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  #181  
Old 04-05-2018, 09:55 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Aussie gains as RBA sets steady outlook, dollar index firm below 4-month peak ahead of U.S. nonfarm payroll, Asian shares trade in red –
Friday, May 4th, 2018






Market Roundup

U.S. Treasury Sec says having good trade talks in China

U.S. jobs growth expected to regain momentum in April

Giuliani wants limits for Trump interview in Russia probe

China Apr Caixin Services PMI, 52.9, last 52.3

Australia's central bank sees faster growth, slow inflation – a recipe for steady rates

UK PM May set to avoid London wipeout in local elections

UK's NIESR cuts 2018 growth forecast after weak Q1

U.S.-based govt-Treasury funds post 6th week of inflows -Lipper

U.S. muni bond funds post $344.7 mln in outflows-Lipper

Foreign CB US debt holdings -$4,235 bln to $3.407 tln May 2 week

Treasuries -$3,682 bln to $3.055 tln, agencies $971 mln to $275.165 bln



Economic Data Ahead

(0245 ET/0645 GMT) France Mar Budget Balance, last -28.48 bln

(0245 ET/0645 GMT) France Mar Trade Balance, EUR, SA, f'cast -4.90 bln, last -5.20 bln

(0350 ET/0750 GMT) France Apr Markit Comp PMI, f'cast 56.9, last 56.9

(0355 ET/0755 GMT) Germany Apr Markit Services PMI, f'cast 54.1, last 54.1

(0355 ET/0755 GMT) Germany Apr Markit Comp Final PMI, f'cast 55.3, last 55.3

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Apr Markit Serv Final PMI, f'cast 55.0, last 55.0

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Apr Markit Comp Final PMI, f'cast 55.2, last 55.2

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Mar Retail Sales MM, f'cast 0.5%, last 0.1%

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Mar Retail Sales YY, f'cast 1.9%, last 1.8%




Key Events Ahead

(0345 ET/0745 GMT) ECB's Constancio speaks in Valletta, Malta

(0900 ET/1300 GMT) Bundesbank President Weidmann speaks in Frankfurt

(1245 ET/1645 GMT) Fed's Dudley speaks in New York

(1500 ET/1900 GMT) Fed's Williams speaks at Stanford, California

(1730 ET/2130 GMT) Fed's Quarles speaks at Stanford, California




FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index held firm below a 4-month peak on expectations the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates, while investors focus shifted on the U.S. jobs data for further clues on the strength of the economy. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.05 percent up at 92.45, having touched a high of 92.83 on Wednesday, its highest since Dec. 28. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 70.89 (Slightly Bullish) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro extended its rebound from 4-month lows despite data showing Eurozone inflation slowed to 1.2 percent year-on-year in April, down from 1.3 percent in March, raising doubts about the European Central Bank's plan for withdrawing its monetary stimulus. The European currency traded 0.1 percent up at 1.1992, having touched a low of 1.1937 the day before, its lowest since Jan. 11. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 2.96 (Neutral) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on Eurozone retail sales figures and Markit Services and Services PMI, ahead of the U.S. unemployment rate and crucial Nonfarm payroll report. Immediate resistance is located at 1.2027 (5-DMA), a break above targets 1.2084 (May 1 Low). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1915 (Jan. 9 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1880.

USD/JPY: The dollar declined, extending losses for the third straight session as investors await the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to show 192,000 jobs were added in April versus previous of 103,000. The major was trading 0.1 percent down at 109.08, having hit a high of 110.03 on Wednesday, its highest since Feb. 5. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at 78.37 (Slightly Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the U.S. unemployment rate and highly influential nonfarm payroll report. Immediate resistance is located at 109.53 (Apr. 27 High), a break above targets 110.48 (Feb. 2 High). On the downside, support is seen at 108.78 (Apr. 25 Low), a break below could take it lower 108.54 (Apr. 24 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling consolidated near 3-1/2 month lows touched in the prior session as series of weak economic data and political concerns reduced expectations of a Bank of England interest rate hike next week. The major traded 0.05 percent up at 1.3575, having hit a low of 1.3538 the day before, it’s lowest since Jan. 12. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -74.36 (Slightly Bearish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ focus will remain on the U.S. fundamental drivers, amid a lack of economic data from the UK docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3658 (5-DMA), a break above could take it near 1.3772. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3505 (Jan. 4 High), a break below targets 1.3458. Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.05 percent up at 88.29 pence, having hit a low of 88.40 pence on Thursday, it’s lowest since Mar. 15.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar rose to a 4-day peak after the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy statement reiterated that the economy would grow faster this year and next but doubts inflation will reach the mid-point of its target band until 2020, indicating the rates are set to stay at record lows for a while. The Aussie trades 0.2 percent up at 0.7544, having hit a low of 0.7472 on Tuesday; it’s lowest since June. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at 60.23 (Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7510, a break below targets 0.7457 (June. 6 Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7525 (Apr. 30 Low), a break above could take it near 0.7620 (Apr. 24 High).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar eased ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy meeting on May 10, where it is certain to keep rates at record lows, while predicting no hikes in the interest rate for months to come. The Kiwi trades 0.2 percent down at 0.7023, having touched a low of 0.6990 on Tuesday, its lowest level since Dec. 22. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at -17.00 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.7089 (Apr. 30 High), a break above could take it near 0.7157. On the downside, support is seen at 0.6970, a break below could drag it below 0.6940.



Equities Recap

Asian shares slumped, while the greenback held gains near a 4-month peak as investors turned their attention to the looming U.S. payrolls data for fresh catalysts.

MSCI's broadest of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan declined 0.3 percent.
Tokyo's Nikkei rose 0.2 percent to 22,191.18 points, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index surged 0.3 percent to 5,881.00 points and South Korea's KOSPI advanced 0.2 percent to 2,485.57 points.

Shanghai composite index rose 0.1 percent to 3,103.19 points, while CSI300 index was trading 0.1 percent up at 3,793.27 points.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was trading 0.5 percent lower at 30,158.01 points. Taiwan shares added 0.2 percent to 10,529.37 points.



Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices declined, reversing some of its previous session gains, amid concerns over the prospect of geopolitical risks from possible new U.S. sanctions against Iran. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.2 percent down at $73.57 per barrel by 0430 GMT, having hit a high of $75.58 on Monday, its highest since Nov. 2014. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.2 percent down at $68.36 a barrel, after rising as high as $69.53 in mid-April, its highest since Nov. 2014.

