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[Antony_NPBFX]

EUR/USD: the euro is recovering after a significant decline the day before 25.10.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The EUR/USD pair is showing a slight corrective growth, trying to recover after a rather sharp decline the day before, which did not allow the instrument to consolidate at new local highs from September 20. Quotes are again testing 1.0600 for a breakout, but investors are in no hurry to open new positions ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting scheduled for Thursday. No new steps are expected from the regulator (as well as from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England next week) aimed at further tightening monetary policy. At the same time, inflation dynamics in the region remain far from target levels, so the rhetoric of the monetary authorities probably will not exclude a similar scenario in the future.

Meanwhile, investors are analyzing business activity statistics published in the EU and the US the day before. While long-term "hawkish" policies in the eurozone have contributed to unprecedented inflation, which has fallen to its lowest level since October 2021, the measures taken by officials have had a negative impact on the economic development dynamics of countries in the region, which are still feeling the effects of last year's sharp increases in energy prices. The German Manufacturing PMI from S&P Global in October rose from 39.6 points to 40.7 points, while analysts expected an increase to 40.0 points, and the Services PMI decreased from 50.3 points to 48.0 points with a forecast of 50.0 points. In the eurozone, the Manufacturing PMI adjusted from 43.4 points to 43.0 points, and the Services PMI went down from 48.7 points to 47.8 points. Business activity in the European economy is at a five-year low, significantly increasing the risks of an economic downturn in the eurozone as a whole, while a recession in Germany appears to have already begun.

American data turned out to be noticeably better: the Manufacturing PMI from S&P Global in October rose from 49.8 points to 50.0 points, while the market expected a decrease to 49.5 points, and the Services PMI strengthened from 50.1 points to 50.9 points, also ahead of forecasts of 49.9 points. At the same time, the Composite PMI rose from 50.2 points to 51.0 points. Thus, the national economy remains resilient to increases in borrowing costs by US Federal Reserve officials, which may convince them of the need for a new tightening of monetary policy.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate flat dynamics. the price range changes slightly, limiting further development of the "bulls" in the short term. MACD is slightly strengthening keeping a weak buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic, having retreated from the level of "80", is developing confident downward dynamics, signaling in favor of the development of a corrective trend in the near future.

Resistance levels: 1.0600, 1.0630, 1.0660, 1.0700.
Support levels: 1.0561, 1.0530, 1.0500, 1.0450.

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a breakout of 1.0630 with the target of 1.0700. Stop-loss — 1.0600. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The return of a "bearish" trend with the breakdown of 1.0561 may become a signal for new short positions with the target at 1.0500. Stop-loss — 1.0600.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

Cisco Systems Inc.: technical analysis 27.10.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Cisco Systems Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Cisco Systems Inc., an American manufacturer and supplier of network equipment for large holdings and telecommunications companies, are correcting at 51.10.

On the daily chart, the price remains below the support line of the global ascending channel with dynamic boundaries of 54.20–57.60.

On the four-hour chart, the potential for continued decline has increased significantly since the quotes have overcome the 50.0% Fibonacci intermediate correction at 51.60, and now the nearest support level is 50.10 (full 61.8% Fibonacci correction), which the asset may reach soon.

Technical indicators are holding a sell signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are significantly below the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming corrective bars in the sell zone.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after the price declines and consolidates below 50.17 with the target at 47.60. Stop loss – 52.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Long positions may be opened after a reversal, growth, and consolidation of the price above 51.65 with the target at 53.14. Stop loss – 51.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Cisco Systems Inc. and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

ExxonMobil Corp.: technical analysis 30.10.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on ExxonMobil Corp. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of ExxonMobil Corp., an American oil company, are trading in a local correctional trend at 105.00.

A global corrective trend is forming on the daily chart, and at the moment the price is falling, approaching the boundaries of the previously passed corridor with boundaries of 96.00–104.00.

On the four-hour chart, the downward wave is approaching the range resistance line at 104.00, after which a minor period of consolidation is possible before continuing downward dynamics. In the event of a breakdown, the quotes may decline to the channel support line around 96.00, and after a reversal, the “bulls” will be able to return to the area of 112.00.

