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Time now: Jun 1, 12:00 AM

Will Quantum Computing Break Ethereum And Bitcoin Before 2028? We Asked ChatGPT

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Key Takeaways​


Fresh warnings from Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin have reignited debate over whether Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are ready for the era of quantum computing. His concern is that the next wave of quantum advances could expose major weaknesses in today’s blockchain security. With Deloitte estimating that roughly 25% of all Bitcoin in circulation is already susceptible to a quantum attack, and as more experts echo the alarm, the question now is how real—and how urgent—the threat truly is.

Quantum Computing’s Threat To Ethereum​


Speaking at the Devconnect conference in Bangkok, Buterin told developers that the industry has less time than expected to prepare for a potential breakthrough in quantum capability. On Nov. 13, Scott Aaronson, a quantum computing professor at the University of Texas at Austin, stated that fault-tolerant quantum computers could threaten Bitcoin’s elliptic curve cryptography by 2028. The comments have raised fresh questions about the all-important security systems that are protecting the world’s biggest blockchains. With the possibility of an existential threat back in focus, the discussion turned to the opinions of AI models like ChatGPT.

ChatGPT’s Cautious Warning​


ChatGPT’s outlook was not very comforting. The model pointed to the rapidly growing push of engineering progress in quantum research. Asked whether 2028 was a plausible deadline, ChatGPT said the timeline remains uncertain but not unrealistic. While the AI argued that a coordinated upgrade is achievable, it warned that the transition could be slow and uneven.

Grok’s Blunt Take​


Elon Musk’s AI assistant, Grok, was less measured. The chatbot mocked panic-driven forecasts. Still, Grok noted that Buterin’s warning shouldn’t be taken lightly. On whether a quantum breakthrough would cause instant collapse, Grok pushed back.

Industry Reality Check​


With Vitalik Buterin warning that quantum systems could undermine blockchain security before 2028, developers and analysts are reassessing assumptions. As financial payment network OneSafe notes in a recent blog post: “Buterin’s message reflects a realistic interpretation of current quantum roadmaps, not a hypothetical scare scenario.” Meanwhile, Deloitte notes that around 25% of the Bitcoins in circulation are “vulnerable to a quantum attack.” At the center of the concern is Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC), the cryptographic foundation underpinning Bitcoin, Ethereum, and most digital-asset protocols. Beyond blockchain infrastructure itself, quantum threats can also extend into areas where crypto is embedded into enterprise operations. According to OneSafe: “Payroll systems are particularly sensitive because employees often reuse wallet addresses, increasing the surface area for future quantum exploitation.”

This article has been published in ccn.com via Yahoo News.

 
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