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  #201  
Old 11-06-2018, 08:39 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Antipodeans consolidate below recent peaks, dollar index declines amid renewed worries on global trade, investors await US-N. Korea summit – Monday, June 11th, 2018






Market Roundup

North Korean, U.S. officials try narrowing differences on eve of Trump-Kim summit

U.S.-Canada dispute escalates after tense G7; Trump renews criticism of Trudeau

North Korea seen looking to China, not U.S., for help in any economic transformation

Mexico leftist's pitch to Trump: growth, not walls to fix migration

Japan Apr Machinery Orders YY, 9.6%, f'cast 3.9%, last -2.4%

Japan Apr Machinery Orders MM, 10.1%, f'cast 2.8%, last -3.9%



Economic Data Ahead

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Apr Manufacturing Output YY, f'cast 3.1%, last 2.9%

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Apr Industrial Output YY, f'cast 2.7%, last 2.9%

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Apr Goods Trade Balance GBP, f'cast -11.35 bln, last -12.29 bln

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Apr Goods Trade Balance non-EU, SA, GBP, f'cast -3.20 bln, last -3.64 bln
(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain GB Apr Construction O/P Vol YY, f'cast -1.8%, last -4.9%



Key Events Ahead

(0700 ET/1100 GMT) Riksbank executive board meeting – Stockholm

(1100 ET/1500 GMT) Angela Merkel meets heads of the IMF, WTO, World Bank, ILO and OECD for talks – Berlin

(1320 ET/1720 GMT) German Minister for Economic Affairs Peter Altmaier speaks at opening of CEBIT Business Fair – Hanover



FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index eased after U.S. President Donald Trump threw the G7's efforts into disarray following a verbal argument with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.1 percent down at 93.46, having touched a low of 93.21 on Thursday, its lowest since May 17. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at -9.90 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro rose, reversing most of its previous session losses, ahead of the European Central Bank policy meeting on June 14, where it could signal intentions to start unwinding its massive bond-purchasing programme. The European currency traded 0.3 percent up at 1.1797, having touched a high of 1.1839 on Friday, its highest since May 16. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 150.08 (Highly Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on series of data from the Eurozone economies, amid a lack of economic data from the U.S. docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1839 (Jun. 7 High), a break above targets 1.1896 (May 5 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1744 (5-DMA), a break below could drag it till 1.1693 (10-DMA).

USD/JPY: The dollar rebounded on the back of positive geopolitical news that Japan PM Abe and U.S. President Trump's meeting ended well, where Trump vowed to improve the trading relationship with Japan and stated that Abe assured Japan would invest more in the U.S. The major was trading 0.2 percent up at 109.77, having hit a high of 110.26 on Wednesday, its highest since May 23. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -107.36 (Highly Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, as U.S. economic calendar remains absolutely data empty. Immediate resistance is located at 110.28, a break above targets 110.85 (May 17 Low). On the downside, support is seen at 108.95 (May 24 Low), a break below could take it lower 108.50.

GBP/USD: Sterling consolidated above the 1.3400 handle, as investors focused on the differences that persist between the European Union and Britain in agreeing on the terms of their relationship post-Brexit deal. The major traded flat at 1.3409, having hit a high of 1.3471 on Thursday, it’s highest since May 22. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at 70.69 (Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the UK goods trade balance, GDP estimate, industrial and manufacturing production figures, amid a lack of economic data from the U.S. docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3483 (May 21 High), a break above could take it near 1.3527 (May 18 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.3343 (10-DMA), a break below targets 1.3305 (May 23 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.3 percent down at 87.97 pence, having hit a low of 88.37 pence on Thursday, it’s lowest since May 7.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar rose above the 0.7600 handle, as trading was light with the country on holiday for the Queen's Birthday. The Aussie trades 0.1 percent up at 0.7603, having hit a high of 0.7676 on Wednesday; it’s highest since Apr. 23. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at -108.18 (Highly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Immediate support is seen at 0.7580, a break below targets 0.7552 (May 31 Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7630 (5-DMA), a break above could take it near 0.7682 (Apr 23 High).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar consolidated below recent peaks amid concerns over the possibility of new trade conflicts after a G7 meeting ended in disagreement. The Kiwi trades 0.2 percent up at 0.7040, having touched a high of 0.7060 on Wednesday, its highest level since Apr. 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at 76.67 (Slightly Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Immediate resistance is located at 0.7089, a break above could take it near 0.7120. On the downside, support is seen at 0.6997 (June 5 Low), a break below could drag it below 0.6962.



Equities Recap

Asian shares reversed early session losses, as investors awaited the U.S.-North Korea summit that might ease regional tensions and also the key central bank meetings later this week.

MSCI's broadest of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan surged 0.3 percent.

Tokyo's Nikkei rose 0.6 percent to 22,818.12 points, and South Korea's KOSPI advanced 0.7 percent to 2,468.17 points.

Shanghai composite index fell 0.8 percent to 3,042.33 points, while CSI300 index was trading 0.4 percent down at 3,765.03 points.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was trading 0.3 percent higher at 31,040.03 points. Taiwan shares shed 0.1 percent to 11,149.23 points.



Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices declined, amid a downward pull in rising Russian production and U.S. oil drilling activity rising at its highest since 2015. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.2 percent down at $76.27 per barrel by 0440 GMT, having hit a low of $73.80 on Tuesday, its lowest since May 8. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.1 percent down at $65.53 a barrel, after falling as low as $64.26 on Tuesday, its lowest since Apr. 10.

Gold edged up as the dollar eased ahead of key central bank policy meetings and the U.S.-North Korea summit this week. Spot gold was 0.05 percent up at $1,299.10 per ounce at 0443 GMT, having hit a high of $1,303.09 on Thursday, its highest price level since May 31. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were 0.1 percent higher at $1,303.40 per ounce.









DAPATKAN INFO TERKINI DAILY MARKET NEWS SETIAP HARI DI FIREWOODFX

http://www.firewoodfx.com/category/forex-market-news/





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  #202  
Old 13-06-2018, 10:17 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Aussie rebounds from 2- week lows following RBA Governor Lowe's comments, dollar hits 3-week peak against yen ahead of FOMC policy meeting outcome, Asian shares ease – Wednesday, June 13th, 2018







Market Roundup

Japan's defence minister says U.S.-S.Korean military drills 'vital'

N.Korea frames summit as a win as Trump halts war games

PM May faces another day of Brexit compromise in parliament

Australia interest rates seen staying low for longer – RBA governor

Australia Jun Consumer Sentiment, 0.3%, last -0.6%

New Zealand May Food Price Index, 0.0%, last 0.1%

POLL-Economists split on 2019, 2020 BOJ tapering; Japan needs more innovation

Mexican presidential favorite says a NAFTA collapse “not fatal”



Economic Data Ahead

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain May Core CPI YY, f'cast 2.1%, last 2.1%

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain May CPI YY, f'cast 2.5%, last 2.4%

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain May PPI Input Prices YY NSA, f'cast 7.6%, last 5.3%

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain May PPI Output Prices YY NSA, f'cast 2.9%, last 2.4%

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain May PPI Core Output Prices YY NSA, f'cast 2.5%, last 2.4%

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain May RPI YY, f'cast 3.4%, last 3.4%

