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  #11  
Old 16-10-2015, 06:10 PM
painofhell painofhell is offline
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Wave summary:
With an adjusted count, we where looking for a final decline to 1.6544 and we have seen a low at 1.6486. We think that a low is in place for a new rally higher to at least 1.8019 and possibly even higher.
In the short term, we need support at 1.6486 to protect the downside for a break above minor resistance at 1.6707 as the first good indication that a bottom is in place. To confirm the bottom, a break above resistance at 1.6851 is needed.

Trading recommendation:
We bought EUR at 1.6555 and will place our stop at 1.6480. If you are not long EUR yet, buy on a break above 1.6670 and use the same stop.

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  #12  
Old 21-10-2015, 02:45 AM
painofhell painofhell is offline
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Wave summary:
We thought that a firm bottom was seen at 1.6486 and a new impulsive rally was slowly developing. In the short term, we would like to see a break above the base-channel resistance line near 1.6851 for a continuation higher towards important resistance at 1.7198.
It will confirm that a firm bottom is in place. In the long term, a breakout above 1.7198 will also call for a rally higher to 1.8021 and above here being very bullish. Only an unexpected breakout below 1.6485 will point to more downside pressure.

Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6555 with stop placed at 1.6480. If you are not long EUR yet, buy near 1.6590 or upon a break above 1.6750 and use the same stop at 1.6480.

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  #13  
Old 22-10-2015, 12:08 AM
painofhell painofhell is offline
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Wave summary:
We have seen an expected move higher. Now we are looking for a break above the base-channel resistance line near 1.6858 and a break above here will confirm upside acceleration.
We still need a break above important resistance at 1.7198 to confirm that a firm bottom was seen at 1.6486 and a new rally to at least 1.8019 is unfolding. A break above 1.8019 will be very bullish and call for a continuation higher to 1.9114 and above toward 2.1242 in the longer term.

Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6555 and will move our stop higher to 1.6540. If you are not long EUR yet, buy near 1.6740 or upon a break above 1.6858 and use the same stop at 1.6540.

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  #14  
Old 22-10-2015, 10:09 PM
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Wave summary:
A failure to break above the base-channel resistance line has forced a less aggressive path, than we had first expected. However, support at 1.6546 should continue to protect the downside for a new attempt to break above the base-channel resistance line for upside acceleration towards 1.7198 and 1.8019.
Only an unexpected break below support at 1.6546 will question whether or not the bottom is in place.

Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6555 with stop placed at 1.6540. If you are not long EUR yet, then buy near 1.6546 and use the same stop at 1.6540.

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  #15  
Old 23-10-2015, 03:38 PM
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Wave summary:
We did not expect a break below 1.6486, but it told us that a decline from 1.8019 was not over yet and more downside was needed. We have adjusted our wave count accordingly and the next downside target is found at 1.6075, which is just above the 61.8% corrective target of a rally from 1.3884 to 1.9114 that is seen at 1.5882. Therefore, we will be looking for signs of a bottom in the area.
At this point it will take a break above 1.6499 to indicate a bottoming being in place.

Trading recommendation:
Our stop at 1.6540 was hit for a very small loss. We will be looking for new EUR-buying opportunities in the area of 1.5882 - 1.6075.

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  #16  
Old 28-10-2015, 08:35 PM
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Wave summary:
With a breakout above 1.6390 we can see the first indication that a bottom was found at 1.6124 and a new impulsive rally is about to develop. The next resistance to look for is found at 1.6546 and a breakout above here will be a strong indication of a bottom being in place and for a continuation higher to 1.6950 or just above this resistance. To mark the top of wave i.

Trading recommendation:
We bought EUR at 1.6390 and have placed our stop at 1.6180. If you are not long EUR yet, buy EUR near 1.6390 and use the same stop at 1.6180.

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  #17  
Old 29-10-2015, 08:03 PM
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Wave summary:
We saw a nice test of strong resistance near 1.6500 yesterday, but no break above this resistance was seen. We do however expected that a break above here will be seen soon for a move closer to 1.6950. That said we also have to be aware of the risk of a breakout below support at 1.6124, which is likely to extend the downside for a decline closer to 1.5882. This is not our preferred outcome, but if support at 1.6124 is broken that will become our preferred count.

Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6390 with stop placed at 1.6180. If you are not long EUR yet, then wait a buy a break above 1.6515 for a rally closer to 1.6950.

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  #18  
Old 30-10-2015, 07:28 PM
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Wave summary:
We have been locked in a range between support at 1.6186 and resistance at 1.6515. As long as support at 1.6186 protects the downside, we do expect that resistance at 1.6515 sooner or later will be broken for a rally towards 1.6950 and above will confirm the bottom for wave 2 is in place at 1.6124 and a new strong rally higher to at least 1.8019 should be expected. If however, support at 1.6186 gives away, the bottom is not yet set in place and a new low slightly below 1.6124 should be expected, but the downside potential seems to be limited from here.

Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6390 with stop placed at 1.6180. If you are not long EUR yet, the buy near 1.6186 and use a close stop at 1.6180.

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  #19  
Old 04-11-2015, 08:32 AM
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Wave summary:
We continue to look for confirmation that wave 2 has bottomed. As long as resistance at 1.6515 protects the upside, one final decline closer to the 61.8% corrective target at 1.5882 can not be excluded, but from there or upon a break above resistance at 1.6515 a new impulsive rally higher to at least 1.8020 would be expected. In the longer term, a break above 1.9114 should be seen.

Trading recommendation:
We will buy EUR at 1.5900 or upon a break above 1.6520

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  #20  
Old 06-11-2015, 07:44 AM
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Overview:
Recently, EUR/NZD has been moving sideways around the price of 1.6460. Activity in the market is still low. The trend is downward, the price is in the Ichimoku cloud on the H4 chart. We can observe a 9-day major support cluster around the prices of 1.6150-1.6210. So be careful when selling EUR/NZD before a breakout of our key support level. The price is also in a strong downward channel. A breakout in a high volume of the level of 1.6150 will confirm further downward continuation. Resistance is at the price of 1.6500. Watch for a potential change in polarity. The strong support at the price of 1.6150 may become strong resistance once it is broken.

Trading recommendations:
Be careful when selling EUR/NZD at this stage since the price is at the 1.6150 critical support. Watch for a potential breakout of the level of 1.6150 to confirm downward continuation.

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