BTC USD 61,923.9 Gold USD 4,328.60
Time now: Jun 1, 12:00 AM

TTCM Traders Trusts - traders-trust.com

European Central Bank
Bank sentral kawasan pengguna mata uang tunggal euro yang terdiri dari 16 negara Eropa. Tugas utama bagi ECB adalah menjaga daya beli valuta euro dan stabilitas harga di seluruh negara penggunanya. Didirikan pada 1 Juni 1998, kantor ECB berpusat di Frankfurt, Jerman. Pemegang kebijakan salah satu bank sentral terpenting dunia ini adalah Dewan Direktur dan Dewan Gubernur. Adapun pucuk pimpinan tertinggi dipegang oleh seorang kepala (president). Anggota Dewan Gubernur adalah perwakilan dari sentral bank lokal yang tergabung dalam European System of Central Banks (ESCB). Fungsi utama ECB juga meliputi pengendalian tingkat inflasi agar tetap dalam kisaran 2%. Di samping itu, ECB bertugas mendukung segala kebijakan ekonomi yang dibuat oleh pemerintah Uni Eropa. Sesuai amanat Treaty of Rome, bank sentral juga bertanggungjawab mengawasi pergerakan valuta asing, bekerjasama dengan pejabat negara anggota yang mengawasi cadangan devisa dan mempromosikan sistem pembayaran yang baik.
 
