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Dear traders!

This week, a RoboForex project called ContestFX presents you the following demo competitions:

The 150th competition of "Demo Forex" and the 429th competition of "Week with CFD" have just started.
The 563rd competition of "Trade Day" will start on 06.09.2023 at 12:00.
The 477th competition of "KingSize MT5" will start on 07.09.2023 at 20:00.

It does not take much effort to participate in any of our contests: all you need to do is register a trading account just once and then get access to any of the competitions you like in just a couple of mouse clicks.

We're looking forward to your joining in and wish you good luck!

Sincerely,
RoboForex Contest
 
GBP/USD Analysis: Will Downward Momentum Persist in Autumn 2023?

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,​

GBP/USD (British pound versus US Dollar) experienced steady growth since the beginning of 2023, hitting an annual high of 1.3142 in July, followed by a downward reversal and a correction. Today we will examine the key factors influencing the GBP/USD pair’s trajectory under the current conditions and analyse whether the downward trend is expected to continue.

Overview of the GBP/USD currency pair

GBP/USD is one of the major currency pairs and ranks among the top three most demanded and traded pairs in the foreign exchange market alongside EUR/USD and USD/JPY. The base currency is the pound sterling, and the quote currency is the US dollar.

The behaviour of the GBP/USD quotes reflects the comparative state of the current economic conditions in the US and the UK. A rise in quotes indicates the strength of the pound and the weakness of the US dollar.

Given that the pound sterling is considered one of the most aggressive currencies in the financial market, the GBP/USD pair is characterised by a high level of volatility, which attracts traders and investors.

Trading characteristics of the GBP/USD pair
  • The pair is traded round the clock from Monday to Friday, with significant trading volumes during the European and American sessions, leading to major movements
  • The currency pair is characterised by high average daily volatility within the range of approximately 1,000-1,300 pips. During times of market force majeure, it has the potential for strong movements exceeding 2,000 pips per day
  • The spread for GBP/USD is considered minimal, thanks to its high liquidity, and typically ranges around 10 pips in a calm market
GBP/USD dynamics in 2023

This year, the GBP/USD currency pair showed a moderate upward trend, starting 2023 at the 1.2070 mark. The pair later reached its lowest value near 1.1800, followed by a rise to the annual high of 1.3142. However, this gave way to a subsequent downward correction, with the quotes currently hovering around 1.2600. At the time of writing, it can be concluded that the pound sterling has been showing growth against the US dollar from January to August inclusive.

This year, the GBP/USD currency pair showed a moderate upward trend, starting 2023 at the 1.2070 mark. The pair later reached its lowest value near 1.1800, followed by a rise to the annual high of 1.3142. However, this gave way to a subsequent downward correction, with the quotes currently hovering around 1.2600. At the time of writing, it can be concluded that the pound sterling has been showing growth against the US dollar from January to August inclusive.

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Factors influencing the GBP/USD exchange rate

The Bank of England’s monetary policy

This is the pivotal factor influencing the valuation of the pound sterling in the global currency market. The main tool of the Bank of England, the country’s central bank, to control inflation and affect the national currency exchange rate is the decisions on interest rates. If the interest rate increases, the exchange rate appreciates, while a decrease in the interest rate leads to a decline in the exchange rate.

Since December 2021, the UK regulator has been tightening the monetary policy in an attempt to curb rapidly rising inflation. The interest rate has increased from 0.1% to 5.25% over this period. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee is focused on achieving the inflation target of 2%. In June 2023, the CPI inflation index rose by 7.9% compared to last year’s statistics.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team
 
Dear traders!

This week, the ContestFX project is waiting for you with the following contests:

The 150th competition of "Demo Forex" has accelerated.
The 430th competition of "Week with CFD" has just kicked off.
The 564th competition of "Trade Day" will start on 13.09.2023 at 12:00.
The 478th competition of "KingSize MT5" will start on 14.09.2023 at 20:00.

We remind you that upon winning any of our competitions, winners receive prize funds to their real accounts and they can use those funds to make a profit in the Forex market instead of investing their own savings.

If you want to be one of the winners, don't miss your chance!