Gold prices edged up, extending gains for the third straight session, as investors awaited key U.S. jobs data due later in the day. Spot gold rose 0.1 percent at $1,313.25 per ounce at 0433 GMT, having eased to $1,301.70 on Tuesday, their lowest level since Dec 29. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were flat at $1,312.50 per ounce.













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  #182  
Old 07-05-2018, 08:47 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Aussie falls against major peers after mixed economic data, gold remains well supported above $1,310 mark, Asian markets noticeably up –
Monday, May 07, 2018






Market Roundup


Australian PM flags tax cuts, infrastructure spend in federal budget.

Australia April NAB Business Conditions, 21, last 14.

Australia April ANZ Internet & News Paper Job, -0.2%, last 0.0%.

U.S. oil rises above $70 for first time since Nov. 2014 on Venezuela, Iran worries.

China's trade imbalance with US a long-term problem, says Central Bank Governor – Caixin.

BOJ Policy Board March meeting minutes – Some say too early to debate exit.

For BoJ’s Kuroda, easing only grows harder – Nikkei.

Italy's 5-Star makes last-ditch overture to League for government.




Economic Data Ahead

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Euro zone May Sentix Index, forecast 21.1, last 19.6.




Key Events Ahead

(0825 ET/1225 GMT) Fed's Bostic speaks at Amelia Island, Florida.

(1130 ET/1530 GMT) ECB's Praet speaks in Geneva, Switzerland.

(1400 ET/1800 GMT) Fed's Harker speaks at Amelia Island, Florida.

(1400 ET/1800 GMT) Fed's Barkin speaks at Fairfax, Virginia.

(1530 ET/1930 GMT) Fed's Kaplan and Evans speak at Amelia Island, Florida.




FX Beat

USD: The dollar index, stood at 92.461, down 0.1 percent but still near Friday's high of 92.908, which was its firmest level since late December. The dollar index has risen for three straight weeks, maintaining its strength after Friday's mixed U.S. data.

EUR/USD: The euro changed hands at $1.1948, not far from Friday's four-month low of $1.1910. Intraday bias remains bearish till the time pair holds key resistance at $1.1992 mark. A consistent close below $1.1950 will drag the parity down towards key supports around $1.1745 levels. Alternatively, reversal from key support will take the parity higher towards key resistances around $1.2032, $1.2240, $1.2345 and $1.2482 marks respectively.

USD/JPY: The yen trades almost flat against U.S. dollar and stabilizes above 109.00 mark. It made intraday high at 109.21 and low at 108.75 levels. A sustained close above 109.05 is required to take the parity higher towards key resistances around 110.02 and 112.96 marks. Alternatively, a daily close below 109.05 will drag the parity down towards key supports around 108.54, 106.71 and 105.32 marks respectively. The yen was marginally higher in early Asia as BOJ released monetary policy meeting minutes.

GBP/USD: The Sterling was trading in narrow range against U.S. dollar. The pair was currently trading around $1.3542 marks. On the top side key resistance was seen at $1.3665 and support was seen at $1.3302 mark. A sustained close above $1.3572 requires for upside rally. Alternatively, current downside movement will take the parity down towards still support around $1.3185 mark.

AUD/USD: The Aussie dollar was down at $0.7512, after bouncing modestly from $0.7560 on Friday. Today Australia released various economic indicators. A break above $0.7580 would be needed to turn around the recent bearish trend. Intraday bias remains slightly bearish till the time pair holds key resistance at $0.7580 levels. Key support levels are seen at $0.7472 levels.

NZD/USD: The kiwi dollar was also struggling at $0.7015 against U.S. dollar. Support lies around $0.6985 and $0.6832 levels respectively with resistance at $0.7120. Intraday bias remains slightly bearish till the time pair holds key resistance at $0.7052 levels. Alternatively, current downside movement will take the parity down toward $0.6832 levels.











DAPATKAN INFO TERKINI DAILY MARKET NEWS SETIAP HARI DI FIREWOODFX

http://www.firewoodfx.com/category/forex-market-news/





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  #183  
Old 09-05-2018, 12:21 AM
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Asia Roundup:
Aussie depreciates as retail sales data misses expectations, Asian markets marginally up, gold hovers around $1,310 mark –
Tuesday, May 08, 2018






Market Roundup


China April Trade Balance USD, +28.78 bln, forecast +24.70 bln, last -4.98 bln.

China April Exports YY, +12.9%, forecast +6.3%, last -2.7%.

China April Imports YY, +21.5%, forecast +16.0%, last 14.4%.

Trump to unveil Iran decision Tuesday; Europeans move his way.

White House says China trade talks to resume in Washington next week.

Tax cuts, spending boost likely in budget as Australia eyes return to surplus.

Australia March Retail Sales MM, 0.0%, forecast 0.3%, previous 0.6%.

Australia Q1 Retail Trade, 0.2%, forecast 0.6%, previous 0.9%.

Japan March household spending -0.1% m/m, -0.7% y/y, economy likely slowed in Q1.

Japan and North Korea should talk, South Korea's Moon says –Yomiuri.

Japan to set new debt/GDP ratio fiscal reform goal – Yomiuri.




Economic Data Ahead

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) UK April Halifax House Prices MM, forecast -0.2%, last 1.5%.

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) UK April Halifax House Price 3M/YY, forecast 3.3%, last 2.7%.




Key Events Ahead

(0315 ET/0715 GMT) Fed's Powell speaks in Zurich, Switzerland.




FX Beat

USD: The dollar index against basket of six major currencies was 0.1 percent higher at 92.864 after reaching 92.974 overnight, its highest since Dec 28.

EUR/USD: The euro was effectively flat at $1.1920 after plumbing $1.1897 the previous day, its lowest in more than four months. Intraday bias remains slightly bearish till the time pair holds key resistance at $1.1988 mark. A consistent close below $1.1922 will drag the parity down towards key supports around $1.1745 levels. Alternatively, reversal from key support will take the parity higher towards key resistances around $1.1988, $1.2032, $1.2240, $1.2345 and $1.2482 marks respectively.

USD/JPY: The yen remains almost unchanged against U.S. dollar despite lower than expected household spending data. It made intraday high at 109.14 and low at 108.85 levels. A sustained close above 109.86 is required to take the parity higher towards key resistance around 112.96 marks. Alternatively, a daily close below 108.80 will drag the parity down towards key supports around 108.54, 106.71 and 105.32 marks respectively.

