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  #31  
Old 30-12-2016, 09:08 AM
Bateleur Bateleur is offline
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Assallamualaikum warahmatullahi wabarakatuh


Hari ni hari terakhir Trading kita pada Tahun 2016.

Kita tinggalkan 2016 dengan kenangan pahit dan manis

Moga tahun 2017 menjanjikan yg lebih baik untuk kita semua...aminnn...







ANALISA KLCI Index Futures (FKLI) 30/12/2016



Technical


Index futures contract extended its upside momentum in line with FBM KLCI, supported by the year end window dressing activities.
Prices were traded lower in the earlier session but rebounded steadily and touch last week high of 1640.


The spot month December contract was up 10.5 points to 1638.5, 1 point premium to the underlying index. The FBM KLCI index closed at 1637.93, up 7.6 points. Total volume traded for the index futures was down to 9,684 as the majority of the month end roll over activities has been completed during the previous days. Open interest also decline to 30,919 vs 41,189 contracts yesterday as many of the traders closed their position ahead of the New Year holiday.


Market action saw price recorded 3 straight gains and managed to break above the resistance level at 1630 (21-SMA) to erase recent bearish outlook – positive


Outlook turned bullish after successfully regained above the 1630 (21-SMA) level, aiming for the next hurdle at 1643.5 this month’s high – positive


RSI at 53.82, buying activities is gaining traction - positive


U.S stocks extended its losses with traders booked in profits during the quiet holiday period. Crude oil slipped after a surprise build in U.S crude inventories. FKLI looks to start lower in view of overnight losses in U.S market but the final day of year end window dressing activities should provide support for price to test the resistance at 1643.5. Price needs to hold above the support level at 1630 (21-SMA) to maintain its positive outlook. Upside resistance is seen at 1643.5 followed by 1659.5. To the downside, immediate support is located at 1630 and 1617





Fundamentals


Wall Street edged lower as banking stocks fell, Dow back further from the 20,000 level – negative


Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week, a positive sign the labour market is strengthening - positive


Oil price lower after U.S EIA reported a 614,000 barrels gained last week vs a forecast of a decline of 2.1 million barrels – negative


Oil price looks good to end the year above the 50.00 level. - positive






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  #32  
Old 03-01-2017, 11:03 AM
Bateleur Bateleur is offline
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Analisa KLCI Index Futures (FKLI) 03/01/2017






Technical




Index futures contract settled lower despite eleventh-hour surge by the underlying index as market ends 2016 on a volatile note. January 2017 contract settlement which turned to spot month today, settled 4.5 points lower at 1,635.5. The December contract expired at 1,632.0. The FBM KLCI index rose 3.80 to close 2016 at 1,641.73. Total volume traded for the index futures recorded at 9,670 lots while open interest declined to 27,829 contracts from 30,919 contracts the previous trading day.



Market action on the last day of 2016 saw the current price above the 20 and 40 days moving average line indicating market could start the New Year maintaining a upside bias – positive




Daily MACD line currently above the signal line also supporting upside claim – positive




Caution warranted though with candlestick pattern on Friday forming a Doji and after 3-days consecutive gains could see potential pull-back – negative




Momentum studies stochastic level at 38.6 while RSI at 49.7 in a neutral to weak level – neutral to negative




Market is expected to start 2017 in a range-bound trading between resistance daily upper Bollinger band 1,647 and support 1,625.5 with eye on regional market performance.







Fundamental


U.S. stocks decline in final day of trading as Tech shares fall but still records gain for the year – neutral to negative

U.S. dollar stronger as traders settle in for 2017 – neutral









HAPPY TRADING !



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  #33  
Old 04-01-2017, 10:07 AM
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Analisa KLCI Index Futures (FKLI) 04/01/2017






Technical



Index futures contract closed a fraction higher recovering from earlier slump as the underlying index starts 2017 on a softer note. The spot month January 2017 contract closed just a point higher at 1,634.5 from prior settlement and a point discount to the cash market.

The FBM KLCI index closed 6.20 points lower at 1,635.53. Total volume traded for the index futures recorded at 4,601 lots while open interest declined slightly to 27,754 contracts from 27,829 contracts the previous trading day.