Market Review
 Dollar Slumps After U.S. Jobs Report Disappoints. The dollar slumped on Friday, stung by a
September U.S. jobs report depicting slower hiring, which raised doubts the economy was strong enough for
the Federal Reserve to raise U.S. interest rates this year as had been widely anticipated. The data marked the
smallest two-month gain in employment in over a year and could fuel fears that a China-led global economic
slowdown may sap America's strength. The dollar fell sharply two weeks ago after the Fed once again kept
rates at historic lows. But the currency had gained around 2.5 percent through Friday, as Fed Chair Janet Yellen
and other U.S. policymakers kept alive the prospect later this year of a rate rise.  Sterling Rises on Strong U.K. Construction Data. The pound rose against the U.S. dollar on Friday,
after data showed that construction activity in the U.K. expanded at the fastest rate since March last month.
Research group Markit said on Friday that its U.K. construction purchasing managers' index rose to a sixmonth
high of 59.9 in September from a reading of 57.3 in August. Analysts had expected the index to tick up
to 57.5 last month. On Thursday, Markit reported its U.K. manufacturing purchasing managers’ index eased to
51.5 in September from a revised reading of 51.6 in August. Economists had expected the index to tick up to
51.3.  Aussie Fluctuate Ahead of RBA Meeting. The Australian dollar fluctuated against U.S. dollar on Friday
ahead Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy meeting next week. On Thursday morning, the International
Monetary Fund released a report on Australia that said it was optimistic about the country's ability to navigate
its way out of the recent slump caused by the slowing mining boom, but suggested the Reserve Bank of
Australia could cut rates if the rate of recovery remains slow. On economic front, Australian Bureau of
Statistics said Australian retail sales rose 0.4% in August from a month earlier. The increase, in line with
expectations, followed a 0.1% drop in July.  U.S. Economy Creates Just 142,000 New Jobs in September. The number of new jobs created in
September slowed sharply for the second straight month, raising the specter that pace of hiring in the U.S. has
tapered off amid fresh worries about a weaker global economy. The economy added a seasonally adjusted
142,000 jobs in September, following an even smaller gain in the prior month, the Labor Department reported
Friday. Economists had been expecting the report to show 202,000 new jobs, from the downwardly revised
136,000 in August from the originally reported 173,000. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.1%,
though more people dropped out of the labor force. The percentage of Americans in the labor force fell to the
lowest level since October 1977.
 Asian Stocks Subdued Ahead of U.S. Jobs. Asian stocks were mixed on a subdued Friday, losing steam
after two straight days of stellar gains, as investors awaited the crucial U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for
September due later in the day. Hong Kong stocks led the region's gainers with a 2.6 percent rise, lifted by a
bounce in the Chinese Enterprise Index which tracks Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, after latest
policy steps to shore up the flagging economy. Australia's shares fell 1.1 percent while Japan's Nikkei Average
fell 0.4 percent. China is shut for a week-long holiday and India is closed for a local holiday. Beijing on
Wednesday said it would cut the minimum down payment level for first-time home buyers in many cities, the
second policy measure in two days to fire up Chinese consumption.  European Stocks Shrug Off U.S. Jobs Report to End Higher. European stock markets on Friday
snapped back after firm losses fueled by a disappointing U.S. jobs report. Investors turned their attention to the
potential benefits of a weak labor market in the world’s largest economy, helping reignite buying appetite. The
big news for global equity markets on Friday was the disappointing non-farm payrolls data from the U.S. The
country created 142,000 jobs in September, way below the 203,000 expected, bringing into question whether
an interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve is still on the cards this year. The unemployment rate
remained at 5.1 percent. Some analysts said the lackluster U.S. jobs data probably pushes a interest-rate hike by
the Federal Reserve into 2016. Germany’s DAX 30 index ended 0.45% higher, while France’s CAC 40 index
rose 0.75%. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 index climbed almost 1%, propped up by mining firms and banks. The
index was also boosted by the U.K. construction purchasing managers index for September, which hit a 7-
month high at 59.9.  U.S. Stocks Advance as Commodity Shares Rally Amid Jobs Report. U.S. stocks closed more than
1 percent higher Friday, recovering from an initial decline of more than 1.5 percent, as investors digested
higher oil prices and a weaker-than-expected jobs report. The major averages closed at session highs, with the
Dow Jones industrial average up 200 points after earlier falling as much as 258 points, to closed at 16,472.37,
meanwhile the S&P 500 gained 27.53 points, to 1,951.35. The Dow and S&P 500 closed up more than 1
percent for their biggest intraday upside reversal since Oct. 4, 2011. The Nasdaq composite closed up 1.5
percent to 4,707.78 for its biggest reversal since Aug. 12. The major averages ended the week more than 1
percent higher, with the S&P 500 out of correction territory, or within 10 percent of its 52-week high. The Dow
and Nasdaq remained in correction territory.  Gold Posts Best Day Since January After Weak U.S. NFP. Gold prices jumped more than 2 percent
on Friday and post its biggest daily gain since January on a flurry of short-covering as dismal U.S. jobs data
dented expectations the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year. Investors raced to cover bearish short
bets and some put on new longs after U.S. Labor Department data showed payrolls outside of farming rose by
142,000 last month, much lower than the 203,000 expected. Gold had earlier slid to its lowest in two weeks on
expectations for an upbeat jobs report that would support the case for a near-term rate rise. That would lift the
opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion while boosting the dollar.  Crude Rises After Big Drop in U.S. Rig Count. Crude prices erased early losses to rise more than 2
percent on Friday after a report showing the fifth weekly decline in the U.S. oil rig count renewed the debate
over falling production in the world's top oil consumer. Softer-than-expected U.S. jobs data and other economic
statistics had weighed on oil earlier, along with reduced threats to oil installations in the U.S. East Coast from
Hurricane Joaquin. U.S. energy companies this week cut the number of rigs drilling for oil by 26, a weekly
survey by oil services company Baker Hughes showed. It was the largest number of rigs idled in a week since
April. The data turned around oil prices that had been down about 1 percent earlier.
 Wal-Mart to Cut 450 Jobs at its Headquarters. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. CEO Doug McMillon said 450
people will be laid off at the company’s headquarters in Bentonville, Ark., according to a memo sent to all
Wal-Mart staff today. “After months of evaluation, we’ve concluded there is an opportunity to better position
our Home Office teams to move with speed and purpose,” McMillon wrote in the memo. The company is at “an important time in our history,” he said. “This in part means pulling back in some areas and investing in
others.” Laid-off employees will receive 60 days of pay, plus two weeks of pay for every year of employment
with the company, said a Wal-Mart spokesman. Job search assistance will be available for those who want it,
he said
 Google Stock Could Soar to $905 in a Year, Analyst Says. Google Inc. was upgraded to outperform
from perform at Oppenheimer on Friday. The brokerage also raised its 12 to 18-month price target to $700
from $670, which implies potential upside of 9% from Thursday's closing price, though the analysts said the
stock could get as high as $905. Oppenheimer cited accelerating YouTube usage, now growing at the fastest
pace in more than two years, as well as new ad products that compete better with those offered by Facebook
Inc. for the upgrade.
 