GBP/USD: The sterling was trading marginally higher against U.S. dollar. The pair was currently trading around $1.3583 marks. On the top side key resistance was seen at $1.3665 and support was seen at $1.3302 mark. A sustained close above $1.3572 requires for upside rally. Alternatively, key support was seen at $1.3185 levels.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar took a knock on Tuesday when unexpectedly weak readings on retail sales cast doubt on the strength of the domestic economy, suggesting a government budget due later in the day would do well to offer some fiscal stimulus. The Aussie eased around a fifth of a U.S. cent to $0.7503 in the wake of the data, though support was lined up at $0.7490 and the recent 11-month trough of $0.7472.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar was pinned at $0.7022 having taken a dip of its own when a survey of inflation expectations showed a pullback. Support lies around $0.6985 and $0.6832 levels respectively with resistance at $0.7120. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment.




Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices retreated from 3-1/2 year highs on Tuesday as investors waited on an announcement by President Donald Trump on whether the United States will re-impose sanctions on Iran. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures had dropped 73 cents, or 1 percent, to $70 a barrel by 0240 GMT. At one point they fell below $70, after settling above that level for the first time since November 2014 on Monday. Brent crude futures were down 63 cents, or 0.8 percent, at $75.54, having jumped 1.7 percent to settle at $76.17 a barrel in the previous session.

Gold prices remained subdued on Tuesday as the dollar held steady near its 2018 high on the relative strength of the U.S. economy. Spot gold was down 0.1 percent at $1,312.66 per ounce as of 0343 GMT, after closing marginally lower in the previous session. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were about 0.1 percent lower at $1,313.40 per ounce.














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  #184  
Old 14-05-2018, 10:47 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Japanese yen trades almost flat against U.S. dollar after PPI data, Asian markets start a new week on positive note, gold hovers around key resistance at $1,322 mark –
Monday, May 14, 2018






Market Roundup


Japan April domestic corporate goods price index +0.1% m/m, +2.0% y/y, as eyed.

In concession, Trump will help China's ZTE 'get back into business'.

Rhetoric over U.S. exit from Iran deal rises amid threat of sanctions.

Pompeo – U.S. to lift sanctions if North Korea dismantles nuclear weapons program.

Malaysia's bourse bounces back from early plunge on shock poll result.

UK consumer spending continues to fall in April – Visa.

UK employers plan to raise pay by more over coming year – CIPD.

Chinese insurers turn shadow lenders for higher returns.




Economic Data Ahead

(No major data is expected today.




Key Events Ahead

N/A ECB's Villeroy is to open a conference on central banking at the Bank of France.

(0245 ET/0645 GMT) Fed's Mester speaks before the Global Interdependence Center, Paris.

(0415 ET/0815 GMT) Carney and ECB's Praet speak at BoE's Gender and Career Progression Conference.

(0745 ET/1145 GMT) ECB's Praet participates in a lunchtime MNI Connect Roundtable in London.

(0940 ET/ 1340 GMT) Fed's Bullard gives presentation before CoinDesk's Consensus 2018, NY.

(1100 ET/1500 GMT) ECB's Lautenschlager speaks in Copenhagen, Denmark.

(1215 ET/1615 GMT) ECB's Praet speaks in London, United Kingdom.

(1345 ET/1745 GMT) ECB's Coeure speaks at the Geneva conference in Geneva, Switzerland.

ESM bond, terms to be determined.

UK DMO 2071 Gilt syndication via Barclays, DB, GS, NatWest Markets.




FX Beat

USD: The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was down 0.15 percent at 92.402. The index hit a 4-1/2-month high of 93.416 last Wednesday, as a rise in U.S. Treasury yields highlighted the wide interest rate gap between the United States and other countries.

EUR/USD: The euro was 0.2 percent higher at $1.1957, having recovered last week from $1.1823, its weakest since December 22. Still, the common currency was expected to face political headwinds, limiting its bounce against the U.S. currency. A consistent close below $1.1938 will drag the parity down towards key supports around $1.1822 and $1.1745 levels respectively. Alternatively, current upside movement will drag the parity higher towards key resistances around $1.1978, $1.2084, $1.2240 and $1.2345 marks respectively.

USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades almost flat against U.S. dollar. It made intraday high at 109.44 and low at 109.20 levels. A sustained close above 109.86 is required to take the parity higher towards key resistance around 112.96 marks. Alternatively, a daily close below 109.02 will drag the parity down towards key supports around 108.54, 106.71 and 105.32 marks respectively.

GBP/USD: The British pound moves in stiff boundaries against U.S. dollar and currently trading around $1.3560 mark. Intraday bias remains neutral till the time pair holds key support at $1.3516 mark. A sustained close below requires to drag the parity down towards key support around $1.3310 mark. On the other side, key resistances are seen at $1.3665 and $1.3792 levels respectively.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar was 0.2 percent higher at $0.7565 after rallying back from an 11-month low of $0.7413 plumbed on last Wednesday. On the top side, key resistance was seen at $0.7603 mark while immediate support was seen at $0.7455 mark.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar's bounce was more modest against U.S. dollar. The kiwi was nearly flat at $0.6952 after sliding to a five-month low of $0.6903 on Thursday after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand took a dovish-sounding monetary stance.




Commodities Recap

Crude oil on Monday fell away from last week's multi-year highs as a relentless rise in U.S. drilling activity pointed to increased output, while resistance emerged in Europe and Asia to U.S. sanctions against major crude exporter Iran. Brent crude futures were at $76.65 per barrel at 0415 GMT, down 47 cents, or 0.6 percent from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $70.41 a barrel, down 29 cents, or 0.4 percent. Brent and WTI last week reached their highest since November 2014 at $78 and $71.89 per barrel respectively, as markets expect Iran's oil exports to fall significantly once U.S. sanctions bite later this year.

Gold prices rose on Monday on the back of a subdued dollar as investors considered the prospects of fewer interest rate hikes in the United States this year. Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at $1,320.45 per ounce as of 0330 GMT, after marking the highest since April 26 at $1,325.96 in the previous session. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were little changed at $1,320.50 per ounce.














