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  #301  
Old 09-10-2017, 11:35 PM
mazri_2008 mazri_2008 is offline
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Overview of USD / JPY with the current day forecast

As part of the downward correction in the chart of the Japanese currency, in the short term, the direction of the price movement sets its last segment. This is a bullish wave, launched on September 8, by now it has reached the calculated zone of elongation upwards. The quotations of the pair are near the lower boundary of the control, potentially reversal zone. Over the past weeks, the price is moving in a flat corridor, forming a corrective phase of the wave. On the last trading day, the final stage began.

Today, in the first half of the day, a short-term upward pullback, not beyond the limits of resistance, is not ruled out. Toward the end of the day, a return to the downward course is expected, with the price moving to the settlement support zone.

The boundaries of the resistance zones: -

112.70 / 113.00

he boundaries of the support zones:

- 111.90 / 60


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  #302  
Old 09-10-2017, 11:37 PM
mazri_2008 mazri_2008 is offline
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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for October 09, 2017


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USD/JPY is expected to trade with bearish bias below 112.85. The pair posted a V-sharp bearish reversal from 113.45 (the high of Oct. 6). In addition, the 20-period moving average has crossed below a 50-period one. The relative strength index shows a downside momentum.

To conclude, as long as 112.85 holds on the upside, look for a further decline with targets at 112.30 and 112.00 in extension.

Alternatively, if the price moves in the opposite direction, a long position is recommended above 112.85 with a target at 113.10.

Chart Explanation: The black line shows the pivot point. The current price above the pivot point indicates a bullish position, while the price below the pivot point is a signal for a short position. The red lines show the support levels and the green line indicates the resistance level. These levels can be used to enter and exit trades.

Strategy: SELL, Stop Loss: 112.85, Take Profit: 112.30

Resistance levels: 113.10, 113.45 and 113.75

Support Levels: 112.30, 112.00, 111.75
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  #303  
Old 11-10-2017, 12:05 AM
mazri_2008 mazri_2008 is offline
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Daily analysis of USD/JPY for October 10, 2017


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Overview

The USD/JPY pair fluctuates around the EMA50 since yesterday, noticing that stochastic lost its positive momentum now, which might force the price to show more sideways trading until managing to get enough positive momentum to push the price to continue rising on the short-term basis. In general, we will continue to suggest the bullish trend in the upcoming sessions unless breaking 112.00 level and holding below it, noting that breaching 113.44 will push the price to head towards 114.49 that represents our next main target. The expected trading range for today is between 112.00 support and 113.55 resistance.
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  #304  
Old 12-10-2017, 11:09 PM
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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for October 12, 2017


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USD/JPY is expected to trade with a bearish outlook. The pair broke below the support level of 112.60 and broke below its 20-period and 50-period moving averages. In addition, the bearish cross between 20-period and 50-period moving averages has been identified. The relative strength index lacks upward momentum.

To conclude, as long as 112.60 is not broken, look for a further decline with targets at 112.10 and 111.95 in extension.

Alternatively, if the price moves in the opposite direction, a long position is recommended above 112.60 with a target at 112.80.

Chart Explanation: The black line shows the pivot point. The current price above the pivot point indicates a bullish position, while the price below the pivot point is a signal for a short position. The red lines show the support levels and the green line indicates the resistance level. These levels can be used to enter and exit trades.

Strategy: SELL, Stop Loss: 112.60, Take Profit: 112.10

Resistance levels: 112.80, 113.05 and 113.35

Support Levels: 112.10, 111.95, 111.45
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  #305  
Old 12-10-2017, 11:11 PM
mazri_2008 mazri_2008 is offline
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Daily analysis of USD/JPY for October 12, 2017


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Overview

The USD/JPY pair finds difficulty to surpass the EMA50 that forms good intraday resistance at 112.50, and the price needs to surpass this level to be released from the current negative pressure followed by resuming the expected bullish trend for the upcoming period, which its next target located at 114.49. In general, we will continue to suggest the bullish trend unless breaking 112.00 level and holding below it, as breaking this level will push the price to extend its bearish correction towards 111.10 areas, and might extend to 110.38 before any new attempt to rise. The expected trading range for today is between 111.80 support and 113.44 resistance.
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  #306  
Old 12-10-2017, 11:18 PM
mazri_2008 mazri_2008 is offline
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USD/JPY analysis for October 12, 2017


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Recently, the USD/JPY pair has been trading sideways at the price of 112.25. Anyway, according to the 30M time - frame, I found that sellers are in control. There is a rising in ADX in last downward leg, which is a sign of weakness. My advice is to watch for potential selling opportuntiies. I placed Fibonacci expansion to find potential downward targets. I got Fibonacci expansion 61.8% at the price 112.05, Fibonacci expansion 100% at the price of 111.75 and Fibonacci expansion 161.8% at the price of 111.25.

