USDX has found resistance at the 99.49 level and now we can see a decline towards the support level of 99.22 where the nearest moving average (200) is located . It seems the bullish bias will remain alive, as the index is still trading above that price zone. Besides, there are no significant bearish patterns formations on the road.
H1 chart's resistance levels: 99.49 / 99.69 H1 chart's support levels: 99.22 / 98.97 Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the USD index breaks a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 99.49, take profit is at 99.69, and stop loss is at 99.28.
The US dollar index is above critical support levels as it continues to trade sideways waiting for the FOMC rate decision and Fed chairman Janet Yellen's speech.
Red lines - upward sloping wedge The price continues to trade inside the upward sloping wedge. It is above the Ichimoku cloud in the 4-hour chart, but has broken below the kijun- and tenkan-sen indicators giving us a bearish signal. A breakout below the cloud and out of the wedge will also be a clear sell signal.
In the weekly chart, we see the weekly candle testing the weekly tenkan-sen (red line indicator) support. If prices fall below it, we should expect the index to move towards the kijun-sen (yellow line indicator) and weekly cloud support. So, all eyes are on the Fed's decision tonight.
US Dollar Index has declined below the 200 SMA at H1 chart after a strong resistance was found around 99.49. Current price action is telling us that a support level is located at 98.97, as an inflection zone was formed during the January 19th and 20th sessions and pushed the index higher. However, this bullish scenario can invalidate if the USDX breaks the support at 98.72. MACD indicator is currently declining, as it is still moving on the negative territory.
H1 chart's resistance levels: 99.22 / 99.49 H1 chart's support levels: 98.97 / 98.72 Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, buy (long) orders only if the USD Index breaks a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 99.22, take profit is at 99.49, and stop loss is at 98.95.
The US dollar index had some volatile moves after the US Federal Reserve left the key rate unchanged, but (in a technical view), the USDX did a pullback at the 200 SMA (H1 chart). This could give us a bearish scenario for coming days, but bear in mind that the support level of 98.72 still doesn't gets broken. That inflection area, as you can check on the January 14 and January 21. The MACD indicator remains weak in the positive territory, but still supports the overall bullish idea.
H1 chart's resistance levels: 99.22 / 99.49 H1 chart's support levels: 98.97 / 98.72 Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the USDX breaks with a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is seen at 99.22, take profit is at 99.49, and stop loss is at 98.95.
The US dollar index remains inside an upward sloping wedge pattern. Yesterday, support was tested and prices bounced upwards. I expect the outcome of this pattern to be a bearish breakdown.
Red lines - upward sloping wedge The US dollar index is testing the lower channel boundary and the Ichimoku cloud in the 4-hour chart. The price is still in the upward sloping wedge, so we cannot confirm bearish reversal yet. Support is at the critical level of 98.50 and 98.70. Resistance is seen at 99.50 and next at 100.10.
Blue lines - megaphone pattern Red lines - upward sloping wedge The weekly USDX chart contains several points that need to be noted. Apart from the short-term upward sloping wedge (red lines), we have to point out the possible megaphone topping pattern that could give a marginal new higher high, but would sharply reverse. We should not forget that we are still above the weekly cloud, so the long-term trend remains bullish. Weekly tenkan-sen ( red line indicator) is being tested, so as long as the price closes above it, we remain bullish.
The US dollar index broke an upward sloping wedge downwards as expected, but renewed dollar strength after the BOJ announcements has pulled the index back up to test the broken support and cloud resistance.
Red lines - upward sloping wedge The US dollar index has broken below 98.80 cloud and wedge support, but now it is bouncing back up towards the Ichimoku cloud resistance that was support. This back-test could be a final chance to go short on the dollar index. As long as the price is below the cloud, I would remain bearish.
The US dollar index has reached the level of 98.44 yesterday, so a breakout below that low will confirm the bearish reversal and that we are heading towards 97 at least if not lower. The price is testing the weekly tenkan-sen on the weekly chart as shown above. Today's close is important.
The H1 chart structure is showing us that the USDX has declined sharply from the highs formed around the 200 SMA price zone. Currently, the Index is finding strong bottom around the 98.52 level which is an inflection area formed during the January 15th session's lows. If the USDX manages to break that zone to the downside, then we can expect another decline towards the 98.35 level, which would endanger our bullish overall outlook.
H1 chart's resistance levels: 98.72 / 98.97 H1 chart's support levels: 98.52 / 98.35 Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the USD Index breaks a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 98.72, take profit is at 98.97, and stop loss is at 98.46.
The US dollar index is forming a higher high pattern below the resistance level of 99.73 after a huge rebound made at lows of January 28 . However, we should note that a strong inflection area is located around that resistance zone because the index was rejected during the session on January 21 as we can see at the H1 chart. The MACD indicator is overbought and we can see a correction towards the level of 99.43.
H1 chart's resistance levels: 99.73 / 99.97 H1 chart's support levels: 99.43 / 99.23 Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the USDX breaks with a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is seen at 99.73, take profit is at 99.97, and stop loss is at 99.49.
The US dollar index is showing triple-top divergence signals as prices has reached new higher highs and stochastic. Important trend support is found at 98.50 where we saw prices performing a big bounce last week.
Red lines indicating divergence are seen inside the range between 98.50 and 100, so a breakout above or below could start a considerable new trend. Short-term support is found at 99. A breakout will open the way to 98.50. Resistance is seen at 100.
Blue lines - megaphone top Red lines - upward sloping wedge On the weekly chart price is still above the Ichimoku cloud inside the red upward sloping wedge. A break below 98.50 will be a bearish signal as it would push the price towards the weekly cloud support near 96.40 at least. On the other hand, a break above 100 could cause a final push towards 101.50-102 where the megaphone trend-line upper boundary is found.
The Dollar index has reversed lower as expected. Price made a turn to the downside but dollar bulls remain in control of the larger trend. Huge support is at 98.50, while resistance at 100 remains strong.
The bearish divergence I noted in my previous post has provided a nice reversal signal as prices turned lower today towards the daily Ichimoku cloud and below the daily tenkan-sen. Price remains trapped inside the 98.50-100 range. So as long as we trade inside this range, traders should be neutral.
A bullish sign is the fact that the decline today stopped at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the rise from 98.44. This level is important support and as long as we hold above it, bulls remain under control of the trend.
