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  #21  
Old 13-05-2018, 12:13 PM
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Default Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 14 - 18, 2018)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair trended downwards last week, testing the support line at 1.1850. Several attempts to breach the support line to the downside were not successful, and as such price bounced upwards by 100 pips from the line. The upwards bounce is seen as an opportunity to buy at slightly higher prices because the outlook on the market remains bearish, and price may continue going further downwards, eventually breaching the adamant support line at 1.1850 to the downside.


USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
In the context of an uptrend this trading instrument went sideways last week, ranging between the resistance level at 1.0000 (previously a support level) and the resistance level at 1.0050. Eventually, price closed below the resistance level at 1.0000 on Friday, and it may even test the support levels at 0.9950 and 0.9900. However, price would rise again, possibly reaching the resistance level at 1.0000 and breaching it to the upside.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The current bearish trend started in April 17, and what happened last week was just a pause the bearish trend. The pause was a consolidation throughout last week; thus a breakout is imminent, which would most probably favor bears. The accumulation territory at 1.3500, which had been tested before, would soon be breached to the downside, as price targets other accumulation territories at 1.3450 and 1.3400.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
The bias on the market is bullish – and the trend is still in a precarious position. Price did not go in a strong directional movement last week. It only oscillated between the demand level at 109.00 and the supply level at 110.00. A breach above the supply level at 110.00 is anticipated this week, although bulls may not be able to enjoy that victory for a long time, because there is a possibility of a fall back towards the demand level at 109.00.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
In a bearish outlook, price trended downwards on Monday and Tuesday, and then started to make a rally effort. It managed to close above the demand zone at 130.50 on Friday, in the context of a downtrend. Unless the Euro gets strengthened considerably, there might be a reversal in favor of bears, which would enable the market to target the demand zones at 130.50, 130.00 and 129.50.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
This cross was characterized by a zigzag movement throughout last week, although that did not affect the current Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. This week, price is supposed to continue moving further and further south (as soon as the current short-term trendlessness ends). The demand zone at 147.50 was tested last week, before price rallied a bit further. The demand zones at 147.50, 147.00 and 146.50 may be tested this week

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Of course, most traders enjoy the process of building up profits, the satisfaction of adept trading, or simply outwitting the crowd. But it is not just the outcome that is important, it is also the process.” – Andy Jordan


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  #22  
Old 20-05-2018, 02:10 PM
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Default Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 21 - 25, 2018)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair trended downwards last week, testing the support line at 1.1750. The market went essentially sideways on Thursday and Friday, and may go below the support line at 1.1750, to target another support line at 1.1700. About 250 pips have been lost this month, and it just seems to be the beginning. The outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for this week (EUR would be seen going downwards versus major currencies).


USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
This trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. Price has been consolidating in the past two weeks; whereas that is not strong enough to render the recent bullish bias useless. There is going to be a breakout at last, but the movement to the upside will no longer be a serious thing. While USDCHF is supposed to go upwards, there would be a challenge to the upwards move, because CHF is expected to gain serious stamina this week (major currencies will drop versus it). This means that the coming strength in CHF may hinder USDCHF from getting seriously pushed further northwards.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The Cable is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. The bearish movement that started last month, has continued this month (although price has been ranging in the short-term). There remains a valid Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, despite the fact that it has been ranging in the last two weeks. A breakout is imminent, which would most probably favor bears. The accumulation territories at 1.3450, 1.3400 and 1.3350 could be reached thus week.
.
USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
The bullish movement that was witnessed last week has saved the ongoing bullish bias in the market. The bullish movement started in March 2018 and it has held out till now. The supply level at 111.00 was tested before price closed below it on Friday. This week, there is a high probability that the market would continue going upwards, reaching the supply levels at 111.00, 111.50 and 112.00.


EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The bias on this cross is bearish, but it is a precarious bias. What the market did last week was a zigzag movement without a clear directional propensity. Price moved upwards, downwards, and upwards again, within the supply zone at 131.50 and the demand zone at 129.50. A 200 –pip movement to the upside or to the downside would easily change the bias to bullish or bearish, and that is exactly what is expected this week.


GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
The market is bullish, at least, in the very short-term. The current bullishness (which is not very strong), started on May 8, and it has been dragged on in spite of constant interferences from bears. Price succeeded in moving further northwards last week, almost reaching the supply zone at 150.00, before closing below it on May 18. This week, too much weakness in GBP could frustrate a clean bullish movement. Nevertheless, the supply zone at 150.00, might once again, be breached.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“According to Kermit the Frog, it’s not easy being green. For skillful traders, it’s not hard to be green. May your trades be green.” – attributed


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  #23  
Old 27-05-2018, 01:23 PM
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Default Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 28 – June 1, 2018)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
There is a very strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern on EURUSD. Price went southwards by 100 pips last week (it has gone south by almost 750 pips since April 19). The line at 1.1650 has been tested and breached to the downside, slightly. This week, further bearish movement is a possibility, and the support lines at 1.1600 and 1.1550 can be reached as well. However, there is also a possibility of a bullish reversal before the end of the week.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
This trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, and bearish in the short-term. Last week, price turned southwards, testing the level at 0.9900 several times and eventually closing below it on Friday. One reason why the market became bearish in the short-term is the strength in CHF. CHF still strong, as evident on major CHF pairs. The market can thus reach the support levels at 0.9850 and 0.9800, thereby erasing the long-term bullish outlook on the market.


GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair went southwards last week, closing below distribution territory at 1.3300 on Friday. Price shed almost 170 pips last week, and it has shed 1,050 pips since April 17 (an ideal market condition for trend followers). The GBP remains very week, and it is not advisable to seek long trades here, except to go short on rallies. The market is expected to lose at least, additional 150 pips this week, reaching the accumulation territory at 1.3150.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
The trend is also bearish in the short-term, but bullish in the long-term. From the high of last week, price went downwards by 230 pips, to test the demand level at 109.00, closing above it on May 25. Further bearish movement is expected this week, and this may affect the long-term bullish bias, as the demand levels at 109.00, 108.50 and 108.00 are aimed, for there is a considerable stamina in Yen.


EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The downwards movement that happened last week has put an end to the recent sideways movement that was seen in the market. From May 9 to 22, the market consolidated in the context of a downtrend, and at last, there was a breakout in favor of sellers. This has really put more emphasis on the Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, coupled with the weakness in EUR. This week, the demand zones at 127.00, 126.50 and 126.00 may be reached.


GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The bias on GBPJPY is bearish and it should continue to be bearish. GBP is weak and JPY is strong. Besides, there was a huge drop of over 450 pips last week, slashing more and more demand zones as bears rejoiced. Since April 17, more than 800 pips have been shed, and this just seems to be the beginning, as stronger bearishness is anticipated. At least, another 200 pips would be shed this week.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“…Trading appeals to so many of us. It generates a sense of freedom – a notion that we can do it from anywhere at anytime. The engagement with the market is at our own timing and on our own terms. We can in essence wander in and out whenever we want. Our movement is not at the behest of someone else and it not set according to their timetable. The nomad in us is fulfilled as a trader.” – Chris Tate

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  #24  
Old 03-06-2018, 08:24 PM
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Default Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 4 - 8, 2018)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The pair trended downwards in the first few days of last week, and then started a bullish correction on May 30. Price went upwards by 200 pips in the context of a downtrend, but the movement was not significant enough to override the extant bearishness in the market (except the resistance line at 1.1800 is exceeded). The outlook for EUR pair is strongly bearish for this week and for this month, and so bulls should be careful.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bearish
USDCHF has been moving downwards in the past few weeks; which was an unusual thing, considering the fact that it usually goes in a negative correlation with EURUSD. However, the situation will change this week, as USD is expected to begin gathering stamina at some point (before the end of the week). This would aid a strong bullish reversal in USDCHF and put more bearish pressure on EURUSD.


GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
Cable has been trending southwards for almost two months: Therefore the shallow rally that was seen on Friday is a totally insignificant thing. Price has dropped about 1,100 pips since April 17, and that is just the beginning. The outlook on GBP pairs is mostly bearish for June, and as a result, directional long trades may not make much sense this month. GBPUSD tends to go into positive correlation with EURUSD, and the accumulation territories at 1.3300, 1.3250 and 1.3200 would be reached before the end of the week.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
This trading instrument is bullish in the long –term, but bearish in the short-term. Since March 26, a long-term bullish journey started, but short-term bearish effort was also started on May 21. The short-term bearishness is still in place and it is supposed to override the long-term bullish bias on the market. This is because there is a very strong bearish outlook on JPY pairs this month, and so, USDJPY would eventually become like other JPY pairs, which are already bearish.


EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in this market, as a result of a vivid weakness that began in the market in April 16. Price has shed roughly 700 pips since then. Last week, the bearish journey continued as price rammed into the demand zone at 125.00, and then bounced upwards (300 pips), without being able to form a confirmed bullish bias. This week, a bearish reversal is expected, because of the weakness in EUR and owing to the bearish outlook on JPY pairs.


GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
In the first half of last week, this cross dropped and then started rising in the second half of the week. However, the major bias remains bearish and the rally that was seen was an opportunity to sell short dearly. Since GBP is weak and JPY is expected to gain further stamina, a bearish movement of at least 500 pips is expected in the month of June, and that may start before the end of this week.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“You have to study the markets and learn how to take out profits from the market action… You can build up your trading skills through practice and experience and feel good knowing that you have mastered a skill that few have developed.” – Joe Ross

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  #25  
Old 06-06-2018, 06:32 PM
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Default Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (June 2018)

GOLD (XAUUSD)
Dominant Bias: Bearish
Gold is bearish in the long-term, and neutral in the short-term. Apart from the noticeable downwards movement in the first half of May, price has not assumed any directional movement so far this week. A rise in volatility will be witnessed in this June, which would most probably favor bears, to corroborate the long-term bearish outlook on the market. The support levels at 1280.00, 1270.00 and 1260.00 may be breached to the downside. However, the expected southwards breakout may not happen without any challenge from bulls.


SILVER (XAGUSD)
Dominant Bias: Neutral
Silver has been mostly neutral this year. The ongoing consolidation started in January and it may continue in June (although this does not rule out any possibility of a maniacal breakout in the month). This year, price has generally oscillated between the supply level at 17.600 and the demand level at 16.000. As long as price stays within those demand and supply levels, the neutrality of the market will be in place. The more the neutrality continues, the stronger and the more protracted a breakout will be when it does occur. This is not a good market for swing and position traders, but market neutral strategies are ideal right now.


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  #26  
Old 10-06-2018, 04:25 PM
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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 11 - 15, 2018)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in a very short-term. Since May 30, price has been making a measure of bullish attempt (save the correction that was witnessed on Friday). A movement above the resistance lines at 1.1850, 1.1900 and 1.1950 will bring about a long-term bullish outlook on the market. On the other hand, a movement below the support lines at 1.1650, 1.1600 and 1.1550, will cancel the short-term bullishness in the market, while strengthening the major bearish outlook.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market has been caught in a slow and gradual bearish movement since May 10 (over 230 pips). It is possible that the market would continue going further downwards (albeit slowly), especially when EURUSD gains a lot of stamina. The support levels at 0.9800 (which has previously been tested), 0.9750 and 0.9700, would be reached soon, and that might bring about a strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market.


GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
Although there is currently a bearish trend in the market, price made faint effort to go upwards last week. It is much more likely that the faint bullish effort will eventually translate into a significant rally this week, because the outlook on GBP pairs is bullish. The distribution territories at 1.3450, 1.3500 and 1.3550 would be reached. This will eventually invalidate the bearish bias on the market, as everything turns bullish.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
This trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. In the last two weeks, price has generally oscillated between the demand level at 108.50 and the supply level at 110.50. As long as price continues to oscillate between those demand and supply levels, the short-term bias would be neutral. A break above the supply level at 110.50 will result in confirmation of the existing long-term bullish outlook while a break below the demand level at 108.50 will result in a clean bearish outlook.


EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
The bias on the EURJPY has just turned bullish. Since May 30, price has rallied by 500 pips, reaching the supply zone at 130.00, before the current bearish correction (which happened on June 8). A test of the demand zone at 127.50 will threaten the new bullish bias on the market; while a movement towards the supply zones at 129.50, 130.00 and 130.50 will strengthen it. There will be a measure of volatility in the market this week.


GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
Although a bearish correction was experienced on Thursday and Friday, the bias on the market remains bullish. A sideways movement throughout this week will bring about a neutral bias on the market. A drop of 150 – 200 pips will result in a bearish signal, while a movement towards the supply zones at 147.50, 148.00 and 148.50, will save the ongoing bullish outlook on the market. It is much more likely that bulls would be able to hold out this week.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Once you know how to trade, no-one and nothing can sweep aside your skill. It’s something you can do no matter how old you are. As long as you have a dream in your heart that you yearn for, the sun never has to set on your identity as a ‘trader’.” – Louise Bedford

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  #27  
Old 18-06-2018, 02:06 PM
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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 18 - 22, 2018)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market began the current strong bearish movement in April. This month (especially from early June), price consolidated till June 14, before the large pullback we are currently witnessing. The large pullback has put more emphasis on the dominant bearish bias; thus price is expected to go further southwards this week, reaching the support lines at 1.1600 (an easy target), 1.1550 and 1.1500.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair is bearish in the long-term, but bullish in the short-term. It is somewhat weird that both USDCHF and EURUSD have been bearish for some time, but the situation seems about to change. On June 14, there was a sudden bullish breakout, which was strong enough to bring about a short-term bullish signal. There is a possibility that price could keep on going northwards this week, reaching the resistance levels at 1.0000 (an important level), 1.0050 and 1.0100. However, an exceptionally strong buying pressure would be needed for the resistance level at 1.0100 to be reached.


GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
In the first week of June, Cable consolidated in the context of a downtrend. The same thing happened last week…. before the bearish movement that occurred on Thursday, which points to bears’ supremacy. The weakness in the market is currently visible and since the outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this month, further southwards movement is expected, which would enable price to reach the accumulation territories at 1.3250, 1.3200 and 1.3150.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
USDJPY managed to go upwards last week, and it was able to close above the demand level at 110.50 on Friday. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which points to the possibility of price going towards the supply levels at 111.00, 111.50 and 112.00. Nonetheless, the further northwards the market goes, the greater the potential of a strong pullback, which can happen before the end of the week.


EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The pullback that occurred on April 14 points to the fact that bears are still a force to reckon with. The major bias on the market is bearish, and since EUR is currently weak, price is supposed to continue moving downwards. The outlook on JPY is bearish for this week – another factor that may contribute to continuous weakness in the market. The next targets are the demand zones at 128.00, 127.50 and 127.00.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
This trading instrument simply moved in a range last week. Price ranged between the supply zone at 148.00 and the demand zone at 146.00. This week, either the supply zone or the demand zone would be breached forcefully as price assumes a strong, directional movement. The most likely direction is bearish (which may invalidate the extant bullish bias), and that may enable price to reach the demand zones at 146.50, 146.00 and 145.50.


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  #28  
Old 24-06-2018, 04:52 PM
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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 25 - 29, 2018)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market swung upwards and downwards last week, without a directional movement. Nevertheless, the major bias remains bearish, and the outlook on EUR pairs is mostly bearish for this week. It is possible that price will test the support lines at 1.1600, 1.1550 (which were previously tested last week). Price may also reach the support line at 1.1500, and possibly breach it to the downside. But that will require a heavy selling pressure.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bearish
Price went sideways from Monday to Wednesday, and fell on Thursday and Friday, corroborating the outgoing bearish outlook on the market. Both USDCHF and EURUSD are currently bearish: But protracted bearish pressure on the latter may help a bullish signal to be generated on the former. There are support levels at 0.9850 and 0.9800. There are also resistance levels at 0.9900 and 0.9950.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
In the context of a downtrend, price went further southwards, shedding 160 pips and almost testing the accumulation territory at 1.3100. There was an upwards bounce on Thursday, but that would be an opportunity to sell short at higher prices (unless the distribution territory at 1.3400 is breached to the upside). GBP pairs (as well as other major pairs) will experience high volatility this week, and also in the first week of July.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Neutral
The long-term bias is bullish, but the short-term bias is bearish. Throughout last week, price meandered between the demand level at 109.50 and the supply level at 111.00. Should price continue to move within the confines of the aforementioned demand and supply levels, the short-term bias would remain neutral. Once the confines are breached, a directional movement will resume, and it could most likely favor bulls.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
Just like its USDJPY counterpart, this cross mostly ranged last week (though the recent bias on the market is bearish). For the ranging movement to end, it is either price will breach the demand zone at 127.00 to the downside (going further downwards), or price would need to breach the supply zone at 129.00 to the upside (going further upwards). One of these conditions must be met for the bearish bias to be supported or invalidated; otherwise the trend would become neutral.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
This cross underwent a heavy selling pressure on July 18 and 19, but bulls pushed price upwards on July 20 and 21. There remains a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and it would be invalidated only when price moves upwards by 500 pips from here. On the other hand, price could continue falling towards the demand zones at 145.00, 144.50 and 144.00. Price could even go further downwards than that.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Trading is a process-oriented endeavor for those who are serious about becoming and remaining a consistently successful trader.” – Dr. Woody Johnson


