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RFXSIGNALS

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Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 02.04.2020 FROM RFXSIGNALS
02.04.2020
EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”
After completing the descending wave at 1.0970 and failing to start a new growth, EURUSD has broken this level to the downside to reach 1.0909. Today, the pair may test this level once again and then resume trading upwards with the target at 1.0935.
EURUSD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”
GBPUSD continues consolidating around 1.2343 without any particular direction. Possibly, today the pair may fall towards 1.2200 and then grow to return to 1.2343. If later the price breaks this range to the downside, the market may form a new descending structure towards 1.2055; if to the upside – resume trading upwards with the target at 1.2555.
GBPUSD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”
After finishing the descending structure at 0.9600 and rebounding from this level to the upside, USDCHF is still trading upwards to reach 0.9696. After that, the instrument may start a new correction to return to 0.9600.
USDCHF

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”
USDJPY is consolidating around 107.37. the main scenario implies that the price may fall towards 106.16 and then correct to return to 107.37. Later, the market may resume trading downwards with the target at 105.75.
USDJPY

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD is consolidating not far from downside border. Possibly, today the pair may break 0.6066 downwards and then continue falling with the target at 0.5918. After that, the instrument may resume growing to return to 0.6066.
AUDUSD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”
USDRUB is moving below 79.16. According to the main scenario, the price is expected to form a new descending structure to break 77.67 and then continue trading downwards with the short-term target at 76.30.
USDRUB

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”
USDCAD continues forming the fifth descending structure with the target at 1.3822. Today, the pair may reach 1.3900 and then resume growing to reach 1.4091. Later, the market may start another decline to reach the above-mentioned target.
USDCAD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”
Gold is still forming the descending wave towards 1578.78. Possibly, the pair may break this level and then continue falling to reach 1561.45. After that, the instrument may form one more ascending structure to test 1578.78 from below and then resume trading downwards with the target at 1551.50.
GOLD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT
After completing the descending wave at 22.00, Brent is forming one more ascending structure towards 25.33, which may be followed by a new correction to reach 23.60. Later, the market may start another growth to break 25.33 and then continue trading upwards with the short-term target at 27.20.
BRENT

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BTCUSD, “Bitcoin vs US Dollar”
BTCUSD is still consolidating around 6100.00; it has already broken 6400.00. Possibly, the pair may form one more ascending structure towards 7000.00. After that, the instrument may correct to reach 6400.00 and then start a new growth with the target at 7600.00.
BITCOIN

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future
 
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Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 02.04.2020 (AUDUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD) FROM RFXSIGNALS
02.04.2020
AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”
AUDUSD is trading at 0.6080; the instrument is moving above Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a bullish tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 0.6005 and then resume moving upwards to reach 0.6485. Another signal to confirm further ascending movement is the price’s rebounding from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the scenario that implies further growth may be canceled if the price breaks the cloud’s downside border and fixes below 0.5760. In this case, the pair may continue falling towards 0.5680.
AUDUSD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

USDCAD is trading at 1.4163; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a bearish tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s downside border at 1.4175 and then resume moving downwards to reach 1.3665. Another signal to confirm further descending movement is the price’s rebounding from the descending channel’s upside border. However, the scenario that implies further decline may be canceled if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 1.4335. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 1.4450.
USDCAD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

NZDUSD, “New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar”
NZDUSD is trading at 0.5938; the instrument is moving above Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating an ascending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 0.5885 and then resume moving upwards to reach 0.6265. Another signal to confirm further ascending movement is the price’s rebounding from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the scenario that implies further growth may be canceled if the price breaks the cloud’s downside border and fixes below 0.5695. In this case, the pair may continue falling towards 0.5605.
NZDUSD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future
 