Market action saw the spot month contract recovered from earlier weakness touching as low as 1,629.0 before recouping some losses towards the end. Current price remains above the 20 and 40 days moving average line but retreated below the 50 days moving average line at 1,639. – neutral



The January contract has previously formed a Bearish Harami candlestick formation on 29th and 30th Dec though yesterday’s neutral closing failed to give confirmation - neutral


Stochastic reading at 41.9 while RSI at 51.3 in a almost neutral to negative momentum



Strength in overnight U.S. market could provide support for the market today with 10 days MA 1,629 which is also prior day low as immediate downside level. Other support looks peg at 1,625.5 and further down at Lower Bollinger 1,617.0. Resistance if market were to track Wall Street gains looks cap at 1.642.5 and 1,645.0 further up at 1,653.5. However with lack of news flow could see a more range bound trading to surface.






Fundamental



U.S. Stocks start year with a pop as phones, health care rallies – neutral to positive


Asia stocks set for gains after economic data fueled confidence in the U.S. economy – U.S. manufacturing expanded - positive


Oil falls from 18-month high amid Dollar gains, OPEC doubts - neutral



U.S. Dollar climbs versus major peers; U.S manufacturing expanding - neutral







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  #34  
Old 06-01-2017, 10:01 AM
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ANALISA KLCI Index Futures (FKLI) 06/01/2016






Technical



KLCI futures soared on Thursday, in tandem with the firmer cash market. The spot month January 2017 rose 12 points to settle at 1,660.50 points while the underlying benchmark FBM KLCI ended 12.35 points better at 1,659.82. Total volume were seen at 7,505 lots from Wednesday's 5,962 lots and open interest standing at 27,491 contracts. The rally in local equities were seen helped by the rebounded ringgit against US Dollar joining the key Asian currencies jumps. The local unit rose 0.29% to 4.4845 from the previous close of 4.4975.



The bullish sentiment in Malaysian stocks also boosted by steadier crude oil price, other than partly in response of falling US Dollar as traders digested minutes from the Federal Reserve’s December meeting. While Deputy Finance Minister I Datuk Othman Aziz today agreed with bankers' forecast that the ringgit will rebound to a fair value of RM4.10 against the US dollar in the third quarter of the year. Fundamentally the local notes will be backed by the strengthen commodity prices such as rubber and palm oil.



Market action saw the price shows the possible continuation of bullish trend as it is stabilized above 40- and 100-day moving average.



RSI momentum reached 76.43, which is in overbought market state. – neutral to positive



The local bourse might initiate the immediate corrective selling on overly valued market today, preceding the continuation of the rally on positive sentiment in major regional equity markets. It’s a quick profits price action for short positions before the KLCI futures make attempts to reach 1,666 and 1,671 resistance level. While support should peg at 1,650 and 1,640 respectively.







Fundamental



US ADP National Employment report showed fewer jobs than expected in December. – neutral

Wall Street sags as the retailers announced on the staffs lay-off.– neutral to negative

Hang Seng and offshore Yuan rallied. - positive

OPEC oil output falls from record highs. - negative







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  #35  
Old 11-01-2017, 09:32 AM
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Analisa KLCI Index Futures (FKLI) 11/01//2017





Technical



Index future contract closed marginally higher tracking a firmer cash market. The spot month January contract settlement climb 1.5 points higher at 1,675.5 a 3.5 points premium to the underlying index. The FBM KLCI index closed 4.15 points higher at 1,672.05. Total traded volume for the index futures recorded at 6,407 lots while open interest rose slightly to 24,185 contracts from 24,114 contracts the prior trading day.



Market action saw the contract price attempted to resume its uptrend but lack of further buying support dampen sentiment. Current level is at the daily Upper Bollinger band with support 1,670.0 seen as immediate support – neutral to positive



Market developed a rather uncertain pattern again after the Doji candlestick pattern developed on Monday – neutral



Stochastic level at 85.5 returning to overbought level while RSI momentum at 69.2- neutral to negative



Lack of catalyst could see market extending its recent range-bound trading between 1,680.0 to 1,670.0 price range. Flat Wall Street closing overnight could see market open on a muted tone while tracking regional markets. Fall back in Oil overnight though could cap any further rallies for the local index today.



Resistance seen at 1,680.0 and 1,685.5 further up at 1,691.5 while support looks peg at 1,672.5 and 1,670.0 further down at 1,665.0







Fundamental



U.S. Equities hold steady as Banks rally amid decline in crude – neutral

Oil drops to one-month low on U.S. supply outlook, OPEC concern – neutral to negative

Asian stocks set for gains following metals surge – neutral to positive










Happy trading..


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