Inside the booming market for US midterm election bets
Inside the booming market for US midterm election bets
Across the three markets, traders have bet more than $220 million so far this cycle, compared with $92 million for the entire 2024 cycle, according to ACDC. In 2024, wagers continued even after Election Day, as the outcome of some races hung in the balance.
In 2024, 71% of election markets were on who would win a race.
This cycle, only 16% of markets relate to winners, with the majority – 58% – focused on the margin by which a candidate will win. There are also more markets this cycle on voter turnout for a race.
However, the vast majority of overall volume is still wagered on who will win, with many of the more...