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Salam kembali kepada semua pedagang-pedagang... Setelah sekian lama bercuti dihari raya... Kini kembali untuk beraksi di arena FOREX! Saya mendoakan agar anda semua dalam keadaan sihat disamping keluarga tercinta dan meraih untung dalam trading. Sebarang persoalan atau masalah boleh ajukan didalam thread saya atau hubungi melalui

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Selamat pagi kepada semua pedagang... Semoga pagi jumaat ini memberi lebih rezeki kepada anda semua... Sedikit analisa daripada kami.

Forex Technical Analysis: Ending the week inside the range.

EUR/USD

Forex Technical Analysis: Yesterday the German Flash Manufacturing PMI came out better than expected but the Euro strength generated by this event was short lived and soon the pair dropped to touch 1.3300 resistance again.

20130823-Ending-the-week-inside-the-range-pic1-1024x706.png


Technical Outlook
The latest move to the downside, below 1.3400 shows us that the bears still have some steam left and the uptrend may be reversing. On the other hand, after yesterday’s touch of 1.3300, price immediately started to rise, indicating bullish strength. This makes us believe that both sides are almost equally balanced and the pair’s movement should be considered ranging, not trending. It is likely that price will remain between 1.3300 and 1.3400 today but the fundamental aspect can prove this prediction to be wrong.

Fundamental Outlook
The most important event of the day is the release of the US New Home Sales numbers, scheduled for 2:00 pm GMT and expected to decrease from the previous 497K to 487K. An even lower number than the anticipated one suggests that fewer new houses are bought by Americans and that the economy is slowing, because usually such a purchase is made in times of good economic conditions.


GBP/USD

For almost the entire duration of yesterday’s trading session, the pair headed slowly but surely to the downside. The support level located at 1.5600 is now breached but not in a decisive manner.

20130823-Ending-the-week-inside-the-range-pic2-1024x706.png


Technical Outlook
The level of 1.5560 stopped yesterday’s bearish movement and it represents now minor support for today’s price action. We anticipated a retracement lower based on the overbought condition indicated by the Relative Strength Index but today’s movement will give us more hints about whether this is just a retracement or a reversal. If it is indeed a trend reversal, price is likely to remain below 1.5600 and break 1.5560 to the downside.

Fundamental Outlook
At 08:30 am GMT the UK will release the Second Estimate of the Gross Domestic Product and although it tends to have a slightly lower impact than the Preliminary GDP Estimate, it still remains a high-importance indicator. For today’s release the predicted value is 0.6%. Numbers above forecast may strengthen the Pound and drive the pair higher.

We hope you had a profitable trading week and we wish you a relaxing weekend.

Written by: Bogdan Giulvezan

The article above is based on the writer’s 4-year experience and it does not constitute trading advice or investment recommendations, just a personal opinion and view of the market.

Source of article from the best forex broker.
 
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Selamat hari isnin kepada semua pedagang... Hari ini pasaran baru buka agak perlahan sedikit. Boleh lah pergi jalan-jalan dulu ke, petang baru tengok chart semula ye :D Sedikit analisa dari kami untuk anda.

Forex Technical Analysis: The calm before the breakout.

EUR/USD

Forex Technical Analysis: For almost the entire duration of Friday’s trading session the pair moved higher and even touched again the resistance located at 1.3400 but price ran out of steam before a break could occur.

20130826-The-calm-before-the-breakout-pic1-1024x684.png


Technical Outlook
Friday we witnessed the third attempt this month at breaking 1.3400 and at the moment price seems to bounce lower again. If this is the case and we will not see a decisive break of resistance early in the week, the pair might start to move towards 1.3200 and the uptrend which is already weak might be reversing. Today we don’t anticipate major developments due to the slow and ranging way that price usually moves Mondays.

Fundamental Outlook
The main and only event today is the release of the US Durable Goods Orders scheduled at 12:30 pm GMT. The value is expected to decrease from the previous 3.9% to -3.0%. Durable goods have a higher cost that other types of goods and that’s why better than anticipated numbers suggest a thriving economy and usually strengthen the US Dollar.


GBP/USD

Although the Second Estimate UK Gross Domestic Product came out Friday with better than anticipated values and generated a brief rise, the pair quickly started to move to the down side, invalidating a bullish scenario.

20130826-The-calm-before-the-breakout-pic2-1024x684.png


Technical Outlook
Today we expect price to remain in close vicinity of 1.5600 moving slightly above and below it. Given that Mondays are slow days, price is likely to move sideways and no clear distance to be created between it and 1.5600. This outlook is sustained by the fact that today UK Banks are closed and low volatility is expected.

Fundamental Outlook
As we mentioned before, no economic indicators are released today by the UK because their Banks are closed celebrating Summer Bank Holiday. However, the pair will be affected by the US Durable Goods Orders which we mentioned earlier.

Written by: Bogdan Giulvezan

The article above is based on the writer’s 4-year experience and it does not constitute trading advice or investment recommendations, just a personal opinion and view of the market.

Source of article from the best forex broker.
 
Selamat pagi kepada semua peniaga-peniaga matawang. Semoga hari ini lebih baik dari semalam... Saya ada buka thread khas untuk Weekly Commentary dan Technical News. Jadi kalau ada masa boleh lah singgah untuk melihat analisa dari broker kami ini ye :)cgrock
 
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