Daily Technical Analysis by XtreamForex

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, GBP/USD and NZD/USD Currency Pairs

EUR USD

The EUR traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.1388.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Member Speech may contain indications on the possible future changes in the Fed's monetary policy. Committee members participate in interest rate voting, determine appropriate monetary policy measures and assess the risks to long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.13708, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.13535. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.14055, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.14229.

Previous Day range was 34.7 and Current Day Range is 13.9.

GBP USD

The GBP traded lower against the USD and closed at 1.2983.

Retail Sales m/m show the changes in the value of retail goods sold in the UK for the given month compared to the previous one. The calculation uses season-adjusted data from British retailers.
The indicator is used in forecasting, budgeting and in the development of the UK financial and economic policy. The retail sales growth can affect the British pound quotes positively.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.28772, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.27714. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.30437, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31044.

GBP USD previous Day range was 166.5 and Current Day Range is 25.6.

NZD USD

The NZD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6761.

BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) is compiled based on a monthly survey. It serves as a leading indicator of New Zealand's manufacturing sector activity.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.67303, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.66995. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.67892, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.98173.

NZD USD previous day range was 58.9 and current day range is 22.4.

 

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, USD/CAD and USD/JPY Currency Pairs

EUR USD

The EUR traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.1359.

ECB Deposit Rate Decision is announced after the European Central Bank meetings, on which the monetary policy of the euro zone is discussed. The regulator takes decisions on deposit rates depending on the inflationary outlook and economic growth.

Cut in deposit rates leads to a lower euro rate.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.13393, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.13195. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.13761, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.13931.

Previous Day range was 36.8 and Current Day Range is 9.


USD CAD

The USD traded lower against the CAD and closed at 1.3354.

Canada Core Retail Sales m/m reflect the change in retail sales in the reported month compared to the previous one. The indicator is calculated based on statistics from retail stores of different types and sizes. The index calculation does not include sales of autos and spare parts.

Retails Sales are an indicator of consumer activity in Canada, and an important component of national GDP. The indicator growth can have a positive effect on CAD quotes.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.33105, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.32671. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.33773, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.34007.

USD/CAD previous Day range was 66.8 and Current Day Range is 32.4.


USD JPY

The USD traded higher against JPY and closed at 109.361.

BoJ Press Conference is a main PR event of the Japanese regulator. During the Press Conference, the Bank of Japan Governor or Deputy Governor explains decisions concerning the monetary policy, describes their views on the prospects of economic development and answers questions.
If the regulator's statement contains some hints at the upcoming tightening of the monetary policy, this has a short-term positive impact on JPY.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 109.110, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.859. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.650, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.939.

USD JPY previous day range was 5400 and current day range is 4550.

 

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Technical Overview of GBP/USD, AUD/USD and NZD/USD Currency Pairs

GBP USD

The GBP traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.3066.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.29795, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.28929. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31155, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31649.

Previous Day range was 136 and Current Day Range is 27.4.


AUD USD

The AUD traded lower against the USD and closed at 0.7139.

Australia Employment Change measures a change in the number of officially employed Australians in the reported month.

Employment growth is a sign of a stronger labor market and can be seen as positive for the Australian dollar quotes.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.71229, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.71070. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.71492, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.71956.

AUD USD previous Day range was 26.3 and Current Day Range is 46.


NZD USD

The NZD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6786.

Core Durable Goods Orders m/m reflect the value of orders received by manufacturers of durable goods in the given month compared to the previous one. The production of transport industry is excluded from the calculation.

The index allows forecasting future production volumes in the short term.
The value growth can have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.67528, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.67193. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.68089, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.68315.

NZD USD previous day range was 56.1 and current day range is 24.8.

 

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, USD/CHF and AUD/USD Currency Pairs

EUR USD

The EUR traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.1404.

EUR/USD made a strong recovery on Friday in a risk on the environment with headlines that an agreement has been reached to temporarily end the US government shutdown.

ECB President Speech reflects the official position of the European Central Bank, therefore every speech is carefully examined by the market participants and analysts. If the ECB President's speech suggests any conclusions on the monetary policy or a clear assessment of the economic and financial situation of the eurozone, the speech influences the EU currency.

If the speech suggests the tightening of the monetary policy, it is seen as positive for the euro.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.13306, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.12572. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.14473, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.14906.

Previous Day range was 116.7 and Current Day Range is 23.5.


USD CHF

The USD traded lower against the CHF and closed at 0.9931.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.99107, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.98903. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.99613, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.99945.

USD CHF previous Day range was 52.1 and Current Day Range is 14.7.


AUD USD

The AUD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.718.

The AUD/USD pair edged higher and regained the 0.72 handle briefly, as the selling pressure around the greenback remained unabated. However, downbeat Chinese industrial profits data appears to cap the further upside in the Aussie.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.71084, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.70377. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.72179, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.72559.

AUD USD previous day range was 109.1 and current day range is 29.