EUR/USD. The bias is neutral in the nearest term, potentially testing 1.1270 area. A clear break above that
area would bring the price up aiming 1.1230 area. On the down side, a clear break below 1.1190 area would
bring the bias back into bearish, furthermore testing 1.1120 area. 

GBP/USD. The bias is neutral in the nearest term, immediate support is seen around 1.5150, while immediate
resistance around 1.5230. A clear break below 1.5150 area would bring the price down to retesting 1.5100 area.
On the other side, a consistent break and movement above 1.5230 should trigger bullish momentum to test
1.5290 area. 

USD/JPY. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break below 119.30 area,
to trigger further bearish momentum aiming 118.90 region. Immediate resistance is seen around 120.00 area,
another consistent break above that area would bring the price to neutral zone as direction would become
unclear in nearest term perhaps retesting 120.55 region. 

USD/CHF. The bias is bearish in the nearest term, a consistent break and movement below 0.9680 area is
needed to trigger further bearish momentum to test 0.9625 area. On the upside, immediate resistance is seen
around 0.9755 area. A clear break above that area would bring the price up testing 0.9790 area. 

AUD/USD. The bias is neutral in the nearest term, immediate support is seen around 0.6990, while immediate
resistance around 0.7060 A clear break below 0.6990 area would bring the price down to retesting 0.6940 area.
On the other side, a consistent break and movement above 0.7060 should trigger bullish momentum to test
0.7110 area. 

XAU/USD. Based on 4-hour chart, the bias is bullish though it still needed a consistent break above the
1142.20 area to encourage the sustainability of rally towards the 1147.80 area or even the 1152.70 area. But we
also need to be aware with the condition of stochastic and RSI which looks overbought. Break back below
immediate support at the 1136.40 area potentially trigger a bearish correction scenario to test the 1132.50 area,
before targeting the MA-200 at around 1128.40
 
Nikkei Futures. Bias is sideways in nearest term for Nikkei, testing between 17800 (MA 100) - 17560 (MA
50) on chart H4, needed to break out one of that side to get further direction. For upside, a clear break above
17800, should trigger further bullish toward 17895, a clear break again above 17895 could create further
bullish testing to 18020. For opposite side, 17560 is nearest support level, a clear break below that side could
spur further bearish testing to 17430 before aiming key support level at 17240. 

Hang Seng Futures. Bias is sideways in nearest term for Hang Seng with potential range trading is seen
between 21320 - 21560. But, when we see Stochastic indicator is already across at overbought area is mean
price should test support level immediately. For downside, immediate support level is found at 21320, a clear
break below that area should give momentum further bearish aiming to 21190 before targeting to key support
area at 21000. For upside, nearest resistance level is found at 21560, a clear break above that area should make
price still neutral as less direction testing to 21680 before aiming 21790. 

Kospi Futures. The bias is bullish in the nearest term, a clear break above 239.50 is needed to trigger further
bullish momentum targeting 242.70 area. On the other side, a consistent break and movement below support
area 235.40 would bring the price down to test 233.50 area
 
EUR/USD no room for EUR gains: a strongly bearish sentiment towards the EUR persists, with the pair seen below 1.1000 by the end of the quarter.
GBP/USD downside exhausted, range ahead: the latest Pound decline is largely overdone, and investors are now favoring a tepid recovery in a three-month view
USD/JPY bulls still a majority: despite the latest decline in the pair, its seen holding and extending beyond the 120.00 level towards the year end.
AUD/USD bearish potential intact: little hopes for the Aussie, hardly seen beyond 0.7000 during this next month
EUR/JPY still seen bearish, but not far away: the pair is being weighed by a negative sentiment towards the EUR rather than hopes of renewed JPY strength.
 