DAPATKAN INFO TERKINI DAILY MARKET NEWS SETIAP HARI DI FIREWOODFX

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  #185  
Old 15-05-2018, 09:24 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Aussie off highs after RBA minutes, dollar rallies following rise in U.S. Treasury yields, crude oil hovers near 3-1/2-year peak –
Tuesday, May 15th, 2018






Market Roundup


China Apr Industrial Output YY, 7.0%, f'cast 6.3%, last 6.0%

China Apr Retail Sales YY, 9.4%, f'cast 10.0%, last 10.1%

China Apr Urban investment (ytd)YY, 7.0%, f'cast 7.4%, last 7.5%

U.S., China still 'very far apart' on trade – U.S. Ambassador to China Terry Branstad

U.S., Japan to 'move rapidly' on trade deal – U.S. ambassador to Japan William Hagerty

MSCI lists 234 Chinese stocks for index inclusion in boost to capital markets

Australia's RBA sees scant reason for rate rise as inflation, wages stay low

Australia jobless rate needs to go lower for wage pressures to emerge -RBA

North, South Korea to hold high-level inter-Korea talks on May 16

Israeli forces kill dozens in Gaza as U.S. Embassy opens in Jerusalem

Turkey's Erdogan- Central Bank should take note of what president says and act accordingly- Bloomberg TV




Economic Data Ahead

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Apr Claimant Count Unem Chng, f'cast 7.8k, last 11.6k

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Mar ILO Unemployment Rate, f'cast 4.2%, last 4.2%

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) Germany May ZEW Economic Sentiment, f'cast -8.2, last -8.2

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) Germany May ZEW Current Conditions, f'cast 86.2, last 87.9

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) Eurozone Q1 GDP Flash Estimate YY, f'cast 2.5%, last 2.5%

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) Eurozone Mar Industrial Production YY, f'cast 3.7%, last 2.9%





Key Events Ahead

(0600 ET/1000 GMT) French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire and Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian meet with French companies in Paris

(0800 ET/1200 GMT) Fed's Kaplan participates in moderated question-and-answer session hosted by the Council on Foreign Relations, NY

(1310 ET/1710 GMT) Fed's Williams speaks before the Economic Club of Minnesota, Minneapolis

N/A ESM 15-year EUR benchmark via Citi, CA, and DB

N/A ADB 5-year global Euro via Citi, CA and GS

N/A Germany SoFFin GBP500 mln 1% 2022 bond via BAML, RBC and TD



















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  #186  
Old 16-05-2018, 10:35 PM
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Europe Roundup:
Sterling slumps on renewed Brexit concerns, dollar index near 5-month peak as U.S. Treasury yields rally, European shares ease –
Wednesday, May 16th, 2018






Market Roundup


EUR/USD -0.31%, USD/JPY -0.17%, GBP/USD -0.21%, EUR/GBP -0.08%

DXY 0.24%, DAX 0.21%, FTSE 0.01%, Brent -0.62%, Gold 0.05%

Japan's GDP ends best growth run in decades as spending, trade fade

Oil eases, signs of demand slowing as price nears $80

EU concerned about 'collateral damage' from U.S.-China spat – commissioner

Italian markets unnerved by 5-Star, League coalition plans

EZ Apr HICP Final YY, 1.2%, 1.2% forecast, 1.2% previous

EZ Apr HICP ex F&E YY, 1.1%, 1.1% forecast, 1.1% previous

Germany Apr HICP Final YY, 1.4%, 1.4% forecast, 1.4% previous

Germany Apr CPI Final, 1.6%, 1.6% forecast, 1.6% previous

Germany's booming construction sector raises 2018 forecast




Economic Data Ahead

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) The U.S. Department of Commerce is expected to report that housing starts decreased to an annualized rate of 1.310 million units in April from 1.319 million units in March.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) The U.S. building permits are likely to have decreased to a 1.350 million-unit pace in April from a 1.354 million-unit pace in March.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) Statistics Canada releases manufacturing shipments data for the month of March. Manufacturing sales are likely to have increased 1.2 percent after rising 1.9 percent in February.

(0915 ET/1315 GMT) The Federal Reserve is likely to report that industrial production rose 0.6 percent in April, after increasing 0.5 in the prior month.

(0915 ET/1315 GMT) The Federal Reserve Board is expected to report that capacity utilization edged up to 78.4 percent in April from 78.0 percent in March.

(1030 ET/1430 GMT) The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports its Crude Oil Stocks for the week ending May 11.




Key Events Ahead

(0815 ET/1215 GMT) ECB's Draghi speaks at Colloquium in honour of the ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio organised by the ECB in Frankfurt, Germany

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) ECB's Coeure chairing Session 1 at Colloquium in honour of the ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio organised by the ECB in Frankfurt

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) Fed's Bostic discusses the economy at an event sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Georgia

(1030 ET/1430 GMT) ECB's Praet chairing Session 2 at Colloquium in honour of the ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio organised by the ECB in Frankfurt

(1200 ET/1600 GMT) The Swiss National Bank Chairman of the Governing Board Thomas J. Jordan's speech.

(1230 ET/1630 GMT) Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri is scheduled to speak on Canada's economic potential at a joint event of CFA Society Ottawa and the Ottawa Economics Association in Ottawa, Canada.

(1730 ET/2130 GMT) Fed's Bullard holds media availability prior to a Homer Jones Memorial Lecture hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

(1830 ET/2230 GMT) Fed's Bullard gives opening remarks before the Homer Jones Memorial Lecture hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis




FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index rose to a fresh near 5-month peak as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yields rallied above the psychologically important 3 percent level to hit its highest level since 2011. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.2 percent up at 93.50, having touched a high of 93.55 earlier, its highest since Dec. 22. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 101.30 (Highly Bullish) by 1000 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro slumped to a fresh 4-1/2 month low after data showed Euro zone inflation slowed in April, adding to the concerns of European Central Bank policymakers seeking to phase out a monetary stimulus package. The economy's consumer price index came in at 1.2 percent in April compared to last year, for a 0.3 percent monthly rise. The European currency traded 0.3 percent down at 1.1799, having touched a low of 1.1794 earlier, its lowest since Dec. 19. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at -169.13 (Highly Bearish) by 1000 GMT. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1894 (5-DMA), a break above targets 1.1978 (May 7 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1776 (Dec. 19 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1741.

USD/JPY: The dollar retreated from a 3-1/2-month peak as North Korea's cancellation of a June 12 summit in Singapore added to a backdrop of geopolitical worries for financial markets. However, resurgent U.S. Treasury yields limited the downside. The major was trading 0.2 percent down at 110.10, having hit a high of 110.45 the day before, its highest since Feb. 2. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at 77.84 (Slightly Bullish) by 1000 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the U.S. housing starts, building permits, industrial production and Fed officials' speeches. Immediate resistance is located at 110.48 (Feb. 2 High), a break above targets 110.98 (Jan. 16 High). On the downside, support is seen at 109.69 (5-DMA), a break below could take it lower 108.97 (10-DMA).