Technical indicators are holding a sell signal: fast EMA on the Alligator indicator are moving away from the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming corrective bars below the transition level.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after the price declines and consolidates below 103.30 with the target at 99.00. Stop loss – 105.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Long positions may be opened after a reversal, growth and consolidation of the price above 107.00 with the target at 112.00. Stop loss – 105.00.

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If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on ExxonMobil Corp. and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

EUR/USD: eurozone inflation hits two-year low 01.11.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.0570, developing the corrective impetus of last Tuesday, when the instrument retreated from the local highs of October 24.

Pressure on the single currency is exerted by inflation data in the EU, which indicates that further tightening of monetary policy by the European Central Bank (ECB) is not yet predicted. The Consumer Price Index in the eurozone slowed down from 4.3% to 2.9% in October, which was better than market expectations at 3.1%, and in monthly terms it went from 0.3% to 0.1%. Core CPI fell from 4.5% to 4.2% in annual terms and remained unchanged at 0.2% in monthly terms. Statistics confirm that the regulator’s long-term "hawkish" monetary policy (in September, the ECB raised three key indicators for the tenth time in a row: the rate on main refinancing operations is 4.5%, on the marginal lending facility it is 4.75%, and on the deposit facility it amounted to 4.0%) puts significant pressure on households, which are increasingly postponing purchases due to a sharp increase in borrowing costs. The President of the European regulator, Christine Lagarde, believes that the region’s economy will remain weak until the end of 2023, but then will begin to recover rapidly, since by keeping borrowing costs at current levels for a long time, the regulator will be able to return inflation to the target of 2.0%.

At the same time, the euro also reacted negatively to statistics on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the eurozone. In the third quarter, the indicator slowed down from 0.5% to 0.1% in annual terms, while experts expected 0.2%, and in quarterly terms, GDP amounted to -0.1% after growing by 0.1% in the previous period. Another negative factor for the instrument was data from Germany, where annual Retail Sales volumes decreased by 4.3% in September after -2.3% a month earlier, while in monthly terms the value decreased by 0.8% after -1.2%.

The focus of investors' attention today will be the minutes of the US Federal Reserve meeting. Analysts do not expect a tightening of monetary conditions, but the Chair of the regulator, Jerome Powell, is likely to again indicate the possibility of such a scenario in the future. Also today, a report from Automatic Data Processing (ADP) on Employment Change will be published: forecasts suggest an increase from 89.0 thousand to 150.0 thousand.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate flat dynamics. the price range changes slightly, limiting further development of the "bulls" in the short term. MACD is slightly strengthening keeping a weak buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic, having retreated from the level of "80", is developing confident downward dynamics, signaling in favor of the development of a corrective trend in the near future.

Resistance levels: 1.0600, 1.0630, 1.0660, 1.0700.
Support levels: 1.0561, 1.0530, 1.0500, 1.0450.

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a breakout of 1.0630 with the target of 1.0700. Stop-loss — 1.0600. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The return of a "bearish" trend with the breakdown of 1.0561 may become a signal for new short positions with the target at 1.0500. Stop-loss — 1.0600.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

Johnson & Johnson: technical analysis 03.11.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Johnson & Johnson for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Johnson & Johnson, one of the world’s leading retail holdings, are corrected around 150.00.

On the daily chart, the price is moving in a global downward trend, trying to reverse near the support line of the downward channel with dynamic boundaries of 143.00–152.00.

On the four-hour chart, the quotes quickly broke the initial trend level of 61.8% on the Fibonacci extension 156.60 but could not consolidate below the basic trend level of 100.0% on the Fibonacci extension 144.60 and retreated upward, while a new test of this level may follow soon.

Technical indicators support a high probability of a reversal and a decline in the trading instrument: the EMA fluctuation range on the Alligator indicator remains wide, and the AO histogram forms downward bars in the sale zone.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after the price declines and consolidates below 144.60 with the target at 136.00. Stop loss – 148.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Long positions may be opened after a reversal, growth, and consolidation of the price above 151.70 with the target at 156.60. Stop loss – 150.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Johnson & Johnson and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

EUR/USD: the European currency updates local highs 06.11.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The EUR/USD pair shows insignificant growth, developing the "bullish" momentum formed at the end of last week. The instrument is testing the level of 1.0735 for a breakout, updating the local highs from September 14.

