trump's Inauguration).
Therefore, our strategy remains to sell the euro with the aim of parity and down. If you are entering the market now, wait for the slight upward correction of 50-80 pips to re-open a short position. For this week, we expect the dollar to take a lead of 100-130 pips against the Euro.

 

[World-Signals]

The Euro is going down, parity is close, the collapse of the Eurozone is approaching.
Already on the first working day of 2025, the trend we talked about earlier became clear. Namely, that the dollar will take the lead over the Euro and parity will come soon. At the same time, resource prices will start moving up. This applies especially to gold and other precious metals.
Electricity is the other resource that will be extremely valuable, especially for Europe and especially the countries of the European Union.
Europe is moving quickly towards the abyss and there will be no one to save it. The only one who talks about change and has the opportunity to save Europe is Elon Musk. It remains for the population of Europe to demand change. In the last 4 years after the pandemic and with the introduction of sanctions against Russia, Europe has shot itself and does not want to go and stitch up its wound. It continues with the policy of destruction.
Our advice remains the same, invest in metals, do not invest in Europe. If you want to produce, go to Asia, the United States, or countries outside the Euro and the European Union.

 

[caribbean]

Yes, gold is going up, and I think it will stay strong for a while. But saying “don’t invest in Europe” may be too much. Every crisis has opportunity. Some countries in the EU are still growing. If you pick carefully, you can still make profit.

 

[Miksen5Andrstq]

Yes, gold is going up, and I think it will stay strong for a while. But saying “don’t invest in Europe” may be too much. Every crisis has opportunity. Some countries in the EU are still growing. If you pick carefully, you can still make profit.

I totally agree with your point — gold is definitely showing strength, and it makes sense as a safe haven right now. But you're right, writing off all of Europe is an overreaction.There are still solid opportunities if you look closely. Countries like Ireland and parts of Eastern Europe are showing resilience, and some sectors (like green energy and tech) continue to grow despite broader issues.

 

[World-Signals]

EURUSD Daily Analysis and Forecasts - Oct 6, 2025
EURUSD
Trend: Neutral/Upward
Support/Resistance: 1.1710 - 1.1760

The U.S. government shutdown has effectively paused most official economic reporting, leaving the markets without fresh macroeconomic data from the United States. This lack of input is expected to limit volatility in the early part of the week, as traders focus instead on developments from the Eurozone.

Key data on Monday will include Eurozone Retail Sales at 9:00 AM GMT and ECB President Lagarde’s speech at 17:00 GMT. Both events could provide short-term direction for the euro, but until then, the market is likely to remain range-bound.

According to World-Signals, EUR/USD is expected to trade within the range of 1.1710 to 1.1760 throughout most of Monday. A breakout above or below these levels could trigger stronger momentum in the corresponding direction.

At this stage, the probability of an upside breakout above 1.1760 remains slightly higher, reflecting underlying euro resilience amid the U.S. political uncertainty. However, as long as the pair stays inside the defined range, intraday strategies should favor buying near the lower bound and selling near the upper bound.
Forecast provided by World-Signals

 

[World-Signals]

German Industrial Production Surges, but the Euro Remains Under Pressure​

Today's Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) data for October surprised to the upside, showing a strong increase of 1.8%, compared to expectations of -0.4% and a previous reading of 1.1%. This marks one of the strongest monthly performances of the year, indicating renewed stabilization in Europe's largest economy.

The indicator, released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland, is a key measure of the health of the manufacturing and mining sectors-core drivers of the German economy. Typically, higher industrial production is considered positive for the euro, signaling better growth prospects within the Eurozone.

Market Reaction - A Brief Spike Followed by Reversal

Immediately after the release, the euro jumped approximately 20 pips against the US dollar. However, the move was short-lived. During the European morning session, the USD regained all losses and strengthened further, pushing EUR/USD back toward 1.1650, with continued bearish momentum on the single currency.

This price action suggests that investors remain unconvinced that a single positive data point is enough to change the broader negative outlook for the Eurozone.

Geopolitical Pressure and Investor Sentiment

Market sentiment today was influenced not only by economic indicators but also by political commentary. Recent criticism of the European Union by Elon Musk and Donald Trump-including claims that the EU should "return to nation-states"-has added to investor caution regarding European assets.

Although such remarks do not directly affect short-term indicators, they contribute to a broader environment of skepticism toward the Eurozone's long-term stability.

World-Signals Outlook for EURUSD

According to World-Signals, the euro is likely to remain under pressure in the coming days. Expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut toward the end of the year are currently viewed by markets as a supportive factor for the US dollar, signaling continued resilience in the American economy.

Given this backdrop, a move in EURUSD toward 1.1700 appears unlikely in the near term. Instead, USD strength is expected to dominate, with potential for the pair to test lower levels if negative sentiment toward the Eurozone persists.