Rosentray's Daily Commentary

[rosentray]

EUR/USD has been trading in consolidation for the past few days gravitating towards 1.0880. Lite volumes indicate that the trend is exhausted, which means that either the pair is taking a breather before nose diving or that bulls are preparing at attack. Current market price 1.0887.

 

[rosentray]

AUD/CAD is rallying after the AUD Consumer Price Index came out earlier today higher than expected at 1.3% vs forecast of 1.1%. The pair went from 1.0196 to a high of 1.0286 and is now trading at 1.0256. First resistance now is seen at 1.0350.

 

[rosentray]

EUR/USD is gravitating towards 1.0900-1.0910. The pair is trading in light volumes as market participants are anticipating today US data, Durable Goods Orders, scheduled for 8:30 Eastern.

 

[rosentray]

USD/CAD is trading towards the 1.34 level which appears to be the upper trend line acting as resistance. USD bulls will need positive US data if they want to continue the uptrend, otherwise, a negative US data would give bears the needed boost to turn the trend in the opposite direction.

 

[rosentray]

The consolidation in EUR/USD continues to be present in the currency's early European trading today. The pair is now 1.0904 after yesterday's bullish attempt to climb higher failed due to not enough strength in yesterday's US data.
Durable Goods Orders turned out to be non-event and market participants witnessed only a slight reaction to the upside at 1.0942. After the initial boost, the pair lost momentum and fell to pre-event levels. Today is the fifth consecutive day of lite volume trading for the pair, as it has been holding to levels around 1.09 since the beginning of the week.
However, we have one more chance to see volatility today with the latest high impact US GDP data. Expectations are that the US GDP for Q3 will be 2.4%, prior to 1.4%.
If the data is positive, then we can expect a sharp drop in the pair that could lead us to levels around 1.0820. On the other hand, a disappointing report would help bulls to gain control and push prices higher.

 

[rosentray]

Gold is trading relatively unchanged in today's early European hours. The precious metal is now $1,271 and it seems to have consolidated in anticipation of the release of the GDP report later today. Market sentiment is predominantly bearish.

 

[rosentray]

EUR/USD has been receiving mixed signals from both parties since Friday. The pair tried to go above 1.10 but was unsuccessful in sustaining the momentum and bears brought the pair down to current market price of 1.0958.

 

[rosentray]

GBP/CHF has been trading at support since the flash crash in the Sterling took place. The pair has been gravitating towards 1.20 level. If we get a break above 1.22 or below 1.18 this would indicate the future direction of the trend.

 

[rosentray]

EUR/USD is trading relatively unchanged from yesterday's levels gravitating towards 1.0970. Important news are scheduled for today that may impact the pair. First resistance is seen at 1.10, while first support is seen at 1.0940.

 

[rosentray]

Gold is trading higher in today's early hours making a high of $1,280. The precious metal has been in an uptrend for more than two weeks now and it appears that Gold bugs are ready to take it higher. First resistance is the $1,300 level.