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  #29  
Old 03-07-2018, 10:01 AM
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Default Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (July 2 – 6, 2018)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market is bearish, but price was not able to go downwards seriously last week. Thus the market is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. A strong opposition was particularly met at the support line at 1.1550, after which price bounced off the support line. However, that would turn out to be an opportunity to go short at a better price, for the outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for this week. One major task for bears is to break the support line at 1.1550 to the downside, as price goes further downwards.


USDCHF
Dominant bias: Neutral
The bias on this pair has become neutral, especially in the face of the fact that USDCHF was characterized by trendlessness throughout June. Last week, price went upwards, to move above the resistance level at 0.9950, and then moved below that resistance (now close to the support level at 0.9900). As long as EURUSD remains weak, there will not be a significant bearish movement on USDCHF pair this week (although the pair will eventually give way to bearish pressures before the end of July).

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market went smoothly downwards, testing the accumulation territory at 1.3050 (over 200 pips of bearish movement). After testing the accumulation territory at 1.3050, price rallied seriously and closed above the accumulation territory at 1.3200. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week, so a movement towards the accumulation territories at 1.3200, 1.3150 and 1.3100 are highly anticipated. There could even be a movement below the accumulation territory at 1.3100.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
A Bullish Confirmation Pattern is present on the USDJPY. In the short-term, price rallied from the demand level at 109.50, to close above the demand level at 110.50 on Friday. This week, there could be further upwards movement towards the supply levels at 111.00 and 111.50. However, price is not expected to go further upwards than that because the outlook on certain JPY pairs is bearish for the month of July.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
This cross is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. In short-term, a movement above the demand zone at 129.00 has resulted in a ‘buy” signal, which could enable price to reach the supply zones at 129.50 and 130.000, However, any movement to the upside would be limited, partly because of the ongoing weakness in EUR, which means price could also be retraced lower before the end of this week.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
Owing to the present Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the chart, the bias on this trading instrument is bearish, but the strong bullish surge that was witnessed on Friday has posed a threat to the bearish outlook. On Thursday and Friday, price gained 250 pips, after testing the demand zone at 144.00. Should price gain another 200 pips this week, things will turn completely bullish. On the other hand, a downward movement from here would save the bearish bias.


This forecast is concluded with the quote below:


“There are opportunities… It’s a matter of seeking them out, in the biggest playground of all... the markets.” – Louise Bedford

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  #30  
Old 06-07-2018, 10:02 PM
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Default Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (July 2018)

GOLD (XAUUSD)
Dominant Bias: Bearish
Gold moved sideways in the beginning of June 2018, until June 14. Since then, price has come down by roughly 6000 pips. July has been bullish so far (in the short-term), but the upwards bounce in the market has paled into insignificance when compared to the overall bearish bias on the market. A movement above the supply level at 1280.00 will threaten the bullish bias; while a movement above the supply zone at 1300.00 will invalidate it. All this upwards movement, however, requires extremely strong bullish momentum to be effective. Therefore, in the absence of any strong bullish momentum, Gold may continue its downwards movement.


SILVER (XAGUSD)
Dominant Bias: Bearish
There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on Silver, which is not as strong as the Bearish Confirmation Pattern on Gold. Following a few months of boring consolidation (February – May, 2018), price rallied in early June, reaching the distribution territory at 17.2000. From there, price moved downwards gradually until the end of June. In the short-term, Silver started July on a bearish note, and then rallied, and then movies sideways. The sideways movement is still in place, but it will soon be ended as price resumes its bearish journey, reaching the accumulation territories at 15.7000, 15.5000, and 15.3000. On the other hand, a strong bullish momentum will challenge this bearish outlook.


Source: www.tallinex.com
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