Sincerely,
RoboForex Contest
 
NZD/USD Forecast: Will the Decline Continue in 2023?

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Dear Clients and Partners,​

NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar versus US Dollar) has been on a decline since the beginning of 2023. On 2 February, the pair reached a yearly high at 0.6534, followed by a gradual drop in price and eventually hit a low of 0.5887 on 29 August. At the time of writing, the quotes are within a correction phase at the level of 0.5979.

In this article, we will examine the key factors affecting the NZD/USD movements. We will conduct a technical analysis of the chart, share expert forecasts for 2023-2024, and aim to understand whether the decline of the pair will continue.

Overview of the NZD/USD currency pair

NZD/USD is one of the major currency pairs, with the New Zealand dollar ranking as the 14th most traded currency in the world according to a survey by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), published in October 2022. It has held the number 10 spot since 2010 but was eventually overtaken by the Singapore dollar, Swedish krona, Korean won, and Norwegian krone.

The base currency in the NZD/USD pair is the New Zealand dollar, the country’s monetary unit and the quoted currency is the US dollar. The behaviour of the pair’s quotes depends on economic and political events in the two countries.

Trading characteristics of the NZD/USD pair
  • The currency pair is traded round the clock from Monday to Friday, with the highest activity observed between the American and Asian sessions
  • The pair is characterised by low average daily volatility within the range of 700-1,000 pips, with maximum movements in 2023 reaching 1,600 pips per day
  • It is considered quite liquid in the foreign exchange market, which is why the spread for NZD/USD is minimal
Dynamics of the NZD/USD currency pair in 2023

The NZD/USD currency pair has been demonstrating a moderate downward trend, starting the year at the 0.6337 mark, and hitting an annual high near 0.6534 on 2 February. By March, the quotes had reached 0.6084, which was followed by a prolonged correction that lasted for 5 months. During this correction phase, the upper boundary was at the 0.6380 level, while the lower boundary hovered near 0.6065.

In July 2023, following the third test of the 0.6380 level, the NZD/USD quotes headed downwards and gained a foothold below 0.6065 on 11 August. At the time of writing, it can be concluded that the New Zealand dollar has been experiencing a gradual decline against the US dollar from January to August inclusive.

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Factors influencing the NZD/USD price

Economic data

According to an economic review by the New Zealand Parliament, the country’s economy contracted by 0.1% in Q1 2023. Data for Q4 2022 was revised upwards with the contraction value increasing from 0.6% to 0.7%.

According to Stats NZ, in Q1 2023, 9 out of 16 industries saw a decline in economic activity, with the business services sector shrinking by 3.5%. It is worth noting that the country’s economy has been contracting for the second consecutive quarter.

This is primarily driven by high inflation. For example, prices of fruits and vegetables rose by 18.4% over a year, while prices of meat, poultry, and fish added 11.7% with inflation on food products remaining over 12%. According to economists, other reasons include reduced consumer spending and a weakening real estate market.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team
 
USD/JPY Forecast: Is the Japanese Yen’s Decline Set to Persist?

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Dear Clients and Partners,​

USD/JPY ranks among the top three most traded currency pairs in international trading. In this article, we will examine the key factors affecting the USD/JPY exchange rate, analyse the dynamics of price changes in 2023, and explore the short-term and medium-term forecasts provided by experts.

Overview of the USD/JPY currency pair

The base currency in this pair is the US dollar (USD), the official currency of the US. In addition, it serves as the global reserve currency in international trade and financial markets. The US dollar is considered a benchmark currency and the most widely used asset in transactions worldwide. The Federal Reserve System (the Fed), functioning as the central bank of the US, holds the authority to issue currency.

The second currency in this pair is the yen (JPY), the national currency of Japan. It ranks third by popularity in the foreign exchange market, following the US dollar and euro. The Bank of Japan, the country’s central bank, holds the exclusive right to issue banknotes and coins.

The USD/JPY exchange rate shows how many Japanese yen the market gives for one US dollar. Fluctuations in the pair exchange rate reflect the comparative state of the current economic conditions in the US and Japan. USD/JPY is one of the major currency pairs, known for its high liquidity. Together with EUR/USD and GBP/USD, it ranks amongst the top three most traded currency pairs in the foreign exchange market, accounting for approximately 13% of the total trading volume.