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Apr Industrial Production YY, f'cast 2.8%, last 3.0%

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Q1 Employment YY, last 1.6%



Key Events Ahead

(0230 ET/0630 GMT) Riksbank Seminar: A changing mortgage market – Stockholm

(0300 ET/0700 GMT) Greece's Finance Minister Euclid Tsakalotos and Labour Minister Effie Achtsioglou speak at conference – Brussels

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) New Bank of Ireland's Francesca McDonagh lays priorities for Ireland's biggest bank – Dublin

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) BoE's Lyndon Nelson speaks at OpRisk Europe – London

(1315 ET/1715 GMT) BoE's Anil Kashyap speaks at OMFIF City lecture – London

(1400 ET/1800 GMT) Fed's FOMC announces decision on interest rate, followed by statement

(1430 ET/1830 GMT) Fed's Jerome Powell holds news conference on interest rate policy – Washington

N/A European Banking Association Day on banking tech topics – Munich



FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index rose to a fresh 1-week peak as the Fed concludes its two-day policy meeting later, at which it is widely expected to signals tightening policy four times in 2018, from the three times indicated earlier this year. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.05 percent up at 93.85, having touched a low of 93.21 on Thursday, its lowest since May 17. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 92.40 (Slightly Bullish) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro steadied after easing in the previous session, amid speculation that the ECB could signal its intention to start unwinding its massive bond-purchasing program. The European currency traded 0.05 percent up at 1.1749, having touched a high of 1.1839 on Thursday, its highest since May 16. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at -63.80 (Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on series of data from the Eurozone economies, ahead of U.S. producer price index, FOMC policy meeting outcome and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1839 (Jun. 7 High), a break above targets 1.1896 (May 5 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1690 (May 24 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1652 (June 5 Low).

USD/JPY: The dollar surged to a 3-week peak as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, which could give clues on the number of rate hikes this year. The U.S. central bank concludes its two-day policy meeting later in the day, at which it is widely expected to hike rates for the second time this year. The major was trading 0.2 percent up at 110.62, having hit a high of 110.68 earlier, its highest since May 23. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -109.79 (Highly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. producer price index, FOMC policy meeting outcome and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. Immediate resistance is located at 110.85 (May 17 Low), a break above targets 111.18 (May 22 High). On the downside, support is seen at 109.95 (5-DMA), a break below could take it lower 109.65 (10-DMA).

GBP/USD: Sterling eased, extending losses for the fourth straight session after British Prime Minister Theresa May faced a showdown in parliament over amendments to a bill for Britain's exit from the European Union next year that threatened to undermine her authority. The major traded 0.1 percent down at 1.3364, having hit a high of 1.3471 on Thursday, it’s highest since May 22. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -38.99 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the UK retail price index, producer price index, and consumer price index, ahead of U.S. fundamental drivers. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3439 (June 8 High), a break above could take it near 1.3483 (May 21 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.3302 (June 6 Low), a break below targets 1.3253 (June 1 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.1 percent down at 87.90 pence, having hit a low of 88.37 pence on Thursday, it’s lowest since May 7.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar rebounded after falling to a near 2-week low earlier in the day as Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe reiterated that any increase in the country's official cash rates was still some time away as wage growth and consumer prices remained subdued. The Aussie trades 0.05 percent up at 0.7571, having hit a low of 0.7576; it’s lowest since Jun. 1. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at -5.90 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7539 (May 28 Low), a break below targets 0.7522 (May 23 Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7603 (10-DMA), a break above could take it near 0.7682 (Apr 23 High).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar steadied above the 0.7000 handle after declining to an over 1-week low earlier, as investors remained focused on the U.S. central bank policy meeting. The Kiwi trades 0.1 percent up at 0.7013, having touched a high of 0.7060 on Wednesday, its highest level since Apr. 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at 142.63 (Highly Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.7089, a break above could take it near 0.7120. On the downside, support is seen at 0.6985 (May 5 Low), a break below could drag it below 0.6962.



Equities Recap

Asian shares tumbled as investors focus shifted from the historic U.S.-North Korea summit in Singapore to the Federal Reserve policy decision later in the day for clues on future rate hikes.

MSCI's broadest of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slumped 0.5 percent.

Tokyo's Nikkei rose 0.4 percent to 22,982.65 points, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index eased 0.5 percent to 6,021.70 points.

Shanghai composite index fell 0.6 percent to 3,061.69 points, while CSI300 index was trading 0.7 percent down at 3,800.04 points.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was trading 0.6 percent lower at 30,925.43 points. Taiwan shares added 0.3 percent to 11,173.21 points.



Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices rallied, despite rising supplies in the United States and expectations that voluntary output cuts led by producer cartel OPEC could be loosened. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.3 percent up at $75.63 per barrel by 0441 GMT, having hit a high of $77.58 on Friday, its highest since June 1. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.05 percent up at $66.01 a barrel, after rising as high as $66.32 on Monday, its highest since June 1.

Gold prices declined as investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy meeting outcome which could give cues on future rate hikes. Spot gold was trading 0.1 percent down at $1,294.87 per ounce at 0443 GMT, having hit a high of $1,303.09 on Thursday, its highest price level since May 31. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were 0.1 percent lower at $1,298.80 per ounce.









DAPATKAN INFO TERKINI DAILY MARKET NEWS SETIAP HARI DI FIREWOODFX

http://www.firewoodfx.com/category/forex-market-news/





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  #203  
Old 18-06-2018, 07:58 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Japanese yen trades marginally higher despite lower than expected trade balance data, Asian markets in red, gold slips below $1,280 mark -
Monday June 18, 2018







Market Roundup

British PM May's Brexit plans set for defeat, teeing up Wednesday showdown.

UK economy to grow at slowest pace since 2009 – BCC.

Japan May Exports YY, 8.1%, forecast 7.5%, last 7.8%.

Japan May Imports YY, 14.0%, forecast 8.2%, last 5.9%.

Japan May Trade Balance Total Yen, -578.3 bln, forecast -235.0 bln, last 626.0 bln, revised 624.6 bln.

South Korea, U.S. to announce suspension of major military drills this week.

Democrats, activists rally against Trump's family separation policy.

Speculators boost bearish bets on U.S. dollar – CFTC.

U.S. April net capital inflow $138.7 bln.



Economic Data Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy April Trade Balance EU, last 0.698 bln.

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy April Global Trade Balance, last 4.531 bln.



Key Events Ahead

(0700 ET/1100 GMT) Riksbank general council meeting – Stockholm.

(0900 ET/1300 GMT) Fed's Dudley participates in “Panel One: Finance, Culture and Society” – New York City.

(1245 ET/1645 GMT) BOC's Lynn Patterson speaks at an event – Toronto.

(1300 ET/1700 GMT) Fed's Raphael Bostic speaks on economic outlook and monetary policy – Savannah, Georgia.

(1500 ET/1900 GMT) ECB's Mario Draghi speaks at ECB Forum on Central Banking – Sintra, Portugal.

(1600 ET/2000 GMT) Incoming Fed New York President John Williams’s closing remarks at event – New York City.

N/A OMFIF convenes panel discussion to analyze role of ECB and future of euro area – London.

N/A Discussion with ECB's Jurgen Stark and Jose Manuel Gonzalez-Paramo, former members – London.

N/A John Williams begins tenure as president of Federal Reserve Bank of New York.