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Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 02.04.2020 (AUDUSD, USDCAD) FROM RFXSIGNALS
02.04.2020
AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”
As we can see in the H4 chart, the ascending tendency is getting close to 61.8% fibo at 0.6237. Under the current circumstances, this level may be considered a defining point, because the pair has equal chances of both breakout and reversal. As a result, if this level is broken, the price may grow towards 76.0% fibo at 0.6404 or even the fractal high at 0.6684. Otherwise, AUDUSD may start a new descending wave to reach the low at 0.5506.
AUDUSD_H4

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

In the H1 chart, the divergence made the pair reverse and start a new descending correction, which has already reached 23.6% and may later continue falling towards 38.2% and 50.0% fibo at 0.5943 and 0.5859 respectively. The resistance is the high at 0.6213.
AUDUSD_H1

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”
In the H4 chart, USDCAD is forming the descending correctional channel, which has already reached 38.2% fibo. MACD lines are also directed downwards, thus indicating further decline towards 50.0% and 61.8% fibo at 1.3811 and 1.3610 respectively. The resistance is the high at 1.4668.
USDCAD_H4

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

As we can see in the H1 chart, the convergence made the pair start a new local ascending correction, which has already reached 50.0% fibo. At the moment, the price is expected to fall to break the low at 1.3921 and then continue trading downwards to reach 1.3811. However, if the instrument rebounds from the low, a new rising wave may expand the correctional range up to 61.8% fibo at 1.4383.
USDCAD_H1

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future
 

RFXSIGNALS

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Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 02.04.2020 (USDCAD, AUDUSD, USDCHF) FROM RFXSIGNALS
02.04.2020
USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”
As we can see in the H4 chart, after forming a Hammer pattern and reversing, USDCAD has tested the channel’s upside border. At the moment, the pair is still rebounding from the resistance level to the descending tendency. In this case, the downside target may be at 1.3920. at the same time, there might be another scenario, which implies that the instrument may re-test the channel’s upside border and grow towards 1.4327.
USDCAD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”
As we can see in the H4 chart, the pair continues the ascending tendency. After completing an Engulfing pattern near the rising channel’s downside border, AUDUSD is reversing. Later, the price may continue trading upwards to reach 0.6333. Still, the instrument may choose a different scenario and continue falling towards 0.6048.
AUDUSD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”
As we can see in the H4 chart, the pair continues forming the ascending channel. By now, USDCHF has formed a Hammer pattern near the support level. The current situation suggests that after reversing the pair may reach 0.9777 to continue the ascending tendency. However, one shouldn’t ignore another scenario, according to which the instrument may fall towards 0.9530.
USDCHF

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The Euro continues retreating. Overview for 02.04.2020 FROM RFXSIGNALS
02.04.2020
On Thursday afternoon, the major currency pair is falling against the current background.
EURUSD is losing weight due to the same fundamental background. The current quote for the instrument is 1.0920.
The statistics published yesterday showed that the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change was -27K in March against the expected reading of -150K. Of course, the indicator was expected to decline but the fact that it just fell instead of plummeting is very positive.
We’d like to remind you that there is no direct correlation between reports from the ADP and the NFP (scheduled to be published on Friday), but the first report can really provide insight into what is happening in the labor market before they publish the second one.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI in the USA also weakened in March but just a little bit, from 50.1 points to 49.1 points. Market expectations were much worse, 44.9 points, that’s why the actual reading turned out to be pretty good. In March, the manufacturing capacity utilization rate in the USA was quite high but the April report is highly likely to show a significant decline.
Later in the evening, the USA is going to report on the Unemployment Claims, which might as well show numbers similar to the previous week. Market expectations imply 3.6M after the previous reading of 3.28M. It’s the entire service industry, which found itself out of work without consumers. However, EURUSD already knew about this, that’s why no dramatic reactions are expected.
 