Resistance levels: R1: 112.70 R2: 112.90 R3: 113.20

Support levels: S1: 112.20 S2: 111.90 S3: 111.70
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  #307  
Old 12-10-2017, 11:27 PM
mazri_2008 mazri_2008 is offline
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Wave analysis of the USD / JPY currency pair for October 12, 2017


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Analysis of wave counting:

So, having failed to determine the direction of the movement yesterday, the pair USD / JPY held in the range limited by the levels of 112.10-112.60. The resulting wave situation allows us to assume that the currency pair remained in the formation stage of the receiving waveform of the five-wave structure of the wave c, b, (C). If this is the case, the currency pair retained the potential for the resumption of the growth of quotations after a repeated breakdown of the level of the 112th figure, which in turn will indicate the beginning of the wave c, in the future (C).

Targets for the downward wave option:

111.00- 112.00

Targets for the upward wave option:

113.53 - 38.2% of Fibonacci

115.00 - 117.00

General conclusions and trading recommendations:

The instrument continues to complicate its wave structure, which may require the introduction of additions and adjustments at any time. Now, the wave (C) is being constructed with targets near the 113.53 mark, which corresponds to 38.2% of Fibonacci and above about 115 and 117 figures. Within the correction wave b, in the future (C), the decline in quotations may continue with the goals between 111 and 112 figures. A small MACD convergence indicates a possible completion of the correction wave b.
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  #308  
Old 12-10-2017, 11:43 PM
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Fractal analysis for USD/JPY pairs as of October 12


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For the USD / JPY pair, the key levels on the scale are: 115.15, 114.26, 113.25, 112.79, 112.31, 111.95 and 111.32. Here, we continue to follow the main upward trend of September 8. Currently, the price is in correction. Continued development of the upward trend is expected after passing the price of the noise range at 112.79 - 113.25. In this case, the target is 114.26. Near this level the is the consolidation of the price. The potential value for the top is the level 115.15, from which we expect a pullback downwards.

Short-term downward movement is possible in the area of 112.31 - 111.95. The breakdown of the last value will lead to in-depth correction. Here, the target is 111.32. This level is the key support for the top.

The main trend is the upward structure of September 8, the correction stage.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 113.27 Take profit: 114.24

Buy: 114.28 Take profit: 115.12

Sell: 111.30 Take profit: 111.96

Sell: 111.93 Take profit: 111.34
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  #309  
Old 12-10-2017, 11:49 PM
mazri_2008 mazri_2008 is offline
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As expected in the previous forecasts for the yen (10.10), the price failed to grow and continued to fell. Even the excellent data on machine-building orders did not help the yen. On an annual basis, the volume of orders in the machine-building sector increased from 36.2% to 45.3%, while the base order index increased from -7.5% YoY to 4.4% YoY, with the expectations of 0.8% only. The monthly increase for August was 3.4% against expectations of 1.1%. The Japanese yen did not receive support from both government bonds in the US and Japanese securities, while yields change in a narrow range last week.

As expected, the United States is interested in low profitability in the period of intense debt placement. The position of incumbent Prime Minister Shinzo Abe looks solid in the first two days prior the official start of election campaign. It is expected that his Liberal Democratic Party in the bloc with Komeito will gain more than 300 seats out of 465. In the current situation, we are expecting the yen to decline to 111.60 and further to 111.00.


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  #310  
Old 12-10-2017, 11:50 PM
mazri_2008 mazri_2008 is offline
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USD/JPY: There is an ongoing equilibrium phase in the market. A movement above the supply level at 114.00 would affirm the long-term bullish bias, while a movement below the demand level at 111.00 would result in bearish bias. Some fundamental figures are expected today and they would have an impact on the market.


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