FX Beat

USD: The dollar index versus a basket of six major currencies crept up 0.1 percent to 94.862. The index was close to 95.131, a peak scaled on Friday, thanks to the dollar soaring more than 1 percent last week after the U.S. Federal Reserve gave a hawkish signal on interest rates while the European Central Bank struck a dovish tone.

EUR/USD: The euro fell 0.15 percent to $1.1592, extending losses after sliding 1.3 percent the previous week after the ECB signalled it will keep interest rates at record lows well into next year. A consistent close below $1.1539 will drag the parity down towards key supports around $1.1390 and $1.1185 levels respectively. Alternatively, reversal from key support will drag the parity higher towards key resistances around $1.1724, $1.1852, $1.1938 and $1.1996 marks respectively.

USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades marginally higher in early Asia after Japan’s trade balance data. It made intraday high at 110.73 and low at 110.30 levels. A sustained close above 111.03 is required to take the parity higher towards key resistance around 112.96 marks. Alternatively, a daily close below 110.64 will drag the parity down towards key supports around 109.24, 108.72, 107.90, 106.71 and 105.32 marks respectively.

GBP/USD: The Sterling held near seven-month lows on Friday as strong U.S. data and a hawkish Federal Reserve prompted investors to buy the greenback, while the Bank of England is expected to strike a cautious note at a review next week after some weak data. The pound edged up to $1.3290, still near to seven-month lows of $1.3205 touched late last month. Against the euro, sterling dropped 0.2 percent to 87.43 pence but remained above the 88-pence range it had traded at before the euro's selloff on Thursday. Focus shifts to the Bank of England's meeting next week and Prime Minister Theresa May's ongoing efforts to convince her colleagues about her plans for Brexit. A sustained close below $1.3249 requires for dragging the parity down towards key support around $1.3024 mark. On the other side, key resistances are seen at $1.3387 and $1.3490 levels respectively.

AUD/USD:
The Aussie falls gradually against U.S. dollar and hits fresh 1-month low at $0.7425 mark. Pair made intraday high at $0.7452 and low at $0.7425 mark. Intraday bias remains neutral till the time pair holds key resistance at $0.7460 marks. Immediate support was seen at $0.7372 mark.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar trades marginally higher against U.S. dollar and currently trading around $0.6948 mark. Pair made intraday high at $0.6953 and low at $0.6920 levels. A sustained close above $0.6940 is required to take the parity higher towards $0.7050 mark. Alternatively current downside movement will take the parity down towards key supports around $0.6851 levels.




Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices slumped on Monday after China threatened duties on American crude imports in an escalating trade dispute with Washington. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures touched their lowest level since April, falling to $63.59 per barrel before edging back to $63.83 a barrel by 0426 GMT. That was still down $1.23, or 1.9 percent, from their last settlement.

Gold prices inched higher on Monday after falling to a 5-1/2-month low in the previous session, as a trade dispute between the world's two largest economies triggered safe-haven buying, but a strong dollar put a cap on the upside. Spot gold edged up 0.1 percent to $1,279.70 per ounce by 0255 GMT. The yellow metal touched its weakest since late December at $1,275.01 an ounce on Friday. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were up 0.3 percent at $1,***.10 per ounce.








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  #204  
Old 21-06-2018, 08:40 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Kiwi hits 6-month low on soft Q1 GDP, dollar index at 11-month peak as U.S. Treasury yields rebound, investors eye BoE policy decision – Thursday, June 21st, 2018







Market Roundup

China warns Washington's trade actions will hurt U.S. workers, farmers

Iran may agree increase in OPEC oil output – minister

Euro zone to decide on Greek debt relief as bailout exit nears

U.S. identifies N.Korea missile test site it says Kim committed to destroy

Trump backs down on separating immigrant children, legal problems remain

BOJ's Funo calls for strong easing to hit 2 pct inflation as prices weak

New Zealand Q1 GDP Production QQ, 0.5%, f'cast 0.5%, last 0.6%

New Zealand Q1 GDP-Annual-Avg, Prod-Basis, 2.7%, f'cast 2.8%, last 2.9%, rvsd 2.8%.



Economic Data Ahead

(0245 ET/0645 GMT) France Jun Business Climate Mfg, f'cast 108, last 109

(0700 ET/1100 GMT) Great Britain Jun BoE Bank Rate, f'cast 0.50%, last 0.50%

(0700 ET/1100 GMT) Great Britain Jun BoE MPC Vote Unchanged, f'cast 7, last 7

(0700 ET/1100 GMT) Great Britain Jun BoE MPC Vote Hike, f'cast 2, last 2

(1000 ET/1400 GMT) EZ Jun Consumer Confidence Flash, f'cast 0.0, last 0.20



Key Events Ahead

(0315 ET/0715 GMT) Deutsche Bundesbank's Joachim Wuermeling speaks on “Financial markets in the name of monetary policy normalization” – Stuttgart

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Swiss National Bank Monetary policy assessment with news conference – Bern

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Norway Central Bank announces Executive Board's interest rate decision and publication of Monetary Policy – Oslo

(0545 ET/0945 GMT) Deutsche Bundesbank's Jens Weidmann speaks at Bank of France and Bundesbank joint conference – Paris

(0700 ET/1100 GMT) BoE announces rate decision and publishes minutes of meeting – London

(0845 ET/1245 GMT) ECB's Daniele Nouy speaks at De Nederlandsche Bank conference – Amsterdam

(0900 ET/1300 GMT) Fed's Neel Kashkari participates in African Development Center event – Minneapolis

(1100 ET/1500 GMT) Finance ministers of EZ countries meet to decide possible new debt relief measures for Greece – Luxembourg City

(1115 ET/1515 GMT) Panel discussion with Deutsche Claudia Buch at Bank of France and Bundesbank joint conference – Paris

(1230 ET/1630 GMT) Polish central bank governor Adam Glapinski speaks on economic situaion in Poland – Brussels

(1400 ET/1800 GMT) British Finance Minister Philip Hammond and BoE's Mark Carney make their annual Mansion House speeches – London

(1615 ET/2015GMT) BoE's Mark Carney speaks at Lord Mayor’s Bankers and Merchants Dinner – London

N/A ECB's Mario Draghi and Benoit Coeure participate in Eurogroup meeting – Luxembourg City



FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index rallied to a fresh 11-month peak as the U.S. Treasury yields rebounded from recent lows. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.2 percent up at 95.32, having touched a high of 95.33, its highest since July 2017. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 132.51 (Highly Bullish) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro declined, extending losses for the third straight session, as the European Central Bank Governing Council member Nowotny’s comments continued to weigh negatively on the euro. Moreover, divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Federal Reserve and global central banks dented investor sentiment. The European currency traded 0.1 percent down at 1.1561, having touched a low of 1.1531 on Tuesday, its lowest since May 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 39.75 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the U.S. unemployment benefits claims, amid a lack of economic data from the Eurozone docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1600, a break above targets 1.1644 (June 19 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1510 (May 29 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1434 (July 2017 Low).