The GBP/USD pair 0.10% higher at 1.5200, recovering from a dip to session lows struck at 1.5173 on the UK services data. The major is currently gathering momentum to break beyond 1.5215 - the immediate resistance, while the GBP bulls continue to remain pressured following the release of worse than expected UK services PMI report.

Markit/CIPS services PMI dropped further to 53.3 in September, down from the previous month's 55.6, and far below market consensus of 56, coming in at the lowest levels since April 2013.

However, higher oil prices and soaring UK stocks led by Glencore continue to provide the much-needed helping hand to the GBP/USD pair. The UK’s FTSE rallies nearly 2.15% to 6,262 points, with a 8% rise in Glencore shares boosting the index.

Looking ahead, markets now await a slew of US macro releases due later in the New York session for further incentives on the cable.

GBP/USD Levels to consider

The pair has an immediate resistance at 1.5244 (Today’s High) above which gains could be extended to 1.5289 (Sept 24 High) levels. On the flip side, support is seen at 1.5173 (Today’s Low) below which it could extend losses to 1.5123 (Oct 2 Low) levels.
 
FXStreet (Mumbai) - The EUR/USD pair was once again offered in the key resistance zone of 1.1280-1.13 levels as the rally in the European stocks weighed over the EUR and other funding currency.

Euro falls to 1.1260, Stoxx rises 3%

The common currency now trades around 1.1260 levels with the pan-European blue chip Euro Stoxx 50 index trading 3% higher on the day. The “bad news is good news” trade witnessed in the US stocks on Friday has been extended in Europe today.

The US calendar offers critical ISM non-manufacturing release, with markets more likely to focus on the employment sub index. Furthermore, the risk-on in the US stocks could also affect the pair.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

The pair could rise to 1.1373 (Sep 14 high) once the offers in the range of 1.1280-1.13 are taken out. On the downside, a break below 1.12 could open doors for a sell-off to 1.1162 (200-DMA).
 
Dollar Weaker as Rate Increase Expectations Pushed Back. The dollar nursed losses on Monday,
falling against the euro and slipping against a basket of currencies, after a weak U.S. jobs report drove traders
to push back expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike to early 2016. The U.S. nonfarm payrolls report
showed employers added only 142,000 jobs last month, falling far short of economists' consensus expectation
for a rise of 203,000 jobs, according to a Reuters poll. Moreover, the August figures were revised sharply lower
while wages remained muted. That raised doubts whether the U.S. economy was strong enough to justify the
Fed's long-awaited interest rate increase, which would be the first since 2006.
 
Sterling Falls After U.K. Services Survey Disappoints. Sterling sank against both the dollar and the
euro on Monday after a monthly survey of the services sector crushed any remaining market expectations that
the Bank of England is likely to raise interest rates any time soon. The 53.3 point reading on the index of
purchasing managers in a sector that dominates British economic output was the lowest since May 2013, and
sharply below analysts' forecasts and the previous month's figures, suggest that all the rate hike talk is still
premature.
 
Canadian Dollar Extends Gain As Oil Prices Rise. The Canadian dollar, loonie, extended its early gains
against dollar as oil prices climbed on Moday. Crude oil the biggest Canadian's export rose after Russia said it
was ready to meet other crude producers to discuss the market, which has seen prices more than halve from last
year's highs due to a supply glut. Data from Baker Hughes showed Friday that the number of oil rig counts fell
by 26 to 614, the least since August 2010. The falling rig count is seen as an indication of low US oil output,
underpinning crude prices. Loonie also got positive sentiment after Canada has signed on to the Trans-Pacific
Partnership trade deal, which creates the largest trading bloc in the world.
 

Live Forex Chart

Currency
Rates
EUR / USD
1.15216
USD / JPY
160.310
GBP / USD
1.33905
USD / CHF
0.79340
USD / CAD
1.39325
EUR / JPY
184.702
AUD / USD
0.70520
Back
Top
Log in Register