Investors are focusing on the October US labor market report, published on Friday. Nonfarm Payrolls decreased from 297.0 thousand to 150.0 thousand, which turned out to be worse than the forecast of 180.0 thousand. At the same time, the Average Hourly Earnings slowed down from 0.3% to 0.2% in monthly terms and from 4.3% to 4.1% in annual terms, and the Unemployment Rate rose from 3.8% to 3.9%. Investors also paid attention to the decline in business activity: the Services PMI from S&P Global in October adjusted from 50.9 points to 50.6 points, while analysts did not expect changes, and the index from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) went down from 53.6 points to 51.8 points, which also turned out to be worse than the expected 53.0 points.

In turn, Exports from Germany lost 2.4% in September after growing by 0.1% in the previous month, while experts expected -1.1%, and Imports fell by 1.7% after -0.3% with a forecast of 0.5%. Thus, Germany's trade surplus in September decreased from 17.7 billion euros to 16.5 billion euros, with expectations at 16.3 billion euros. As analysts note, trade is no longer a driver of sustainable growth in the German economy and is even hindering its recovery, but the chief economist of the European Central Bank (ECB), Philip Lane, expressed hope that the EU will avoid a recession.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show moderate growth. The price range is expanding but it fails to conform to the surge of "bullish" activity at the moment. MACD grows, preserving a stable buy signal (located above the signal line). The indicator is also trying to consolidate above the zero level. Stochastic keeps its upward direction but is rapidly approaching its highs, which reflects the risks of overbought euro in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.0730, 1.0765, 1.0800, 1.0850.
Support levels: 1.0700, 1.0660, 1.0630, 1.0600.

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a breakout of 1.0765 with the target of 1.0850. Stop-loss — 1.0720. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

The return of a "bearish" trend with the breakdown of 1.0700 may become a signal for new short positions with the target at 1.0600. Stop-loss — 1.0765.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

Hewlett-Packard Co.: technical analysis 08.11.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Hewlett-Packard Co. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Hewlett-Packard Co., the American information technology giant, are trading at 27.10.

On the daily chart, the price is correcting within the local ascending channel with boundaries of 27.50–26.00, approaching the resistance line.

On the four-hour chart, the range can act as a Flag pattern that will continue the global decline. However, now, the upward correction is intensifying, and after consolidating above the high of 27.50, the quotes may reach 30.00. In case of a reversal and implementation of the formation, the support level will be the year’s low of 25.00.

Technical indicators have issued a buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are moving away from the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming corrective bars in the buy zone.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 27.50 with the target at 29.00. Stop loss – 26.50. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price declines and consolidates below 26.70 with the target at 25.00. Stop loss – 27.50.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Hewlett-Packard Co. and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

AUD/USD: the RBA projects inflation to remain at 4.5% until the end of this year 10.11.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The AUD/USD pair is developing a confident downward trend, holding in the area of 0.6361. The instrument is preparing to end the week with the strongest decline in the last few years, updating local lows from November 1.

Pressure on quotes increased after the "hawkish" speech of US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who indicated the likelihood of another increase in borrowing costs the day before if the rate of decline in inflation pressure slows down. The official commented on the strong growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the third quarter, noting that this could negatively affect the unstable dynamics in the overheated labor market. At the same time, the regulator expects a further slowdown in the growth rate of the national economy in the coming quarters, so the situation should stabilize.

In turn, the Australian currency was supported by signals that the price of iron ore, which remains one of Australia's main exports, reached 16-month highs amid expectations of a recovery in demand among major importers, primarily from China. The macroeconomic statistics published the day before reflected a decrease in the Chinese Consumer Price Index in October by 0.1% after an increase of 0.2% in the previous month, while analysts expected zero dynamics to appear, and in annual terms the indicator slowed down by 0.2% with a forecast of –0.1%.