USD/JPY: The dollar rallied to a 6-day peak against the Japanese yen as the long-term U.S Treasury yields bounced back from 3-week lows after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that the U.S. central bank should continue with a gradual pace of rate hikes The major was trading 0.3 percent up at 110.73, having hit a low of 109.55 on Tuesday, its lowest since June 11. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -59.65 (Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. unemployment benefits claims. Immediate resistance is located at 110.90 (June 15 High), a break above targets 111.08 (June 18 High). On the downside, support is seen at 109.96 (June 12 Low), a break below could take it lower 109.55 (June 19 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling slumped to a 7-month low ahead of the Bank of England's policy-setting meeting later in the day, where it is expected to stand pat on policy. However, investors will scrutinize the policy statement for clues on the possibility of rate increases at the next policy meetings in August and December. The major traded 0.2 percent down at 1.3144, having hit a low of 1.3143 earlier; it’s lowest since Nov 15. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -54.24 (Bearish) 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the BoE interest rate decision, ahead of U.S. fundamental drivers. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3224 (5-DMA), a break above could take it near 1.3307 (10-DMA). On the downside, support is seen at 1.3130 (Nov.15 Low), a break below targets 1.3110 (Oct. 25 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.1 percent down at 87.91 pence, having hit a low of 88.01 pence the day before, it’s lowest since June 14.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar eased, extending losses for the sixth straight session, as the Reserve Bank of Australia's Governor Philip Lowe sounded cautious on the outlook for a rise in wages at a central bank event in Portugal on Wednesday. The Aussie trades 0.2 percent down at 0.7354, having hit a low of 0.7347 on Tuesday; it’s lowest since June 2017. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at -42.97 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7347 (June 19 Low), a break below targets 0.7328 (May 28, 2017, Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7427 (June 19 High), a break above could take it near 0.7480.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar tumbled to a 6-month low after NZ government data confirmed the economy was slowing and inflation remained too low for comfort, raising doubts for a rise in interest rates for months to come. New Zealand's economy grew a modest 0.5 percent in the first quarter, while annual growth edged back to 2.7 percent. The Kiwi trades 0.4 percent down at 0.6832, having touched a low of 0.6827, its lowest level since Dec. 8. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at -131.75 (Highly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6880, a break above could take it near 0.6916 (June 20 High). On the downside, support is seen at 0.6818 (Oct. 27 Low), a break below could drag it below 0.6780 (Nov. 17 Low).




Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices declined amid robust U.S. fuel demand seen in record refinery runs, strong travel data and a large drop in crude inventories. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.2 percent up at $74.30 per barrel by 0449 GMT, having hit a low of $72.44 Monday, its lowest since May 2. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.2 percent up at $65.47 a barrel, after falling as low as $63.62 on Monday, its lowest since April 10.

Gold prices slumped to a fresh 6-month low as the dollar hovered near an 11-month high against a basket of currencies, supported by a rise in U.S. yields. Spot gold was 0.2 percent down at $1,265.74 an ounce by 0455 GMT, having touched a low of $1,264.74 earlier, its lowest since Dec. 22. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were down 0.3 percent at $1,271.30 per ounce.








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  #205  
Old 22-06-2018, 08:33 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Antipodeans steady amid U.S.-China trade war concerns, dollar index off 11-month peak on weak economic data, oil held gains ahead of OPEC meeting – Friday, June 22nd, 2018







Market Roundup

Chinese media says US has 'delusions', urges focus on domestic development

Japan May CPI, Core Nationwide YY, 0.70%, f'cast 0.70%, last 0.70%

IMF welcomes Greek debt deal but has reservations on long-term debt sustainability

OPEC strives for deal to raise oil output as Iran resists

Malaysia appoints ex-central banker Nor Shamsiah as new governor

U.S.-based money market funds post $51 bln net outflows for week -Lipper

U.S. muni bond funds post $646 mln in inflows-Lipper

Foreign CB US debt holdings +$2.150 bln to $3.403 tln June 20 week

Treasuries +$3.350 bln to $3.041 tln, agencies +$1.452 bln to $289.576 bln



Economic Data Ahead

(0245 ET/0645 GMT) France Q1 GDP QQ Final, f'cast 0.20%, last 0.20%

(0300 ET/0700 GMT) France Jun Markit Mfg Flash PMI, f'cast 53.9, last 54.4

(0300 ET/0700 GMT) France Jun Markit Serv Flash PMI, f'cast 54.3, last 54.3

(0300 ET/0700 GMT) France Jun Markit Comp Flash PMI, f'cast 54.2, last 54.2

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Germany Jun Markit Mfg Flash PMI, f'cast 56.2, last 56.9

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Germany Jun Markit Serv Flash PMI, f'cast 52.1, last 52.1

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Germany Jun Markit Comp Flash PMI, f'cast 53.4, last 53.4

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Jun Markit Mfg Flash PMI, f'cast 55.0, last 55.5

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Jun Markit Serv Flash PMI, f'cast 53.7, last 53.8

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Jun Markit Comp Flash PMI, f'cast 53.9, last 54.1



Key Events Ahead

(0300 ET/0700 GMT) South Africa's finance minister Nhlanhla Nene holds journalist briefing – London

(0900 ET/1300 GMT) Fed's Beverly Hirtle speaks at “The Effects of Post-Crisis Banking Reforms” – New York

(1250 ET/1650 GMT) Former Fed governor Daniel Tarullo speaks at a conference – New York City

N/A ECB's Luis de Guindos participates at ECOFIN meeting – Luxembourg City

N/A Economic and Financial Affairs Council meets – Luxembourg



FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index retreated from 11-month peak as weaker Philly Fed manufacturing index dragged down U.S. Treasury yields. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.2 percent down at 94.86, having touched a high of 95.53 on Thursday, its highest since July 2017. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at -76.43 (Slightly Bearish) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro held gains above the 1.1600 handle after falling to an 11-month low in the previous session on increasing worries over monetary policy divergence between the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. The European currency traded 0.1 percent down at 1.1612, having touched a low of 1.1508 on Thursday, its lowest since May 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 55.13 (Bullish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the prelim Eurozone Markit manufacturing PMI and service PMI, and U.S. flash Markit manufacturing, service and composite figures. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1664 (10-DMA), a break above targets 1.1700. On the downside, support is seen at 1.1510 (May 29 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1434 (July 2017 Low).

USD/JPY: The dollar steadied after falling to a 3-day low earlier in the day on data showing the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's manufacturing index declined sharply to a 1-1/2 year low, raising concern about the U.S. economy. The major was trading 0.05 percent up at 110.01, having hit a low of 109.55 on Tuesday, its lowest since June 11. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -14.00 (Neutral) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. flash Markit manufacturing, service and composite figures. Immediate resistance is located at 110.90 (June 15 High), a break above targets 111.08 (June 18 High). On the downside, support is seen at 109.55 (June 19 Low), a break below could take it lower 109.19 (June 8 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling rose, extending previous session gains after the Bank of England kept interest rates on hold, with chief economist Andy Haldane unexpectedly joining those calling for rates to rise to 0.75 percent, heightening expectations that it could tighten policy at its next meeting in August. The major traded 0.3 percent up at 1.3270, having hit a low of 1.3102 the day before; it’s lowest since Nov 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at 88.56 (Highly Bearish) 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the BoE Quarterly Bulletin, ahead of U.S. fundamental drivers. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3313 (21-DMA), a break above could take it near 1.3389. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3220 (5-DMA), a break below targets 1.3150 (June 19 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.1 percent down at 87.61 pence, having hit a low of 88.01 pence on Wednesday, it’s lowest since June 14.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar rose ahead of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries meeting on output policy, with top consumers such as the United States, China, and India calling for the oil prices to cool down and support the world economy by producing more crude. The Aussie trades 0.3 percent up at 0.7396, having hit a low of 0.7345 on Thursday; it’s lowest since June 2017. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at -15.44 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7345 (June 21 Low), a break below targets 0.7328 (May 28, 2017, Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7427 (June 19 High), a break above could take it near 0.7480.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar surged above the 0.6900 handle as a soft reading on regional manufacturing in the United States weighed down the U.S. dollar. The Kiwi trades 0.6 percent up at 0.6903, having touched a low of 0.6825, its lowest level since Dec. 8. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at 26.50 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6943, a break above could take it near 0.6986 (21-DMA). On the downside, support is seen at 0.6818 (Oct. 27 Low), a break below could drag it below 0.6780 (Nov. 17 Low).



Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices rallied by more than 1 percent in early trade, boosted by uncertainty over whether OPEC would manage to agree a production increase at a meeting in Vienna later in the day. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 1.2 percent up at $73.93 per barrel by 0416 GMT, having hit a low of $72.44 Monday, its lowest since May 2. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.9 percent up at $66.38 a barrel, after falling as low as $63.62 on Monday, its lowest since April 10.

Gold prices edged up after hitting a 6-month low in the previous session, as the dollar index fell from an 11-month peak against a basket of major currencies on profits taking. Spot gold was 0.1percent higher at $1,268.24 an ounce by 0057 GMT. It touched its lowest since Dec. 19 at $1,260.84 on Thursday. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 for August delivery were nearly unchanged at $1,270.20 per ounce.








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  #206  
Old 25-06-2018, 08:09 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Antipodeans slump amid escalating trade tensions, dollar index rebounds from 1-week lows on divergence in monetary policies, Asian shares trade in red – Monday, June 25th, 2018







Market Roundup

U.S. plans limits on Chinese investment in U.S. technology firms

As trade war looms, China cuts some banks' reserve requirements to boost lending

BOJ should continue powerful easing, guard against side effects – June meeting summary

Support for Japan PM Abe rises, boosting shot at historic tenure

U.S. to give North Korea post-summit timeline with 'asks' soon -official

Merkel presses over migration as “European solution” fails

UK ministers take aim at business over Brexit warnings

Half of EU business leaders cut UK investment over Brexit – survey

Turkey's Erdogan wins presidential election, opposition yet to concede

Trump says illegal immigrants should be deported with 'no judges or court cases'

U.S.-based money market funds post $51 bln net outflows for week -Lipper

Speculators turn net long dollars for 1st time since July 2017-CFTC, Reuters



Economic Data Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Jun Ifo Business Climate New, 101.7 f'cast; 102.2 last

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Jun Current Conditions New, 105.6 f'cast; 106.0 last

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Jun Ifo Expectations New, 98.0 f'cast; 98.5 last



Key Events Ahead

(0800 ET/1200 GMT) Introductory remarks by ECB VP Luis de Guindos at the Bond Market Contact Group organized by the ECB in Frankfurt

(0815 ET/1215 GMT) Bank of Japan board member Makoto Sakurai speaks at a International Economic Seminar in Italy in Rome




FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index rebounded after falling to a 1-week low in the previous session, as higher U.S. yields underlined the divergence in monetary policies between the United States and Europe. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.1 percent up at 94.60, having touched a high of 95.53 on Thursday, its highest since July 2017. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at -97.46 (Slightly Bearish) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro declined after rising to a 1-week high in the prior session after U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday threatened to impose a 20 percent tariff on all cars imported from the European Union. The European currency traded 0.1 percent down at 1.1640, having touched a low of 1.1508 on Thursday, its lowest since May 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at -14.98 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the German IFO- expectation, current assessment and business climate, ahead of U.S. new home sales change figures. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1732 (June 5 Low), a break above targets 1.1750 (May 24 Low). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1608 (5-DMA), a break below could drag it till 1.1531 (June19 Low).

USD/JPY: The dollar slumped to a 2-week low after the Wall Street Journal reported the U.S. Treasury Department is crafting rules that would block firms with at least 25 percent Chinese ownership from buying U.S. companies involved in industrially significant technology. The major was trading 0.5 percent down at 109.47, having hit a low of 109.37 earlier, its lowest since June 11. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at 127.46 (Highly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. new home sales change figures. Immediate resistance is located at 110.90 (June 15 High), a break above targets 111.08 (June 18 High). On the downside, support is seen at 109.19 (June 8 Low), a break below could take it lower 108.95 (May 24 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling steadied after rising to an over 1-week peak in the prior session, after a Bank of England meeting revived expectations of a rate hike this year. However, fears of a breakdown in Brexit talks next week limited gains. The major traded 0.05 percent down at 1.3249, having hit a high of 1.3314 the session before; it’s highest since June 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -13.60 (Neutral) 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the U.S. fundamental drivers, amid a lack of economic data from the UK docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3307 (21-DMA), a break above could take it near 1.3389. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3216 (5-DMA), a break below targets 1.3150 (June 19 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.05 percent down at 87.85 pence, having hit a low of 88.05 pence on Friday, it’s lowest since June 14.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar eased after rising to a 1-week peak in the prior session amid escalating trade tensions between the United States and major economies. Moreover, easing oil prices following major oil producers’ agreement on a modest increase in production further intensified the selling pressure around the major. The Aussie trades 0.3 percent down at 0.7420, having hit a high of 0.7443 on Friday; it’s highest since June 18. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at 35.25 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7345 (June 21 Low), a break below targets 0.7328 (May 28, 2017, Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7466 (10-DMA), a break above could take it near 0.7500.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar plunged on reports the White House was considering new curbs on Chinese investment in the United States. The Kiwi trades 0.2 percent down at 0.6896, having touched a low of 0.6825 on Thursday, its lowest level since Dec. 8. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at -17.42 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6944 (10-DMA), a break above could take it near 0.6967 (21-DMA). On the downside, support is seen at 0.6818 (Oct. 27 Low), a break below could drag it below 0.6780 (Nov. 17 Low).



Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices plunged over 1.5 percent as traders factored in an expected output increase that was agreed at the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries meeting in Vienna on Friday. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 1.9 percent up at $74.14 per barrel by 0533 GMT, having hit a low of $72.44 last week, its lowest since May 2. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 1.4 percent down at $68.31 a barrel, after falling as low as $63.62, its lowest since April 10.

Gold prices declined, having eased to 6-month lows last week as the dollar steadied after U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday threatened to impose a 20 percent tariff on all cars imported from the European Union. Spot gold fell 0.3 percent at $1,265.62 per ounce by 0543 GMT, having touched a low of $1,261.18 on Thursday, its lowest since Dec. 19, 2017. U.S. gold futures for August delivery settled up 20 cents, 0.02 percent, at $1,270.70 per ounce.








