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Ramalan GBP/USD hari ini!

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ramalan arinih? :-?
 
RAMALAN HARI INI : BUY


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British Pound / US Dollar Valuation Forecast

GBPUSD Valuation Forecast: Bearish
GBPUSDC9-2-09

The value gap between British Pound spot and PPP-implied exchange rates has narrowed a bit from the previous month but still stands at a formidable 1616 pips. Yield expectations appear to be the primary catalyst at work right now: a trade-weighted index of the Pound’s average value topped out on 08/05, the day before last month’s surprisingly dovish Bank of England rate decision, and has been trending lower ever since; the Credit Suisse index gauging traders' 1-year BOE rate hike expectations topped out on the very same day. Indeed, short term (30-day rolling) correlation studies show that the relationship between GBPUSD and the MSCI World Stock Index has weakened to virtually nil at present having stood at close to 84% at the beginning of August. Median economic growth expectations suggest the UK will underperform the US by 1.43% through the end of next year, suggesting the greenback will maintain a relative yield advantage over sterling in the eyes of currency traders. If interest rates are to remain the focus through September, the British Pound may be looking at a major downward correction ahead.

One of the oldest and most basic fundamental approaches to determining the “fair” exchange rate of one currency to another relies on the concept of Purchasing Power Parity. This approach says that an identical product should cost the same from one country to another, with the only difference in the price tag accounted for by the exchange rate. For example, if a pencil costs €1 in Europe and $1.20 in the US, the “fair” EURUSD exchange rate should be 1.20. For our purposes, we will use the PPP values provided annually by Bloomberg. We compare these values to current market rates to determine how much each currency is under- or over-valued against the US Dollar.
 
Today News : 3rd Sept 2009

GBP Purchasing Manager Index Services (AUG) 8:30 4:30 54.0 53.2
GBP Official Reserves (Changes) (AUG) 8:30 4:30 $198M
 
suka sangat mengungkit2 dan memperbesar2kan sesuatu...let by gone be by gone la..takde pahala nya buat camtu..cukup2 la dia je berdosa..tak payah nak menyelit tumpang berdosa jugak..perangai tak ubah2.

- weird -
 
oret...
I pollow...
:):):)



bro,tu tadi pagi ler..mmg da :)paid pun...skang xtau ler...mastar,,,,ramalan nujum plis...sy da ada ramalan..tp malu nak post...:">:">:">
 
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