Antony_NPBFX
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AUD/USD: the pair returns to record lows 07.10.2022
Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!
NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.
Current trend
The Australian dollar shows flat dynamics during the Asian session, consolidating near 0.6400.
Investors are waiting for today's publication of macroeconomic statistics from the US on the situation on the labor market in September. Analysts' forecasts suggest that the economy will add about 250.0 thousand new jobs outside the agricultural sector after rising by 315.0 thousand in the previous month, while Unemployment will remain at the same level of 3.7%. A slight decrease in hourly wages is also possible, but otherwise the estimates are fairly neutral.
In the meantime, the data from Australia released the day before put moderate pressure on the instrument. Thus, Export volumes in August added 2.6% after a sharp decline by 9.9% last month, while Imports for the same period increased by 4.5% after an increase of 5.2% earlier, mainly due to the supply of fuels and lubricants. However, a serious downward correction of the AUD/USD quotes is hindered by rising prices for commodities, primarily coal, which is one of the most important Australian export commodities. Meanwhile, Australia's Trade Surplus narrowed slightly in August from 8.733 million to 8.324 million Australian dollars, while analysts had expected the figure to rise to 10.500 million Australian dollars.
Support and resistance
On the daily chart, Bollinger Bands are steadily declining. The price range is narrowing, reflecting ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD reversed into a descending plane, having formed new sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic keeps a confident downward direction but is already approaching its lows, which indicates the risks of oversold AUD in the ultra-short term.
Technical indicators do not contradict the further development of the "bearish" trend in the short and/or ultra-short term.
Resistance levels: 0.6450, 0.6522, 0.6572, 0.6650.
Support levels: 0.6362, 0.6320, 0.6250, 0.6200.
Trading tips
Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 0.6362 with the target at 0.6250. Stop-loss — 0.6415. Implementation time: 2-3 days.
A rebound from 0.6362 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.6450 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 0.6572. Stop-loss — 0.6380.
Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary
Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.
If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.
Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!
NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.
Current trend
The Australian dollar shows flat dynamics during the Asian session, consolidating near 0.6400.
Investors are waiting for today's publication of macroeconomic statistics from the US on the situation on the labor market in September. Analysts' forecasts suggest that the economy will add about 250.0 thousand new jobs outside the agricultural sector after rising by 315.0 thousand in the previous month, while Unemployment will remain at the same level of 3.7%. A slight decrease in hourly wages is also possible, but otherwise the estimates are fairly neutral.
In the meantime, the data from Australia released the day before put moderate pressure on the instrument. Thus, Export volumes in August added 2.6% after a sharp decline by 9.9% last month, while Imports for the same period increased by 4.5% after an increase of 5.2% earlier, mainly due to the supply of fuels and lubricants. However, a serious downward correction of the AUD/USD quotes is hindered by rising prices for commodities, primarily coal, which is one of the most important Australian export commodities. Meanwhile, Australia's Trade Surplus narrowed slightly in August from 8.733 million to 8.324 million Australian dollars, while analysts had expected the figure to rise to 10.500 million Australian dollars.
Support and resistance
On the daily chart, Bollinger Bands are steadily declining. The price range is narrowing, reflecting ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD reversed into a descending plane, having formed new sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic keeps a confident downward direction but is already approaching its lows, which indicates the risks of oversold AUD in the ultra-short term.
Technical indicators do not contradict the further development of the "bearish" trend in the short and/or ultra-short term.
Resistance levels: 0.6450, 0.6522, 0.6572, 0.6650.
Support levels: 0.6362, 0.6320, 0.6250, 0.6200.
Trading tips
Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 0.6362 with the target at 0.6250. Stop-loss — 0.6415. Implementation time: 2-3 days.
A rebound from 0.6362 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.6450 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 0.6572. Stop-loss — 0.6380.
Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary
Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.
If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.
Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.