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  #207  
Old 26-06-2018, 07:47 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Antipodeans ease amid mixed signals on China investment curbs, dollar index rebounds from 2-week lows as U.S. Treasury yields rise, Asian shares tumble – Tuesday, June 26th, 2018







Market Roundup

Trump officials send mixed signals on China investment curbs, markets sink

Rebound in South powers U.S. new home sales, dampens prices

S&P raises Greece's rating after debt deal with Euro Zone

New Zealand central bank to focus on making policy messages 'accessible' to public

Erdogan wins sweeping new powers after Turkish election victory



Economic Data Ahead

No major economic data releases



Key Events Ahead

(0530 ET/0930 GMT) Member of the Monetary Policy Committee Ian McCafferty Speech at the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum

(0800 ET/1200 GMT) Introductory remarks by ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos at the Bond Market Contact Group (BMCG) organized by the ECB in Frankfurt



FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index steadied after falling to a 2-week low earlier in the session after White House trade and manufacturing adviser Peter Navarro stated that any investment restrictions proposed by the Trump administration would target China and not other countries. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.05 percent up at 94.30, having touched a low of 94.17 earlier, its lowest since June 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at -145.93 (Highly Bearish) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro rallied to a near 2-week peak amid improved regional economic growth data and new assurances by Italian politicians that their nation would not leave the Eurozone. However, regional political instability in Germany over migration dispute limited the upside. The European currency traded 0.1 percent up at 1.1714, having touched a high of 1.1719 earlier, its highest since June 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 123.16 (Highly Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the Richmond Fed Manufacturing index and FOMC Bostic and Kaplan speech. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1732 (June 5 Low), a break above targets 1.1750 (May 24 Low). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1674 (21-DMA), a break below could drag it till 1.1624 (5-DMA).

USD/JPY: The dollar slumped to a fresh 2-week low against the Japanese yen, as worries about an intensifying war between the United States and its trade partners continued to dampen risk appetite. The major was trading 0.1 percent down at 109.59, having hit a low of 109.36 earlier, its lowest since June 11. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -1.91 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the Richmond Fed Manufacturing index and FOMC Bostic and Kaplan speech. Immediate resistance is located at 110.90 (June 15 High), a break above targets 111.08 (June 18 High). On the downside, support is seen at 109.19 (June 8 Low), a break below could take it lower 108.95 (May 24 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling surged, extending gains for the fourth straight session, as markets now see more than a 50 percent likelihood of the Bank of England hiking interest rates in August by 25 basis points and a 90 percent chance of a rate hike happening by the end of 2018. The major traded 0.05 percent up at 1.3283, having hit a high of 1.3314 on Friday; it’s highest since June 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at 36.97 (Neutral) 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on BoE MPC member Haskel and McCafferty's speech, ahead of the U.S. fundamental drivers. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3307 (21-DMA), a break above could take it near 1.3389. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3223 (5-DMA), a break below targets 1.3150 (June 19 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.05 percent down at 88.13 pence, having hit a low of 88.19 pence earlier, it’s lowest since June 14.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar steadied as President Donald Trump denied plans to restrict Chinese investment in U.S. technology, while administration officials offered conflicting signals on exactly what was planned. The Aussie trades 0.05 percent up at 0.7415, having hit a high of 0.7443 on Friday; it’s highest since June 18. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at 28.40 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7345 (June 21 Low), a break below targets 0.7328 (May 28, 2017, Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7446 (10-DMA), a break above could take it near 0.7500.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar declined, extending losses from the previous session, ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's policy review on Thursday, where it is widely expected to reaffirm its steady bias. The Kiwi trades 0.2 percent down at 0.6886, having touched a low of 0.6825 on Thursday, its lowest level since Dec. 8. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at 52.93 (Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6931 (10-DMA), a break above could take it near 0.6966 (21-DMA). On the downside, support is seen at 0.6818 (Oct. 27 Low), a break below could drag it below 0.6780 (Nov. 17 Low).



Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices declined, extending previous session losses as plans by producer cartel OPEC to increase output continued to hurt investor sentiment. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.05 percent down at $74.80 per barrel by 0514 GMT, having hit a low of $72.44 last week, its lowest since May 2. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.1 percent up at $68.27 a barrel, after falling as low as $63.62 last week, its lowest since April 10.

Gold prices edged lower, weighed by prospects of rising U.S. interest rates, however, escalating trade tensions between the United States and other major economies limited downside. Spot gold was 0.2 percent down at $1,263.18 an ounce by 0520 GMT, having touched a low of $1,261.18 on Thursday, its lowest since Dec. 19, 2017. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were 0.2 percent lower at $1,266 per ounce.











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  #208  
Old 28-06-2018, 08:40 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Kiwi at 2-year low on RBNZ's cautious stance, dollar index hits 1-week peak on U.S. stance on China investment, Asian shares tumble to 9-month trough – Thursday, June 28th, 2018







Market Roundup

Trump to use U.S. security review panel to curb China tech investments

Deal struck for Putin-Trump summit, Helsinki possible venue

Bavarian CSU leader upbeat on deal with Merkel over migration

Bank of England hits back at EU over banks' Brexit readiness

Australia forced to shelve S48 billion company tax cut as senators scuttle bills

Australia job vacancies jump 5.7 pct in May qtr

New Zealand Jun Cash Rate, 1.75%, f'cast 1.75%, last 1.75%

Japan May Reatil Sales YY, 0.6%, f'cast 0.9%, last 1.6%

Japan w/e Foreign Bond Investment, 27.4 bln, last 1,490.4 bln

Japan w/e Foreign JP Stock, -483.5 bln, -40.8 bln last



Economic Data Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy Q1 ISTAT Public Deficit/GDP, Q1, last 1.6%

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) Italy Jun CPI (EU Norm) Prelim YY, f'cast 1.4%, last 1%

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) Italy Jun Consumer Pirce Prelim YY, f'cast 1.3%, last 1%

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Jun Business Climate, f'cast 1.40, last 1.45

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Jun Econmic Sentiment, f'cast 112, last 112.5

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Jun Industrial Sentiment, f'cast 6.4, last 6.8

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Jun Services Sentiment, f'cast 14.2, last 14.3

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Jun Consumer Confid. Final, f'cast -0.5, last 0.2

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Jun Cons Infl Expec, last 17.5

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Selling Price Expec, last 9.3

(0800 ET/1200 GMT) Germany Jun CPI Prelim YY, f'cast 2.1%, last 2.2%

(0800 ET/1200 GMT) Germany Jun HICP Prelim YY, f'cast 2.1%, last 2.2%



Key Events Ahead

N/A ECB council meeting in Frankfurt

(0600 ET/1000 GMT) BoE's David Bailey speaks in London

(0930 ET/1330 GMT) BoE's Andy Haldane speaks in London

(1045 ET/1445 GMT) Fed's James Bullard speaks in Missouri

(1200 ET/1600 GMT) Fed's Bostic speaks in Atlanta



FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index rallied to a 1-week peak amid conflicting signals from Washington on a proposal to restrict Chinese investment. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.2 percent up at 95.45, having touched a high of 95.47 earlier in the session, its highest since June 21. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 131.86 (Highly Bullish) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro steadied after falling to a 6-day low in the previous session on increasing concerns over political complications in Germany. German Chancellor Angela Merkel's coalition government faces potential collapse as the Christian Social Union (CSU) threatened to defy her and impose border controls unless their demands to reduce Germany's immigration burden are met. The European currency traded 0.1 percent up at 1.1559, having touched a high of 1.1719 on Tuesday, its highest since June 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at -76.58 (Slightly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the Eurozone economic sentiment indicator, ahead of U.S. unemployment benefit claims, gross domestic product, personal consumption expenditure prices and Fed Bullard and Bostic's speech. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1632 (5 DMA), a break above targets 1.1676 (21-DMA). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1598 (June 22 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1530 (June 19 Low).