Key trading characteristics of the USD/JPY pair
  • The currency pair is traded round the clock from Monday to Friday, with significant trading volumes during the Asian and American sessions, leading to major movements for USD/JPY
  • The pair is characterised by moderate average daily volatility within the range of 700-800 pips. However, during times of stock market declines, it has the potential for strong movements exceeding 2,000 pips per day
  • The spread for USD/JPY is considered minimal thanks to its high liquidity and moderate volatility
USD/JPY movements in 2022-2023

In 2022, the US dollar was greatly supported by steady growth of the key interest rate in the country and strengthened significantly against the yen. The pair rose from 115.00 to 152.00, which was the highest reading over the last 32 years. After the price hit a high of 152.00 at the end of 2022, a downward correction followed, which was caused by expectations of the potential tightening of the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy.

In 2023, the weakening of the yen exchange rate against the US dollar persisted with the currency pair trading at 130.00 at the beginning of the year. The yen is under pressure due to the lack of clear signals from the Bank of Japan indicating when the tightening of the monetary policy will start, which contributes to further growth of the USD/JPY quotes.

At the same time, the Fed continued its interest rate hiking policy in response to increasing inflationary pressure. The difference between the rates resulted in the further weakening of the yen and the gradual growth of the pair exchange rate. On 16 August, at the time of writing, the quotes managed to rise above the local daily high of 145.00.

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USD/JPY technical analysis

USD/JPY has been showing steady growth since January 2023, moving in the ascending daily channel. In early July, the price demonstrated a sharp downward reversal from the upper boundary of the channel and the resistance level at 145.00, where there was the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the previous fall. Following this, the quotes rebounded from the lower boundary of the channel and continued to rise.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team
 
Dear traders!

This week, a RoboForex project called ContestFX will continue, as usual, with the following demo competitions:

The 150th competition of "Demo Forex" is running at "full speed".
The 431st competition of " Week with CFD" has just started.
The 565th competition of "Trade Day" will start on 20.09.2023 at 12:00.
The 479th competition of "KingSize MT5" will start on 21.09.2023 at 20:00.

If you want to take part in our contests, all you have to do is to go through a simple registration procedure just once, and then any of the competitions you like will be available to you in just a couple of mouse clicks.

Good luck to all traders!

Sincerely,
RoboForex Contest
 
Basics of Risk Management in Trading. How to Avoid Losing Money?

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Dear Clients and Partners,​

Sooner or later, all traders who make deals on financial markets have second thoughts and ask themselves a question: “How do I more efficiently use my trading account in order to get profit and avoid losing money?”

As a rule, these thoughts don’t go any further and when beginner traders make transactions, they often risk all their money, “at full throttle” so to say, without following important rules for market operations. As soon as they get a little free money, beginners open another position and, when it comes to the crunch, lose all their orders and entire deposit. To avoid such situations, people created and developed some specific rules to manage their capital and risks. No matter how much money you have on your account – losing all will be unpleasant anyway.

Rules of risk management

Let’s see into all these rules and recommendations, which are intended to help us save money and avoid unnecessary risks.

Use available amount of money

First of all, one should open a trading account at one’s own available money. This is a sum, which a trader can afford to lose without any drastic consequences to their personal or family budget. At the same time, the amount of money should be enough to provide a trader with a freedom of making trading decisions. A deposit opened with borrowed funds or the last of a trader’s money is “doomed” from the start. The reason is very simple: in case of losses, a trader will try to win back their money, which means that a well-thought strategy will transform into a reckless pursuit with logical sad results. Hardly anybody wants to face such outcome in their trading careers.

Use Stop Loss orders

Secondly, one should understand the Stop Loss system. Ignoring Stop Loss orders is one of the most common mistakes made by both beginners and experienced traders. Many traders think that they can “outlast” a loss-making deal and the price may return to previous levels. In reality, these expectations often fall short and after losing time and money, a trader closes this position in the red. Or it might be much worse – the positions is automatically closed after Stop Out.