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The Pound found the strength to correct. Overview for 02.04.2020 FROM RFXSIGNALS
02.04.2020
Market conditions aren’t changing too much for GBPUSD but the Pound found a reason for the correction.
On Thursday afternoon, the British Pound reached stability against the USD; right now, it is slowly recovering after falling earlier. The current quote for the instrument is 1.2450.
The statistics published yesterday showed that the final report on the Manufacturing PMI was 47.8 points after being 48.0 points the month before.
According to the BRC (British Retail Consortium), the Shop Price Index showed 0.8% y/y, thus continuing the negative momentum of February. However, it’s a normal response to the decline in consumers. After the stress generated by quarantine restrictions is reduced, the British central bank will have to deal with the consequences of price crash and disinflation.
It’s interesting that Nationwide HPI added 0.8% m/m in March after expanding only by 0.3% m/m in the previous month. The indicator wasn’t expected to change.
In other words, if there is some stress in the British economy, then at the end of March it’s rather limited. Everything might have been much worse.
 

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DAILY FREE FOREX SIGNALS – 03-04-2020 FROM RFXSIGNALS
GBPAUD SELL 2.03860
SL:2.05042
TP1:2.03696
TP2:2.03553
AUDCAD BUY 0.86047
SL:0.85393
TP1:0.86203
TP2:0.86341
AUDJPY BUY 65.594
SL:65.107
TP1:65.744
TP2:65.877
EURCHF BUY 1.05664
SL:1.05449
TP1:1.05811
TP2:1.05967
AUDUSD BUY 0.60773
SL:0.60397
TP1:.060926
TP2:0.61082
NZDJPY BUY 63.860
SL:63.531
TP1:64.017
TP2:64.221
USDCAD BUY 1.41615
SL:1.41323
TP1:1.41775
TP2:1.41953
GBPUSD SELL 1.23737
SL:1.23932
TP1:1.23603
TP2:1.23440
USDCHF SELL 0.97476
SL:0.97267
TP1:0.97633
TP2:0.97753
EURAUD SELL 1.78640
SL:1.80799
TP1:1.78473
TP2:1.78305
USDJPY SELL-107.898
SL-108.412
TP1-107.729
TP2-107.478
GBPUSD SELL-1.23309
SL-1.25696
TP1-1.20733
TP2-1.18503
TP3-1.14545
GBPJPY BUY 133.794
SL:132.417
TP1:133.968
TP2:134.119
CADJPY BUY 76.265
SL:75.072
TP1:76.426
TP2:76.604
USDJPY SELL 108.050
SL:107.011
TP1:108.212
TP2: 108.378
EURJPY SELL 116.828
SL:117.237
TP1:116.683
TP2:116.522
EURNZD SELL 1.83406
SL:1.84868
TP1:1.83231
TP2:1.83017
NZDCAD SELL 0.83199
SL:0.83891
TP1:0.83044
TP2:0.82913
EURCHF SELL 1.05432
SL:1.05799
TP1:1.05293
TP2:1.05162
GBPCAD SELL 1.74253
SL:1.75715
TP1:1.74085
TP2:1.73883
EURJPY SELL 116.985
SL:117.343
TP1:116.843
TP2:116.711
AUDCAD SELL 0.85085
SL:0.86303
TP1:0.84906
TP2:0.84734
AUDUSD SELL 0.59809
SL:0.60903
TP1:0.59636
TP2:0.59478
NZDCAD SELL 0.82869
SL:0.83988
TP1:0.82709
TP2:0.82506
EURGBP BUY 0.88011
SL:0.87278
TP1:0.88164
TP2:0.88338
EURJPY BUY 117.288
SL:116.591
TP1:117.464
TP2:117.640
CHFJPY BUY 111.205
SL:110.505
TP1:111.390
TP2:111.591
CADCHF SELL 0.68763
SL:0.69149
TP1:0.68605
TP2:0.68475
AUDCAD SELL 0.84976
SL:0.86185
TP1:0.84835
TP2:0.84682
EURGBP BUY 0.87943
SL:0.87360
TP1:0.88120
TP2:0.88231
GBPCHF SELL 1.19853
SL:1.20908
TP1:1.19666
TP2:1.19507
NZDJPY SELL 63.492
SL:63.911
TP1:63.341
TP2:63.150
 

