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  #411  
Old 18-02-2019, 06:13 PM
TifiaFX TifiaFX is offline
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EUR/USD: Support and resistance levels
18/02/2019

At the beginning of the European trading session, the EUR / USD pair is trading above the support level of 1.1300, attempting to break the short-term resistance level of 1.1320 (ЕМА200 on the 1-hour chart).
The indicators OsMA and Stochastic on the 1-hour, 4-hour, daily charts turned to long positions.
In case of a breakdown of the resistance level and continued growth, EUR / USD will be able to reach the next important resistance level of 1.1375 (ЕМА200 on the 4-hour chart, ЕМА50 on the daily chart).
The maximum correctional growth is possible to the key resistance levels of 1.1480 (EMA144 on the daily chart), 1.1530 (EMA200 on the daily chart). Above the resistance level of 1.1530, growth is unlikely against the background of strong fundamental factors indicating the slowdown of the European economy and the acceleration of the American economy.
The dollar remains the preferred currency. Downward dynamics prevail. Short positions are preferred.
In case of resumption of decline and after the breakdown of the support level of 1.1285 (Fibonacci 23.6% of the correction to the fall from the level of 1.3900, which began in May 2014), the reduction targets will be the support levels of 1.1270 (December lows), 1.1215 (November and year lows), 1.1200, 1.1000 (bottom line of the downward channel on the weekly chart).
Today is a public holiday on the occasion of Presidentís Day The exchanges will be closed, trading volumes will be small.
Probably, until the end of today's trading day, the EUR / USD pair will remain trading near the current levels and the support level of 1.1300. Breakdown of the resistance level of 1.1320 today is unlikely due to the lack of important news drivers and low trading volumes.
*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics

Support Levels: 1.1300, 1.1285, 1.1215, 1.1120, 1.1000
Resistance Levels: 1.1320, 1.1375, 1.1480, 1.1530

Trading recommendations

Sell Stop 1.1290. Stop Loss 1.1335. Take-Profit 1.1215, 1.1120, 1.1000
Buy Stop 1.1335. Stop Loss 1.1280. Take-Profit 1.1375, 1.1480, 1.1530
*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com
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  #412  
Old Yesterday, 08:31 PM
TifiaFX TifiaFX is offline
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GBP/USD: Brexit theme is in the foreground
02/19/2019
Current dynamics

The data presented on Tuesday by the National Bureau of Statistics of the United Kingdom, which generally coincided with the forecast, indicated an increase in the average wage in the country from October to December (excluding bonuses by 3.4%) and a decrease in the number of unemployed.
Unemployment remained at 4%, the lowest in four decades, the number of unemployed in the UK from October to December declined by 14,000 compared with the previous three-month period. The growth rate of wages far exceeds inflation, which in January was 1.8%.
However, the Bank of England is unlikely to take any action regarding monetary policy, given the uncertainty about the prospects for Brexit.
The economic performance of the UK is still in the background, as market participants expect clarification of prospects for Brexit.
The British pound almost did not respond to strong data on the UK labor market, indicating an increase in average wages and a decrease in the number of unemployed.
Now market participants will expect the results of the voting next week in the British Parliament regarding Brexit. If British Prime Minister Theresa May is defeated again, the pound will again be under pressure. If there is no agreement between the EU and the UK regarding trade relations after March 29 (the UKís exit date), then a "hard" Brexit, as Bank of England CEO Mark Carney stated earlier, will be a disaster for the British economy. This may not happen in reality; however, a significant blow will be dealt to the pound in the foreign exchange market.
*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics

For now, the GBP / USD remains within the narrow range between the support level of 1.2900 (ЕМА200 on the 1-hour chart, ЕМА200 on the 4-hour chart, ЕМА50 on the daily chart) and the resistance level of 1.2960 (ЕМА144 on the daily chart).
So far, more likely resumption of decline. In the event of a breakdown of the support level of 1.2700, the targets for the decline will be the support levels of 1.2600 (lows of June 2017), 1.2485, 1.2365.
Support Levels: 1.2900, 1.2800, 1.2785, 1.2700, 1.2670, 1.2600, 1.2485, 1.2365, 1.2110, 1.2000
Resistance Levels: 1.2960, 1.3020, 1.3065, 1.3125, 1.3210

Trading scenarios

Sell Stop 1.2890. Stop Loss 1.2970. Take-Profit 1.2800, 1.2785, 1.2700, 1.2670, 1.2600, 1.2485, 1.2365
Buy Stop 1.2970. Stop Loss 1.2890. Take-Profit 1.3020, 1.3065, 1.3125, 1.3210

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*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com
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