 

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Technical Overview of GBP/USD, EUR/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pairs

GBP USD

The GBP traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.3064.

Bank of England Governor Speech is given by the head of the BOE's Monetary Policy Committee and has the greatest influence over sterling's value among all members of the Committee. The BoE Governor's public engagements suggest clues regarding the change in the exchange rate and future monetary policy of the Bank of England.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.30144, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.29642. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31577, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.32468.

Previous Day range was 141.3 and Current Day Range is 34.7.

EUR USD

The EUR traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.1431.

France Gross Domestic Product (GDP) q/q reflects changes in the market value of domestically produced goods and services, in the reported quarter compared to the previous quarter. The GDP is calculated based on statistical information (using national economic indicators), forecast models and expert evaluations. GDP growth can have a positive effect on euro quotes.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.14117, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.13923. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.14502, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.14693.

EUR USD previous Day range was 38.5 and Current Day Range is 16.6.


USD JPY

The USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 109.389.

Retail Sales m/m show the total volume of retail sales of goods and services in the past month compared with the previous one. This is a highly volatile indicator, it is seasonally adjusted.
The index allows evaluating consumer spending which is an important indicator of the national inflation.

The indicator growth can have a positive effect on yen quotes.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 109.168, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.948. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.573, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.758.

USD JPY previous day range was 4050 and current day range is 2260.

 

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Technical Overview of USD/CAD, USD/CHF and NZD/USD Currency Pairs

USD CAD

The USD traded lower against the CAD and closed at 1.3148.

Fed says that it will stay patient on further rate hikes.
US Dollar Index falls sharply on the dovish shift in the language.
WTI settles above $54 on Wednesday.

FOMC Press Conference is a quarterly event that attracts the attention of financial analysts and economists from around the world. During the press conference, the US Federal Open Market Committee members respond to journalists' questions about the US monetary policy, inflation prospects and measures taken to achieve its target level.

The index allows making conclusions about the terms of interest rate changes or changes in the monetary policy, depending on the speaker's rhetoric. Indirect hints at the coming growth of interest rates are seen as positive for the dollar.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.30838, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30201. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.32461, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.33447.

Previous Day range was 162.3 and Current Day Range is 26.5.


USD CHF

The USD traded lower against the CHF and closed at 0.9941.

US Dollar Index rises toward 96 on strong ADP data.
Wall Street starts the day on a strong footing.
FOMC is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.5%.

FED Interest Rate Decision is made on a predetermined date during the vote among the members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concerning the Federal Reserve short-term interest rates to be charged from credits and commercial bank loans.

The increasing rate can have a positive effect on USD, while a decrease can affect USD negatively. If the rate remains unchanged, the analysts evaluate the number of "for" and "against" votes and discuss statements of voters after the minutes of meeting are published in order to forecast the results of the next meeting.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.99169, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.98928. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.99799, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.00188.

USD CHF previous Day range was 63 and Current Day Range is 19.4.


NZD USD

The NZD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6888.

The NZD/USD pair jumped 24 pips to a session high of 0.6824 after the ratings agency S&P raised New Zealand outlook to positive from stable and left rating unchanged at AA.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.68352, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.67826. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.69257, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.69636.

NZD USD previous day range was 90.5 and current day range is 37.1.

 

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Technical Overview of XAU/USD, BTC/USD and ETH/USD

XAU USD.x

The XAU traded lower against the USD and closed at 1321.27.

Gold could trade in a sideways-to-negative manner as a key technical indicator is reporting the loss of bullish momentum.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1317.09, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1312.91. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1325.85, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1330.43.

Previous Day range was 8.76 and Current Day Range is 43000.

BTC USD

The BTC traded lower against the USD and closed at 3498.84.

Cryptocurrency market slipped back in the red zone on Thursday and continued consolidating with bearish bias during early Asian hours on Friday. All major coins demonstrate moderate losses

The pair is expected to find support at 3462.14, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 3425.45. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 3551.55, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 3604.27.

BTC USD previous Day range was 89.41 and Current Day Range is 50.24.

ETH USD

The ETH traded lower against USD and closed at 108.31.

Bears take over the ETH/USD market as it loses 1.75% of its overall value.
Heavy resistance at $107.50 and $109 severely limits ETH/USD’s growth

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 105.95, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 103.60. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 111.96, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 115.62.

ETH USD previous day range was 6.01 and current day range is 36600.
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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/CAD Currency Pairs

EUR USD

The EUR traded lower against the USD and closed at 1.1454.

The EUR/USD pair advanced for a second consecutive week, unable, however, to make a relevant bullish breakout and finishing the week right below 1.1460.

Unemployment Change reflects a change in the total number of unemployed Spanish citizens. The indicator growth is usually accompanied with a decrease in the purchasing power of the population, which may have a negative effect on euro quotes.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.14297, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.14055. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.14829, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.15119.