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Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 03.04.2020 (BITCOIN, ETHEREUM) FROM RFXSIGNALS
03.04.2020
BTCUSD, “Bitcoin vs US Dollar”
As we can see in the H4 chart, the correctional uptrend has reached 50.0% The next upside target may be at 61.8% fibo (7987.75) but the divergence on MACD indicates a possible reverse soon. After completing the correction, the instrument may resume falling to break the support – the low at 3929.75.
BTCUSD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

In the H1 chart, the convergence on MACD made the pair start a new rising wave. The short-term upside targets may be inside the post-correctional extension area between 138.2% and 161.8% fibo at 7410.00 and 7685.00 respectively. The support is the low at 5851.00.
BITCOIN

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

ETHUSD, “Ethereum vs. US Dollar”

In the H4 chart, ETHUSD has broken the consolidation range to the upside; right now, it is moving towards 38.2% and 50.0% fibo at 166.13 and 189.40 respectively. The support is the low at 89.80.
ETHEREUM

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows a short-term rising wave towards 38.2% fibo at 166.13.
ETHUSD

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The USD is still in demand. Overview for 03.04.2020 FROM RFXSIGNALS
03.04.2020
On Friday, EURUSD continues sliding down while investors are interested in “safe haven” assets.
The major currency pair remains under pressure at the end of the first April week. The current quote for the instrument is 1.0813.
Weak numbers from the USA published yesterday didn’t change investors’ attitude to the greenback. On the contrary, the statistics even increased their demand is “safe haven” assets.
So, the weekly report on the Unemployment Claims skyrocketed up to 6.648M after being 3.3M (revised reading) the week before and against market expectations of 3.6M. It means that the great number of unemployed people from the services industry were followed the ones who worked in the manufacturing sector. Of course, the American labor market has enough jobs to quickly recover but it won’t happen right now or any nearest future. The next couple of weeks, while quarantine restrictions remain in effect, will see a lot more people losing their jobs.
The Factory Orders showed 0.0% m/m in February after losing 0.5% m/m in January and against the expected reading of +0.2% m/m. the March report is likely to show -0.1%-0.3% m/m, which would be rather logical due to the shutdown of many enterprises.
Today is a very important day for the American currency. Later in the evening, the USA is scheduled to publish more reports on the labor market. The key ones are the Non-Farm Employment Change, the Unemployment Rate, and the Average Hourly Earnings.
 

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Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 03.04.2020 (BTCUSD, XAUUSD, EURUSD) FROM RFXSIGNALS
03.04.2020
BTCUSD, “Bitcoin vs US Dollar”
BTCUSD is trading at 6750.00; the instrument is moving above Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a bullish tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 6555.00 and then resume moving upwards to reach 7445.00. Another signal to confirm further ascending movement is the price’s rebounding from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the scenario that implies further growth may be canceled if the price breaks the cloud’s downside border and fixes below 6325.00. In this case, the pair may continue falling towards 5825.00.
BTCUSD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”
XAUUSD is trading at 1610.00; the instrument is moving above Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating an ascending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen at 1600.00 and then resume moving upwards to reach 1635.00. Another signal to confirm further ascending movement is the price’s rebounding from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the scenario that implies further growth may be canceled if the price breaks the cloud’s downside border and fixes below 1580.00. In this case, the pair may continue falling towards 1535.00.
GOLD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”
EURUSD is trading at 1.0847; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s downside border at 1.0895 and then resume moving downwards to reach 1.0705. Another signal to confirm further descending movement is the price’s rebounding from the descending channel’s upside border. However, the scenario that implies further decline may be canceled if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 1.0975. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 1.1065.
EURUSD

Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future
 
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