GBP/USD: Sterling slumped, extending previous session losses, amid renewed concerns about Britain's Brexit negotiations and relatively modest UK wage growth. Moreover, easing expectations for British interest rate hikes and repeated complaints from EU officials that Britain has not been clear on what it wants, dented the sterling bulls' sentiments. The major traded 0.2 percent down at 1.3472, having hit a low of 1.3451 on Tuesday, it’s lowest since Dec. 29. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -63.96 (Bearish) by 1000 GMT. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3608, a break above could take it near 1.3665. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3428, a break below targets 1.3405. Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.2 percent up at 87.49 pence, having hit a high of 87.44 pence earlier, it’s highest since May 10.

USD/CHF: The Swiss franc extended losses for the third straight session, as the greenback rallied to a fresh near a 5-month high following a surge in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield. The major trades up at 1.0015, having touched a low of 0.9957 on Monday, it’s lowest since May. 3. FxWirePro's Hourly Swiss Franc Strength Index stood at 54.40 (Bullish) by 1000 GMT. On the higher side, near-term resistance is around 1.0056 (May 10 High) and any break above will take the pair to next level till 1.0099 (May 2017 High). The near-term support is around 0.9936 and any close below that level will drag it till 0.9899.
















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  #187  
Old 17-05-2018, 09:52 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Aussie gains despite mixed employment report, Kiwi rebounds on larger surplus budget estimate, euro near 5-month trough on Italian political uncertainty –
Thursday, May 17th, 2018






Market Roundup

Japan Mar Machinery Orders MM, -3.9%, f'cast -3.0%, last 2.1%

Japan Mar Machinery Orders YY, -2.4%, f'cast 0.3%, last 2.4%

Japan Q1 core orders +3.3% q/q, Q2 eyed at +7.1%, CAPEX recovery intact

Trump says 'We'll see' on N.Korea summit, to insist on denuclearization

U.S., China to launch trade talks; China hawk Navarro's role reduced –officials

Japan plans retaliatory tariffs against United States – NHK

Australia Apr Employment, 22.6k, f'cast 20.0k, last 4.9k, rvsd -0.7k

Australia Apr Unemployment Rate, 5.6%, f'cast 5.5%, last 5.5%

New Zealand unveils budget spending boost in quest to spread prosperity

HKMA intervenes as Hong Kong dollar weakens, buys HK$9.5 bln in US trade

Malaysia to introduce sales and service tax after effectively scrapping GST

Brazil surprisingly holds interest rates unchanged




Economic Data Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Mar Trade Balance EU, last 1.130 bln

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy Mar Eurostat Trade NSA, Eur, last 18.9 bln




Key Events Ahead

(0630 ET/1030 GMT) ECB's Constancio speaks at the Colloquium in his honour organised by the ECB in Frankfurt

(0800 ET/1200 GMT) ECB's Constancio delivers the opening address at the third annual ECB macroprudential policy and research conference

(1000 ET/1400 GMT) Fed's Hirtle speaks at Economic Press Briefing on Homeownership and Housing Wealth, London

(1045 ET/1445 GMT) Fed's Kashkari speaks in ST. Paul, Minnesota

(1330 ET/1730 GMT) Fed's Kaplan speaks before the Richardson Chamber of Commerce Annual Meeting




FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index consolidated near 5-month peaks as the U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose to their highest levels in nearly seven years. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.1 percent down at 93.23, having touched a high of 93.63 on Wednesday, its highest since Dec. 19. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 46.35 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro rebounded after falling to a 5-month low in the previous session on the back of political uncertainty in Italy. Moreover, news that Italy's anti-establishment 5-Star Movement and anti-immigrant League may request the European Central Bank to drop 250 billion euros of debt as the parties worked to draft a coalition programme undermined the euro. The European currency traded 0.1 percent up at 1.1824, having touched a low of 1.1763 the day before, its lowest since Dec. 18. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at -94.08 (Slightly Bearish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on series of economic data from the Eurozone economies and ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio speech, ahead of the U.S. unemployment benefit claims and Fed officials' speeches. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1885 (5-DMA), a break above targets 1.1978 (May 7 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1763 (Previous Session Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1736 (Dec. 18 Low).

USD/JPY: The dollar eased from recent peaks as renewed tensions in the Korean peninsula and U.S.-China trade concerns supported the bid tone around the safe-haven Japanese Yen. Moreover, risk-off sentiment in the Asian equity markets pushed the major lower. The pair was trading 0.1 percent down at 110.26, having hit a high of 110.45 on Tuesday, its highest since Feb. 2. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -64.68 (Bearish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the U.S. unemployment benefit claims and Fed officials' speeches. Immediate resistance is located at 110.48 (Feb. 2 High), a break above targets 110.98 (Jan. 16 High). On the downside, support is seen at 109.82 (5-DMA), a break below could take it lower 108.53 (10-DMA).

GBP/USD: Sterling rose from recent lows, amid fresh worries about Britain's Brexit negotiations. Moreover, fading expectations of Bank of England interest rate hikes limited the upside in the major. The major traded 0.5 percent up at 1.3547, having hit a low of 1.3451 on Tuesday, it’s lowest since Dec. 29. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at 51.03 (Bullish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ focus will remain on the U.S. fundamental drivers, amid a lack of economic data from the UK docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3608, a break above could take it near 1.3665. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3428, a break below targets 1.3405. Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.3 percent up at 87.29 pence, having hit a high of 87.16 pence earlier, it’s highest since Apr. 27.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar rose to a 3-day high as domestic participation rate advanced to 65.6 percent in April, near levels seen in early 2011. The economy's jobless rate rose to a 9-month high of 5.6 percent in April as more people searched for work, raising doubts about the labour market. The Aussie trades 0.3 percent up at 0.7533, having hit a high of 0.7566 on Friday; it’s highest since Apr. 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at 52.45 (Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7433 (May 8 Low), a break below targets 0.7412 (May 9 Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7565 (May 16 High), a break above could take it near 0.7606 (Apr. 25 High).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar gained after the country's Labour-led government predicted a larger surplus for the year ending June. The economy's budget estimate an operating surplus of NZ$3.14 billion for the current financial year, up from NZ$2.54 billion previously forecast. The Kiwi trades 0.1 percent up at 0.6904, having touched a low of 0.6851 on Wednesday, its lowest level since Dec. 11. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at -130.50 (Highly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6974, a break above could take it near 0.7030. On the downside, support is seen at 0.6835, a break below could drag it below 0.6805.



Equities Recap

Asian shares consolidated within narrow ranges, while the euro hovered near 5-month lows on concerns the political developments in Italy could cause wider disruptions in the Eurozone.

MSCI's broadest of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan traded flat.

