XAU/USD (GOLD): Short review and forecast
Situation has not changed significantly since the last month. The rates continue in the frames of the weak uptrend. This week, Gold received support thanks to the weak unemployment report in the United States. So investors began to doubt about further tightening in monetary policy and raising the rate, in the near future. Probability of a rate hike in September estimated at only 15%.
On the daily chart, we can see lowering of volatility this year. There are no signs of trend change, although it has some basis: political risks in the U.S. decreased. The tense situation around the President D. Trump and his administration, gradually stabilizes; investigations against Trump with perspective of impeachment, unlikely be performed. Thus, the U.S. dollar is not under the pressure as it was before and in the near future, it's free for strengthening. The USD value is depending now on the economic situation in the United States and inflation level. But given the forecasts and current situation in the economy of the US, unlikely the dollar will be able to add significantly in price.
During the past three days, gold continued growth. In the short term perspective, Gold can add in the price, within the current range 1240 to 1290 dollars. Therefore, the most optimal would be the deals on the trend upon the short term trading.