FA (meh Bincangkan )

[StanNero]

alhamdullilah.. semlm dah puas mkn pair yen dengan FA.. hari nie ako rasa momentun naik (YEn lemah) akan berterusan.. hinga ke minggu depan.. analisi ini hanya rumusan ke atas YEN..

Stock prices are stabilizing, pushing down the yen against the crosses, such as the euro,'' said Masashi Kurabe, currency manager at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in Tokyo. ``Japan's absolute rate disadvantage
still matters.


US

``There are signs that the retail sales number is going to be reasonable enough,'' said Adrian Foster, director of currency sales at Dresdner Kleinwort in Beijing. ``It's going to tell us that the Fed is on hold. It's supportive of the dollar,

EUR

The euro may be bolstered by speculation European Union Monetary Affairs Commissioner Joaquin Almunia will today show tolerance for the euro's strength, which helps to alleviate inflationary pressure.

Europe's single currency headed for a fifth winning week against the dollar after Portuguese Finance Minister Fernando Teixeira dos Santos yesterday said the rise to record highs against the dollar and the yen isn't a problem.

``European policy makers are expressing comfort with the euro's gains, given there are still inflation risks,'' said Masanobu Ishikawa, general manager of foreign exchange at Tokyo Forex & Ueda Harlow Ltd

Kesimpulan

EJ - Trend naik (yen lemah)
UJ - Trend menaik (yen lemah)

Startegi hati nie

Peram Buy yg maish dibuat bagi UJ disebabkan UJ kemungkinan akan lawan mencecah 123.00 dalam minggu depan. bergantung pada keaddan.. ( buat trailing stop lost). UJ tgh mencuba daily low.. buy on dip.

EJ .. BUy on dip lowest ( tadi price dah cecah, maaf lewat buat analisis) atau maintain BUy sehingga price pecah@ sentuh daily high hari ini. ( EJ dah profit bagi siapa yg BUy on Dip..)

 

[waktong]

1. Friday, July 13th, 2007 (8:30 a.m. New York Time)

USATomorrow we have U.S. retail sales coming out at 8:30 a.m. New York time. We have three numbers: we will have a retail sales headline number m/m, we will have a retail sales excluding autos m/m (that's also known as core number), and will have an import price index m/m. All of them are expected to show much lower readings than last month. The main number to focus on will be the core retail sales, also known as "less autos". It is expected to read at 0.2% versus a big gain of 1.3% last month. Honestly, this is not one of my favorite indicators. It had caused very, very messy moves before. However, I do think that the U.S. dollar is extremely oversold, and even though the fundamentals for U.S. dollars are bad long-term, U.S. dollar was bearish for a very long time. We have been selling U.S. dollars for the last two years. Despite of that, I think EUR/USD and GBP/USD have been a little bit overbought, and I think some of the big players that were buying the positions at much lower prices are waiting for reasons to take their profits. Therefore, I do think that if the core retail sales number surprises, and if it comes out at 0.7% or higher, I think we may see a move down on GBP/USD by around 40 pips or more in the first hour of the report. On the other hand, if the core retail sales disappoint, and if it comes out at -0.3% or more negative, I do think we may see further spike up on the GBP/USD and it may possibly gain 40 pips or more. It will all depend on price levels too. Also, you need to watch out or any conflicts from the headline number which is expected to come out flat at 0%, and you also have to partially watch out for the import price index conflicts. If there are big conflicts, you may want to stay out. Otherwise, this could be a decent trade as I think the timing is there for this report, and I think if the price will stay at relatively same level tomorrow as it is right now, I think it could cause a move of 40 pips either direction, if the deviation is substantial.

SUMMARY:
* Report: U.S. Core Retail Sales
* Sell on GBP/USD if the number will be 0.7% or higher
* Buy on GBP/USD if the number will be -0.3% or more negative
* If the trigger is hit, expect 40 pips or more in the first hour of the report.

2. Friday, July 13th, 2007 (10:00 a.m. New York Time) USAThen at 10 a.m.

New York time we have U.S. consumer sentiment coming out. It is a private report, released by University of Michigan. It does not have a very good integrity. Sometimes it leaks, I really hate that report, and I will not be trading it so you might want to skip that report as well.

 

[pokcak]

July 13 -- The euro is ``poised to test'' $1.3855, said George Davis, chief technical analyst in Toronto at RBC Capital Markets, citing charts that predict price movements.


The level represents the upper boundary of the euro's ascending channel, connecting the highs of June 5, 2006, Dec. 4, and April 27, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. A break of the upper boundary would suggest faster gains.

The ``euro has accelerated to the topside after piercing resistance at $1.3683,'' equivalent to the April 27 high, Davis wrote in a weekly research note yesterday. Resistance is a level where sell orders may be clustered.

Europe's single currency rose 1.2 percent this week to $1.3783 at 11:45 a.m. in Tokyo from $1.3789 late in New York yesterday, when it reached a record high of $1.3798.

``With our target at $1.3600 hit two weeks ago, we are establishing $1.3900 as our new target based on our bullish stance,'' Davis said.


In technical analysis, investors and analysts study charts of trading patterns and prices to forecast changes in a security, commodity, currency or index.

 

[StanNero]

July 13 -- The euro is ``poised to test'' $1.3855, said George Davis, chief technical analyst in Toronto at RBC Capital Markets, citing charts that predict price movements.


The level represents the upper boundary of the euro's ascending channel, connecting the highs of June 5, 2006, Dec. 4, and April 27, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. A break of the upper boundary would suggest faster gains.

The ``euro has accelerated to the topside after piercing resistance at $1.3683,'' equivalent to the April 27 high, Davis wrote in a weekly research note yesterday. Resistance is a level where sell orders may be clustered.

Europe's single currency rose 1.2 percent this week to $1.3783 at 11:45 a.m. in Tokyo from $1.3789 late in New York yesterday, when it reached a record high of $1.3798.

``With our target at $1.3600 hit two weeks ago, we are establishing $1.3900 as our new target based on our bullish stance,'' Davis said.


In technical analysis, investors and analysts study charts of trading patterns and prices to forecast changes in a security, commodity, currency or index.

IF refer TA pun EU naik.. main price 1.3800

Ta support Fa.. hehe ada harapan

 

[StanNero]

heheh EU dah tepat kena range... 1.3800

EJ . UJ dah nak follow

 

[pokcak]

mlam ni kita ke europe. paid

 

[kawe78]

teruk nampak EJ tu ......

 

[StanNero]

teruk nampak EJ tu ......

sudah naik BYK dah geng main FA kena rilek.. dia sure carik range balik.. heheh dia bukan TA Tadi dia jatuh mcm ako kata BUY on dips.. range kena tahu .. kaalu range naik.. kalau jatuh kita biar dia jatuh then buy semula ..


senyum sokmo lagi.. ngehhhe

 

[flyyayy]

umm, ade komen pasal consumer sentiment naik bnyk tp usd still kt atas... xgerak pon...

 

[kawe78]

sudah naik BYK dah geng main FA kena rilek.. dia sure carik range balik.. heheh dia bukan TA Tadi dia jatuh mcm ako kata BUY on dips.. range kena tahu .. kaalu range naik.. kalau jatuh kita biar dia jatuh then buy semula ..


senyum sokmo lagi.. ngehhhe

berapa target paling tinggi ej leh cecah pada pandangan bro ?