Tokyo's Nikkei rose 0.7 percent to 22,880.91 points, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index eased 0.4 percent to 6,084.50 points and South Korea's KOSPI plunged 0.2 percent to 2,455.46 points.

Shanghai composite index fell 0.5 percent to 3,154.85 points, while CSI300 index was trading 0.7 percent down at 3,866.11 points.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was trading 0.3 percent lower at 31,005.80 points. Taiwan shares shed 0.6 percent to 10,833.81 points.




Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices rallied to its highest level seen since November 2014, as supplies tightened while demand remained strong. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.1 percent up at $79.39 per barrel by 0411 GMT, having hit a high of $79.43 earlier, its highest since Nov. 2014. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.3 percent up at $71.71 a barrel, after rising as high as $71.89 on Tuesday, its highest since Nov. 2014.

Gold prices edged up after touching their lowest level this year in the previous session, amid geopolitical uncertainty and a slightly weaker U.S. dollar. Spot gold rose 0.1 percent to $1,292.54 per ounce by 0414 GMT, having hit a low of $1,286.28 on Thursday, its lowest price level since Dec. 27. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were 0.1-percent higher at $1,292.80 per ounce.












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  #188  
Old 18-05-2018, 10:23 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Antipodeans consolidate, dollar near 5-month peak against yen as U.S. Treasury yields hit 7-year high, Asian shares surge amid U.S.-China trade negotiations –
Friday, May 18th, 2018






Market Roundup

China halts U.S. sorghum dumping probe amid signs of trade thaw

Trump seeks to placate North Korea's Kim over uncertain summit

Japan Apr CPI Core Nationwide YY, 0.7%, f'cast 0.8%, last 0.9%

Japan Apr CPI Overall Nationwide, 0.6%, last 1.1%

Bank of Japan inflation target recedes as consumers resist price rises

NAFTA nations 'nowhere near' a deal -USTR Lighthizer

U.S. fund investors hike stock exposure by most since March -Lipper

U.S. muni bond funds post $206.9 mln in inflows-Lipper

Foreign CB US debt holdings -$9,382 bln to $3.387 tln May 16 week

Treasuries -$9,039 bln to $3.035 tln, agencies -$80 mln to $275.520 bln



Economic Data Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Mar Current Account NSA,EUR, last 22.7 bln

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Mar Current Account SA, EUR, last 35.1 bln

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Mar Eurostat Trade NSA, Eur, last 18.9 bln



Key Events Ahead

(0915 ET/1315 GMT) Fed's Kaplan participates in moderated question-and-answer session at Dallas Project Management Symposium

(0915 ET/1315 GMT) Fed's Brainard speaks before the Association for Neighborhood and Housing Development 8th Annual Community Development Conference, NY

(0300 ET/0700 GMT) Fed's Mester speaks before the Third Annual European Central Bank Macroprudential Policy and Research Conference



FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index steadied near recent highs as rising yields reflect continued optimism about the U.S. economy, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve would hike interest rates at least two more times this year. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades flat at 93.43, having touched a high of 93.63 on Wednesday, its highest since Dec. 19. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 160.33 (Highly Bullish) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro steadied after easing to a 5-month low earlier in the week on concerns about the demands of populist parties likely to form Italy's next government. On Thursday, the far-right League and 5-Star Movement agreed the basis for a governing accord that would cut down taxes and boost up welfare spending. The European currency traded 0.1 percent up at 1.1803, having touched a low of 1.1763 on Tuesday, its lowest since Dec. 18. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at -90.46 (Slightly Bearish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the Eurozone current account and trade balance, ahead of the Fed officials' speeches. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1860 (5-DMA), a break above targets 1.1978 (May 7 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1763 (May 16 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1736 (Dec. 18 Low).

USD/JPY: The dollar rallied to a fresh near 5-month peak as a rise in U.S. Treasury yields indicated a more upbeat outlook for the world's largest economy. The U.S. benchmark 10-year yields touched a high of 3.128 percent in early Asian trade, recording its highest in nearly seven years. The pair was trading 0.2 percent up at 110.93, having hit a high of 111.03 earlier, its highest since Jan. 23. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -73.93 (Slightly Bearish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the Fed officials' speeches. Immediate resistance is located at 111.48 (Jan. 18 High), a break above targets 111.87 (Jan. 11 High). On the downside, support is seen at 110.09 (5-DMA), a break below could take it lower 109.69 (10-DMA).

GBP/USD: Sterling eased after rising in the prior session on reports that Britain would tell Brussels it was prepared to stay in the European Union's customs union beyond a Brexit transitional arrangement. The major traded 0.05 percent down at 1.3508, having hit a low of 1.3451 on Tuesday, it’s lowest since Dec. 29. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at 40.91 (Neutral) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ focus will remain on the U.S. fundamental drivers, amid a lack of economic data from the UK docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3608, a break above could take it near 1.3665. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3428, a break below targets 1.3405. Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.1 percent down at 87.38 pence, having hit a high of 87.13 pence the day before, it’s highest since Apr. 27.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar consolidated within a narrow range after the Reserve Bank of Australia signalled a steady policy for a while yet as inflation remained subdued. The Aussie trades 0.05 percent up at 0.7514, having hit a high of 0.7566 last week; it’s highest since Apr. 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at 29.64 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7433 (May 8 Low), a break below targets 0.7412 (May 9 Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7565 (May 16 High), a break above could take it near 0.7606 (Apr. 25 High).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar rose but was down by 1.1 percent for the week and on track for its fifth straight weekly loss on a subtle divergence in monetary policy stance between the Fed and RBNZ. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand recently indicated that interest rates could go either way in near term. The Kiwi trades 0.2 percent up at 0.6890, having touched a low of 0.6851 on Wednesday, its lowest level since Dec. 11. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at -95.49 (Slightly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6974, a break above could take it near 0.7030. On the downside, support is seen at 0.6835, a break below could drag it below 0.6805.



Equities Recap

Asian shares gained as investors remained cautious amid developments in U.S.-China trade negotiations, with the dollar consolidated near a 5-month peak after the benchmark U.S. Treasury yield rose to its highest in seven years.

MSCI's broadest of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.1 percent.

Tokyo's Nikkei rose 0.3 percent to 22,914.00 points, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index eased 0.1 percent to 6,088.00 points and South Korea's KOSPI surged 0.3 percent to 2,455.00 points.

Shanghai composite index rose 0.05 percent to 3,155.59 points, while CSI300 index was trading 0.2 percent up at 3,858.58 points.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was trading 0.2 percent higher at 31,004.98 points. Taiwan shares shed 0.05 percent to 10,830.84 points.




Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices steadied after rising to multi-year highs on the back of strong demand, ongoing supply cuts led by producer cartel OPEC and looming U.S. sanctions against Iran. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.05 percent up at $79.49 per barrel by 0440 GMT, having hit a high of $80.47 on Thursday, its highest since Nov. 2014. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.05 percent up at $71.57 a barrel, after rising as high as $72.28 on Thursday, its highest since Nov. 2014.

Gold prices hovered towards their lowest levels this year, weighed down by a firm U.S. dollar amid surging U.S. Treasury yields. Spot gold was 0.2 percent down at $1,288.21 per ounce at 0444 GMT, having hit a low of $1,285.04 on Thursday, its lowest price level since Dec. 27. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were 0.1-percent lower at $1,288.30 per ounce.












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  #189  
Old 21-05-2018, 11:16 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Kiwi slumps on slower-than-expected retail sales volumes, dollar rallies against yen as U.S.-China trade war worries recede, Asian shares surge on revived risk sentiment –
Monday, May 21st, 2018






Market Roundup

China praises positive steps in U.S. trade row, says didn't give in

U.S. underscores importance of concluding new NAFTA deal

Trump to ask Justice Dept to look into campaign surveillance claims

Japan Apr Trade Balance Total Yen, 626.0 bln, f'cast 405.6 bln, last 797.0 bln

Japan Apr Exports YY, 7.8%, f'cast 8.1%, last 2.1%

Japan Apr Imports YY, 5.9%, f'cast 9.6%, last -0.6%

HKMA intervenes again as HK dollar weakens, buys HK$5.99 bln

China to encourage equity financing to ease debt reliance – report

UK households turn cheerier about their finances in May – IHS Markit

New Zealand Q1 Retail Sales Volumes QQ, 0.10%, last 1.70%

Speculators cut net short U.S. dollar bets; bitcoin shorts up -CFTC




Economic Data Ahead

No major economic data releases




Key Events Ahead

(1215 ET/1615 GMT) Fed's Bostic speaks on “Welfare Economics: Trade and a Review of Principles” before the Atlanta Economics Club

(1415 ET/1815 GMT) Fed's Harker participates in conversation before the Chief Executives Organization's CEO Financial Seminar 2018

(1830 ET/2230 GMT) Fed's Kashkari participates in a moderated question-and-answer session town hall forum hosted by Bay College, Michigan




FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index rose to a 5-month peak after U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin stated that the U.S. trade war with China is on hold after both the economies agreed to drop their tariff threats and set up a framework to address trade imbalances in the future. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.2 percent up at 93.88, having touched a high of 93.89 earlier, its highest since Dec. 18. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 41.35 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro tumbled to a 5-month low as the dollar strengthened after the U.S. 10-year Treasury yields climbed above the 7-year high last week. Moreover, mounting concerns about the agreement between Italy's far-right League and 5-Star Movement on a governing accord that would cut taxes and increase welfare spending weighed on market sentiment. The European currency traded 0.2 percent down at 1.1751, having touched a low of 1.1744 earlier, its lowest since Dec. 18. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at -14.02 (Neutral) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the European Union Financial Stability Review, ahead of the Fed officials' speeches. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1827 (5-DMA), a break above targets 1.1938 (May 15 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1736 (Dec. 18 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1717 (Dec. 12 Low).

USD/JPY: The dollar rallied to a 5-month peak after U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin stated that the U.S. trade war with China is on hold, boosting hopes for an easing of trade tensions between both the economies. The major was trading 0.5 percent up at 111.22, having hit a high of 111.24 earlier, its highest since Jan. 18. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -184.86 (Highly Bearish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index and Fed officials' speeches. Immediate resistance is located at 111.48 (Jan. 18 High), a break above targets 111.87 (Jan. 11 High). On the downside, support is seen at 110.37 (5-DMA), a break below could take it lower 109.85 (10-DMA).

GBP/USD: Sterling slumped to a near 5-month trough on worries that the Bank of England will not raise interest rates this year, or at least less than it was initially expected. Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve Bank will hike at least three to four times in 2018 strengthened the U.S. dollar. The major traded 0.2 percent down at 1.3434, having hit a low of 1.3426 earlier, it’s lowest since Dec. 29. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -35.72 (Neutral) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ focus will remain on the U.S. fundamental drivers, amid a lack of economic data from the UK docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3522 (10-DMA), a break above could take it near 1.3608. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3395, a break below targets 1.3331. Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.1 percent down at 87.46 pence, having hit a high of 87.12 pence on Thursday, it’s highest since Apr. 27.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar rose after falling for two straight sessions, supported by news that China and the United States had put a looming trade war on hold after agreeing to drop their tariff threats. However, expectations of faster U.S. interest rate hikes limited the upside. The Aussie trades 0.1 percent up at 0.7516, having hit a high of 0.7566 earlier in the month; it’s highest since Apr. 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at 70.12 (Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7433 (May 8 Low), a break below targets 0.7412 (May 9 Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7565 (May 16 High), a break above could take it near 0.7606 (Apr. 25 High).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar slumped as slower-than-expected retail sales volumes in the first quarter, pointed to slower economic growth in the year ahead. The economy's retail sales volumes rose 3 percent on an annual basis, the weakest growth since the July-September 2012. The Kiwi trades 0.4 percent down at 0.6895, having touched a low of 0.6851 on Wednesday, its lowest level since Dec. 11. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at 19.42 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6974, a break above could take it near 0.7030. On the downside, support is seen at 0.6835, a break below could drag it below 0.6805.




Equities Recap

Asian shares rallied, while the dollar surged to multi-month highs after U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin announced the U.S. trade war with China on hold following an agreement to drop their tariff threats.

MSCI's broadest of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.6 percent in early trade.

Tokyo's Nikkei rose 0.4 percent to 23,025.58 points, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index eased 0.05 percent to 6,084.70 points and South Korea's KOSPI surged 0.3 percent to 2,468.68 points.

Shanghai composite index rose 0.7 percent to 3,217.93 points, while CSI300 index was trading 0.7 percent up at 3,930.86 points.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was trading 1.2 percent higher at 31,439.88 points. Taiwan shares added 1.2 percent to 10,964.06 points.



Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices rallied as markets reacted to news that China and the United States have put a looming trade war between the world's two biggest economies on hold. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.6 percent up at $79.08 per barrel by 0428 GMT, having hit a high of $80.47 on Thursday, its highest since Nov. 2014. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.6 percent up at $71.79 a barrel, after rising as high as $72.28 on Thursday, its highest since Nov. 2014.