Investors today took notice of the monetary policy report from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), in which officials projected that inflation would remain at 4.5% until the end of December and would not fall below 3.0% in 2025, and consumption households, despite record annual growth in the working-age population, might fall by 2.8%. Last Tuesday, the RBA decided to interrupt a four-month pause in tightening monetary policy and increase the interest rate from 4.10% to 4.35%, and in the follow-up statement, officials pointed out the risks of maintaining the Consumer Price Index at peak values for a long time but they did not confirm the need to further increase the cost of borrowing.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger Bands are reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing from below, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is going down preserving a stable sell signal (located below the signal line). The indicator is about to test the zero level for a breakdown. Stochastic retains a steady downtrend but is located in close proximity to its lows, which indicates the risks of oversold Australian dollar in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.6379, 0.6400, 0.6425, 0.6450.
Support levels: 0.6356, 0.6330, 0.6300, 0.6284.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 0.6356 with the target at 0.6300. Stop-loss — 0.6379. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.6356 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.6379 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 0.6425. Stop-loss — 0.6356.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

XAU/USD: investors are actively taking profits from long positions 13.11.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on XAU/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The XAU/USD pair shows multidirectional trading dynamics, holding near 1935.00. At the opening of the new week, the instrument managed to update the local lows of October 17, but the quotes had already managed to recover most of the losses.

Pressure on gold intensified with the advent of "hawkish" comments from US Federal Reserve officials, including the Chair of the regulator, Jerome Powell, who reflected the officials’ readiness to maintain tight monetary policy, allowing for further increases in borrowing costs. At the same time, demand for the precious metal is gradually recovering against the backdrop of the fact that the most negative scenarios regarding the situation in the Middle East have not yet come true: other countries have taken a wait-and-see approach, preferring not to enter into the Palestinian-Israeli conflict for now, which increases the overall demand for risky assets.

The focus of investors today will be the US Federal Reserve's October report on the state of the country's budget: forecasts suggest a significant reduction in its deficit from -171.0 billion dollars to -30.0 billion dollars. In addition, inflation statistics for October will be published during the week: analysts expect a slowdown in the monthly growth rate of Consumer Price Index from 0.4% to 0.1%.

Meanwhile, the market continues to experience a period of increased activity. According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's CME Group Index (CVOL) volatility indicator, the change was -0.1617 points, falling to 12.9892 points, signaling increasing "bearish" pressure. On Friday, investors' gold futures position consisted of 307.024 thousand contracts and the options one consisted of 52.251 thousand contracts, significantly higher than the monthly averages of 245.000 thousand and 47.000 thousand. This indicates that investors continue to form short positions rather than a high number of options, and also that these positions are mostly profit-taking from past purchases, rather than a new selling trend.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a moderate decrease. The price range is expanding, but at the moment it is not keeping up with the surge of "bearish" sentiment. MACD is going down preserving a stable sell signal (located below the signal line). The indicator is about to test the zero level for a breakdown. Stochastic, having fallen below the level of "20", has reversed upwards, signaling in favor of the development of corrective growth in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1940.00, 1952.66, 1963.55, 1972.85.
Support levels: 1930.00, 1915.00, 1900.00, 1880.00.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 1930.00 with the target at 1900.00. Stop-loss — 1945.00. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 1930.00 as from support followed by a breakout of 1940.00 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 1963.55. Stop-loss — 1930.00.

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If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on XAU/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

Meta Platforms Inc.: technical analysis 15.11.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Meta Platforms Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Meta Platforms Inc., which owns the world’s largest social network Facebook, are moving within a corrective trend around the level of 336.00.

An upward trend is forming on the daily chart, within which the price has left the sideways channel of 328.00–278.00.

On the four-hour chart, the prospects for continued growth have increased significantly after the quotes consolidated above the local high of 330.00, and now there are practically no obstacles left on the way to the area of 370.00.

Technical indicators are strengthening the buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are actively moving away from the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming ascending bars, rising in the buy zone.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 344.00 with the target at 370.00. Stop loss – 335.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price declines and consolidates below 328.00 with the target at 310.00. Stop loss – 335.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Meta Platforms Inc. and trade efficiently with NPBFX.