Previous Day range was 53.2 and Current Day Range is 13.5.

GBP USD

The GBP traded lower against the USD and closed at 1.3075.

GBP/USD running out of steam faded at 1.3217 highs. Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay and senior government officials are due to discuss alternative arrangements to the Irish backstop this week.

Factory Orders m/m show the changes in the volume of orders for durable and non-durable goods received by US companies in the given month compared to the previous one. This is a composite indicator including new industrial orders for durable and non-durable goods; orders unfilled by the end of a month; shipments (indicating the current sales); total reserves of raw materials and products by the end of the given month.

The indicator growth can have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.30409, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30064. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31111, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31468.

GBP USD previous Day range was 70.2 and Current Day Range is 19.7.


USD CAD

The USD traded bit higher against CAD and closed at 1.3098.

The USD/CAD pair broke below the key 1.3115/20 support area and tumbled to 1.3082, the lowest level since November 7. The pair resumed the move lower that started early January from above 1.3600.

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI reflects activity in the US service sector in the reporting month. The indicator is based on a survey of representatives from more than 400 companies. Unlike Markit, ISM considers not only private companies but is based on the common NAICS (North American Industrial Classification System) list.

Readings above 50 can have a positive effect on US dollar quotes.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.30582, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30188. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31471, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31966.

USD CAD previous day range was 88.9 and current day range is 14.1.

 

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Technical Overview of AUD/USD, NZD/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pairs

AUD USD

The AUD traded higher against the USD and closed at 0.7225.

Australia Retail Sales m/m show a change in the turnover of goods and services sold in retail outlets in the given month compared to the previous month.

The turnover of goods and services sold in retail outlets include retail sales, wholesales, takings from repairs, sales in public places, commission from agency activity, as well as the goods and services tax.

The indicator growth can have a positive effect on the Australian dollar quotes.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 0.72060, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.71873. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.72486, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.72725.

Previous Day range was 42.6 and Current Day Range is 60.1.

NZD USD

The NZD traded higher against the USD and closed at 0.6896.

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI reflects activity in the US service sector in the reporting month. The indicator is based on a survey of representatives from more than 400 companies. Unlike Markit, ISM considers not only private companies but is based on the common NAICS (North American Industrial Classification System) list.

Readings above 50 can have a positive effect on US dollar quotes.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.68754, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.68548. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.69111, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.69262.

NZD USD previous Day range was 35.7 and Current Day Range is 30.4.

USD JPY

The USD traded bit higher against JPY and closed at 109.874.

Household Spending y/y measures the total expenditure by Japanese households in the given month compared to the same month of the previous year. The index is calculated based on a statistical sample of households in the country. The calculation includes expenditures on food, housing, utilities, furniture, closing, health, education, transport, communication, leisure activities, etc.

The index is viewed as an indicator of economic growth and consumer optimism. It allows measuring the level of inflation in the country.

The indicator growth can have a positive effect on the yen quotes.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 109.484, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 109.093. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 110.212, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 110.549.

USD JPY previous day range was 7280 and current day range is 2010.
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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, USD/CAD and USD/CHF Currency Pairs

EUR USD

The EUR traded lower against the USD and closed at 1.1405.

Despite macroeconomic data released this Tuesday favored an advance in EUR/USD the pair ends the day with losses at pre-FOMC levels. 1.1315 at sight should the 1.1400 figure gives up.

The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Stocks Change Indicator is published weekly. It measures the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US companies. It is one of the indicators affecting world oil prices.

Growing crude oil stocks indicate a weaker demand for oil and can have a negative impact on the oil barrel price.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.13907, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.13767. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.14293, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.14539.

Previous Day range was 38.6 and Current Day Range is 13.

USD CAD

The USD traded higher against the CAD and closed at 1.1325.

The USD/CAD pair trades little changed around 1.3130 on early Wednesday. The pair has strong resistance confluence near 1.3205-1.3210 that includes 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and a month old descending trend-line.

Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) shows economic activity in the past month calculated by the Ivey School of Business.

The indicator is calculated based on a survey of purchasing managers in the private and public sector companies. The survey involves representatives of 175 companies selected in view of their field of activity and geographical location. Respondents answer questions about whether purchases, employment, supplies and prices in their sector have become better, worse or has not changed over the reported month.

Survey results are seasonally adjusted.

A reading above 50 indicates that the economic activity is expanding, a reading below 50 suggests the economy is in contraction. The index growth can have a positive effect on CAD quotes.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.31002, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30757. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31511, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31755.

USD CAD previous Day range was 50.9 and Current Day Range is 26.1.

USD CHF

The USD traded bit higher against CHF and closed at 0.9995.

US Dollar Index struggles to break above 96.
10-year T-bond yield erases gains to weigh on the greenback.
Coming up: ISM and Markit non-manufacturing PMI data from the U.S.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.99706, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.99464. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.00198, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.00448.

USD CHF previous day range was 49.2 and current day range is 16.9.