Gold prices declined as the dollar strengthened after U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said a trade war between China and the United States was on hold. Spot gold was down 0.3 percent at $1,288.20 per ounce at 0430 GMT, having hit a low of $1,284.65 on Thursday, its lowest price level since Dec. 27. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were 0.2 percent lower at $1,288.20 per ounce.











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  #190  
Old 23-05-2018, 03:00 AM
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Asia Roundup:
Antipodeans rally as crude oil soars to record highs, dollar index steadies near 5-month peak as U.S.-China trade war fears ebb, Asian shares ease amid holiday thinned-trading –
Tuesday, May 22nd, 2018






Market Roundup

Trade war fears ebb as U.S., China agree to continue talks

U.S., China nearing deal to remove U.S. sales ban against ZTE -sources

With N.Korea summit on shaky ground, Trump to press S. Korean leader

Foreign media head to N. Korea in sign nuclear shutdown will go ahead

Kuroda says BOJ will signal exit plan if inflation picks up

BOJ Kuroda says major c.banks cautious of issuing digital currencies

German economy in strong upswing despite Q1 slowdown -finance ministry




Economic Data Ahead

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Apr PSNB Ex Banks GBP, f'cast 8.600 bln, last 1.348 bln

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Apr PSNB, GBP, f'cast 7.100 bln, last -0.262 bln

(0600 ET/1000 GMT) Great Britain May CBI Trends – Orders, f'cast 2, last 4




Key Events Ahead

N/A BoE's Carney, Ramsden and member of the Monetary Policy Committee Gertjan Vlieghe & Michael Saunders will appear at Treasury Select Committee hearing on the May Inflation Report.

N/A Indonesia 3/5/7/10/20-year Samurais via Daiwa, Mizuho, Nomura, SMBC Nikko




FX Beat

DXY: The dollar index steadied after rising to multi-month highs in the prior session, boosted by upbeat U.S. economic data that has backed the Federal Reserve's monetary policy tightening stance this year. The greenback against a basket of currencies trades 0.1 percent up at 93.62, having touched a high of 94.06 earlier, its highest since Dec. 13. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 31.84 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro eased after rebounding from a 5-month low in the previous session, amid Italian political uncertainty as latest reports suggested Italy is close to forming a populist government. The European currency traded 0.1 percent down at 1.1775, having touched a low of 1.1716 the day before, its lowest since Dec. 21. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at -81.81 (Slightly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, amid a lack of economic data from the Eurozone docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1849 (10-DMA), a break above targets 1.1938 (May 15 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1717 (Dec. 12 Low), a break below could drag it till 1.1700.

USD/JPY: The dollar fell below the 110.00 handle after rising to a 5-month peak the prior day following a pull-back in U.S. 10-year Treasury yields from 7-year highs set last week. The major was trading 0.1 percent down at 110.95, having hit a high of 111.39 on Monday, its highest since Jan. 18. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -54.69 (Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index. Immediate resistance is located at 111.48 (Jan. 18 High), a break above targets 111.87 (Jan. 11 High). On the downside, support is seen at 110.65 (5-DMA), a break below could take it lower 110.05 (10-DMA).

GBP/USD: Sterling consolidated near 5-month lows hit in the previous session, as investors prepared for data this week that could determine whether the Bank of England might tighten monetary policy as early as August. Moreover, continued concerns over Northern Ireland borders, UK sovereignty, and the EU customs union undermined the bid tone around the British pound. The major traded flat at 1.3421, having hit a low of 1.3391 on Monday, it’s lowest since Dec. 27. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -114.99 (Highly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ focus will remain on the BoE MPC member Vileghe speech, UK inflation report hearing and CBI industrial trends survey-orders, ahead of U.S. fundamental drivers. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3508 (10-DMA), a break above could take it near 1.3569. On the downside, support is seen at 1.3346, a break below targets 1.3301. Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.05 percent down at 87.75 pence, having hit a high of 87.12 pence on Thursday, it’s highest since Apr. 27.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar rose to a near 1-month high as oil prices surged to their highest since 2014 after Venezuela's presidential election heightened worries that the country's oil output could drop further. Investors now await the Reserve Bank of Australia chief Philip Lowe's speech at the Australia-China Relations Institute in Sydney, where he will be discussing China's economy and financial markets, and its relationship with Australia. The Aussie trades 0.1 percent up at 0.7583, having hit a high of 0.7592 earlier; it’s highest since Apr. 25. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at 73.66 (Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7531 (Apr. 27 Low), a break below targets 0.7472 (May 1 Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7520 (May 24 High), a break above could take it near 0.7682 (Apr. 23 High).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar surged to a 1-week peak as easing U.S.- China trade war worries boosted investor risk sentiment. Moreover, a pullback in the U.S. Treasury yields also supported the Kiwi bulls. The major trades 0.2 percent up at 0.6957, having touched a high of 0.6959 earlier, its highest level since May 14. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at 128.13 (Highly Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad-based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6974, a break above could take it near 0.7030. On the downside, support is seen at 0.6835, a break below could drag it below 0.6805.




Equities Recap

Asian shares eased amid holiday thinned-trading with South Korea and Hong Kong markets closed, while the dollar steadied near recent highs, supported by rising U.S. bond yields and easing U.S.-China trade tensions.

MSCI's broadest of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan edged down in early trade.

Tokyo's Nikkei plunged 0.1 percent to 22,970.54 points, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index eased 0.7 percent to 6,041.90 points and Taiwan shares shed 0.3 percent to 10,938.73 points.

Shanghai composite index fell 0.5 percent to 3,199.14 points, while CSI300 index was trading 0.8 percent down at 3,890.67 points.




Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices eased after gaining in the previous session on concerns that Venezuela's crude output could decline further following a disputed presidential election and potential U.S. sanctions on the OPEC-member. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 0.2 percent down at $79.35 per barrel by 0500 GMT, having hit a high of $80.47 on Thursday, its highest since Nov. 2014. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 0.05 percent up at $72.51 a barrel, after rising as high as $72.28 on Thursday, its highest since Nov. 2014.

Gold declined, hovering towards a 2018 low touched in the previous session as a firm dollar near 5-month highs and optimism in global markets dented appetite for the safe-haven metal. Spot gold eased 0.3 percent to $1,288.97 per ounce as of 0504 GMT, having hit a low of $1,281.99 on Monday, its lowest price level since Dec. 27. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were 0.1 percent lower at $1,290.10 per ounce.










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