USD/JPY: The dollar rose, extending gains for the third straight session, after U.S. President Donald Trump said that he will use a strengthened national security review process to avoid Chinese acquisitions of sensitive American technologies, a softer approach than imposing China-specific investment restrictions. The major was trading 0.05 percent up at 110.28, having hit a low of 109.36 on Tuesday, its lowest since June 11. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -10.31 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the U.S. unemployment benefit claims, gross domestic product, personal consumption expenditure prices and Fed Bullard and Bostic's speech. Immediate resistance is located at 110.90 (June 15 High), a break above targets 111.08 (June 18 High). On the downside, support is seen at 109.55 (June 19 Low), a break below could take it lower 109.19 (June 8 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling tumbled to a fresh 7-month low against the dollar, as imminent Brexit talks and doubts the Bank of England will hike interest rates at all this year weighed heavily on the British pound. The major traded 0.1 percent down at 1.3093, having hit a low of 1.3070 earlier; it’s lowest since Nov. 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -78.29 (Slightly Bearish) 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on BoE MPC member Haldane's speech, ahead of the U.S. fundamental drivers. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3200, a break above could take it near 1.3296 (21-DMA). On the downside, support is seen at 1.3061 (Nov. 13 Low), a break below targets 1.3107 (Oct. 5 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.2 percent down at 88.28 pence, having hit a low of 88.37 pence earlier in the day, it’s lowest since June 7.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar steadied after falling to a 17-month low in the previous session, as growing concerns about declining asset prices in China clouded the outlook for global growth. The Aussie trades 0.1 percent up at 0.7346, having hit a low of 0.7323 on Wednesday; it’s lowest since Jan 2017. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at 5.26 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7300, a break below targets 0.7280. On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7405 (10-DMA), a break above could take it near 0.7422 (June 25 High).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar plunged to 2-year lows after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand held the official cash rate at 1.75 percent for the 11th straight review as it struggled to boost inflation to 2 percent. The central bank warned of looming risks to the outlook such as slowing growth and global trade frictions, indicating it will maintain record-low rates in short term. The Kiwi trades 0.3 percent down at 0.6777, having touched a low of 0.6768 earlier, its lowest level since June 2016. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at -70.32 (Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6810 (Session High), a break above could take it near 0.6863 (5-DMA). On the downside, support is seen at 0.6750, a break below could drag it below 0.6730.



Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices steadied after rising to multi-week highs in the previous session, despite high output from Russia, the United States and Saudi Arabia. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.2 percent up at $77.51 per barrel by 0459 GMT, having hit a high of $78.13 the day before, its highest since May 31. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.3 percent up at $72.50 a barrel, after rising as high as $73.03 on Wednesday, its highest since Nov. 2014.

Gold prices plunged, hovering towards a near 6-month low hit in the previous session, as the dollar was steady against a basket of currencies amid developments in the U.S.-China trade war. Spot gold was trading 0.05 percent lower at $1,251.73 an ounce by 0506 GMT, having touched a low of $1,251.90 on Wednesday, its lowest since mid-December. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were down 0.2 percent at $1,254.20 an ounce.











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  #209  
Old 29-06-2018, 11:05 PM
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Europe Roundup:
Sterling off 8-month lows on better-than-expected Q1 GDP, euro rallies as EZ inflation hits 2 pct, European shares surge –
Friday, June 29th, 2018







Market Roundup

EUR/USD 0.73%, USD/JPY 0.16%, GBP/USD 0.55%, EUR/GBP 0.18%

DXY -0.64%, DAX 1.29%, FTSE 0.92%, Brent 1.76%, Gold 0.28%

Great Britain Q1 GDP QQ, 0.2%, 0.1% forecast, 0.1% previous

Great Britain Q1 GDP YY, 1.2%, 1.2% forecast, 1.2% previous

Great Britain Q1 Business Invest QQ, -0.4%, -0.2% previous

Great Britain Q1 Business Invest YY, 2.0%, 2.0% previous

Great Britain Q1 Current Account GBP, -17.72 bln, -18.00 bln forecast, -18.44 bln previous

EZ Jun HICP Flash YY, 2.0%, 2.0% forecast, 1.9% previous

EZ Jun HICP ex F&E Flash YY, 1.2%, 1.3% forecast, 1.3% previous

Germany May Import Prices YY, 3.2%, 2.7% forecast, 0.6% previous

Germany May Retail Sales YY Real, -1.6%, 1.8% forecast, 1.2% previous

Germany Jun Unemployment Chg SA, -15k, -8k forecast, -11k previous

Germany Jun Unemployment Rate SA, 5.2%, 5.2% forecast, 5.2% previous

France May Consumer Spending MM, 0.9%, 0.8% forecast, -1.5% previous

France Jun CPI (EU Norm) Prelim YY, 2.4%, 2.4% forecast, 2.3% previous

France May Producer Prices MM, 0.6%, -0.6% previous

ECB mulls small “Twist” to keep borrowing costs low -sources

Challenges remain to Greece's long-term debt sustainability -IMF



Economic Data Ahead

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) The U.S. Commerce Department releases personal income figures for May, which is expected to rise 0.4 percent, having gained 0.3 percent in the previous month.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) The U.S. Commerce Department releases the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index for the month of May. The index is expected to increase 0.2 percent after posting a similar gain in April, while core PCE is likely to have increased 1.9 percent in the 12 months through May after rising 1.8 percent in the previous month.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) The U.S. Personal spending is likely to rise 0.4 percent in the month of May, after surging 0.6 percent in April.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) The Statistics Canada releases its Raw Material Price Index for the month of May. The index posted a rise of 0.7 percent in April.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) Canadian producer prices are expected to have edged up 0.9 percent in May after rising 0.5 percent in the prior month.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) Canada's gross domestic product is likely to have flattened in April, after posting a growth of 0.3 percent in March.

(0945 ET/1345 GMT) Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index is likely to show that business conditions eased to 60.0 in June from 62.7 last month.

(1000 ET/1400 GMT) The University of Michigan is expected to report that the consumer sentiment index eased to 99.2 in June from a final reading of 99.3 in May.

(1300 ET/1700 GMT) Baker Hughes reports U.S. Oil Rig Count.



Key Events Ahead

N/A ECB's Draghi participates in European Council meeting in Brussels



FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index declined amid the ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.6 percent down at 94.79, having touched a high of 95.53 in the prior session, its highest since July 2017. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 85.25 (Slightly Bullish) by 1100 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro rose, extending previous session gains after Eurozone inflation hit 2 percent for the first time in more than a year in June due to surging energy and food costs. The economy's inflation rose to 2.0 percent from 1.9 percent in May, in line with market expectations. The European currency traded 0.7 percent up at 1.1647, having touched a high of 1.1719 on Tuesday, its highest since June 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 70.88 (Slightly Bullish) by 1100 GMT. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1700, a break above targets 1.1744 (June 4 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1530 (June 19 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1500.