There is a simple approach that helps avoid such situations. All you have to do is follow the rules below:

1. Don’t open a position using all your money.
2. Before opening a position, one should estimate not only possible profit, but possible losses as well. Ideally, it should be 1 to 3 ratio or more, where there is 1 USD of possible loss to 3 USD of potential profit. At the same time, Stop Loss value in the account currency shouldn’t be more than 2% of the account funds. For example, there are 10,000 USD of funds on the account, which means that in the first transaction the loss amount for a single open position shouldn’t exceed 200 USD. The same math is applied further: after losing 200 USD, there will be 9,800 USD left on the account, so the next time the loss amount shouldn’t be more than 196 USD. In this case, you should estimate the loss amount based on 9,604 USD on the account (minus 2% again, etc.). A possibility that all positions will be loss-making is rather low, and while a trader has a reasonable approach to trading and follows the above-mentioned ratio, they have more chances to find themselves “in the black”. It’s definitely not difficult. In no way one should ignore Stop Loss and in no way one should change the Stop Loss level downwards in hopes of reverse. However, Stop Loss orders may and should be modified, but only in cases when the price is moving in favorable direction.

Typical mistakes of traders

Sometimes traders come up with an idea to average out when a position is in drawdown. However, this is another trap: such strategy will surely result in increase of the current loss amount, although there might be some very rare cases when this method helps traders avoid losses and get profit. Still, in most cases investors, who use this approach, are moving towards failure in quantum leaps. Not less and sometimes more problems may be delivered by so called locks (locking an open position with an order of the same volume but different direction). I don’t mind this method, but for successful outcome it requires rich trading experience and careful planning, that’s why inexperienced traders may only stave off their inevitable failure.

Attempts to win back their money ruined trading careers of many beginners. To avoid this, one should clearly define goals for the current trading session before starting to trade. Everything should be very concrete and specific: goals should consider not only forecasts on profit, but on losses as well. In case any of the planned scenarios turns into reality, one should stop all trading operations for the day.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team
 
Dear traders!

This week, the ContestFX project is waiting for you with the following contests:

The 139th competition of "Demo Forex" has reached the "finish line".
The 432nd competition of "Week with CFD" has kicked off today.
The 566th competition of "Trade Day" will start on 27.09.2023 at 12:00.
The 480th competition of "KingSize MT5" will start on 28.09.2023 at 20:00.

We would like to remind you that all winners of our demo contests receive prize funds to their real accounts, and they can use this money for trading in the Forex market instead of investing their own savings.

Good luck to all traders!

Sincerely,
RoboForex Contest
 
Dear traders!

In the first week of October, a RoboForex project called ContestFX will continue, as usual, with the following competitions:

The 151st competition of "Demo Forex" and the 433rd competition of "Week with CFD" have just started.
The 567th competition of "Trade Day" will start on 04.10.2023 at 12:00.
The 481st competition of "KingSize MT5" will start on 05.10.2023 at 20:00.

It does not take much effort to become a participant of our contests - all you need to do is to go through a simple registration procedure, and then any of the competitions you like will be available to you in just a couple of mouse clicks.

Join us!

Sincerely,
RoboForex Contest
 
RoboForex increases Partner payouts for select instruments as part of a promotional offer

Dear Clients and Partners,​

RoboForex continually offers its partners opportunities for growth, and here is another exciting one for you: we are launching a promotion that boosts affiliate payments for selected instruments!

Partners enrolled in the VIP programme , whose clients trade on Pro Standard and Cent accounts , are eligible to participate. This commission increase will last until 31 March 2024.

The following instruments are eligible for this promotion:

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Join one of the best Partner programmes in the market
  • Loyalty programme
    Up to 20% extra profit on your total monthly revenue.
  • No Payout Limits
    No restrictions on the maximum payments per month or per client.
  • Daily Payments
    Automatical transfer of the commission to your account on a daily basis.
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How to become a Partner:
  1. Open a Partner account
  2. Utilise our promotional materials to attract clients
  3. Receive a commission for your referrals' transactions
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Sincerely,
The RoboForex team
 

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