USD/JPY: The dollar rallied to a 2-week peak against the Japanese yen, after data showed Japan's industrial output declined far less than expected last month and the jobless rate hit its lowest in over 25 years. The major was trading 0.1 percent up at 110.63, having hit a high of 110.78 earlier, its highest since June 15. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -44.03 (Neutral) by 1100 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the U.S. personal consumption expenditures, personal income, and spending figures. Immediate resistance is located at 110.90 (June 15 High), a break above targets 111.08 (June 18 High). On the downside, support is seen at 110.20 (10-DMA), a break below could take it lower 109.68 (June 27 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling rebounded from 8-month lows as Britain's services sector gathered steam in April and first-quarter GDP growth was revised up, raising hopes the Bank of England would hike interest rates in August. The British economy grew 0.2 percent in the January to March quarter, against a preliminary number of 0.1 percent, while services output rose by 0.3 percent on the month in April, its fastest growth since November 2017. The major traded 0.6 percent up at 1.3149, having hit a low of 1.3049 the day before; it’s lowest since Nov. 2. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -46.14 (Neutral) 1100 GMT. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3204 (10-DMA), a break above could take it near 1.3250. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3049 (June 29 Low), a break below targets 1.3039 (Oct. 3 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.2 percent down at 88.65 pence, having hit a low of 88.90 pence earlier in the day, it’s lowest since March 12.

USD/CHF: The Swiss franc gained, rebounding from multi-week lows hit in the prior session, as the greenback slumped amid growing U.S.-China trade war tensions. The major trades 0.5 percent down at 0.9927, having touched a high of 0.9992 on Thursday, it’s highest since May 21. FxWirePro's Hourly Swiss Franc Strength Index stood at -8.12 (Neutral) by 1100 GMT. On the higher side, near-term resistance is around 1.0018 (May 18 High) and any break above will take the pair to next level till 1.0056. The near-term support is around 0.9906 and any close below that level will drag it till 0.9885.















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  #210  
Old 02-07-2018, 10:10 PM
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Europe Roundup:
Sterling eases despite upbeat manufacturing PMI, euro slumps amid concerns over Merkel's coalition government, European shares trade in red – Monday, July 2nd, 2018







Market Roundup

EUR/USD -0.33%, USD/JPY 0.09%, GBP/USD -0.36%, EUR/GBP 0.03%

DXY 0.16%, DAX -0.32%, FTSE -0.96%, Brent -0.74%, Gold -0.26%

Largest U.S. business group attacks Trump on tariffs

British PM May gets new customs idea as party bickers over Brexit

EZ Jun Markit Mfg Final PMI, 54.9, 55.0 forecast, 55.0 previous

Great Britain Jun Markit/CIPS Mfg PMI, 54.4, 54.0 forecast, 54.4 previous

Germany Jun Markit/BME Mfg PMI, 55.9, 55.9 forecast, 55.9 previous

France Jun Markit Mfg PMI, 52.5, 53.1 forecast, 53.1 previous

EZ May Unemployment Rate, 8.4%, 8.5% forecast, 8.5% previous

Debt relief deal will help smooth Greek market return -central bank



Economic Data Ahead

(0945 ET/1345 GMT) Financial firm Markit releases U.S. Manufacturing PMI for the month of June. The index is likely to show a final reading of 55.0 after posting a gain of 54.6 in the previous month.

(1000 ET/1400 GMT) The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) is expected to report that U.S. manufacturing Purchasing Managers' index eased to 58.3 in June from 58.7 in May.

(1000 ET/1400 GMT) The Commerce Department is likely to report that U.S. construction spending increased 0.5 percent in May after rising 1.8 percent in the previous month.



Key Events Ahead

(0930 ET/1330 GMT) ECB Chief Economist Peter Praet participates in a panel at the Informal Seminar on the occasion of Erkki Likkanen's farewell organised by the Bank of Finland in Helsinki



FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index rebounded ahead of a July 6 deadline when Washington is due to impose US$34 billion of tariffs on Chinese exports. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.4 percent up at 94.84, having touched a high of 95.53 on Thursday, its highest since July 2017. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at -38.72 (Neutral) by 1100 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro declined after data showed Euro zone factory growth slowed to an 18-month low in June, amid growing concerns about trade barriers and their impact on overall economic activity. Moreover, reports that German Interior Minister Horst Seehofer had rejected a migration deal Merkel negotiated at an EU summit dented the bid tone around the major. The European currency traded 0.3 percent down at 1.1642, having touched a high of 1.1719 on Tuesday, its highest since June 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 66.46 (Bullish) by 1100 GMT. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1700, a break above targets 1.1744 (June 4 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1530 (5-DMA), a break below could drag it till 1.1500.

USD/JPY: The dollar retreated from an over 1-week peak touched earlier in the day, as rising concerns over an escalation in the trade dispute between the United States and its partners dented demand. The major was trading 0.1 percent up at 110.75, having hit a high of 111.06 earlier, its highest since May 22. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -60.36 (Bearish) by 1100 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the U.S. manufacturing PMI from both Markit and ISM. Immediate resistance is located at 111.39 (May 21 High), a break above targets 111.08 (June 18 High). On the downside, support is seen at 111.69 (Jan 12 Low), a break below could take it lower 109.68 (June 27 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling eased, reversing some of its previous session gains, despite British factories keeping up a steady pace of growth in June but worries about global trade and Brexit dented confidence about the outlook to a 7-month low. The economy's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 54.4 from a downwardly revised 54.3 in May, surpassing the consensus of 54.0. The major traded 0.4 percent down at 1.3154, having hit a low of 1.3049 on Thursday; it’s lowest since Nov. 2. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at 75.24 (Bullish) 1100 GMT. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3250, a break above could take it near 1.3314 (June 22 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.3146 (June 20 Low), a break below targets 1.3120 (June 21 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.05 percent down at 88.43 pence, having hit a low of 88.90 pence on Friday, it’s lowest since March 12.

USD/CHF: The Swiss franc slumped as the greenback rebounded on growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will hike rates at least once and possibly twice by the end of the year. The major trades 0.3 percent up at 0.9933, having touched a high of 0.9992 on Thursday, it’s highest since May 21. FxWirePro's Hourly Swiss Franc Strength Index stood at 85.21 (Slightly Bullish) by 1100 GMT. On the higher side, near-term resistance is around 0.9977 (June 19 High) and any break above will take the pair to next level till 1.0018 (May 18 High). The near-term support is around 0.9880 and any close below that level will drag it till 0.9855.



Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices declined after rising to multi-week high in the previous session as supplies from Saudi Arabia and Russia increased. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.6 percent down at $78.64 per barrel by 1032 GMT, having hit a high of $79.53 on Friday, its highest since May 31. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.6 percent down at $73.85 a barrel, after rising as high as $74.43 on Friday, its highest since Nov. 2014.

Gold prices slumped as the dollar strengthened after last week's U.S. inflation data supported the Federal Reserve's outlook for future interest rate hikes. Spot gold was trading 0.4 percent lower at $1,248.40 an ounce as of 1034 GMT, having touched a low of $1,245.65 on Friday, its lowest since December 13. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were down 0.2 percent at $1,252.50 an ounce.














DAPATKAN INFO TERKINI DAILY MARKET NEWS SETIAP HARI DI FIREWOODFX

http://www.firewoodfx.com/category/forex-market-news/





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